Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
205 LIU Brooklyn 61.3%   16   18 - 9 12 - 2 -2.6      -3.7 269 +1.0 141 69.9 139 -0.2 161 -0.3 1
290 Central Connecticut St. 19.5%   13 - 10 9 - 5 -7.3      -2.0 225 -5.4 319 64.1 302 -4.9 245 -6.0 2
297 Mercyhurst 0.0%   11 - 14 8 - 6 -7.7      -5.8 317 -1.9 231 61.8 344 -9.3 313 -9.1 4
299 Le Moyne 0.0%   13 - 13 9 - 5 -7.8      -4.7 298 -3.1 271 71.8 98 -7.1 280 -7.0 3
329 Wagner 5.7%   6 - 16 4 - 10 -10.8      -4.7 299 -6.1 335 64.2 299 -12.9 345 -14.8 8
330 New Haven 0.0%   8 - 15 6 - 7 -10.9      -8.8 351 -2.1 236 60.6 355 -10.0 323 -10.0 5
332 Fairleigh Dickinson 5.6%   7 - 17 7 - 7 -11.1      -6.2 324 -4.8 312 63.5 317 -12.9 344 -10.4 6
341 Stonehill 3.9%   7 - 18 6 - 8 -12.2      -12.0 363 -0.2 178 64.6 287 -13.0 346 -10.8 7
352 Chicago St. 2.3%   5 - 21 4 - 10 -13.8      -6.5 331 -7.3 353 66.9 230 -14.1 351 -15.3 10
356 St. Francis (PA) 1.7%   4 - 20 4 - 9 -14.8      -6.6 336 -8.3 359 73.1 65 -16.0 354 -14.8 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 14 290 Central Connecticut St. 63 332 Fairleigh Dickinson 57   
Sat, Feb 14 341 Stonehill 57 329 Wagner 68   
Sat, Feb 14 352 Chicago St. 63 299 Le Moyne 81   
Sat, Feb 14 205 LIU Brooklyn 52 330 New Haven 55   
Sat, Feb 14 297 Mercyhurst 94 356 St. Francis (PA) 79   
Mon, Feb 16 205 LIU Brooklyn 83 329 Wagner 65   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 19 290 Central Connecticut St. 76 299 Le Moyne 72 63%   
Thu, Feb 19 297 Mercyhurst 70 329 Wagner 64 72%   
Thu, Feb 19 330 New Haven 61 341 Stonehill 57 66%   
Thu, Feb 19 352 Chicago St. 71 332 Fairleigh Dickinson 70 51%   
Thu, Feb 19 205 LIU Brooklyn 80 356 St. Francis (PA) 71 81%   
Sat, Feb 21 205 LIU Brooklyn 68 297 Mercyhurst 66 58%   
Sat, Feb 21 332 Fairleigh Dickinson 65 330 New Haven 62 61%   
Sat, Feb 21 299 Le Moyne 68 341 Stonehill 66 55%   
Sat, Feb 21 329 Wagner 76 356 St. Francis (PA) 75 54%   
Sat, Feb 21 290 Central Connecticut St. 74 352 Chicago St. 71 63%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 99.9 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.3 0.6 72.1 20.1 6.6 0.6 0.0
Mercyhurst 3.6 0.0 13.5 28.4 43.0 11.5 3.2 0.4
Le Moyne 2.7 0.3 43.4 42.8 9.9 3.0 0.6 0.0
Wagner 8.0 0.2 1.7 6.0 18.9 45.9 17.3 10.1
New Haven 5.2 1.3 8.7 19.2 32.7 20.6 14.3 2.9 0.4 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.3 0.5 5.4 15.4 34.4 31.0 12.5 0.7
Stonehill 6.0 0.1 2.6 10.4 20.3 29.6 30.6 5.6 0.8 0.0
Chicago St. 8.9 0.1 1.1 5.3 24.3 39.7 29.4
St. Francis (PA) 8.7 0.1 0.7 2.7 8.5 25.4 37.7 24.9

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 15 - 3 21 - 10 0.2 2.6 16.3 43.6 37.4
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 6 16 - 11 1.0 8.9 27.8 40.2 22.1
Mercyhurst 10 - 8 13 - 16 5.7 22.6 38.2 26.2 7.4
Le Moyne 11 - 7 15 - 15 5.1 21.1 36.7 28.5 8.7
Wagner 6 - 12 8 - 18 4.5 20.8 37.9 29.1 7.7
New Haven 9 - 9 11 - 17 2.3 12.6 29.1 32.4 19.2 4.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 9 9 - 19 13.1 37.2 35.6 12.6 1.5
Stonehill 8 - 10 9 - 20 6.9 26.7 37.3 23.6 5.4
Chicago St. 5 - 13 6 - 24 21.4 41.6 28.1 8.4 0.6
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 13 5 - 24 20.9 37.3 28.8 10.6 2.2 0.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 99.9% 99.1 0.9 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.6% 0.1 0.5 0.0
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0
Le Moyne 0.3% 0.0 0.3 0.0
Wagner
New Haven
Fairleigh Dickinson
Stonehill
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA)


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 61.3% 61.3% 0.0% 16   0.2 6.3 28.2 26.6 38.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 19.5% 19.5% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 17.4 80.5 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 5.7 94.3 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 5.6 94.4 0.0%
Stonehill 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 3.9 96.1 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3 97.7 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.6% 0.8 22.4 77.6
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 61.3% 8.0% 57.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 19.5% 12.2% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 5.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 3.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%