Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
107 High Point 44.7%   14   8 - 3 0 - 0 22 - 6 13 - 3 +4.1      +5.7 59 -1.6 220 73.3 74 +1.4 152 0.0 1
124 Winthrop 31.9%   5 - 6 0 - 0 17 - 11 12 - 4 +2.2      +4.9 67 -2.7 269 72.2 104 -3.2 218 0.0 1
231 UNC Asheville 5.8%   3 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -4.4      -2.1 225 -2.3 244 66.4 266 -6.8 268 0.0 1
240 Charleston Southern 5.1%   5 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 6 - 8 -4.6      -2.9 249 -1.7 225 74.5 55 -6.0 253 0.0 1
263 Radford 3.9%   4 - 8 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5.5      -1.1 195 -4.5 319 78.7 14 -11.3 330 0.0 1
270 South Carolina Upstate 3.7%   5 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.7      -4.3 287 -1.5 210 71.4 128 -5.0 244 0.0 1
285 Presbyterian 2.8%   4 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.6      -4.8 299 -1.7 228 61.6 353 -7.1 275 0.0 1
298 Longwood 2.1%   5 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 10 -7.4      -3.5 268 -3.9 309 71.9 113 -9.0 307 0.0 1
362 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   0 - 12 0 - 0 2 - 24 2 - 12 -15.5      -8.3 353 -7.2 350 76.4 33 -16.9 351 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Dec 18 263 Radford 83 119 William & Mary 96   
Thu, Dec 18 240 Charleston Southern 113 350 North Florida 90   
Thu, Dec 18 333 North Dakota 90 124 Winthrop 88   
Fri, Dec 19 107 High Point 84 233 La Salle 72   
Sat, Dec 20 270 South Carolina Upstate 65 165 Youngstown St. 74   
Sat, Dec 20 298 Longwood 74 349 NC Central 72   
Sun, Dec 21 240 Charleston Southern 76 151 Furman 84   
Sun, Dec 21 106 UAB 72 231 UNC Asheville 47   
Sun, Dec 21 314 Manhattan 87 285 Presbyterian 81   
Sun, Dec 21 263 Radford 97 331 VMI 90   
Sun, Dec 21 362 Gardner-Webb 52 15 Tennessee 94   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 22 297 Bryant 69 107 High Point 84 91%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.5 63.8 25.6 6.7 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 2.0 40.3 38.0 12.4 5.1 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.3 5.0 12.1 22.5 18.7 15.0 11.6 8.5 5.8 0.9
Charleston Southern 5.6 0.9 3.8 10.3 13.9 16.3 17.3 17.9 17.4 2.1
Radford 4.8 2.6 8.6 18.0 18.5 16.3 14.2 11.9 8.2 1.7
South Carolina Upstate 4.9 2.4 7.8 16.5 18.1 16.7 15.0 12.8 9.0 1.8
Presbyterian 5.3 1.7 5.8 13.8 16.0 16.3 16.3 14.9 12.6 2.6
Longwood 5.7 1.0 4.0 10.8 13.7 15.4 17.5 17.8 16.0 3.8
Gardner-Webb 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 5.7 16.6 74.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.6 11.6 17.1 20.8 20.0 13.7 4.9
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.7 7.1 11.5 16.0 18.9 18.3 13.2 6.8 1.9
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.8 11.1 14.2 16.5 15.6 12.6 9.1 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.9 10.3 14.3 17.0 17.2 13.7 9.5 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
Radford 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.6 5.6 9.4 13.4 16.1 16.6 14.0 10.3 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.9 10.4 14.0 16.6 16.2 13.7 9.5 5.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.2 8.1 12.2 15.6 16.4 15.1 11.7 7.8 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 6 - 10 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.0 10.1 14.6 17.0 16.5 13.3 9.5 5.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 13.1 24.8 25.5 18.4 10.8 4.8 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 63.8% 50.0 12.4 1.3 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 40.3% 27.8 11.2 1.2 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 5.0% 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.9% 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Radford 2.6% 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 2.4% 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
Longwood 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 44.7% 44.7% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 6.7 16.4 14.6 4.9 0.5 55.3 0.0%
Winthrop 31.9% 31.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 7.6 12.3 8.3 2.1 68.2 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.6 94.3 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.8 94.9 0.0%
Radford 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.3 96.1 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 96.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 97.2 0.0%
Longwood 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.8 97.9 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 44.7% 0.1% 44.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 31.9% 0.7% 31.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.8% 2.5% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.1% 1.8% 4.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 3.9% 2.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.7% 1.5% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.5% 0.9 5.5 94.5
2nd Round 6.6% 0.1 93.4 6.6
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0