Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
201 LIU Brooklyn 40.5%   16   6 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 4 -2.6      -0.9 190 -1.7 233 73.0 89 +0.8 156 0.0 1
244 Central Connecticut St. 28.8%   4 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 6 -4.7      -4.0 280 -0.6 188 64.9 302 +1.1 155 0.0 1
303 Wagner 14.8%   1 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 8 -7.8      -5.2 308 -2.6 257 68.9 203 -8.1 288 0.0 1
311 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 6 -8.8      -1.3 206 -7.5 356 70.9 147 -6.4 260 0.0 1
329 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -10.1      -6.0 330 -4.1 314 62.1 347 -9.9 309 0.0 1
337 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -10.8      -7.7 349 -3.1 276 63.0 333 -9.1 301 0.0 1
340 Chicago St. 5.4%   1 - 10 0 - 0 9 - 21 8 - 10 -11.1      -5.2 310 -5.9 344 71.0 141 -9.3 302 0.0 1
341 Stonehill 5.8%   1 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.2      -8.0 352 -3.2 280 66.6 265 -16.7 355 0.0 1
361 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.5%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.8      -6.4 336 -8.4 361 71.9 116 -21.0 364 0.0 1
363 St. Francis (PA) 0.9%   0 - 9 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 10 -15.6      -9.9 360 -5.7 341 73.3 76 -16.2 352 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 13 201 LIU Brooklyn 70 240 La Salle 60   
Sat, Dec 13 356 Binghamton 67 244 Central Connecticut St. 84   
Sat, Dec 13 127 Davidson 80 329 Mercyhurst 47   
Sun, Dec 14 340 Chicago St. 84 288 Loyola Chicago 75   
Sun, Dec 14 363 St. Francis (PA) 67 156 Temple 95   
Tue, Dec 16 201 LIU Brooklyn 83 84 Mississippi St. 87   
Tue, Dec 16 124 Bowling Green 76 340 Chicago St. 55   
Tue, Dec 16 311 Le Moyne 53 36 Texas 95   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 17 334 New Hampshire 69 341 Stonehill 66 64%   
Wed, Dec 17 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 62 303 Wagner 69 74%   
Wed, Dec 17 329 Mercyhurst 58 69 Syracuse 79 96%   
Wed, Dec 17 13 Florida 94 363 St. Francis (PA) 57 100%   
Thu, Dec 18 244 Central Connecticut St. 72 298 Fairfield 66 71%   
Sat, Dec 20 187 Florida International 82 201 LIU Brooklyn 78 65%   
Sat, Dec 20 311 Le Moyne 68 112 St. Bonaventure 83 91%   
Sat, Dec 20 356 Binghamton 63 329 Mercyhurst 70 75%   
Sat, Dec 20 186 Robert Morris 77 363 St. Francis (PA) 66 85%   
Sat, Dec 20 340 Chicago St. 61 26 Indiana 90 99%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 2.7 27.0 28.5 19.0 11.7 6.7 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.2 46.5 19.8 12.0 7.5 4.6 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2
Wagner 3.6 20.7 19.5 15.7 13.0 9.5 7.6 5.5 4.1 2.6 1.3
Le Moyne 5.8 1.9 5.6 9.7 13.1 14.3 15.5 14.6 12.3 8.6 4.4
Mercyhurst 5.6 4.0 7.7 10.0 12.8 13.8 14.2 13.1 11.6 8.6 4.3
New Haven 5.2 7.3 9.7 12.1 13.0 12.9 12.0 11.1 9.7 7.6 4.5
Chicago St. 5.4 5.2 8.7 11.3 13.5 13.6 13.0 12.1 10.2 8.0 4.3
Stonehill 5.4 5.8 8.8 11.1 12.6 12.8 12.5 12.1 10.5 8.6 5.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.0 2.2 4.0 6.1 8.0 10.3 12.7 15.7 19.5 20.6
St. Francis (PA) 8.3 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.3 7.1 10.2 15.4 23.4 34.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.6 9.9 14.3 18.5 19.1 15.9 9.0 3.0
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 4.2 6.3 9.6 12.4 14.5 14.9 14.1 10.5 6.2
Wagner 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.6 7.1 9.6 11.9 13.5 13.7 11.9 9.8 6.8 3.9 1.7
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.5 9.1 13.5 16.5 16.3 14.5 10.6 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.1
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 5.3 8.9 12.3 14.8 15.4 13.9 10.8 7.2 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
New Haven 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.8 7.5 10.4 13.0 13.5 13.5 11.3 8.9 6.2 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.9 7.9 11.2 13.8 14.5 14.4 11.4 8.4 5.0 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.2 11.4 13.7 13.9 13.1 11.1 8.1 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.7 2.7 6.3 10.3 13.2 14.9 14.3 12.8 9.7 7.0 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 1.5 5.4 10.7 15.5 17.5 16.1 13.5 9.4 5.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 27.0% 16.3 8.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 46.5% 34.0 9.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Wagner 20.7% 13.1 5.8 1.5 0.3 0.0
Le Moyne 1.9% 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 4.0% 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Haven 7.3% 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 5.2% 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 5.8% 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 40.5% 40.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.9 5.1 15.3 19.0 59.5 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 30.9% 30.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 7.8 20.1 69.1 0.0%
Wagner 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 14.0 84.9 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 5.4 94.6 0.0%
Stonehill 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 5.8 94.2 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 40.5% 8.1% 36.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 30.9% 11.4% 24.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 15.1% 11.6% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 5.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 75.8% 0.8 24.2 75.8
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0