Preseason Rankings
Big South
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
108 High Point 36.8%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 7 12 - 4 +4.1      +4.3 65 -0.2 171 66.1 227 0.0 1 0.0 1
150 Radford 17.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 11 10 - 6 +0.4      +1.1 131 -0.7 190 59.7 357 0.0 1 0.0 1
161 Winthrop 15.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 10 - 6 -0.4      +1.0 134 -1.5 219 79.8 5 0.0 1 0.0 1
184 UNC Asheville 11.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 7 -1.7      +1.0 132 -2.7 268 69.1 144 0.0 1 0.0 1
204 Longwood 9.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 9 - 7 -2.5      -0.4 174 -2.1 246 71.4 88 0.0 1 0.0 1
267 Presbyterian 4.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5.8      -3.2 267 -2.6 266 62.6 323 0.0 1 0.0 1
307 Gardner-Webb 1.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 19 5 - 9 -8.2      -4.5 302 -3.7 292 71.9 73 0.0 1 0.0 1
318 Charleston Southern 1.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 17 4 - 10 -8.9      -5.2 317 -3.7 294 68.4 174 0.0 1 0.0 1
336 South Carolina Upstate 1.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 20 4 - 12 -10.6      -4.5 305 -6.1 347 79.9 4 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.0 50.7 22.3 12.7 7.3 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
Radford 3.1 22.2 22.8 18.6 14.1 10.1 6.6 3.3 1.5 0.8
Winthrop 3.4 18.1 20.5 18.8 15.7 11.9 7.6 4.1 2.3 1.0
UNC Asheville 3.8 13.5 17.2 17.6 17.0 14.0 9.7 5.8 3.5 1.7
Longwood 4.1 10.7 14.5 16.5 16.9 15.7 11.6 7.3 4.4 2.3
Presbyterian 5.3 3.8 6.9 10.2 13.4 16.5 18.1 14.2 10.3 6.6
Gardner-Webb 6.9 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.7 9.5 15.1 21.1 24.4 19.6
Charleston Southern 7.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.2 8.9 13.9 21.0 25.0 22.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.6 9.0 14.2 19.5 20.8 25.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 4.0 6.2 9.3 12.3 14.9 16.4 15.5 11.6 5.4
Radford 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.9 7.2 9.2 11.7 13.5 13.6 12.5 10.2 6.9 3.8 1.1
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.9 8.5 10.4 12.4 13.6 13.3 11.4 8.4 5.4 2.6 0.8
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.3 5.3 7.5 9.6 12.2 13.1 12.7 11.5 9.5 6.6 3.7 1.7 0.4
Longwood 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 4.2 6.6 9.0 11.0 12.3 13.2 11.9 10.5 7.8 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.6 9.7 11.3 13.0 13.1 11.8 9.7 7.9 5.4 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 2.6 7.3 12.0 15.4 15.7 14.7 11.6 8.8 5.9 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 4 - 12 3.0 8.3 13.5 15.4 16.0 14.1 11.0 7.9 5.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 12 3.7 8.5 12.7 15.1 15.1 12.8 10.9 8.1 5.5 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 50.7% 39.1 9.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Radford 22.2% 14.6 6.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 18.1% 11.5 5.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 13.5% 8.2 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Longwood 10.7% 6.4 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 3.8% 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 0.3% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 36.8% 36.7% 0.1% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 5.2 10.3 9.6 6.3 3.0 1.2 63.2 0.1%
Radford 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.6 4.5 2.7 1.8 82.3 0.0%
Winthrop 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.9 3.9 2.8 1.7 84.3 0.0%
UNC Asheville 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.9 3.2 2.4 1.5 88.1 0.0%
Longwood 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.7 2.3 1.7 90.4 0.0%
Presbyterian 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.4 96.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 98.2 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 98.5 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 98.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 36.8% 0.5% 36.9% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 17.7% 0.8% 17.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 15.7% 0.9% 15.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 11.9% 0.9% 11.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 9.6% 0.8% 9.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 4.0% 1.0% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 1.8% 0.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.5% 0.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 97.3% 1.0 2.7 95.4 2.0
2nd Round 9.6% 0.1 90.4 9.6
Sweet Sixteen 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0