Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.1 235
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 263
Pace 76.2 24
Improvement +5.5 17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 192 C- C- C- B C+
Defense D+ 271 D+ D+ C+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 213 D+ 55% 257 -1.8 251
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 280 C 38% 187 -1.8 269
Three Pointers 47% 60 C- 33% 223 +2.1 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 114 C- -1.9 238
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 221
Second Chance C- 28.8% 230 C- 0.98 252 C- 0.28 243
Turnovers C- 17.4% 213
Freethrows B+ 0.36 37 C 73% 175 B 0.26 44
Total Offense C- -1.0 192

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 94 C- 59% 219 -2.6 268
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 280 C 38% 171 +1.3 89
Three Pointers 41% 185 D 37% 316 -1.7 272
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 293 D+ +2.3 269
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 286
Second Chance D+ 32.7% 276 D+ 1.09 274 D+ 0.36 290
Turnovers C+ 18.2% 101
Freethrows D 0.35 302 C 72% 186 D+ 0.25 297
Total Defense D+ -3.1 271

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 63 16.8 104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 75 0.20 265
Improvement +2.3 #66 +3.1 #35

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 28% 39% 8%
.500 or above in Conference 95% 99% 86%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 3%
First Round4% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 413 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 93% +5  87% 1 - 0 F+ -15 B +6 C+ A B+ F -21 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 28 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  5% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D -5 D- C- C+ A +10 A B- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 154 Wright St. L 59 - 92 34% -13  2% 1 - 2 F -33 F -20 F+ F F+ F -12 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 306 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 66% +9  87% 1 - 3 D- -14 F -14 F D+ D- C+ +1 D+ B- C+
 Tue, Nov 18 91 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 12% -15  0% 1 - 4 F -21 F -14 F D F D -6 F+ F B
 Fri, Nov 21 112 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 33% -8  3% 1 - 5 D+ -8 D+ -3 B D F D+ -5 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 37 @SMU L 72 - 89 3% -11  0% 1 - 6 C +0 D -6 F B- A B+ +7 A F+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 249 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 64% -6  10% 1 - 7 F+ -15 D- -8 F C- B D -7 B- C- C
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 89% +17  97% 2 - 7 A- +16 B +5 C A- B- A +10 B- A- B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 95% +12  98% 3 - 7 B- +7 A- +10 A+ C D+ D -6 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 129 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 19% -3  33% 3 - 8 D+ -8 C- -2 D- B- C+ D+ -4 B F F+
 Sun, Dec 21 360 VMI W 97 - 90 91% +2  63% 4 - 8 D- -12 B +6 A- A- D F -18 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 303 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 54% +4  71% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -3 C- C- F+ B +5 A- F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 277 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 71% +6  85% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +9 A- +11 A F A- C+ +1 B C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 206 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 56% -9  0% 6 - 9 2 - 1 F -25 F+ -10 F F A+ F -14 F A- C
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 86% +5  71% 7 - 9 3 - 1 D+ -7 B- +5 D D B+ F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 266 Longwood W 85 - 83 68% +11  98% 8 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -7 B +7 A- F+ B F -14 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 132 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 20% +2  67% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +2 A D- F C+ +2 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 89 High Point L 83 - 93 25% -1  35% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +2 A- D- D D- -9 F A- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 250 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 42% +8  85% 9 - 11 5 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 C B F B+ +7 A- B- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 277 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 49% +0  44% 10 - 11 6 - 3 B- +5 C+ +2 D- C- A C+ +2 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 132 Winthrop L 78 - 80 38% -3  11% 10 - 12 6 - 4 C- -3 C- -1 C- D C C- -2 F+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 89 @High Point L 77 - 86 12% -3  11% 10 - 13 6 - 5 C -0 D -6 F+ C+ D+ B+ +7 B+ B+ A-
 Sat, Feb 14 250 Charleston Southern W 85 - 81 64%
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 73 95%
 Sat, Feb 21 206 @UNC Asheville L 75 - 79 34%
 Thu, Feb 26 303 South Carolina Upstate W 81 - 74 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 266 @Longwood L 78 - 79 46%
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 7 -4 F -1 A C- C+ D+ -3 C- C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C C- C- 37% 16% 47% C+ C- C- C- C- C- B+ C B D+ C- C D D+ 42% 17% 41% D+ D+ D+ D+ D+ C+ D C D+
1.07 55% 38% 33% -2 0 0.99 29% 1.0 .28 17% .36 73% .26 1.13 59% 38% 37% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .36 18% .35 72% .26
Nov
3		 Western Illinois B A+ A+ F C+ 41% 17% 41% C- C+ A B A B+ A+ F A+ F B F C- F 37% 30% 33% C F F F F C+ F C+ F+
1.29 82% 57% 24% +7 +1 1.17 43% 1.2 .53 11% .56 65% .36 1.21 47% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.98 47% 1.5 .72 18% .39 65% .25
Nov
11		 North Carolina D C F+ F D- 28% 25% 47% C+ D- C+ F+ C- C+ A+ F A+ A C- A+ C+ A+ 37% 17% 46% C+ A D A B- C+ F A- F
0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27 1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44
