Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 248
Results Rating -6.6 268
Consistency 0.15 179
Pace 75.2 28
Improvement +3.7 58

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 215 C- C- C- B C+
Defense D+ 274 D+ D+ C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 261 D+ 55% 269 -2.7 285
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 252 C 38% 187 -1.3 254
Three Pointers 47% 57 C 33% 204 +2.6 96
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 163 C- -1.6 234
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 221
Second Chance C- 29.0% 219 C- 0.98 257 C- 0.29 238
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 253
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 217
Turnovers C- 17.5% 239
Freethrows B+ 0.36 27 C 72% 206 B 0.26 49
Total Offense C- -1.7 215

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 35% 342 C 10.6% 165
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 351 C+ 4.4% 143
Three Pointers D+ 80% 271 C- 1.2% 269
Total D 48% 316 C+ 5.1% 131


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 80 C- 59% 208 +2.8 275
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 284 C 39% 196 -1.1 100
Three Pointers 40% 209 D- 37% 326 +1.6 269
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 302 D+ +2.5 283
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 288
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 275 C- 1.08 263 D+ 0.35 286
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.8% 158
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 79
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 106
Freethrows C- 0.32 242 C- 73% 219 C- 0.23 246
Total Defense D+ -3.3 274

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 241 C- 9.5% 226
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 284 C+ 5.9% 98
Three Pointers D 88% 294 C- 0.8% 183
Total D+ 60% 281 C 5.4% 187

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 57 17.0 122
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 75 0.19 261
Consistency 0.10 45 0.12 155
Improvement +0.8 150 +2.9 54

