Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.5 261
Results Rating -7.3 288
Consistency 0.15 146
Pace 70.6 117
Improvement +6.2 16

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 272 D+ C D- B- C-
Defense C- 226 D- B B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 184 C 58% 185 -0.2 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 109 C- 36% 241 +0.6 147
Three Pointers 38% 236 D- 30% 323 -3.6 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 232 D+ -2.8 280
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 281
Second Chance B- 33.1% 95 D+ 0.95 297 C 0.32 164
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 331
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 301
Turnovers D- 19.6% 334
Freethrows B- 0.33 104 B- 74% 121 B- 0.24 96
Total Offense D+ -3.7 272

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 213 C 11.3% 194
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 326 B 2.8% 36
Three Pointers C+ 85% 166 C 0.9% 198
Total D+ 51% 281 C+ 5.3% 158


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 128 F+ 67% 355 +4.7 332
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 338 C- 39% 232 -1.9 40
Three Pointers 44% 85 C- 35% 245 +2.4 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 329 D- +4.3 337
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 337
Second Chance B- 28.3% 99 B+ 0.92 35 B 0.26 47
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 72
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 148
Turnovers B- 18.2% 84
Freethrows D 0.35 314 B 70% 53 D+ 0.25 284
Total Defense C- -1.8 226

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 83 D- 6.0% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 96 F+ 1.0% 355
Three Pointers C- 84% 195 C+ 1.2% 105
Total C+ 54% 147 D- 3.1% 345

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 100 17.2 170
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 254 0.18 200
Consistency 0.10 28 0.12 121
Improvement +1.8 102 +4.4 17

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 262 261 260
Results Rating Rank 287 285 284
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 91 @Pittsburgh L 60 - 78 9% -5  5% 0 - 1 D -9 F -11 F D A+ B- +2 D+ B B+
 Wed, Nov 12 208 James Madison W 82 - 72 50% +8  86% 1 - 1 C+ +5 C+ +3 D- D B C+ +2 C- A D+
 Sat, Nov 15 358 Binghamton W 90 - 82 90% +14  92% 2 - 1 D -11 C- -0 D B- D- F -11 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 350 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82 - 83 2OT 86% -3  15% 2 - 2 F -18 F+ -10 F B F F+ -8 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 197 @Columbia L 70 - 95 27% -13  1% 2 - 3 F -24 D- -7 B+ F F F -16 F D D+
 Fri, Nov 28 201 Siena L 63 - 70 37% -3  26% 2 - 4 D -9 F -11 F+ B F C+ +2 F A B+
 Sat, Nov 29 345 Maine W 65 - 61 76% +3  85% 3 - 4 D -9 D -6 A F F C- -3 C F B-
 Sun, Nov 30 251 @American L 66 - 92 37% -8  25% 3 - 5 F -28 F -12 F F A F -15 F F+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 348 @Morgan St. W 84 - 80 70% +1  53% 4 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -3 D+ A- F D+ -4 F+ B+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 361 Delaware St. L 76 - 81 92% -5  8% 4 - 6 F -26 C- -1 C+ D F F -25 F A F
