UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#205
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#246
Pace69.0#196
Improvement+0.2#153

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#160
First Shot-2.4#245
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#57
Layup/Dunks-5.2#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#284
Freethrows+0.6#145
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#258
First Shot-2.0#244
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#238
Layups/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#49
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-0.6#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 10.2% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 46.1% 73.1% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 71.4% 80.9% 71.0%
Conference Champion 5.3% 9.7% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four0.9% 0.2% 1.0%
First Round6.0% 10.2% 5.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 411 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 98 @Wichita St. L 58-75 16%     0 - 1 -9.0 -9.1 -0.4
  Sat, Nov 8 233 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 45%     0 - 2 -4.4 +4.9 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 11 152 Lipscomb W 69-64 51%     1 - 2 +2.1 +2.2 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 19 276 @Western Carolina L 73-80 52%     1 - 3 -10.4 +6.0 -17.0
  Tue, Nov 25 197 Tennessee St. L 73-75 60%     1 - 4 -7.5 -4.3 -3.1
  Sun, Nov 30 279 Appalachian St. W 67-55 74%     2 - 4 +2.4 -4.0 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 294 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 67%     3 - 4 -2.3 +11.3 -13.2
  Sat, Dec 6 31 @North Carolina St. L 72-91 3%    
  Wed, Dec 10 126 Miami (OH) L 77-79 41%    
  Sat, Dec 13 163 St. Thomas W 75-74 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 113 @UAB L 72-81 20%    
  Wed, Dec 31 84 High Point L 77-83 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 289 @Charleston Southern W 76-75 54%    
  Wed, Jan 7 287 Longwood W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 10 271 @Radford W 80-79 51%    
  Wed, Jan 14 259 @Presbyterian L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 107 Winthrop L 77-81 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 288 @South Carolina Upstate W 76-75 55%    
  Thu, Jan 29 355 Gardner-Webb W 85-71 89%    
  Sat, Jan 31 107 @Winthrop L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 288 South Carolina Upstate W 79-72 74%    
  Thu, Feb 12 287 @Longwood W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 259 Presbyterian W 70-64 69%    
  Thu, Feb 19 84 @High Point L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 271 Radford W 82-76 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 355 @Gardner-Webb W 82-74 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 Charleston Southern W 79-72 74%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.6 4.6 2.0 0.2 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 8.2 10.4 6.4 1.9 0.1 30.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 7.8 7.1 2.2 0.3 20.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 6.1 3.9 0.9 0.1 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.5 5.0 8.0 11.8 14.7 16.5 14.7 11.6 7.6 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 85.9% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0
13-3 47.6% 1.9    0.9 0.9 0.2
12-4 14.4% 1.1    0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 39.0% 39.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.7% 26.8% 26.8% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-3 4.0% 20.0% 20.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.2
12-4 7.6% 13.8% 13.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 6.6
11-5 11.6% 9.3% 9.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 10.5
10-6 14.7% 6.4% 6.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 13.8
9-7 16.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 15.6
8-8 14.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 14.2
7-9 11.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.6
6-10 8.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-11 5.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-12 2.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.2 1.9 93.7 0.0%