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 249 248 246
Results Rating Rank 268 266 265
Conference Record 9 - 7 9 - 7 9 - 7
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 413 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 364 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 93% +5  87% 1 - 0 F+ -17 B- +5 C+ A B+ F -22 F+ F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  5% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -4 D- C- B- A +9 A+ C C+
 Sat, Nov 15 159 Wright St. L 59 - 92 30% -13  2% 1 - 2 F -33 F -20 F F F F -12 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 323 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 69% +9  87% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -15 F D+ D- C+ +1 D+ B- B-
 Tue, Nov 18 95 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 10% -15  0% 1 - 4 F -20 F -13 F D F D- -7 F F B
 Fri, Nov 21 114 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 30% -8  3% 1 - 5 D+ -8 C- -2 B D F D -6 F F+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 44 @SMU L 72 - 89 4% -11  0% 1 - 6 C -1 D- -7 F B- A A- +7 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 213 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 54% -6  10% 1 - 7 D- -13 D- -7 F D+ B D -6 B C C
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 88% +17  97% 2 - 7 A- +15 B- +4 C A C+ A +11 B A- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 362 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 93% +12  98% 3 - 7 B +8 A +13 A+ C D+ D- -7 F D+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 152 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 21% -3  33% 3 - 8 D -10 D+ -2 D- B- C D -5 B- F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 359 VMI W 97 - 90 91% +2  63% 4 - 8 D- -13 B +6 A- A- D- F -19 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 306 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 53% +4  71% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C +1 D+ -2 C- C- F+ B- +3 B+ F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 266 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 64% +6  85% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +10 A +12 A F A C+ +1 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 236 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 59% -9  0% 6 - 9 2 - 1 F -26 F+ -10 F F A+ F -15 F A- C+
 Wed, Jan 14 360 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 82% +5  71% 7 - 9 3 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 D+ D- A F -12 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 261 Longwood W 85 - 83 63% +11  98% 8 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -6 B +7 A- F+ B F -13 F F B
 Wed, Jan 21 151 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 21% +2  67% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +2 C+ +2 A+ D- F C+ +0 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 94 High Point L 83 - 93 22% -1  35% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +3 A D- F+ F+ -9 F B+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 246 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 38% +8  85% 9 - 11 5 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 C B F A- +7 A C+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 266 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 41% +0  44% 10 - 11 6 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 D- C- A C+ +2 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 151 Winthrop L 78 - 80 40% -3  11% 10 - 12 6 - 4 C- -5 C- -1 C- D+ C- D+ -4 F A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 94 @High Point L 77 - 86 10% -3  11% 10 - 13 6 - 5 C -0 D -5 D- B- D- B+ +6 B+ B A-
 Sat, Feb 14 246 Charleston Southern W 90 - 80 61% +14  93% 11 - 13 7 - 5 C+ +2 C+ +3 A+ B- F C -1 D- B- C+
 Thu, Feb 19 360 Gardner-Webb W 82 - 70 92% +12  88% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -9 C- -2 D- C+ F+ D- -7 F+ F C+
 Sat, Feb 21 236 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 74 OT 36% -1  26% 12 - 14 8 - 6 C- -2 D+ -4 D- D D+ C+ +1 D+ B F
 Thu, Feb 26 306 South Carolina Upstate W 71 - 59 74% +3  53% 13 - 14 9 - 6 C +0 D -4 C- C+ D B+ +5 B- B- A-
 Sat, Feb 28 261 @Longwood L 74 - 90 40% -2  48% 13 - 15 9 - 7 F -18 D -5 C- F B F -12 D- F B
 Fri, Mar 6 266 Presbyterian L 85 - 91 OT 53% +5  86% 13 - 16 D- -12 D+ -3 F B+ B- F+ -8 F D- C
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 7 -5 C- -2 A+ C- C+ D+ -3 C C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C C C- 36% 31% 47% C+ C- C- C- C- C- B+ C B D+ C- C D- D+ 43% 17% 40% D D+ D+ C- D+ C+ C- C- C-
1.06 55% 38% 33% -2 0 0.99 29% 1.0 .29 18% .36 72% .26 1.13 59% 39% 37% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.1 .35 18% .32 73% .26
Nov
3		 Western Illinois B- A+ A+ F C+ 41% 17% 41% C- C+ A B- A B+ A+ F A+ F B F C- F 37% 30% 33% C+ F+ F F F C+ F C F+
1.29 82% 57% 24% +7 +1 1.17 43% 1.2 .53 11% .56 65% .36 1.21 47% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.98 47% 1.5 .72 18% .39 65% .25
Nov
11		 North Carolina D+ C F F D- 28% 25% 47% C D- C+ D- C- B- A+ F A+ A C A+ B- A+ 37% 17% 46% C+ A+ D- A- C C+ F A- F
0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27 1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44
Nov
15		 Wright St. F F+ F F+ F 49% 14% 37% B+ F F+ F F F B+ F+ B- F A+ F F F 40% 24% 36% C+ F C- F+ D- C F B F
0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24 1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31
Nov
16		 Cleveland St. F F A+ F F 40% 19% 41% C F B- F D+ D- A+ F A- C+ C+ F D+ C- 39% 9% 52% F D+ D A+ B- B- F A+ F
1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30 1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45
Nov
18		 South Carolina F F D+ D F 34% 18% 48% C+ F D D D F A+ D+ A+ D- F F A+ F 33% 21% 46% B- F C- F F B A C- A-
0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30 1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20
Nov
21		 UNC Wilmington C- F+ F A+ B 24% 14% 61% B B C- F D F A B A D F+ C+ F+ F 49% 13% 38% F F F B- F+ A+ D+ A+ B-