 Wed, Dec 17 67 @Wake Forest L 68 - 71 6% -2  22% 4 - 7 B +9 D -6 F B B- A+ +15 A A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 352 @NC Central W 74 - 72 72% +2  66% 5 - 7 D -9 F+ -9 F B- F C -1 C- B+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 151 Winthrop W 82 - 70 39% +7  93% 6 - 7 1 - 0 B +9 B+ +8 B+ A+ D- B- +2 A+ B D-
 Sat, Jan 3 94 @High Point L 67 - 80 10% -7  3% 6 - 8 1 - 1 C- -4 C- -2 C+ C+ D+ C- -3 D+ C- B-
 Wed, Jan 7 236 @UNC Asheville L 61 - 72 35% -6  1% 6 - 9 1 - 2 D- -12 F+ -9 F+ D- C D -5 F+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 266 Presbyterian W 77 - 70 63% +10  97% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C- -2 B +7 B+ B+ C D- -8 F A B-
 Sat, Jan 17 248 @Radford L 83 - 85 37% -11  0% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C- -4 B +6 C+ A+ F+ F -10 F A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 360 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 56 92% +17  96% 8 - 10 3 - 3 B+ +14 B +6 B- A+ D A- +8 B C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 23 246 Charleston Southern W 81 - 79 OT 60% +6  82% 9 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -6 F+ -10 C- F F B +4 D B A+
 Thu, Jan 29 306 @South Carolina Upstate L 60 - 65 51% -2  24% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D -11 F -16 D- F+ F B +5 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 94 High Point L 59 - 71 21% -6  17% 9 - 12 4 - 5 D -9 F -11 F+ D+ F C+ +0 C A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 4 360 @Gardner-Webb W 86 - 66 81% +9  99% 10 - 12 5 - 5 B- +5 C+ +3 A F C B- +2 F+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 151 @Winthrop L 74 - 79 20% -2  20% 10 - 13 5 - 6 C -2 D- -7 F D C+ B+ +6 B+ A B+
 Thu, Feb 12 236 UNC Asheville L 74 - 79 58% -0  54% 10 - 14 5 - 7 D- -12 C- -2 B- C+ C+ F -11 F+ D F
 Sat, Feb 14 306 South Carolina Upstate W 82 - 75 OT 73% +3  76% 11 - 14 6 - 7 C- -5 F+ -10 D D+ D+ B +4 B+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 19 266 @Presbyterian L 65 - 72 40% +3  64% 11 - 15 6 - 8 D -10 D- -7 B B- F C- -3 F B B-
 Sat, Feb 21 246 @Charleston Southern W 107 - 96 2OT 37% -5  14% 12 - 15 7 - 8 B +9 A +12 D A+ B+ D -5 F D- A
 Sat, Feb 28 248 Radford W 90 - 74 60% +2  47% 13 - 15 8 - 8 B- +8 B- +5 C- B F+ B- +2 D- A+ D+
 Fri, Mar 6 236 UNC Asheville L 82 - 85 OT 46% -1  27% 13 - 16 D+ -7 C- -2 F A B D -5 D- A C
Totals 13 - 16 8 - 8 -5 D+ -4 D D+ C- C- -2 D- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- D- D+ 38% 43% 38% C- D+ B- D+ C D- B- B- B- C- F+ C- C- D- 41% 15% 44% D D- B- B+ B B- D B D+
1.03 58% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.0 .32 20% .33 74% .24 1.11 67% 39% 35% +4 +1 1.13 28% 0.9 .26 18% .35 70% .23
Nov
7		 Pittsburgh F F F F F 53% 16% 32% B+ F C- F D A+ D A+ C- B- F A+ F D 20% 18% 61% A D+ B- B B B+ F C- F
0.86 40% 22% 22% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.7 .16 10% .22 86% .19 1.11 78% 13% 41% +6 -1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 20% .62 69% .43
Nov
12		 James Madison C+ D- B+ F F+ 43% 20% 37% C+ D- B F D B A+ A+ A+ C+ D- A+ B C 46% 10% 44% F+ C- A+ B- A D+ D+ A+ B+
1.17 50% 44% 24% -8 +1 0.87 35% 0.7 .25 10% .67 86% .57 1.03 67% 20% 30% 0 +2 1.06 19% 1.0 .19 16% .32 53% .17
Nov
15		 Binghamton C- A+ F F D 37% 13% 50% C D B+ C- B- D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A F+ 44% 10% 46% F F F F F A+ F D F