Nov
15		 Wright St. F D- F F+ F 49% 14% 37% B+ F+ F+ F F F+ A- D- B- F A+ F F F 40% 24% 36% B- F C- F+ D- C F B- F
0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24 1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31
Nov
16		 Cleveland St. F F A+ F F 40% 19% 41% C F C+ D- D+ D- A+ F A C+ C F D+ C- 39% 9% 52% F+ D+ D+ A B- C+ F A+ F
1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30 1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45
Nov
18		 South Carolina F F D+ D F 34% 18% 48% B- F D C- D F A+ D+ A+ D F F A+ F 33% 21% 46% B- F+ C- F F B A- C A-
0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30 1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20
Nov
21		 UNC Wilmington D+ F+ F A+ B 24% 14% 61% B B C- F D F A B+ A+ D+ F+ B- F+ F 49% 13% 38% F F F B D- A+ D+ A+ B-
1.04 50% 29% 40% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 20% .34 79% .27 1.16 65% 33% 39% +6 +2 1.17 45% 1.0 .45 21% .38 57% .22
Nov
24		 SMU D F F F F 29% 15% 56% B F F+ A+ B- A C A+ B B+ C+ A+ C+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A B- F F+ A F D+ F
0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22 1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40
Dec
3		 Southern Miss D- F+ F D F 39% 9% 52% B+ F D+ C C- B A- A A+ D B B- B- B- 33% 35% 33% B B- F A C- C F F F
1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33 1.09 53% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44
Dec
7		 St. Francis (PA) B C C+ B+ C 35% 9% 56% C+ C C- A+ A- B- F C F A A+ D- C B- 31% 23% 46% C B- B- A+ A- B- A+ C- A
1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17 0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09
Dec
14		 Coppin St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 58% B- A+ D+ B C D+ D D- D- D C A+ F F 34% 18% 48% D- F C+ D- C- A+ C- F D-
1.37 83% 60% 47% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23 0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27
Dec
18		 William & Mary C- F A+ C- D- 28% 8% 63% C D- C B+ B- C+ B+ D+ B- D+ C- A+ A+ A- 60% 5% 35% F B F+ F+ F F+ F F F
1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23 1.19 62% 0% 25% -4 +4 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39
Dec
21		 VMI B C+ A+ A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C A+ A- D A+ A A+ F C- F+ F+ F 38% 19% 44% C F D F F B- F F F
1.33 65% 60% 45% +14 +1 1.32 40% 1.3 .52 19% .68 80% .54 1.23 56% 44% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.9 .57 19% .47 89% .42
Dec
31		 South Carolina Upstate D+ C D+ C- C- 44% 19% 38% C C- D+ B C- F+ A+ C- A B A D+ A+ A+ 60% 9% 30% F A- F D F C+ B- D- C
1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29 0.95 44% 40% 25% -12 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20
Jan
7		 Presbyterian A- C A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A D- F F A- C A+ B+ C+ B+ B- B- B+ 47% 32% 21% C+ B C- C- C- F C A+ A-
1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26 0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17
Jan
10		 UNC Asheville F+ B+ F F F 46% 8% 46% A- F F F+ F A+ A+ B A+ F F C F F 29% 29% 41% D- F C+ A+ A- C F A F
0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35 1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 Gardner-Webb B- D- F A D- 49% 13% 38% B D B+ F D B+ A+ B A+ F F A+ A+ D 52% 8% 40% F D- B F F F F F F
1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35 1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35
Jan
17		 Longwood B A+ F A A- 40% 16% 44% C- A- D+ F F+ B A+ F+ A+ F C F F F 34% 26% 40% B F F F F B- C- A C+
1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34 1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22
Jan
21		 Winthrop C+ B+ A- A A 48% 5% 48% A+ A D- D D- F A+ C+ A+ C+ B+ D F F 44% 10% 46% D F A+ D+ B+ B B- A+ A-
1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36 1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21
Jan
23		 High Point C+ B C+ A A- 43% 9% 47% B+ A- C F D- D C+ C C+ D- D- A F F 37% 8% 55% C- F A+ F+ A- F+ F C- F
1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23 1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38
Jan
29		 Charleston Southern C- F A A+ C+ 45% 31% 24% C- C C- A B F A+ A A+ B+ C+ A+ A A 42% 6% 52% D- A- D A- B- B- F B+ F
1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40 0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Presbyterian C+ F A- B- D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D B- C- A A C A C+ F A+ D F 48% 31% 20% C+ F F+ A+ A A+ C- F D
1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27 1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27
Feb
4		 Winthrop C- C D+ C- D+ 37% 14% 49% B- C- B+ F D C D B- D+ C- D F C- F 43% 13% 43% C- F+ A A+ A+ C C+ A B+
1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22 1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 High Point D B- A F F 37% 8% 55% B F+ C B- C+ D+ A+ F A B+ C+ A+ A+ A 59% 4% 37% F B+ D A+ B+ A- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 21% -7 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30 1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.8 21.0 27.3 8.4 59.4 3rd
4th 1.8 15.8 15.9 1.1 34.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.8 2.6 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.2 0.4 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.3 5.0 21.1 36.9 28.3 8.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 8.4% 7.7% 7.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.8
10-6 28.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.0 0.6 1.0 26.7
9-7 36.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.1 1.5 35.4
8-8 21.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.8 20.4
7-9 5.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.2 4.8
6-10 0.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.7 95.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 14.6 6.2 30.0 63.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6%
Lose Out 0.2%