Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.9 #288
Expected Predictive Rating -7.2 #272
Pace 61.5 #353
Improvement -2.2 #305

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #305 F C- B- F C+
Defense #223 D+ C+ C+ C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #47 1.06 #290 +1.1 #136
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #149 0.65 #290 -0.6 #210
Three Pointers 34% #315 0.82 #342 -6.8 #342
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #335 -6.3 #336
Freethrows 16.4 #232 70% #235 11.6 #243
Second Chance 34.3% #81 1.04 #178 0.36 #104
Turnovers 20.9% #352
Total Offense -5.1 #305

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #13 1.19 #214 -5.6 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #328 0.93 #350 +0.6 #153
Three Pointers 38% #266 1.00 #180 +1.8 #116
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #286 -3.3 #286
Freethrows 17.5 #196 68% #50 11.9 #151
Second Chance 30.6% #173 0.95 #87 0.29 #118
Turnovers 15.7% #243
Total Defense -1.8 #223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #150 2.7% #356
Shot Type Make Effect -12.9% #346 3.7% #240
Possession Length 18.7 #318 17.8 #266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #302 0.15 #111
Improvement -0.9 #255 -1.2 #270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.7% 13.8% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 47.9% 22.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 3.4% 10.8%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 1.4%
First Round1.7% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 410 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 206 Navy L 55-76 47%     -15.7   0 - 1 -27.0 -15.0 -13.8
  Sat, Nov 8 129 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 28%     2.5   1 - 1 +3.0 -0.6 +3.9
  Mon, Nov 10 315 @Georgia St. W 63-61 48%     -4.9   2 - 1 -4.4 -0.4 -3.6
  Wed, Nov 12 85 @South Carolina L 61-81 7%     -17.9   2 - 2 -10.2 -2.2 -9.6
  Sun, Nov 16 276 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 37%     3.9   2 - 3 -5.4 -8.3 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 76 @California L 57-67 6%     -2.8   2 - 4 +0.6 +1.6 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 21 29 @UCLA L 46-86 2%     -24.0   2 - 5 -22.5 -17.7 -6.4
  Sun, Nov 30 358 The Citadel W 69-41 76%     19.1   3 - 5 +13.6 +8.0 +13.7
  Wed, Dec 3 219 @Wofford L 56-63 27%     -4.2   3 - 6 -7.5 -11.0 +2.7
  Sat, Dec 6 306 Morehead St. W 80-72 67%     2.7   4 - 6 -3.4 +5.6 -8.7
  Wed, Dec 17 274 @East Carolina L 53-74 37%     -9.5   4 - 7 -24.3 -17.9 -6.9
  Sun, Dec 21 307 @Manhattan L 81-87 45%     -3.2   4 - 8 -11.7 +1.2 -12.8
  Sat, Jan 3 284 South Carolina Upstate W 68-65 61%    
  Wed, Jan 7 244 @Radford L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 281 @Longwood L 68-71 37%    
  Wed, Jan 14 251 UNC Asheville W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 362 @Gardner-Webb W 74-68 71%    
  Wed, Jan 21 221 Charleston Southern L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 152 Winthrop L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 92 @High Point L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Jan 31 244 Radford W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 77-65 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 221 @Charleston Southern L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 251 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 281 Longwood W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 284 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-68 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 92 High Point L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 152 @Winthrop L 67-77 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 2.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 7.4 5.6 0.6 15.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 6.4 6.3 1.1 15.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 7.1 6.6 1.2 0.0 17.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.6 6.6 5.2 1.1 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 4.8 9.3 13.8 15.6 16.5 14.5 10.9 7.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 83.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 51.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 23.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 6.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.5% 13.0% 13.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.4% 8.5% 8.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-5 3.3% 11.5% 11.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.9
10-6 7.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.6 0.1 0.2 6.8
9-7 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.5
8-8 14.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.2
7-9 16.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 16.2
6-10 15.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 15.3
5-11 13.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.7
4-12 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
3-13 4.8% 4.8
2-14 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 97.7 0.0%