Presbyterian
Big South
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#278
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#280
Pace67.1#229
Improvement+3.7#46

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#226
First Shot+1.2#152
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#338
Layup/Dunks+3.9#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#200
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+4.0#20

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#310
First Shot-5.5#341
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#75
Layups/Dunks-2.4#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-5.5#362
Improvement-0.3#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.7% 0.0% 28.2%
First Four1.9% 2.2% 1.6%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 93 - 11
Quad 48 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 175   @ Vanderbilt W 68-62 22%     1 - 0 +8.1 -2.6 +10.7
  Nov 13, 2023 260   The Citadel W 71-64 57%     2 - 0 -0.8 -6.3 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2023 241   @ North Florida W 81-69 32%     3 - 0 +10.9 +0.7 +9.5
  Nov 17, 2023 242   Maine L 66-80 42%     3 - 1 -18.0 +0.6 -19.7
  Nov 18, 2023 320   Northwestern St. W 78-75 63%     4 - 1 -6.5 +4.3 -10.7
  Nov 22, 2023 330   Tennessee Tech L 75-79 OT 75%     4 - 2 -17.2 -11.2 -5.6
  Nov 27, 2023 312   @ Elon L 79-82 49%     4 - 3 -8.8 -7.1 -1.3
  Dec 02, 2023 357   @ VMI W 75-71 74%     5 - 3 -8.8 -1.6 -7.3
  Dec 06, 2023 350   Florida A&M L 60-65 84%     5 - 4 -21.7 -19.0 -2.8
  Dec 16, 2023 251   Kennesaw St. L 84-94 54%     5 - 5 -17.1 -2.6 -13.5
  Dec 19, 2023 133   @ Furman L 61-76 16%     5 - 6 -10.2 -9.2 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2023 19   @ Wake Forest L 68-91 3%     5 - 7 -6.3 +3.5 -10.2
  Jan 03, 2024 319   @ Charleston Southern W 68-61 53%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +0.3 -3.4 +4.0
  Jan 06, 2024 156   UNC Asheville L 80-84 36%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -6.4 +8.7 -15.3
  Jan 10, 2024 169   Winthrop L 71-81 39%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -13.2 +0.5 -14.5
  Jan 13, 2024 199   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-76 27%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -15.7 -13.6 -1.7
  Jan 17, 2024 125   High Point L 83-86 28%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -3.0 +6.5 -9.5
  Jan 20, 2024 194   @ Longwood L 70-80 26%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -9.3 +2.3 -12.3
  Jan 27, 2024 219   @ Radford L 58-73 29%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -15.4 -6.8 -11.5
  Jan 31, 2024 287   South Carolina Upstate W 80-73 63%     7 - 13 2 - 6 -2.3 +8.2 -10.0
  Feb 03, 2024 125   @ High Point L 68-78 14%     7 - 14 2 - 7 -4.6 -5.8 +1.1
  Feb 07, 2024 199   Gardner-Webb W 77-75 47%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -3.2 +3.5 -6.7
  Feb 10, 2024 219   Radford W 76-73 49%     9 - 14 4 - 7 -2.8 +7.6 -10.0
  Feb 14, 2024 156   @ UNC Asheville L 69-71 20%     9 - 15 4 - 8 +1.0 +3.5 -2.7
  Feb 17, 2024 194   Longwood L 73-81 45%     9 - 16 4 - 9 -12.8 -2.3 -10.5
  Feb 21, 2024 169   @ Winthrop W 78-55 21%     10 - 16 5 - 9 +25.3 +12.5 +14.9
  Feb 28, 2024 287   @ South Carolina Upstate L 71-73 41%    
  Mar 02, 2024 319   Charleston Southern W 73-67 73%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 26.6 30.2 56.8 5th
6th 1.2 22.8 24.0 6th
7th 6.7 3.7 10.5 7th
8th 8.7 8.7 8th
9th 9th
Total 16.7 53.1 30.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 30.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 29.4
6-10 53.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.9 52.2
5-11 16.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 16.4
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 30.2% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 2.6
Lose Out 16.7% 1.3% 16.0 1.3