South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.9 298
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 291
Pace 69.4 159
Improvement -3.4 318

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #319 D+ D C- D+ C
Defense C- #241 C- C- D+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 122 52% 312 -1.0 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 119 35% 271 +0.4 153
Three Pointers 36% 288 34% 186 -2.6 279
1st FG Attempt 0.96 277 -3.2 276
Second Chance 27.9% 254 0.91 318 0.25 300
Turnovers 17.5% 212
Freethrows 0.29 244 69% 278 0.20 280
Total Offense -5.8 319

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 42 59% 196 -3.5 303
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 211 35% 78 +1.0 111
Three Pointers 36% 305 35% 238 +1.6 116
1st FG Attempt 1.04 211 -0.9 210
Second Chance 31.4% 223 1.09 272 0.34 255
Turnovers 15.6% 258
Freethrows 0.31 194 72% 170 0.22 187
Total Defense -2.1 241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.2 213 +0.6 275
Shot Type Accuracy -2.9 287 +0.3 195
Possession Length 16.9 131 17.1 168
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 162 0.16 146
Improvement -1.3 #260 -2.1 #296

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.9% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 8.9% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four1.0% 1.5% 0.9%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 52 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 139 @California Baptist L 75 - 87 13% -8  1% 0 - 1 D+ -8 C+ +3 B- C+ F F+ -11 F B+ F
 Wed, Nov 5 142 @Fresno St. W 67 - 66 13% -4  23% 1 - 1 B- +5 D -4 B B- F A- +9 A+ F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 120 @UNC Wilmington L 60 - 73 11% -8  11% 1 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 D- C+ F D+ -4 C F C+
 Wed, Nov 19 322 Tennessee Tech L 84 - 88 69% -3  15% 1 - 3 F+ -17 D- -6 C F A- F+ -11 F F B
 Fri, Nov 21 321 @West Georgia L 64 - 72 46% -4  15% 1 - 4 F+ -15 F -16 F F+ C+ C+ +1 D+ F A
 Tue, Nov 25 344 NC Central W 82 - 67 75% +10  96% 2 - 4 C +0 C +1 A D- F C -1 A F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 12 @Nebraska L 63 - 72 1% -2  41% 2 - 5 B+ +13 D+ -3 C C- A A+ +16 A B- A
 Wed, Dec 3 235 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 78 OT 48% -7  9% 3 - 5 C -0 D+ -3 C F+ D+ C+ +2 C A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 281 Western Carolina W 78 - 67 58% +4  87% 4 - 5 C +1 D- -7 D- C- D- B+ +8 A+ C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 27 @North Carolina L 62 - 80 2% -8  5% 4 - 6 C +1 C- -0 C B- A- C -0 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 360 @South Carolina St. W 78 - 72 66% +6  94% 5 - 6 D+ -6 C +1 C+ C- C D -7 F D D-
 Sat, Dec 20 208 @Youngstown St. L 65 - 74 22% -8  2% 5 - 7 D -9 F -11 F C- C- B- +2 D+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 232 Radford L 69 - 76 47% -4  14% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D- -14 F -14 F C C- C +0 C D B-
 Sat, Jan 3 271 @Presbyterian L 77 - 86 32% -4  16% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D- -12 C +1 B D F+ F -13 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 131 Winthrop L 50 - 71 26% -15  6% 5 - 10 0 - 3 F -22 F -25 F D F C+ +2 C- C B+
 Wed, Jan 14 260 @Charleston Southern W 86 - 81 OT 30% -1  25% 6 - 10 1 - 3 C+ +2 C -0 F+ B+ B- C+ +2 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 96 @High Point L 69 - 89 7% -7  1% 6 - 11 1 - 4 D- -12 D+ -3 F B- C F+ -10 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 214 UNC Asheville L 69 - 83 42% -6  0% 6 - 12 1 - 5 F -20 D -6 C+ F A F -15 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 363 @Gardner-Webb L 65 - 67 76% +3  70% 6 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -17 F -14 F F D D+ -4 C F+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 263 Longwood W 65 - 60 53% +2  68% 7 - 13 2 - 6 C- -4 F -14 C- F F A +10 B- B- A-
