High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.1 90
Results Rating +5.5 92
Consistency 0.17 261
Pace 73.1 65
Improvement -0.9 224

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 59 C+ B- B+ B+ B+
Defense C 157 C- C- A C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 B 63% 79 +4.4 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 311 D+ 35% 269 -3.5 339
Three Pointers 45% 106 C- 33% 238 +1.1 146
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 32 C+ +0.8 138
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 111
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 146 B 1.15 40 B- 0.36 75
Turnovers from Steals B 7.9% 39
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 43
Turnovers B+ 13.9% 30
Freethrows B+ 0.36 35 B 76% 65 B+ 0.27 26
Total Offense B +5.8 59

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 254 C- 11.6% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 343 C 5.5% 218
Three Pointers B- 89% 74 D 1.5% 318
Total C 56% 183 D+ 6.3% 264

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 143 C- 61% 245 +1.8 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 312 C- 39% 222 -1.4 73
Three Pointers 44% 91 C 34% 163 +1.3 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 287 C- +0.8 218
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 232
Second Chance C- 32.0% 254 C- 1.06 232 C- 0.34 253
Turnovers from Steals A+ 14.5% 3
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 191
Turnovers A 21.7% 10
Freethrows C 0.31 200 C+ 71% 125 C 0.22 188
Total Defense C +0.3 157

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 243 B- 13.5% 76
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 252 D 2.1% 329
Three Pointers D+ 88% 294 B 1.7% 44
Total D+ 60% 282 C+ 6.5% 108

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 40 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 11 0.17 196
Consistency 0.10 47 0.13 274
Improvement -2.8 317 +1.9 81

