South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#264
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Pace71.3#133
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#287
First Shot-3.3#263
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#246
Layup/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#272
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-0.8#240

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#212
First Shot+0.0#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#294
Layups/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#116
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.0% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 26.4% 34.7% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 59.9% 32.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.9% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.8% 6.8%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round2.7% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 60.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 134 @California Baptist L 75-87 16%     0 - 1 -7.3 +3.9 -11.0
  Wed, Nov 5 184 @Fresno St. W 67-66 25%     1 - 1 +2.3 -5.6 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 15 120 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 14%     1 - 2 -7.2 -2.9 -6.1
  Wed, Nov 19 285 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 65%     1 - 3 -13.6 -1.2 -12.1
  Fri, Nov 21 316 @West Georgia L 64-72 51%     1 - 4 -14.0 -12.6 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 25 348 NC Central W 82-67 82%     2 - 4 -0.3 +5.3 -5.3
  Sat, Nov 29 25 @Nebraska L 63-72 2%     2 - 5 +9.1 -3.0 +12.3
  Wed, Dec 3 230 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 56%     3 - 5 -0.2 +1.0 -2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 299 Western Carolina W 78-67 68%     4 - 5 +0.5 -1.2 +1.4
  Sat, Dec 13 21 @North Carolina L 62-80 2%     4 - 6 +1.0 +4.7 -5.4
  Tue, Dec 16 358 @South Carolina St. W 78-72 73%     5 - 6 -5.9 +2.7 -8.4
  Sat, Dec 20 163 @Youngstown St. L 65-74 21%     5 - 7 -6.4 -5.6 -0.6
  Wed, Dec 31 261 Radford W 81-78 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 286 @Presbyterian L 66-68 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 125 Winthrop L 76-81 32%    
  Wed, Jan 14 239 @Charleston Southern L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 101 @High Point L 72-86 10%    
  Wed, Jan 21 232 UNC Asheville W 73-71 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 362 @Gardner-Webb W 80-73 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 298 Longwood W 77-72 67%    
  Wed, Feb 4 232 @UNC Asheville L 70-74 35%    
  Sat, Feb 7 239 Charleston Southern W 77-75 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 101 High Point L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 298 @Longwood L 74-75 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 125 @Winthrop L 73-84 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 286 Presbyterian W 69-65 64%    
  Thu, Feb 26 261 @Radford L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 362 Gardner-Webb W 83-70 88%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 6.7 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 17.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.9 8.3 5.6 1.2 0.1 18.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.8 8.1 5.1 0.7 0.0 16.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.6 3.9 0.6 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.6 10.5 14.1 16.6 16.5 13.6 9.3 5.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 94.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-3 59.9% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 25.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 17.3% 17.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.1% 15.5% 15.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.7% 11.2% 11.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4
11-5 5.6% 8.5% 8.5% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.1
10-6 9.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.8
9-7 13.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.2 0.4 13.0
8-8 16.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 16.0
7-9 16.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 16.2
6-10 14.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.8
5-11 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.4
4-12 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-13 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 96.6 0.0%