 Wed, Feb 4 214 @UNC Asheville L 67 - 76 22% -0  48% 7 - 14 2 - 7 D -9 D -6 D+ F B+ D+ -4 F C C
 Sat, Feb 7 260 Charleston Southern W 100 - 94 OT 52% -0  41% 8 - 14 3 - 7 C- -3 A +12 A D- A+ F -15 D+ F B+
 Thu, Feb 12 96 High Point L 72 - 82 17%
 Sat, Feb 14 263 @Longwood L 70 - 75 31%
 Thu, Feb 19 131 @Winthrop L 69 - 82 11%
 Sat, Feb 21 271 Presbyterian W 69 - 68 55%
 Thu, Feb 26 232 @Radford L 74 - 81 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 363 Gardner-Webb W 81 - 67 90%
Totals 10 - 18 5 - 11 -8 D -6 D+ D C- C- -2 C- C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D D+ C D+ 41% 23% 36% C D+ D+ D D C- C- D+ D+ C- C B- C- C 44% 19% 36% D+ C- C- D+ C- D+ C C C
1.00 52% 35% 34% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.9 .25 17% .29 69% .20 1.12 59% 35% 35% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 16% .31 72% .21
Nov
3		 California Baptist C+ B B- F B- 44% 25% 31% C B- C- A- C+ F A+ D- A+ F+ D- F F F 58% 13% 28% F F C A B+ F C- A+ B
1.06 62% 42% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.1 .27 20% .51 69% .35 1.23 61% 71% 40% +9 +2 1.25 37% 0.7 .26 10% .33 57% .19
Nov
5		 Fresno St. D D+ A+ D B+ 43% 25% 32% C- B C+ B- B- F A F+ B A- A+ B A+ A+ 41% 12% 47% D A+ D F F D+ F+ A D
0.95 58% 55% 29% +2 0 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 31% .35 65% .23 0.93 43% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.73 33% 1.4 .44 17% .37 68% .26
Nov
15		 UNC Wilmington D F+ D C- D 27% 38% 36% F D- A- F+ C+ F A+ C- A D+ C B+ D C 52% 30% 18% D+ C F B- F C+ F D F
0.98 50% 35% 31% -5 -3 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 18% .36 72% .26 1.19 57% 31% 38% -2 0 0.98 50% 1.0 .50 16% .54 75% .41
Nov
19		 Tennessee Tech D- B- A+ F C- 53% 11% 37% A C F+ F F A- A F B- F+ D- A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F D- F F B F F F
1.09 63% 83% 24% +2 +2 1.11 24% 0.8 .19 12% .40 63% .25 1.14 65% 20% 44% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .45 22% .53 81% .43
Nov
21		 West Georgia F F F F+ F 48% 14% 38% C F C- F F+ C+ F+ F F C+ B- D- A C- 50% 35% 15% D- D+ F D F A B+ F C+
0.90 44% 13% 29% -13 +2 0.79 31% 0.7 .20 14% .26 63% .16 1.01 50% 44% 25% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 22% .22 83% .18
Nov
25		 NC Central C A- F A+ A 48% 16% 36% B A C+ F D- F A+ C+ A+ C A+ A+ D A+ 51% 20% 29% D- A F C- F+ F F C F
1.19 71% 29% 50% +14 +1 1.32 39% 0.8 .29 23% .49 73% .36 0.97 36% 20% 36% -14 +1 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 13% .54 75% .40
Nov
29		 Nebraska D+ F D B C+ 15% 32% 53% D C D+ C+ C- A F F F A+ F A+ A- A 28% 18% 54% A- A C B B- A D C- D-
0.88 44% 32% 35% -3 -3 0.90 20% 0.9 .18 15% .13 38% .05 1.00 79% 22% 30% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.0 .27 18% .31 78% .24
Dec
3		 Coastal Carolina D+ C- C- C- D+ 47% 22% 31% A C C- F F+ D+ A+ D A+ C+ B A+ F B- 41% 19% 41% F C C A+ A- D- A- D- B
1.06 52% 38% 33% -3 0 0.97 26% 0.7 .19 14% .52 67% .35 0.97 50% 8% 42% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .15 12% .19 77% .14
Dec
6		 Western Carolina D- A D F+ D- 24% 24% 51% D- D- D- A C- D- A+ B+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% D+ A+ A+ F C+ D- F F F
1.09 73% 36% 30% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.3 .28 18% .51 80% .41 0.93 43% 10% 24% -18 +1 0.68 21% 1.3 .29 14% .45 82% .37
Dec
13		 North Carolina C- D- D+ B B- 19% 39% 42% F C C+ B B- A- F D F C B B+ F B- 46% 12% 42% D- C+ A+ F B- D- D+ B+ C
0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04 1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24
Dec
16		 South Carolina St. C D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 22% 36% D- C+ D- B C- C B F C- D F F D F 20% 47% 33% A+ F A+ F D D- A F+ B
