South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#271
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#241
Pace73.1#90
Improvement+1.6#68

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#290
First Shot-3.7#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#223
Layup/Dunks-0.4#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#310
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement+0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#211
First Shot+1.3#121
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#320
Layups/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#66
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement+1.6#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 5.8% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.5 15.5
.500 or above 24.1% 54.6% 23.8%
.500 or above in Conference 43.9% 58.7% 43.8%
Conference Champion 1.7% 5.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 1.7% 5.5%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round2.5% 5.2% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 132 @California Baptist L 75-87 16%     0 - 1 -7.0 +4.3 -11.1
  Wed, Nov 5 191 @Fresno St. W 67-66 26%     1 - 1 +2.1 -5.5 +7.6
  Sat, Nov 15 107 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 12%     1 - 2 -6.1 -2.4 -5.5
  Wed, Nov 19 267 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 61%     1 - 3 -12.7 +0.0 -12.3
  Fri, Nov 21 317 @West Georgia L 64-72 50%     1 - 4 -13.8 -12.2 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 25 348 NC Central W 82-67 82%     2 - 4 -0.4 +5.0 -5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 30 @Nebraska L 63-72 3%     2 - 5 +8.0 -2.9 +11.1
  Wed, Dec 3 240 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 56%     3 - 5 -0.4 -0.2 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 6 293 Western Carolina W 78-67 67%     4 - 5 +0.8 -0.9 +1.5
  Sat, Dec 13 20 @North Carolina L 64-88 1%    
  Tue, Dec 16 358 @South Carolina St. W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Dec 20 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-76 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 272 Radford W 80-77 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 261 @Presbyterian L 65-68 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 114 Winthrop L 76-82 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 264 @Charleston Southern L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 97 @High Point L 73-87 10%    
  Wed, Jan 21 194 UNC Asheville L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 356 @Gardner-Webb W 81-75 69%    
  Thu, Jan 29 291 Longwood W 78-74 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 194 @UNC Asheville L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 264 Charleston Southern W 76-73 60%    
  Thu, Feb 12 97 High Point L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 291 @Longwood L 75-77 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 114 @Winthrop L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 261 Presbyterian W 68-65 60%    
  Thu, Feb 26 272 @Radford L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 Gardner-Webb W 84-72 85%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.0 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 7.3 5.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.8 5.3 1.1 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 7.6 4.6 0.7 0.0 16.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.0 7.6 11.7 14.9 15.8 15.0 12.1 8.4 5.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 90.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-3 60.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 24.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 34.2% 34.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.9% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-4 2.3% 10.6% 10.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-5 5.0% 7.5% 7.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.6
10-6 8.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 7.9
9-7 12.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.6
8-8 15.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 14.6
7-9 15.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 15.4
6-10 14.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.7
5-11 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
4-12 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-13 4.0% 4.0
2-14 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 97.0 0.0%