1.21 84% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .48 77% .36 1.11 71% 60% 27% +3 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 28% .43 78% .34
Nov
18		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F+ D- F F 46% 27% 27% D F A- C- B F A+ A+ A+ F+ F B F+ F 33% 22% 44% C F F A+ B- A+ D A+ B+
1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49 1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12
Nov
23		 Columbia D- F A+ A+ A- 44% 27% 29% C- B+ F F F F C- F D F C+ B- F F 28% 16% 56% B+ F C- D D D+ B+ D B
0.97 43% 64% 47% +6 0 1.13 19% 0.2 .03 21% .30 65% .19 1.31 56% 33% 53% +15 0 1.32 37% 1.1 .40 19% .21 75% .15
Nov
28		 Siena F B F F F+ 30% 30% 40% D- F+ B- B B F B+ A+ A C+ F F C+ F 33% 20% 48% D F A+ C- A B+ F A+ C-
0.93 64% 29% 26% -6 -2 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 28% .33 81% .27 1.04 80% 56% 32% +9 0 1.20 17% 1.0 .17 19% .40 59% .24
Nov
29		 Maine D A A A A+ 37% 37% 26% F A C F F F A+ F A C- A- F B- C 40% 17% 43% D C F F F B- B- A+ A
1.01 71% 50% 40% +12 -2 1.21 37% 0.7 .26 30% .47 62% .29 0.95 47% 50% 30% -5 +1 0.94 28% 1.3 .36 22% .30 47% .14
Nov
30		 American F D+ F F F 45% 19% 36% C+ F C- F F A A+ B+ A+ F F B F+ F 33% 12% 55% C F C+ F F+ C F F F
0.92 57% 11% 12% -18 +1 0.68 30% 0.5 .15 14% .68 76% .52 1.28 71% 33% 39% +8 +1 1.20 25% 1.3 .32 17% .50 90% .45
Dec
6		 Morgan St. D+ D F A+ D+ 46% 18% 36% D+ D+ C- A+ A- F A+ D- A+ D+ C F A+ D- 44% 19% 37% F F+ A C B+ C+ D F F
1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49 1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33
Dec
13		 Delaware St. C- A+ A+ F C+ 38% 16% 47% C- C+ B F D F B+ A+ A+ F F+ F F F 46% 28% 26% F F A- A+ A F F C+ F
1.14 82% 57% 24% +5 +1 1.13 38% 0.8 .31 24% .39 90% .36 1.21 62% 46% 67% +17 0 1.35 19% 0.4 .07 13% .43 68% .29
Dec
17		 Wake Forest D D- F F F 35% 12% 54% B- F C- A+ B B- B+ B- B+ A+ C- F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% C A A+ A+ A+ C- F B F
0.93 50% 17% 25% -13 +1 0.79 28% 1.3 .35 18% .35 76% .27 0.97 61% 63% 19% -5 0 0.94 17% 0.8 .14 14% .48 73% .35
Dec
20		 NC Central F+ C+ A F F 38% 18% 44% C- F B+ C- B- F A+ C- A+ C F A- A+ C- 40% 23% 36% C- C- B+ B+ B+ D+ F F+ F
1.04 65% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 44% 0.9 .42 25% .45 71% .32 1.02 84% 27% 12% -4 0 0.94 23% 0.9 .19 17% .51 80% .41
Dec
31		 Winthrop B+ C+ F+ A+ B 52% 13% 35% A B+ A+ C+ A+ D- B+ D+ B B- A+ A A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% F+ A+ F+ A+ B D- F D F
1.21 60% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 44% 1.1 .50 19% .38 71% .27 1.04 39% 25% 24% -17 +2 0.73 39% 0.8 .30 12% .54 78% .42
Jan
3		 High Point C- B F C C+ 44% 16% 40% C+ C+ C+ C+ C+ D+ F D- F C- F A A+ D+ 51% 8% 41% F+ D+ A+ F C- B- D D+ D
1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16 1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30
Jan
7		 UNC Asheville F+ C+ F D- F+ 42% 17% 42% C F+ D F+ D- C B+ D+ B- D D B+ F F+ 35% 26% 39% F F+ F A+ B+ D+ D- A- C-
0.96 60% 13% 30% -6 +1 0.92 26% 0.8 .20 16% .37 65% .24 1.13 63% 33% 44% +6 -1 1.13 44% 0.5 .22 16% .39 62% .24
Jan
10		 Presbyterian B B- C A+ A- 43% 20% 37% C- B+ A- C B+ C D A+ B- D- F C- F F 43% 11% 45% F F A A- A B- C+ A- B-
1.22 62% 40% 44% +8 0 1.18 39% 1.0 .39 16% .26 86% .23 1.11 68% 40% 40% +9 +2 1.23 24% 0.9 .21 21% .32 63% .20
Jan
17		 Radford B C A- A- B 34% 26% 40% F+ C+ A- A+ A+ F+ C+ F+ C- F F A+ F F 40% 16% 44% D+ F B A+ A+ D+ F A F