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 91 79
Results Rating Rank 108 95 77
Conference Record 14 - 2 15 - 1 15 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59% 59% 55%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round59% 59% 55%
Second Round6% 6% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 81.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 25 - 4
Quad 422 - 026 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 174 Furman W 97 - 71 75% +17  89% 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ B- A+ B+ +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 307 Jacksonville W 85 - 64 94% +11  80% 2 - 0 B +9 B +6 F+ C- A+ B +4 B C B
 Fri, Nov 14 111 @UAB L 74 - 91 49% -3  21% 2 - 1 D -11 D -5 D D+ D D+ -4 F A- B
 Mon, Nov 17 345 Canisius W 93 - 50 97% +25  97% 3 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +18 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 106 Illinois-Chicago W 90 - 80 58% +6  96% 4 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +15 A- C A- C -1 C- F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 273 Incarnate Word W 91 - 80 87% +5  61% 5 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +16 C+ A+ B+ F -11 C+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 244 Western Carolina W 93 - 73 90% +7  62% 6 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A+ F+ F+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 124 Southern Illinois L 84 - 86 73% +3  60% 6 - 2 C- -2 A- +9 B- B- A F -12 C F C-
 Fri, Dec 5 316 NJIT W 89 - 72 95% +12  97% 7 - 2 C+ +4 B- +5 D A A- C -1 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 171 Appalachian St. L 78 - 86 OT 74% -2  30% 7 - 3 D -9 C- -2 D+ F A- D -6 F A- C
 Fri, Dec 19 212 La Salle W 84 - 72 87% +8  96% 8 - 3 B- +6 A +13 A- B+ A D -6 D+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 354 Bryant W 93 - 47 98% +27  94% 9 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +18 A A+ F A+ +15 B- C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 224 @UNC Asheville W 87 - 69 74% +11  96% 10 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 A+ +17 A+ A C- C+ +1 B F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 264 Longwood W 80 - 67 91% +7  90% 11 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 C B+ A- C -1 D- D B
 Wed, Jan 7 364 Gardner-Webb W 104 - 49 99% +38  99% 12 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +33 B +6 D+ A- A- A+ +21 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 269 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 OT 81% -2  27% 13 - 3 4 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 D+ D+ C+ B- +3 C+ B F+
 Wed, Jan 14 134 @Winthrop L 75 - 92 56% -15  3% 13 - 4 4 - 1 D- -12 C +0 C- F B F -12 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 297 South Carolina Upstate W 89 - 69 93% +7  96% 14 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +13 C A+ A+ D+ -4 B F A-
 Fri, Jan 23 235 @Radford W 93 - 83 75% +1  55% 15 - 4 6 - 1 B +9 A +12 A D- A+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Thu, Jan 29 278 Presbyterian W 84 - 81 92% +2  66% 16 - 4 7 - 1 D+ -7 B +6 F+ B+ A+ F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 264 @Longwood W 71 - 59 80% +6  77% 17 - 4 8 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 D D A+ A- +7 B- C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 269 Charleston Southern W 80 - 55 92% +11  89% 18 - 4 9 - 1 A- +16 C -0 C+ B- C A+ +16 C- B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 235 Radford W 86 - 77 89% +3  85% 19 - 4 10 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 F+ D C B +5 B+ F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 297 @South Carolina Upstate W 95 - 70 85% +15  96% 20 - 4 11 - 1 A +20 A +13 D A+ A B+ +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 364 @Gardner-Webb W 112 - 87 97% +15  98% 21 - 4 12 - 1 B +9 A+ +18 A B+ F F -11 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 224 UNC Asheville W 74 - 48 88% +13  94% 22 - 4 13 - 1 A +19 C+ +3 D+ B- A- A+ +18 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 134 Winthrop W 89 - 87 76% +8  95% 23 - 4 14 - 1 C +1 B +7 B+ B- C- D -6 B F D+
 Thu, Feb 26 278 @Presbyterian W 80 - 70 81%
Totals 24 - 4 15 - 1 +6 B +6 A+ C+ B+ C +0 C- B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B D+ C- C+ 43% 25% 45% B+ C+ C+ B B- B+ B+ B B+ C C- C- C C- 40% 16% 44% D+ C- C- C- C- A C C+ C
1.17 63% 35% 33% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.1 .36 14% .36 76% .27 1.08 61% 39% 34% +1 +1 1.05 32% 1.1 .34 22% .31 71% .26
Nov
3		 Furman A+ A+ C+ A- A+ 43% 28% 30% D+ A+ D A+ B- A+ D+ F F+ B+ D- F+ B+ D+ 40% 17% 44% C+ C- F A+ C+ A+ F D- F
1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12 0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27
Nov
11		 Jacksonville B D F C F 48% 13% 38% B F+ D- B+ C- A+ A A A+ B B A+ B- B+ 32% 8% 60% D- B D B+ C B C- C+ C
1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35 0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20
Nov
14		 UAB D A D- F D- 42% 18% 40% B- D C+ F+ D+ D A+ D+ A+ D+ D F C+ F 48% 27% 25% C F A- B+ A- B F F+ F
0.95 70% 30% 18% -6 +1 0.91 28% 0.7 .20 19% .49 71% .35 1.16 64% 50% 31% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .52 77% .40
Nov
17		 Canisius A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 11% 53% B- A+ D- A+ A- A+ F A F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% C A+ F C- F A+ F A- F
1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13 0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35
Nov
20		 Illinois-Chicago A+ C+ F A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C C+ C A- A+ A- A+ C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 23% 44% B- C- F D+ F A+ F C+ F
1.23 59% 20% 41% +3 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .34 16% .61 81% .49 1.10 81% 36% 24% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .55 25% .44 71% .31
Nov
22		 Incarnate Word A+ B A F+ C 56% 8% 35% A C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ C+ 32% 22% 46% C C+ F+ F F C- F F+ F
1.39 67% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 54% 1.5 .82 12% .54 84% .45 1.22 50% 45% 30% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.4 .54 15% .40 77% .31