1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28 1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16
Dec
20		 Youngstown St. F D- F F+ F 36% 34% 30% F+ F F A+ C- C- A C+ A- B- C- A- D- D+ 39% 15% 46% C D+ B- A+ A+ C- F C+ F
0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33 1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35
Dec
31		 Radford F F C+ F F 60% 9% 30% A F B- D C C- F+ B- D- C C B C C 44% 19% 38% C C C+ F D B- D C+ D+
0.95 44% 40% 25% -12 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20 1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Presbyterian C A+ F A+ A 32% 34% 34% F B F A+ D F+ A F B- F F C- D- F 37% 44% 20% A+ F C F D- F F D F
1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23 1.23 80% 39% 38% +10 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51
Jan
10		 Winthrop F F F F F 55% 22% 22% B F F A+ D F D- D+ F+ C+ B+ A+ D- C 42% 6% 52% F+ C- F A+ C B+ C+ A+ A
0.75 44% 0% 18% -21 +1 0.61 18% 1.4 .26 21% .26 71% .19 1.06 48% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 18% .35 58% .20
Jan
14		 Charleston Southern C F C+ F D- 46% 37% 17% D F+ B- A- B+ B- C- F D C+ F D- C- F 44% 16% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ C-
1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -1 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22 1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19
Jan
17		 High Point D+ F F C+ F 38% 16% 46% C F A- D B- C C B- C+ F+ C+ F B+ B- 47% 15% 38% C- B- D F F F C+ B- B-
1.02 42% 25% 35% -7 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23 1.31 58% 50% 29% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24
Jan
21		 UNC Asheville D F+ A+ B C+ 52% 12% 37% B+ C+ D F F A D- F F F C- A F F 45% 29% 27% F F C+ C C+ F D F F+
1.03 48% 83% 37% +2 +2 1.10 27% 0.4 .11 12% .26 53% .14 1.24 59% 29% 62% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.0 .28 13% .38 77% .29
Jan
23		 Gardner-Webb F F F A+ F 43% 23% 34% D+ F F+ F F D A+ C+ A+ D+ B A+ C- B- 60% 12% 29% F C F C+ F+ D B- F C
0.98 40% 27% 44% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.7 .21 17% .40 73% .29 1.01 48% 17% 33% -8 +3 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 18% .24 77% .18
Jan
29		 Longwood F C+ F B- D+ 52% 8% 40% A- C- C- F F F D F F A C D A+ B 41% 22% 37% C- B- C- A- B- A- A+ A+ A+
0.92 64% 0% 37% +2 +3 1.10 27% 0.5 .14 26% .31 44% .13 0.85 59% 42% 20% -6 0 0.89 34% 0.8 .26 24% .17 44% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 UNC Asheville D B F D D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ D F F B+ D+ D D D+ F B- D F 32% 23% 45% F F B D- C C C A- B-
0.99 64% 31% 30% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.3 .08 13% .29 65% .19 1.13 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 25% 1.1 .29 18% .34 63% .22
Feb
7		 Charleston Southern A D- A+ A+ A 45% 23% 32% B- A B- F D- A+ D+ A C+ F D- F B C- 37% 5% 58% D D+ F F F B+ C- F F+
1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27 1.22 67% 67% 30% +2 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.9 4th
5th 1.6 5.6 0.6 7.8 5th
6th 2.2 13.4 3.7 0.0 19.3 6th
7th 0.1 5.9 22.6 12.2 0.3 41.1 7th
8th 1.9 14.8 11.9 0.8 29.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 2.2 20.7 36.7 27.9 10.5 1.8 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.2% 7.5% 7.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2
8-8 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.8
7-9 10.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.3
6-10 27.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.5 27.5
5-11 36.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.3 36.4
4-12 20.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 20.6
3-13 2.2% 2.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%