Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#289
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#268
Pace71.7#131
Improvement+1.2#85

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#293
First Shot-3.7#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#212
Layup/Dunks-2.7#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#16
Freethrows-4.9#356
Improvement-0.8#254

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
First Shot-2.1#246
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#233
Layups/Dunks-2.2#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#62
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement+2.0#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 9.4% 11.6% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 15.1% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.6% 15.8% 22.7%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 74.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 10
Quad 48 - 710 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 70 @Virginia Tech L 67-98 6%     0 - 1 -20.2 -8.2 -8.9
  Mon, Nov 10 362 @The Citadel W 96-86 69%     1 - 1 -2.2 +11.8 -14.3
  Thu, Nov 13 304 @Alabama A&M L 64-68 41%     1 - 2 -8.7 -8.3 -0.5
  Fri, Nov 14 252 Lindenwood L 77-83 41%     1 - 3 -10.8 -4.3 -5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 354 IU Indianapolis W 103-91 79%     2 - 3 -3.6 +5.4 -10.8
  Fri, Nov 21 249 @East Carolina W 77-65 30%     3 - 3 +10.2 +4.6 +5.6
  Fri, Nov 28 91 @South Carolina L 62-74 8%     3 - 4 -3.2 -7.0 +3.9
  Tue, Dec 2 242 @Tennessee Martin L 56-73 30%     3 - 5 -18.6 -12.7 -6.9
  Thu, Dec 18 343 North Florida W 84-77 75%    
  Sun, Dec 21 165 @Furman L 67-76 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 116 @Richmond L 68-81 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 205 UNC Asheville L 75-76 46%    
  Wed, Jan 7 107 @Winthrop L 72-86 10%    
  Sat, Jan 10 84 High Point L 73-84 17%    
  Wed, Jan 14 288 South Carolina Upstate W 76-73 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 259 @Presbyterian L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 287 @Longwood L 74-77 39%    
  Thu, Jan 29 271 Radford W 79-77 57%    
  Wed, Feb 4 84 @High Point L 70-87 7%    
  Sat, Feb 7 288 @South Carolina Upstate L 73-76 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 259 Presbyterian W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 271 @Radford L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 287 Longwood W 77-74 60%    
  Thu, Feb 26 107 Winthrop L 75-83 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 205 @UNC Asheville L 72-79 26%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.0 6.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.4 8.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 7.0 9.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 21.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.2 9.0 8.2 2.7 0.2 25.4 8th
9th 0.6 2.4 3.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 9.2 9th
Total 0.7 3.3 7.6 13.1 16.5 17.7 15.6 12.0 7.4 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 30.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.2% 14.5% 14.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.5% 8.2% 8.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-6 1.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
9-7 3.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.5
8-8 7.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.1 7.2
7-9 12.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 11.7
6-10 15.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 15.3
5-11 17.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 17.6
4-12 16.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.4
3-13 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.1
2-14 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
1-15 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%