Northeast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
213 Wagner 71.9%   16   3 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 7 12 - 4 -2.6      -1.5 212 -1.1 211 66.4 238 +4.4 109 0.0 1
302 Sacred Heart 13.0%   4 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 13 10 - 6 -7.8      -1.9 221 -5.9 317 77.2 27 -5.3 254 0.0 1
321 Fairleigh Dickinson 5.1%   2 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 8 -9.9      +0.1 168 -10.0 362 73.6 73 -11.0 315 0.0 1
324 St. Francis (PA) 4.4%   1 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 17 8 - 8 -10.3      -4.2 303 -6.1 319 68.2 199 -17.9 357 0.0 1
338 St. Francis Brooklyn 2.0%   2 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 16 7 - 9 -12.1      -5.7 330 -6.4 328 67.1 224 -6.7 276 0.0 1
341 Merrimack 1.5%   0 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 9 -12.3      -9.3 357 -2.9 266 67.6 216 -13.4 333 0.0 1
342 Central Connecticut St. 1.3%   0 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 21 7 - 9 -12.4      -6.3 337 -6.1 321 63.7 309 -17.9 356 0.0 1
345 Stonehill 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 20 7 - 9 -12.9      -3.4 280 -9.4 359 71.8 106 -7.7 290 0.0 1
350 LIU Brooklyn 0.9%   0 - 5 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 10 -13.8      -8.8 354 -5.0 307 79.6 13 -13.4 332 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Wagner 1.6 67.4 17.2 7.1 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1
Sacred Heart 3.3 18.3 26.2 17.8 12.8 9.4 6.5 4.6 2.9 1.7
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.2 9.3 16.8 17.1 15.1 12.7 10.8 8.4 6.1 3.8
St. Francis (PA) 4.5 8.1 15.4 15.7 14.5 13.0 11.3 9.6 7.3 5.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.4 4.2 9.7 11.9 12.5 12.9 12.9 12.9 11.9 11.1
Merrimack 5.5 3.7 8.5 11.0 12.4 13.1 13.7 13.6 13.0 11.0
Central Connecticut St. 5.6 3.1 8.4 10.6 12.6 13.0 13.5 14.2 13.3 11.4
Stonehill 5.8 2.7 6.7 9.7 11.3 12.7 13.9 14.9 14.9 13.3
LIU Brooklyn 6.2 2.3 5.8 7.8 9.2 11.0 12.7 14.3 16.7 20.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Wagner 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.1 5.2 8.4 12.2 16.3 17.8 17.0 12.3 4.9
Sacred Heart 10 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.3 5.5 8.7 12.5 14.7 15.3 14.1 11.0 7.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.7 9.9 13.3 15.0 15.5 12.5 9.6 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.6 7.9 10.9 13.6 14.7 14.2 11.9 9.1 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
St. Francis Brooklyn 7 - 9 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.2 8.6 11.6 13.7 14.4 13.5 11.3 8.4 5.2 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Merrimack 7 - 9 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.2 9.1 12.3 14.7 14.7 13.4 11.0 7.7 4.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 9 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.4 9.2 12.5 15.1 14.6 14.1 10.6 7.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 7 - 9 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.5 10.2 13.7 15.3 15.1 12.9 9.4 6.3 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 6 - 10 0.7 2.3 5.2 8.8 12.4 14.4 14.1 13.2 10.8 7.7 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 67.4% 55.2 10.1 1.8 0.3 0.0
Sacred Heart 18.3% 11.4 5.5 1.3 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9.3% 5.0 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 8.1% 4.6 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.2% 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Merrimack 3.7% 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 3.1% 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 2.7% 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 2.3% 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 71.9% 71.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.5 2.5 10.0 22.2 36.6 28.1 0.0%
Sacred Heart 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.1 87.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 5.0 94.9 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 4.3 95.6 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
Merrimack 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Wagner 71.9% 20.9% 60.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 13.0% 9.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 4.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 73.6% 0.7 26.4 73.6
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0