Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.6#349
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#302
Pace81.1#9
Improvement-1.5#284

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#343
First Shot-7.4#343
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#150
Layup/Dunks-3.5#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#227
Freethrows-1.9#292
Improvement-1.3#302

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#345
First Shot-7.7#349
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#165
Layups/Dunks-5.9#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#318
Freethrows+1.6#93
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.1% 6.0% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.9% 40.0% 49.6%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 45 - 115 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 69   @ Mississippi L 68-93 2%     0 - 1 -14.8 -4.0 -8.2
  Nov 17, 2021 81   @ Wake Forest L 59-95 2%     0 - 2 -26.2 -16.1 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech L 70-85 2%     0 - 3 -5.8 +0.9 -6.4
  Nov 26, 2021 50   @ Clemson L 59-91 2%     0 - 4 -20.1 -10.1 -8.5
  Nov 28, 2021 278   @ Kennesaw St. L 52-89 15%     0 - 5 -40.2 -24.4 -12.9
  Dec 02, 2021 257   Jacksonville L 67-73 28%    
  Dec 05, 2021 155   @ Tarleton St. L 58-76 4%    
  Dec 16, 2021 321   Tennessee St. L 79-82 40%    
  Dec 20, 2021 253   Manhattan L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 21, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 82-79 60%    
  Jan 05, 2022 190   Gardner-Webb L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 08, 2022 270   @ UNC Asheville L 71-83 15%    
  Jan 12, 2022 179   @ Campbell L 60-77 7%    
  Jan 15, 2022 146   Winthrop L 77-90 11%    
  Jan 19, 2022 282   High Point L 68-73 31%    
  Jan 22, 2022 334   @ South Carolina Upstate L 75-81 29%    
  Jan 26, 2022 293   Presbyterian L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 338   Hampton W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 02, 2022 248   @ Radford L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 05, 2022 210   Longwood L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 09, 2022 281   @ N.C. A&T L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 12, 2022 190   @ Gardner-Webb L 67-83 8%    
  Feb 16, 2022 270   UNC Asheville L 74-80 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 334   South Carolina Upstate W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 23, 2022 293   @ Presbyterian L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 146   @ Winthrop L 74-93 4%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 2.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 3.4 1.7 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.1 3.0 0.4 10.9 9th
10th 0.3 2.9 7.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 15.9 10th
11th 0.9 5.7 10.0 6.8 1.1 0.0 24.5 11th
12th 4.2 10.6 11.4 5.7 1.2 0.0 33.2 12th
Total 4.2 11.5 17.4 18.8 17.6 12.1 8.8 5.4 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 0.0%
11-5 19.6% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.1
10-6 0.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-7 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
8-8 2.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.5
7-9 5.4% 5.4
6-10 8.8% 8.8
5-11 12.1% 12.1
4-12 17.6% 17.6
3-13 18.8% 18.8
2-14 17.4% 17.4
1-15 11.5% 11.5
0-16 4.2% 4.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%