Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
300 LIU Brooklyn 23.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 5 -7.6      -6.2 340 -1.3 212 63.3 302 0.0 1 0.0 1
305 Central Connecticut St. 22.1%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 11 - 7 -8.1      -7.2 353 -0.9 195 64.9 271 0.0 1 0.0 1
340 Stonehill 11.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -11.4      -7.1 352 -4.3 309 63.7 296 0.0 1 0.0 1
343 Wagner 11.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 9 -11.5      -10.1 362 -1.4 216 55.1 364 0.0 1 0.0 1
344 St. Francis (PA) 9.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 14 7 - 6 -11.6      -6.6 346 -5.0 325 67.8 187 0.0 1 0.0 1
347 Le Moyne 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 6 -11.9      -3.8 286 -8.0 362 70.9 100 0.0 1 0.0 1
349 Chicago St. 10.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 21 9 - 9 -12.0      -6.4 341 -5.6 339 71.0 96 0.0 1 0.0 1
354 Fairleigh Dickinson 7.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -13.0      -6.8 351 -6.2 349 71.9 74 0.0 1 0.0 1
361 Mercyhurst 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 6 - 10 -15.9      -9.6 360 -6.3 352 62.6 324 0.0 1 0.0 1
363 New Haven 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 21 6 - 12 -17.3      -9.9 361 -7.4 359 69.0 147 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 4.1 11.6 17.0 17.7 15.2 11.7 10.1 7.1 4.9 3.2 1.6
Central Connecticut St. 2.8 35.5 18.7 12.6 8.5 6.3 4.9 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.1
Stonehill 4.2 17.1 15.6 13.1 11.7 9.8 8.7 7.5 6.2 5.4 3.8
Wagner 4.3 16.5 15.6 13.4 11.2 10.0 8.6 7.6 6.7 5.6 4.1
St. Francis (PA) 6.3 2.1 5.5 7.9 10.3 12.1 13.3 14.2 13.5 12.3 8.9
Le Moyne 6.3 1.8 5.0 7.6 10.1 11.8 13.3 14.1 13.9 12.8 9.6
Chicago St. 4.6 14.2 14.1 12.9 11.7 10.6 9.5 8.1 7.4 6.3 4.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0 10.8 12.1 11.9 11.3 10.6 10.8 9.2 8.6 7.9 6.3
Mercyhurst 6.9 2.3 4.7 5.9 7.5 8.9 10.9 12.2 14.4 16.4 16.9
New Haven 7.1 2.5 4.2 5.6 6.3 7.9 9.7 10.9 13.6 16.2 23.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.2 6.8 9.5 12.0 14.4 15.2 13.4 10.9 6.8 2.5
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.3 5.1 6.3 8.5 10.0 11.3 11.9 10.9 10.5 8.6 5.7
Stonehill 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.4 7.5 8.7 10.6 11.2 11.0 10.2 8.9 7.1 5.3 3.3 1.9
Wagner 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.8 6.1 7.4 8.9 10.4 11.0 10.9 10.5 8.7 7.3 5.0 3.3 1.7
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 9 0.4 1.6 3.4 5.8 9.1 11.7 13.8 14.1 13.1 11.1 7.9 5.0 2.3 0.7
Le Moyne 7 - 9 0.4 1.6 3.4 6.3 9.7 12.3 13.7 14.0 13.0 10.7 7.6 4.6 2.1 0.5
Chicago St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.5 6.4 8.4 9.8 10.8 11.3 10.9 9.6 8.3 6.5 4.2 2.5 1.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.8 5.7 7.7 9.4 10.9 11.1 11.5 9.8 8.8 7.1 4.8 3.3 1.7 1.0
Mercyhurst 6 - 10 1.1 3.1 6.3 9.3 12.0 12.6 13.3 11.9 9.9 7.5 5.5 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
New Haven 6 - 10 1.7 4.8 7.8 11.0 12.1 12.6 11.9 10.1 8.9 6.7 4.9 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 11.6% 6.2 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 35.5% 26.4 7.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 17.1% 11.5 4.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Wagner 16.5% 11.1 4.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 2.1% 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 1.8% 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 14.2% 9.3 3.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 10.8% 6.7 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 2.3% 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Haven 2.5% 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 23.3% 23.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 4.0 20.0 76.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 24.5% 24.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.5 22.2 75.5 0.0%
Stonehill 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.0 12.0 87.7 0.0%
Wagner 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 11.6 88.2 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 9.0 90.5 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 10.4 89.5 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.0 92.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 23.3% 16.1% 17.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 24.5% 18.1% 17.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 12.3% 10.4% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 11.8% 10.3% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 9.5% 7.9% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 10.5% 9.3% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.0% 7.2% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.7% 0.6 42.3 52.3 5.4
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0