1.04 50% 29% 40% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 20% .34 79% .27 1.16 65% 33% 39% +6 +2 1.17 45% 1.0 .45 21% .38 57% .22
Nov
24		 SMU D- F F F F 29% 15% 56% B- F F+ A+ B- A C A+ B A- C A+ C+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A B- F F A+ F D F
0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22 1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40
Dec
3		 Southern Miss D- F F D+ F 39% 9% 52% B+ F D+ D+ D+ B B+ A A D B B- B- B- 33% 35% 33% B B F+ A C C F F F
1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33 1.09 53% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44
Dec
7		 St. Francis (PA) B- C C+ B+ C- 35% 9% 56% C+ C C- A+ A C+ F C F A A+ D- C B 31% 23% 46% C+ B B- A+ A- C+ A+ D+ A+
1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17 0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09
Dec
14		 Coppin St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 58% C+ A+ C- B- C D+ D+ D D D- C A+ F F 34% 18% 48% D- F C+ F+ D+ A+ D+ F F+
1.37 83% 60% 47% +21 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23 0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27
Dec
18		 William & Mary D+ F A+ D+ F+ 28% 8% 63% C+ D- C B+ B- C B D+ B- D C- A+ A+ B+ 60% 5% 35% F B- F F F D- F F F
1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23 1.19 62% 0% 25% -5 +4 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39
Dec
21		 VMI B C+ A+ A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B+ A- C+ A+ A- D- A+ A- A+ F C- F F F 38% 19% 44% C+ F D- F F B F F F
1.33 65% 60% 45% +14 +1 1.32 40% 1.3 .52 19% .68 80% .54 1.23 56% 44% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.9 .57 19% .47 89% .42
Dec
31		 South Carolina Upstate D+ C D+ C- C- 44% 19% 38% C C- D+ C C- F+ A+ C A B- A D+ A+ A+ 60% 9% 30% F B+ F D+ F+ C+ C+ D- C-
1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29 0.95 44% 40% 25% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20
Jan
7		 Presbyterian A C A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A D F F A C A+ A- C+ B+ B B B+ 47% 32% 21% C+ B+ D+ C+ C- F C- A+ A-
1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26 0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17
Jan
10		 UNC Asheville F+ A- F F F 46% 8% 46% B+ F F F+ F A+ A+ B A+ F F C F F 29% 29% 41% D F C+ A+ A- C+ F A- F
0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35 1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 Gardner-Webb B D- F A+ D 49% 13% 38% B D+ B+ F D- A A+ B- A+ F F A+ A+ D+ 52% 8% 40% F D B- F F F F F F
1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35 1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35
Jan
17		 Longwood B A+ F A A- 40% 16% 44% C A- D+ F F+ B A+ D- A+ F C F F F 34% 26% 40% B- F F F F B C A B-
1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34 1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22
Jan
21		 Winthrop C+ B+ A A A 48% 5% 48% A+ A+ D D D- F A+ C+ A+ C+ B+ D F F 44% 10% 46% D F A+ D+ B+ B B- A+ A-
1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36 1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21
Jan
23		 High Point C+ B C+ A A 43% 9% 47% B A C F D- F+ C+ C C+ F+ D- A F F 37% 8% 55% C- F A+ F B+ F F C F
1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23 1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38
Jan
29		 Charleston Southern C- F A A+ C 45% 31% 24% C- C C- A+ B F A+ A A+ A- C A+ A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% D- A D- A C+ B F B+ F
1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40 0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Presbyterian C+ F B+ B- D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D+ B C- A A+ C+ A C+ F A+ D- F 48% 31% 20% C F F A+ A A+ C- F D-
1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27 1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27
Feb
4		 Winthrop C- C D+ C- D+ 37% 14% 49% B- C- A- F D+ C- D B- D+ D+ D F C- F 43% 13% 43% C- F A A+ A+ C C+ A B+
1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22 1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 High Point D B- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B D- C B B- D- A+ F A B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 4% 37% F B+ D A+ B A- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30 1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47
Feb
14		 Charleston Southern C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 38% 26% 36% C A+ C B+ B- F B- D- C C A F F D 46% 3% 51% F D- A- D B- C+ A+ A+ A+
1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25 1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05
Feb
19		 Gardner-Webb C- A F D F+ 31% 10% 58% C D- D+ A C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D- D- F A F+ 53% 18% 29% D+ F+ C- F F C+ C A+ B
1.19 73% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 19% .43 92% .39 1.01 63% 44% 27% 0 +1 1.06 24% 1.6 .38 20% .25 57% .15
Feb
21		 UNC Asheville D+ F F A+ D 38% 25% 37% D- D- C+ F D D+ A+ D- A+ C+ C D C+ C- 43% 36% 21% D- D+ B- B B F A+ A+ A+
1.03 35% 31% 47% -3 -1 0.94 32% 0.7 .22 17% .51 63% .32 1.04 58% 45% 33% +2 -2 1.04 26% 0.9 .24 11% .22 50% .11
Feb
26		 South Carolina Upstate D F A A+ C 33% 24% 42% D- C- D- A+ C+ D A+ C A+ B+ B+ F+ A+ B+ 50% 18% 32% F+ B- F A+ B- A- A+ C- A+
1.05 33% 45% 42% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .39 18% .43 71% .31 0.88 48% 44% 25% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.6 .23 22% .13 71% .10
Feb
28		 Longwood D A C+ D+ C 35% 19% 46% D+ C- F+ F F B C- F F+ F B A+ F D 41% 13% 46% F D- F+ D- F B F F F
1.00 74% 40% 32% +4 0 1.11 21% 0.3 .05 16% .34 57% .19 1.22 53% 17% 43% +1 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 22% .61 86% .52
Mar
6		 Presbyterian D+ C- B F F 41% 16% 43% C F A C B+ B- A+ F A+ F+ D C F F 43% 28% 29% C F C- F D- C A F B-
1.06 57% 44% 21% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 14% .52 61% .32 1.14 64% 38% 47% +8 -1 1.17 32% 1.2 .39 19% .25 81% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%