Presbyterian
Big South
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#330
Expected Predictive Rating-14.9#353
Pace61.8#329
Improvement+0.7#95

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#317
First Shot-7.0#346
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#53
Layup/Dunks-2.5#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#310
Freethrows+0.1#166
Improvement+0.6#79

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#315
First Shot-4.5#314
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#215
Layups/Dunks-3.4#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement+0.1#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 87.8% 72.7% 90.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 45 - 145 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 301   @ The Citadel L 58-70 31%     0 - 1 -17.0 -11.8 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2022 205   @ East Carolina L 57-77 15%     0 - 2 -19.0 -15.1 -4.0
  Nov 16, 2022 71   @ UAB L 61-92 4%     0 - 3 -20.5 -12.1 -6.0
  Nov 21, 2022 295   Bucknell L 65-66 39%     0 - 4 -8.2 -3.1 -5.2
  Nov 22, 2022 336   Albany L 65-68 53%     0 - 5 -13.7 -10.8 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2022 110   @ Charlotte L 42-69 7%     0 - 6 -20.7 -18.7 -8.2
  Nov 29, 2022 335   VMI W 72-57 62%     1 - 6 +1.8 -8.1 +10.2
  Dec 01, 2022 215   @ Wofford L 63-76 16%     1 - 7 -12.5 -9.8 -3.4
  Dec 06, 2022 83   College of Charleston L 62-67 10%     1 - 8 -1.2 -5.7 +4.2
  Dec 11, 2022 229   @ South Carolina L 57-68 19%     1 - 9 -11.7 -1.5 -12.9
  Dec 15, 2022 334   Elon W 69-63 62%     2 - 9 -7.1 -2.5 -3.9
  Dec 29, 2022 255   Campbell W 82-72 41%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +2.4 +9.0 -6.0
  Dec 31, 2022 178   @ Radford L 51-69 13%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -15.5 -11.6 -6.7
  Jan 04, 2023 244   @ Winthrop L 72-82 21%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -11.6 +5.1 -18.0
  Jan 07, 2023 280   Charleston Southern L 61-67 46%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -15.0 -14.9 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2023 192   Gardner-Webb L 78-79 OT 28%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -4.9 +5.0 -9.9
  Jan 14, 2023 304   @ High Point L 56-64 32%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -13.0 -14.0 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2023 306   @ South Carolina Upstate L 60-61 32%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -6.3 -14.1 +7.8
  Jan 21, 2023 181   Longwood L 56-58 26%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -5.2 -7.6 +2.1
  Jan 25, 2023 188   @ UNC Asheville L 80-88 OT 14%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -6.4 +9.2 -15.7
  Jan 28, 2023 244   Winthrop L 58-76 39%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -25.0 -17.4 -9.0
  Feb 01, 2023 178   Radford L 59-67 25%     3 - 19 1 - 10 -11.0 -5.7 -6.5
  Feb 04, 2023 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 56-68 13%    
  Feb 08, 2023 181   @ Longwood L 59-71 12%    
  Feb 11, 2023 188   UNC Asheville L 63-69 29%    
  Feb 15, 2023 304   High Point W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 18, 2023 255   @ Campbell L 60-68 22%    
  Feb 22, 2023 306   South Carolina Upstate W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 25, 2023 280   @ Charleston Southern L 67-73 27%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 7th
8th 0.5 2.7 1.1 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.4 4.6 10.1 5.5 0.5 0.0 21.1 9th
10th 8.1 24.4 27.9 11.6 1.4 0.0 73.3 10th
Total 8.1 24.8 32.5 22.2 9.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-13 9.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.7
4-14 22.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 22.1
3-15 32.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 32.5
2-16 24.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.7
1-17 8.1% 8.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.1%