Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#253
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#334
Pace78.5#18
Improvement+4.2#12

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#225
First Shot-3.0#260
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#114
Layup/Dunks-4.6#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#129
Freethrows+1.6#93
Improvement+1.4#76

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#282
First Shot-2.4#256
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#255
Layups/Dunks+3.1#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#307
Freethrows-1.4#279
Improvement+2.8#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.3% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 18.6% 37.4% 15.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.2% 61.3% 49.5%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.9% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.7% 3.6%
First Four2.3% 2.7% 2.2%
First Round2.9% 4.0% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 355 Western Illinois W 80-75 86%     1 - 0 -11.7 +9.5 -20.6
  Tue, Nov 11 23 @North Carolina L 74-89 2%     1 - 1 +3.5 -0.2 +5.8
  Sat, Nov 15 153 Wright St. L 59-92 29%     1 - 2 -32.5 -15.3 -16.1
  Sun, Nov 16 329 Cleveland St. L 82-87 68%     1 - 3 -15.0 -10.2 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 18 86 @South Carolina L 58-87 9%     1 - 4 -19.7 -10.3 -9.0
  Fri, Nov 21 108 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 28%     1 - 5 -7.3 -1.2 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 42 @SMU L 72-89 4%     1 - 6 -1.9 -2.1 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 202 Southern Miss L 75-82 52%     1 - 7 -12.7 -6.2 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 363 St. Francis (PA) W 89-56 89%     2 - 7 +14.3 +9.6 +5.0
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107-77 93%     3 - 7 +8.4 +13.7 -8.3
  Thu, Dec 18 120 @William & Mary L 81-92 15%    
  Sun, Dec 21 331 VMI W 83-75 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 258 @South Carolina Upstate L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Jan 7 277 Presbyterian W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 219 UNC Asheville W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 86-79 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 293 Longwood W 83-78 67%    
  Wed, Jan 21 113 @Winthrop L 78-90 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 106 High Point L 82-88 28%    
  Thu, Jan 29 256 @Charleston Southern L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 277 @Presbyterian L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 113 Winthrop L 81-87 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 106 @High Point L 79-91 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 256 Charleston Southern W 81-78 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Gardner-Webb W 89-76 88%    
  Sat, Feb 21 219 @UNC Asheville L 76-81 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 258 South Carolina Upstate W 80-77 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 293 @Longwood L 80-81 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 6.1 6.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 17.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 7.4 6.3 1.6 0.1 18.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 8.0 5.6 1.0 0.1 17.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 6.8 4.9 0.8 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 5.7 9.6 13.4 16.2 15.7 13.9 10.2 6.1 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 95.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 58.9% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
12-4 27.4% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 16.1% 16.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 22.3% 22.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.5% 17.1% 17.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
12-4 3.2% 10.9% 10.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.9
11-5 6.1% 8.5% 8.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.6
10-6 10.2% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 9.5
9-7 13.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 13.2
8-8 15.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 15.2
7-9 16.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 15.7
6-10 13.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.2
5-11 9.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.5
4-12 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-13 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-14 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.2 96.0 0.0%