Nov
29		 Western Carolina B A A+ A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C- A+ C F F+ F+ B- D C+ B F F C- F 31% 24% 45% B F B A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+
1.25 72% 64% 46% +18 0 1.38 29% 0.6 .18 19% .35 71% .25 0.98 75% 58% 35% +11 -1 1.22 30% 0.1 .03 26% .33 61% .20
Dec
3		 Southern Illinois A- D- F A+ B- 42% 15% 42% B+ B- C+ B- B- A A+ B+ A+ F C+ A+ F C 45% 24% 31% D C D F F C- A- D+ B+
1.13 50% 25% 41% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.1 .33 15% .38 75% .29 1.16 58% 29% 39% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.8 .58 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
5		 NJIT B- C- F D- D- 49% 9% 42% A- D C A+ A A- C B- C+ C C+ F D F+ 22% 8% 69% F+ F+ B F C- A+ C+ D- C
1.21 57% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.4 .49 11% .35 74% .26 0.98 55% 50% 35% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 26% .29 75% .22
Dec
14		 Appalachian St. C- C- F D- 37% 0% 63% A D+ B- F F A- A+ F B- D A+ F F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F A C+ A- C F F F
1.03 55% 27% -8 +3 0.92 33% 0.5 .16 11% .40 56% .22 1.14 42% 57% 48% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .41 73% .30
Dec
19		 La Salle A D+ F A+ A- 36% 11% 53% B A- D+ A+ B+ A A+ A A+ D C C+ D D+ 48% 26% 26% C- D+ B D+ C+ C F F F
1.28 53% 20% 48% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.6 .42 12% .48 75% .36 1.10 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 18% .60 81% .48
Dec
22		 Bryant A+ B A+ A- A 54% 5% 41% A A A+ A+ A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A- F A+ A- 54% 5% 41% F B- C C- C A+ D- A+ C+
1.45 64% 100% 41% +10 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43 0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19
Dec
31		 UNC Asheville A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% C- A+ F A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 32% 38% 30% C B B+ F F+ F F A- D
1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34 1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Longwood B A+ F F D+ 51% 8% 41% A- C D- A+ B+ A- B A- A- C D- A- C- D 44% 16% 40% F D- C- F+ D B A A A
1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30 1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16
Jan
7		 Gardner-Webb B D+ A+ F D- 48% 12% 40% B+ D+ B A- A- A- A B A A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 52% C A+ B+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28 0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04
Jan
10		 Charleston Southern D+ B- F C- D 49% 25% 25% B- D+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F F+ C+ 46% 10% 44% D C+ A+ F B F+ B A- B+
1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33 1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13
Jan
14		 Winthrop C A F+ F D+ 35% 12% 53% B- C- C+ F F B A+ D+ A+ F F+ B- D+ F 44% 6% 50% F+ F C F F D F A F
1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33 1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36
Jan
17		 South Carolina Upstate A C A+ F C- 47% 15% 38% B- C B- A+ A+ A+ B- C B- D+ A A+ C- B+ 38% 16% 46% D+ B F D+ F A- C D- D+
1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24 1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23
Jan
23		 Radford A A- F A+ A 37% 8% 55% B- A F A D- A+ A+ B A+ C- F+ D+ F F 43% 9% 47% F+ F D A C+ A+ B- C B-
1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38 1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23
Jan
29		 Presbyterian B D+ A F F 53% 11% 36% B+ F+ B B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D- C F F 39% 36% 25% A- F D- F F B F F F
1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34 1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Longwood C+ B- F D- D- 50% 7% 43% A- D F A+ D A+ B- A+ A A- D+ A+ B B 34% 23% 43% C+ B- D B C A+ A+ D A+
1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31 0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16
Feb
4		 Charleston Southern C B- F F C- 58% 15% 27% A+ C+ B- C+ B- C D+ B C- A+ F B- B C- 29% 7% 63% C C- F+ A+ B+ A+ A F B-
1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24 0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14
Feb
7		 Radford D+ C F F F 59% 4% 37% A+ F+ B- F D C A+ A+ A+ B D F A+ A- 37% 8% 55% F+ B+ D F+ F+ A+ F A D
1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47 0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30
Feb
12		 South Carolina Upstate A D D+ F F+ 47% 5% 48% A- D B- A+ A+ A A- B+ A B+ F+ A+ D+ F+ 45% 11% 45% F F F A+ C+ A+ F C F
1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28 0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44
Feb
14		 Gardner-Webb A+ A+ A+ B+ A 33% 10% 57% C+ A A+ D- B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- F+
1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42 1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24
Feb
19		 UNC Asheville C+ C- A+ F D- 53% 2% 45% A+ D+ A D- B- A- C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F A+ F A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A
1.15 56% 100% 26% -5 +3 0.98 42% 0.8 .33 12% .32 78% .25 0.75 43% 25% 25% -14 -1 0.72 36% 0.7 .24 25% .27 54% .14
Feb
21		 Winthrop B A- F B- B 38% 2% 60% A B+ C- A B- C- A+ A- A+ D B F A+ A 57% 2% 41% F B F F+ F D+ B C- B
1.20 67% 0% 36% +4 +2 1.15 28% 1.3 .38 18% .49 80% .39 1.18 48% 100% 25% -10 +4 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 14% .31 75% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 18.6 81.4 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 18.6 81.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 81.4    81.4
14-2 100.0% 18.6    7.5 11.1
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 88.9 11.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 81.4% 59.4% 59.4% 12.4 2.2 27.5 18.0 0.7 33.0
14-2 18.6% 54.8% 54.8% 12.7 0.1 3.4 6.2 0.6 8.4
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 58.6% 58.6% 0.0% 12.4 41.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 48.4% 100.0% 12.4 4.4 56.9 37.3 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.0%
Lose Out 1.8%