1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22 1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34
Jan
21		 Gardner-Webb B A+ A+ F B 37% 23% 40% D B- A+ A- A+ D D+ A- C A- A+ F A- B 46% 17% 38% C- B F A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ B
1.30 79% 58% 29% +9 0 1.19 48% 1.3 .61 17% .26 80% .21 0.80 41% 50% 28% -9 +1 0.85 33% 0.6 .21 30% .25 58% .14
Jan
23		 Charleston Southern F+ F+ B- B+ C- 51% 33% 16% C C- F F F F A+ A+ A+ B B B- F D 35% 6% 59% D+ D D+ A B A+ F+ C+ D-
0.99 46% 41% 38% -4 -1 0.92 21% 0.9 .18 21% .52 82% .43 0.97 53% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.13 30% 0.7 .21 27% .33 65% .22
Jan
29		 South Carolina Upstate F C+ B F D- 41% 22% 37% D+ D- B- F F+ F F F F B F+ A+ D F+ 52% 8% 40% F F C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A-
0.85 59% 42% 20% -7 0 0.89 34% 0.8 .26 24% .17 44% .07 0.92 64% 0% 37% +2 +3 1.10 27% 0.5 .14 26% .31 44% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 High Point F B- F D D- 34% 23% 43% D- F+ B F D+ F F A- F C+ D A+ B B- 50% 7% 43% F C A+ D A+ D+ D+ F+ D-
0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16 1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31
Feb
4		 Gardner-Webb C+ A+ C C+ A- 58% 15% 26% B+ A F F F C B F C- B- D+ C C+ D- 53% 6% 40% F F+ D+ A+ A- A+ F A D-
1.21 77% 38% 36% +12 +2 1.30 25% 0.7 .18 15% .33 60% .20 0.93 60% 33% 32% -1 +3 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 25% .38 60% .23
Feb
7		 Winthrop D- A F F F+ 25% 31% 43% F F C- F D C+ A+ F A+ B+ F A+ A+ A- 32% 11% 57% C B+ A+ F A B+ F F F
0.96 69% 31% 23% -7 -2 0.84 27% 0.9 .24 16% .54 63% .34 1.02 67% 20% 22% -9 +1 0.85 14% 1.6 .22 18% .63 88% .55
Feb
12		 UNC Asheville C- A F+ C+ B- 35% 18% 47% D+ B- A F C+ C+ A- F C+ F C+ D+ F F+ 37% 33% 31% D- F+ D- C D F C F+ D+
1.10 71% 33% 35% +4 0 1.10 41% 0.8 .31 15% .38 59% .23 1.17 56% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.12 34% 1.0 .34 12% .34 75% .25
Feb
14		 South Carolina Upstate F+ F F A+ D- 57% 20% 23% B- D C D D+ D+ B+ D- B- B C+ A- A+ A- 50% 25% 25% C- B+ F+ F F A+ F A+ C-
0.98 38% 25% 57% -6 +1 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 17% .34 67% .23 0.90 54% 29% 21% -9 0 0.84 35% 1.3 .46 25% .37 57% .21
Feb
19		 Presbyterian D- A B- B A 41% 39% 20% F B C- A+ B- F B F D C- F F D- F 44% 30% 26% C+ F B+ C+ B B- F A F
0.98 71% 44% 38% +8 -2 1.15 29% 1.3 .36 29% .34 50% .17 1.08 68% 54% 36% +10 -1 1.21 27% 1.0 .27 21% .50 62% .30
Feb
21		 Charleston Southern A F A D- D 40% 31% 29% D+ D A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D F F F F 49% 4% 47% F F C- F D- A F D+ F+
1.26 37% 48% 30% -7 -1 0.85 43% 1.1 .47 9% .45 91% .42 1.13 69% 50% 44% +13 +3 1.34 29% 1.1 .32 24% .34 68% .23
Feb
28		 Radford B- D F A+ C- 41% 13% 46% C+ C- B+ C B F+ A+ A+ A+ B- F C- B- F+ 35% 19% 46% C+ D- A A+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A
1.22 53% 17% 43% +1 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 22% .61 86% .52 1.00 74% 40% 32% +4 0 1.11 21% 0.3 .05 16% .34 57% .19
Mar
6		 UNC Asheville C- F+ A+ F F 47% 14% 39% B- F A+ B- A B A+ C- A+ D D- C D D 29% 21% 50% F D- A+ C A C F C+ F
1.07 48% 57% 16% -13 +1 0.80 44% 1.0 .44 13% .54 67% .36 1.11 64% 40% 38% +5 -1 1.10 18% 1.0 .18 17% .63 68% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%