Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#298
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#307
Pace71.9#113
Improvement-0.5#212

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#268
First Shot-3.0#259
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks-2.0#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#329
Freethrows+4.9#6
Improvement+0.0#167

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#309
First Shot-5.1#336
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#93
Layups/Dunks-2.6#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#305
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement-0.5#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.4% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 14.5% 27.5% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.5% 52.0% 25.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 2.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.9% 9.3%
First Four1.5% 2.0% 1.2%
First Round1.4% 2.4% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 87 @Pittsburgh L 60-78 7%     0 - 1 -8.4 -9.2 +0.8
  Wed, Nov 12 198 James Madison W 82-72 42%     1 - 1 +4.6 +3.8 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 15 363 Binghamton W 90-82 85%     2 - 1 -10.7 +2.6 -13.8
  Tue, Nov 18 346 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82-83 2OT 76%     2 - 2 -15.9 -7.6 -8.2
  Sun, Nov 23 141 @Columbia L 70-95 14%     2 - 3 -20.7 -2.6 -17.3
  Fri, Nov 28 177 Siena L 63-70 27%     2 - 4 -8.1 -6.6 -1.8
  Sat, Nov 29 342 Maine W 65-61 65%     3 - 4 -7.4 -3.3 -3.8
  Sun, Nov 30 253 @American L 66-92 31%     3 - 5 -28.2 -9.7 -17.7
  Sat, Dec 6 360 @Morgan St. W 84-80 68%     4 - 5 -8.2 -1.2 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 13 348 Delaware St. L 76-81 77%     4 - 6 -20.0 +3.1 -23.4
  Wed, Dec 17 61 @Wake Forest L 68-71 5%     4 - 7 +8.6 -1.7 +10.5
  Sat, Dec 20 349 @NC Central W 74-72 57%     5 - 7 -7.3 -2.0 -5.3
  Wed, Dec 31 124 Winthrop L 77-84 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 107 @High Point L 74-89 9%    
  Wed, Jan 7 231 @UNC Asheville L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 285 Presbyterian W 70-68 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 @Radford L 80-85 32%    
  Wed, Jan 21 362 Gardner-Webb W 84-73 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 240 Charleston Southern W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 270 @South Carolina Upstate L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 107 High Point L 77-86 22%    
  Wed, Feb 4 362 @Gardner-Webb W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 124 @Winthrop L 74-87 13%    
  Thu, Feb 12 231 UNC Asheville L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 270 South Carolina Upstate W 76-75 55%    
  Thu, Feb 19 285 @Presbyterian L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 240 @Charleston Southern L 74-80 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 263 Radford W 83-82 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 6.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 7.6 4.5 0.6 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 8.3 5.4 0.7 17.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 7.8 5.5 0.8 0.0 17.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.3 6.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 16.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.0 10.1 14.6 17.0 16.5 13.3 9.5 5.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 66.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 34.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
11-5 9.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.3% 14.6% 14.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.1 0.1 1.0
11-5 2.7% 8.1% 8.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
10-6 5.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 5.2
9-7 9.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
8-8 13.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.0
7-9 16.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 16.2
6-10 17.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.8
5-11 14.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.4
4-12 10.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.1
3-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.9
2-14 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 97.9 0.0%