Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
195 LIU Brooklyn 62.1%   16   14 - 8 8 - 1 -2.3      -2.0 224 -0.3 176 70.5 133 +0.5 153 +1.9 1
294 Le Moyne 0.0%   10 - 12 6 - 4 -7.7      -4.1 282 -3.6 282 70.9 125 -7.1 280 -7.1 2
298 Central Connecticut St. 14.9%   9 - 10 5 - 5 -8.1      -3.1 256 -5.0 317 64.3 302 -6.0 259 -8.3 5
301 Mercyhurst 0.0%   9 - 12 6 - 4 -8.2      -6.2 329 -2.0 247 61.7 345 -8.7 300 -8.5 6
329 Stonehill 7.9%   7 - 14 6 - 4 -10.4      -11.0 363 +0.6 144 65.5 266 -11.0 332 -7.1 3
332 Wagner 6.2%   4 - 13 2 - 7 -10.5      -4.5 289 -6.0 339 63.2 323 -14.7 350 -18.3 9
334 New Haven 0.0%   7 - 12 5 - 4 -10.9      -7.8 350 -3.1 272 60.9 354 -8.8 301 -8.1 4
344 Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0%   4 - 16 4 - 6 -11.7      -5.8 321 -5.9 337 65.1 279 -14.6 349 -11.4 8
355 Chicago St. 2.1%   2 - 19 1 - 8 -14.3      -7.3 346 -7.1 349 68.3 197 -17.5 357 -21.1 10
357 St. Francis (PA) 1.8%   4 - 15 4 - 4 -14.5      -7.5 347 -7.0 348 71.9 94 -14.0 347 -11.4 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 298 Central Connecticut St. 59 195 LIU Brooklyn 80   
Sat, Jan 31 355 Chicago St. 78 301 Mercyhurst 74   
Sat, Jan 31 294 Le Moyne 54 329 Stonehill 65   
Sat, Jan 31 344 Fairleigh Dickinson 72 332 Wagner 75   
Sat, Jan 31 334 New Haven 81 357 St. Francis (PA) 69   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 5 294 Le Moyne 72 332 Wagner 73 51%   
Thu, Feb 5 344 Fairleigh Dickinson 66 329 Stonehill 64 56%   
Thu, Feb 5 195 LIU Brooklyn 73 334 New Haven 62 86%   
Thu, Feb 5 298 Central Connecticut St. 77 355 Chicago St. 68 81%   
Thu, Feb 5 301 Mercyhurst 74 357 St. Francis (PA) 65 81%   
Sat, Feb 7 298 Central Connecticut St. 73 332 Wagner 67 70%   
Sat, Feb 7 344 Fairleigh Dickinson 66 301 Mercyhurst 67 52%   
Sat, Feb 7 195 LIU Brooklyn 72 329 Stonehill 61 85%   
Sat, Feb 7 355 Chicago St. 64 334 New Haven 70 73%   
Sat, Feb 7 294 Le Moyne 81 357 St. Francis (PA) 72 82%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 97.0 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Le Moyne 2.8 4.8 49.0 21.8 12.6 7.1 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 3.5 1.8 30.4 26.0 18.6 12.2 6.9 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 4.0 1.6 17.5 21.4 21.5 20.1 11.9 4.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 3.7 2.4 24.0 23.5 21.1 14.9 8.8 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
Wagner 8.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.9 15.5 28.3 31.8 12.4
New Haven 5.2 0.7 6.5 11.4 15.3 19.4 23.3 16.3 5.9 1.0 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.1 0.1 2.6 5.8 9.1 14.8 21.4 26.5 14.4 4.9 0.5
Chicago St. 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.0 10.3 23.1 60.8
St. Francis (PA) 7.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 4.5 8.8 19.8 31.8 26.1 5.9

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 14 - 3 20 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.3 5.9 15.5 28.7 32.0 16.4
Le Moyne 11 - 7 15 - 15 0.1 0.9 3.9 11.3 21.6 27.4 22.1 10.5 2.3
Central Connecticut St. 10 - 8 14 - 13 0.0 0.5 3.3 9.1 18.2 25.6 25.0 14.1 4.2
Mercyhurst 10 - 7 13 - 15 0.7 5.0 15.2 26.4 26.9 17.6 6.8 1.4
Stonehill 10 - 8 11 - 18 0.7 3.9 11.7 22.0 26.4 21.0 10.9 3.2 0.3
Wagner 6 - 11 8 - 17 1.0 5.8 14.7 23.8 25.0 18.3 8.5 2.6 0.4
New Haven 9 - 8 11 - 16 0.9 6.6 17.0 25.6 24.3 16.4 7.0 2.0 0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 10 8 - 20 0.9 5.7 15.0 23.8 26.2 17.9 8.2 2.1 0.3
Chicago St. 4 - 14 5 - 25 3.3 12.5 23.2 26.2 19.8 10.4 3.7 0.8 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 10 6 - 21 9.8 24.1 29.0 21.1 10.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 97.0% 90.3 5.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
Le Moyne 4.8% 1.2 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 1.8% 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 1.6% 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 2.4% 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wagner
New Haven 0.7% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 62.1% 62.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 1.5 9.1 27.7 23.8 37.9 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.1 1.3 13.6 85.1 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 7.9 92.1 0.0%
Wagner 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 6.2 93.8 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 5.0 95.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 98.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.3 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.9% 0.8 22.1 77.9
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 62.1% 6.8% 59.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 14.9% 10.3% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 7.9% 7.7% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 6.2% 6.1% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%