Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
141 High Point 24.9%   15   8 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 9 11 - 5 +1.1      +5.4 52 -4.3 310 64.3 308 +3.9 114 0.0 1
179 Winthrop 15.4%   5 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 12 9 - 7 -1.0      -1.4 211 +0.4 156 76.8 27 -0.8 181 0.0 1
189 Radford 14.4%   7 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 12 9 - 7 -1.3      +0.6 160 -1.9 235 61.7 345 +9.4 70 0.0 1
193 UNC Asheville 14.6%   3 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 12 9 - 7 -1.4      +0.8 154 -2.2 247 68.4 198 -1.2 187 0.0 1
202 Longwood 12.6%   6 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 11 9 - 7 -1.9      -1.8 216 -0.1 171 69.8 162 +4.6 102 0.0 1
221 Gardner-Webb 8.7%   4 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 15 8 - 8 -3.2      -2.2 229 -1.0 205 72.5 85 +0.3 169 0.0 1
248 Presbyterian 5.8%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -4.6      -2.2 228 -2.4 254 66.2 263 -3.0 217 0.0 1
276 Charleston Southern 3.1%   2 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 10 -6.3      -3.3 265 -3.0 272 69.1 173 -8.5 303 0.0 1
343 South Carolina Upstate 0.4%   0 - 8 0 - 0 4 - 24 3 - 13 -11.6      -4.6 302 -7.0 356 78.1 18 -14.1 348 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.7 36.5 21.6 14.8 10.0 7.3 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.3
Winthrop 3.6 20.4 18.1 15.4 13.5 11.5 9.0 6.8 4.1 1.2
Radford 3.8 18.2 17.1 15.4 13.7 12.3 10.0 7.4 4.4 1.4
UNC Asheville 3.8 18.7 16.9 14.9 13.7 11.9 10.2 7.4 4.8 1.5
Longwood 4.0 15.4 15.2 15.1 13.8 12.8 11.1 9.1 5.8 1.9
Gardner-Webb 4.7 9.4 11.3 12.8 13.8 14.0 13.8 12.3 9.1 3.4
Presbyterian 5.3 5.7 8.0 9.7 11.9 13.8 15.3 15.8 13.9 6.0
Charleston Southern 6.2 2.4 4.4 6.2 8.7 11.3 14.8 18.7 22.4 11.2
South Carolina Upstate 8.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.9 5.3 10.0 21.2 57.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.3 8.6 12.3 15.5 16.6 14.8 11.4 6.9 3.0 0.7
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.8 6.6 10.1 13.0 14.8 14.7 13.4 10.3 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.2
Radford 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.3 7.3 11.1 13.3 15.1 14.7 12.7 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.1
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.3 10.6 13.5 14.8 14.4 12.4 9.3 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.2
Longwood 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.5 8.6 11.7 14.0 15.3 14.2 11.0 7.8 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.1
Gardner-Webb 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 5.0 8.0 11.3 14.3 15.1 14.4 11.6 8.2 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.1 7.4 11.4 13.7 15.4 14.4 12.0 8.7 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.2 1.5 3.9 8.1 11.7 14.9 15.6 15.0 11.6 8.2 5.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 3 - 13 5.2 13.1 18.6 18.9 16.5 11.7 7.7 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 36.5% 25.0 8.7 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 20.4% 12.5 5.8 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Radford 18.2% 11.1 5.1 1.6 0.3 0.1
UNC Asheville 18.7% 11.4 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Longwood 15.4% 9.1 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
Gardner-Webb 9.4% 5.1 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 5.7% 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 2.4% 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 24.9% 24.9% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.1 8.7 5.1 1.0 75.1 0.0%
Winthrop 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.6 5.3 2.3 84.6 0.0%
Radford 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.3 3.8 0.9 85.6 0.0%
UNC Asheville 14.6% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 5.1 2.7 85.4 0.0%
Longwood 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.0 4.3 1.6 87.4 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 2.8 91.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.0 94.2 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 96.9 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 24.9% 0.2% 24.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 15.4% 0.9% 15.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 14.4% 0.3% 14.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 14.6% 1.4% 14.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 12.6% 0.5% 12.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 8.7% 1.5% 8.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.8% 1.9% 4.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.6% 1.0 4.4 95.6
2nd Round 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0