Big South
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
178 Radford 25.9%   16   13 - 9 9 - 2 17 - 12 13 - 5 -0.3      -1.1 213 +0.8 144 63.6 302 -0.2 170 +3.9 2
181 Longwood 24.5%   13 - 9 7 - 4 18 - 11 12 - 6 -0.5      -0.8 200 +0.3 161 65.6 263 -2.2 213 -1.3 3
188 UNC Asheville 19.0%   15 - 6 9 - 1 20 - 9 14 - 4 -1.1      -1.1 211 0.0 173 69.1 151 +3.5 117 +7.8 1
192 Gardner-Webb 18.4%   10 - 11 7 - 4 14 - 14 11 - 7 -1.2      -4.5 307 +3.2 87 65.9 250 -3.1 230 -1.6 4
244 Winthrop 4.8%   9 - 13 6 - 5 12 - 17 9 - 9 -4.3      +1.4 130 -5.7 328 67.4 200 -4.5 253 -3.8 5
255 Campbell 3.8%   8 - 13 5 - 6 11 - 17 8 - 10 -4.8      -1.9 237 -3.0 263 61.4 339 -5.9 274 -5.7 6
280 Charleston Southern 1.8%   6 - 14 4 - 7 9 - 18 7 - 11 -6.3      +1.8 121 -8.1 357 65.5 265 -8.2 301 -7.3 8
304 High Point 0.8%   8 - 12 2 - 8 11 - 17 5 - 13 -7.8      -3.8 294 -4.0 294 79.1 10 -6.2 277 -12.1 9
306 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   7 - 13 4 - 7 10 - 17 7 - 11 -8.0      -5.5 322 -2.5 250 69.4 140 -5.8 270 -7.0 7
330 Presbyterian 0.1%   3 - 19 1 - 10 5 - 24 3 - 15 -10.0      -5.1 317 -4.9 315 61.8 329 -14.9 353 -16.6 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Radford 1.7 47.3 37.6 10.9 3.6 0.6 0.0
Longwood 3.0 7.8 22.1 38.7 25.0 5.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 1.4 66.2 25.0 6.7 1.8 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 3.3 5.8 16.9 34.4 31.3 9.3 2.0 0.3 0.0
Winthrop 4.9 0.3 1.9 7.8 20.9 44.0 17.3 6.2 1.4 0.1
Campbell 5.8 0.0 0.3 2.5 8.8 25.8 37.4 18.2 6.0 1.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 6.9 0.0 0.2 2.0 11.5 23.8 30.5 24.3 7.3 0.5
High Point 8.4 0.1 1.2 5.0 11.5 23.0 48.9 10.3
South Carolina Upstate 7.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 7.1 17.4 29.6 31.9 11.4 0.7
Presbyterian 9.7 0.2 1.0 4.4 21.1 73.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Radford 13 - 5 0.1 1.4 5.9 15.6 26.1 28.3 17.7 5.0
Longwood 12 - 6 0.1 0.8 4.4 13.3 26.1 29.7 19.8 5.7
UNC Asheville 14 - 4 0.1 0.6 3.2 10.0 20.6 27.7 23.6 11.7 2.6
Gardner-Webb 11 - 7 0.1 1.5 6.8 18.2 28.7 27.4 14.0 3.2
Winthrop 9 - 9 0.9 6.0 18.3 29.1 26.6 14.4 4.2 0.6
Campbell 8 - 10 0.9 6.5 19.9 30.3 26.0 12.7 3.4 0.4
Charleston Southern 7 - 11 1.9 9.7 22.1 28.3 22.7 11.5 3.4 0.4
High Point 5 - 13 2.5 11.0 22.3 27.1 21.4 11.2 3.6 0.8 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 11 4.1 15.4 26.1 26.6 17.6 7.9 2.0 0.2
Presbyterian 3 - 15 8.1 24.8 32.5 22.2 9.8 2.3 0.3 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Radford 47.3% 27.6 16.5 2.9 0.4 0.0
Longwood 7.8% 1.8 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0
UNC Asheville 66.2% 45.7 17.2 3.0 0.4 0.0
Gardner-Webb 5.8% 1.5 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
Winthrop 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Campbell 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern
High Point
South Carolina Upstate
Presbyterian


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Radford 25.9% 25.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.7 6.5 14.3 4.4 74.1 0.0%
Longwood 24.5% 24.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 3.4 12.1 8.8 75.5 0.0%
UNC Asheville 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.4 8.7 7.2 0.6 81.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 6.7 10.9 81.6 0.0%
Winthrop 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 4.7 95.2 0.0%
Campbell 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 0.1 3.7 96.2 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
High Point 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Radford 25.9% 0.9% 25.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 24.5% 2.4% 23.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 19.0% 0.0% 19.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 18.4% 6.3% 15.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 4.8% 4.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 3.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.5% 0.9 9.5 90.5
2nd Round 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0