Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
201 LIU Brooklyn 42.0%   16   6 - 5 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 4 -2.7      -1.1 193 -1.7 229 73.0 85 +0.6 156 0.0 1
276 Central Connecticut St. 22.2%   4 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -6.2      -4.2 284 -2.0 240 64.9 303 -1.8 194 0.0 1
294 Wagner 18.8%   2 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 13 11 - 7 -7.1      -4.4 289 -2.7 259 69.1 193 -6.7 268 0.0 1
316 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 7 - 7 -9.0      -1.6 215 -7.4 356 70.9 148 -6.6 265 0.0 1
328 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -9.9      -6.2 334 -3.7 300 62.6 343 -10.1 313 0.0 1
337 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -10.8      -7.7 349 -3.1 277 63.1 335 -9.0 301 0.0 1
338 Stonehill 6.8%   1 - 9 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -10.8      -8.7 356 -2.1 241 66.8 253 -17.5 357 0.0 1
341 Chicago St. 5.9%   1 - 10 0 - 0 9 - 21 8 - 10 -11.1      -5.3 312 -5.8 344 71.0 140 -9.3 305 0.0 1
359 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.8      -6.4 338 -8.4 361 71.9 115 -21.0 363 0.0 1
363 St. Francis (PA) 1.1%   0 - 10 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 10 -15.7      -9.9 361 -5.7 343 73.1 83 -16.3 352 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 16 201 LIU Brooklyn 83 85 Mississippi St. 87   
Tue, Dec 16 124 Bowling Green 76 341 Chicago St. 55   
Tue, Dec 16 316 Le Moyne 53 40 Texas 95   
Wed, Dec 17 334 New Hampshire 59 338 Stonehill 58   
Wed, Dec 17 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 64 294 Wagner 78   
Wed, Dec 17 328 Mercyhurst 62 72 Syracuse 76   
Wed, Dec 17 13 Florida 102 363 St. Francis (PA) 61   
Thu, Dec 18 276 Central Connecticut St. 70 277 Fairfield 84   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 20 186 Florida International 82 201 LIU Brooklyn 78 65%   
Sat, Dec 20 316 Le Moyne 68 112 St. Bonaventure 83 92%   
Sat, Dec 20 361 Binghamton 63 328 Mercyhurst 71 78%   
Sat, Dec 20 182 Robert Morris 77 363 St. Francis (PA) 66 85%   
Sat, Dec 20 341 Chicago St. 61 26 Indiana 90 99%   
Mon, Dec 22 197 Fordham 70 337 New Haven 58 86%   
Mon, Dec 22 338 Stonehill 58 72 Syracuse 79 97%   
Mon, Dec 22 151 Boston College 81 359 Fairleigh Dickinson 63 95%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 2.7 29.2 25.4 18.6 11.7 6.7 4.3 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.7 35.3 20.5 14.2 10.4 7.1 4.5 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.3
Wagner 3.2 27.6 20.3 15.0 11.5 8.4 6.1 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.8
Le Moyne 5.9 2.1 5.4 8.7 12.0 14.1 15.3 15.1 13.1 9.4 4.8
Mercyhurst 5.5 4.7 7.9 10.4 13.2 13.9 13.8 13.2 11.0 8.0 3.8
New Haven 5.2 8.5 9.9 11.7 12.3 12.3 11.6 11.1 9.8 8.0 4.7
Stonehill 5.2 7.7 10.0 11.6 12.7 13.0 12.4 11.1 9.9 7.3 4.3
Chicago St. 5.4 6.5 8.8 10.9 12.8 13.3 12.8 12.0 10.5 7.8 4.6
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.5 7.7 9.9 12.5 15.9 20.2 20.8
St. Francis (PA) 8.4 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.2 6.6 10.1 15.4 23.6 35.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.2 5.8 10.1 14.5 18.3 19.0 15.6 8.7 2.7
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.0 6.3 9.7 12.3 14.1 14.8 13.1 10.2 6.6 3.6
Wagner 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.7 8.4 10.8 13.1 13.9 13.5 11.6 8.3 5.0 2.3
Le Moyne 7 - 9 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 5.7 9.9 13.6 16.3 16.6 13.8 10.0 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.6 8.3 11.8 14.8 15.4 14.6 11.4 8.1 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
New Haven 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.8 7.3 10.5 12.4 13.4 13.1 11.6 9.2 6.2 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.4
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.5 10.2 12.5 14.0 14.2 11.7 9.1 6.3 3.7 1.7 0.8 0.3
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.8 7.7 11.2 13.4 14.4 14.0 11.6 8.2 5.6 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.7 2.7 6.2 10.4 13.4 14.9 14.3 12.6 9.7 6.6 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 1.3 5.4 10.7 15.5 17.5 16.7 13.2 9.2 5.7 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 29.2% 17.9 8.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 35.3% 24.4 8.4 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wagner 27.6% 18.3 7.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 2.1% 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 4.7% 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Haven 8.5% 4.7 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 7.7% 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 6.5% 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.2% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 42.0% 42.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.9 4.7 15.7 20.6 58.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.6 18.6 77.0 0.0%
Wagner 19.3% 19.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 17.7 80.7 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 6.8 93.2 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 5.9 94.1 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.2 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 42.0% 8.8% 37.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.0% 12.2% 16.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 19.3% 14.1% 12.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.8% 6.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.9% 5.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 72.8% 0.7 27.2 72.8
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0