Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.7 #243
Expected Predictive Rating -8.6 #297
Pace 78.2 #21
Improvement +4.2 #9

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #195 C- B+ C C- B-
Defense #295 D+ F F B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #231 1.05 #290 -3.1 #290
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #297 0.74 #183 -2.2 #279
Three Pointers 49% #43 0.98 #220 +3.3 #81
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #233 -2.0 #233
Freethrows 20.8 #36 71% #222 14.8 #59
Second Chance 27.9% #256 1.14 #84 0.32 #174
Turnovers 17.6% #232
Total Offense -1.1 #195

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #96 1.11 #116 -0.7 #201
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #279 0.80 #248 +0.8 #130
Three Pointers 41% #176 1.12 #307 -2.5 #282
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #241 -2.3 #241
Freethrows 21.2 #333 73% #185 15.4 #330
Second Chance 34.7% #311 1.19 #328 0.41 #340
Turnovers 18.4% #89
Total Defense -3.6 #295

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #105 1.4% #298
Shot Type Make Effect -5.2% #254 3.1% #227
Possession Length 16.2 #88 16.5 #67
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #55 0.20 #278
Improvement +2.4 #34 +1.8 #65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.0% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 28.6% 35.3% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 68.4% 76.6% 50.2%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.5% 2.5%
First Four2.3% 2.3% 2.1%
First Round4.2% 4.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 412 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 353 Western Illinois W 80-75 86%     5.0   1 - 0 -11.3 +10.3 -21.0
  Tue, Nov 11 22 @North Carolina L 74-89 2%     -11.0   1 - 1 +4.0 +0.6 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 15 138 Wright St. L 59-92 29%     -13.4   1 - 2 -31.9 -14.8 -15.9
  Sun, Nov 16 325 Cleveland St. L 82-87 69%     9.0   1 - 3 -14.9 -11.0 -3.1
  Tue, Nov 18 84 @South Carolina L 58-87 9%     -14.9   1 - 4 -19.1 -10.8 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 21 119 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 33%     -8.3   1 - 5 -8.1 -0.9 -7.2
  Mon, Nov 24 35 @SMU L 72-89 3%     -10.9   1 - 6 -0.5 -1.7 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 3 203 Southern Miss L 75-82 55%     -5.9   1 - 7 -12.9 -5.6 -6.9
  Sun, Dec 7 361 St. Francis (PA) W 89-56 90%     16.7   2 - 7 +14.4 +8.8 +5.9
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107-77 95%     11.5   3 - 7 +6.0 +12.6 -9.6
  Thu, Dec 18 112 @William & Mary L 83-96 14%     -3.0   3 - 8 -6.3 +2.9 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 21 339 VMI W 97-90 82%     1.7   4 - 8 -7.6 +11.1 -19.0
  Wed, Dec 31 283 @South Carolina Upstate W 76-69 46%     3.8   5 - 8 1 - 0 +3.3 +0.1 +3.0
  Wed, Jan 7 287 Presbyterian W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 249 UNC Asheville W 79-76 62%    
  Wed, Jan 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 88-80 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 282 Longwood W 84-79 67%    
  Wed, Jan 21 150 @Winthrop L 81-89 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 93 High Point L 81-89 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 222 @Charleston Southern L 80-84 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 287 @Presbyterian L 72-73 47%    
  Wed, Feb 4 150 Winthrop L 84-86 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 93 @High Point L 78-92 10%    
  Sat, Feb 14 222 Charleston Southern W 83-81 57%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Gardner-Webb W 91-77 90%    
  Sat, Feb 21 249 @UNC Asheville L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 283 South Carolina Upstate W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 282 @Longwood L 81-82 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.5 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.2 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.9 2.6 0.3 20.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 7.8 7.4 1.7 0.0 18.3 4th
5th 1.1 6.0 6.3 1.0 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.3 0.9 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.7 1.1 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 5.2 9.4 14.0 17.1 17.8 15.1 9.8 5.1 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-2 76.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2
13-3 47.4% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.0
12-4 21.4% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.1
11-5 7.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 18.8% 18.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
13-3 2.7% 15.9% 15.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.3
12-4 5.1% 10.3% 10.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 4.6
11-5 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.9
10-6 15.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.3 0.9 14.0
9-7 17.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 16.9
8-8 17.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 16.5
7-9 14.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.6
6-10 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.3
5-11 5.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 5.1
4-12 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-13 0.8% 0.8
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 94.8 0.0%