New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.6 326
Results Rating -10.2 323
Consistency 0.18 320
Pace 60.7 353
Improvement +2.7 91

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 347 D F+ D+ D- C-
Defense C- 235 D+ C C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 C+ 59% 143 -1.0 217
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 168 D 34% 314 -0.4 199
Three Pointers 41% 168 D- 29% 337 -2.5 264
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 231 D -3.4 297
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 298
Second Chance F 20.6% 359 D 0.95 303 F+ 0.20 358
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 200
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 332
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 282
Freethrows D 0.26 320 C- 72% 220 D- 0.19 327
Total Offense D- -8.6 347

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 38% 322 C 11.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 225 B+ 2.1% 15
Three Pointers B+ 91% 31 B 0.3% 49
Total D+ 51% 282 B- 4.7% 78


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 133 C- 60% 243 +2.1 252
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 300 C- 40% 249 -1.2 98
Three Pointers 43% 123 C- 35% 229 +1.5 266
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 284 D+ +1.7 253
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 264
Second Chance B- 27.6% 78 D 1.13 314 C 0.31 194
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 201
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 231
Turnovers C- 15.9% 225
Freethrows B- 0.27 88 F 77% 358 C+ 0.21 143
Total Defense C- -2.0 235

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 85 D 7.2% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 119 F+ 1.0% 354
Three Pointers B- 80% 73 D+ 0.5% 261
Total B- 52% 115 D- 3.3% 340

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.3 365 16.6 44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 346 0.17 161
Consistency 0.13 258 0.12 184
Improvement +1.9 96 +0.7 153

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 326 326 326
Results Rating Rank 323 323 323
Conference Record 9 - 7 9 - 7 9 - 7
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Connecticut L 55 - 79 1% -12  0% 0 - 1 C -1 D -6 B+ F B+ B- +3 B C B
 Fri, Nov 7 200 Columbia L 53 - 71 30% -16  0% 0 - 2 F -23 F -21 F D- F C- -3 F A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 123 Penn St. L 43 - 87 17% -18  14% 0 - 3 F -44 F -29 F F F F -20 D+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 315 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 67 35% -1  42% 1 - 3 C -1 D -4 C+ D+ F B +4 A+ F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 360 Delaware St. W 65 - 52 84% +7  92% 2 - 3 D+ -8 F -11 C- F F B +4 B+ C+ F+
 Tue, Nov 18 52 @Seton Hall L 45 - 68 2% -14  0% 2 - 4 D -9 F -13 D- D- C+ C+ +1 D- A C+
 Sat, Dec 6 131 @Boston College L 63 - 67 8% +3  73% 2 - 5 C +1 C+ +2 C D+ C- C- -2 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 333 @NJIT L 64 - 70 43% -4  4% 2 - 6 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D A D -6 F A- D+
 Mon, Dec 22 153 @Fordham L 47 - 65 10% -5  37% 2 - 7 D- -15 F -18 D F F B- +2 D F+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 9 @Vanderbilt L 53 - 96 1% -24  0% 2 - 8 F -20 F -13 D F C F+ -8 F D+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 331 @Stonehill W 70 - 55 41% +5  53% 3 - 8 1 - 0 B- +7 C +1 B D C B+ +7 B+ D D+
 Sun, Jan 4 308 @Central Connecticut St. L 61 - 72 33% -10  0% 3 - 9 1 - 1 F+ -17 D- -7 F+ A F F -13 F D- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 301 @Le Moyne L 47 - 73 31% -16  4% 3 - 10 1 - 2 F -32 F -23 F F F F -12 F F+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 65 - 55 67% +10  96% 4 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -5 F -10 B- F+ D B+ +6 A A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 310 Wagner W 80 - 74 56% +8  97% 5 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -6 A +12 A+ F C- F -17 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 347 @Chicago St. W 62 - 56 49% -3  18% 6 - 10 4 - 2 C- -4 D- -7 D C- F B +4 F+ A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 23 291 Mercyhurst L 57 - 61 50% +0  43% 6 - 11 4 - 3 D- -15 F -11 C D- F D+ -4 F+ B C
 Thu, Jan 29 291 @Mercyhurst L 51 - 70 28% -13  1% 6 - 12 4 - 4 F -24 F -18 F F B F+ -9 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 69 56% +5  77% 7 - 12 5 - 4 C -0 C+ +3 B F B+ C- -3 C D+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 223 @LIU Brooklyn L 55 - 60 17% -7  3% 7 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -5 F -13 D+ F B A- +7 A+ C- C+
 Sat, Feb 7 347 Chicago St. L 57 - 63 71% -6  7% 7 - 14 5 - 6 F -22 F -16 D F C D- -7 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 308 Central Connecticut St. L 76 - 81 56% -6  10% 7 - 15 5 - 7 F+ -17 D -6 F+ B+ F+ F -12 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 223 LIU Brooklyn W 55 - 52 34% +10  99% 8 - 15 6 - 7 C- -3 F -15 F C+ A- A+ +12 A+ F+ A
 Thu, Feb 19 331 Stonehill W 64 - 51 64% +6  96% 9 - 15 7 - 7 C -1 D- -8 C- F+ D- A- +7 A- B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 84 - 77 45% +13  98% 10 - 15 8 - 7 C- -2 A +13 A+ B- B F -15 F D D
 Tue, Feb 24 355 St. Francis (PA) L 67 - 73 76% -3  30% 10 - 16 8 - 8 F -24 F -11 C- F A+ F -14 F F+ B-
 Thu, Feb 26 310 @Wagner L 62 - 65 33% +2  67% 10 - 17 8 - 9 D -9 D- -8 F F+ A C -1 C+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 301 Le Moyne W 66 - 59 54% -1  38% 11 - 17 9 - 9 C- -5 F -12 D- F D A- +8 A+ A+ F
Totals 11 - 17 9 - 9 -11 D- -9 A- D C- C- -2 D- C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C+ D D- D 36% 39% 41% C- D F D F+ D+ D C- D- C- C- C- C- D+ 40% 17% 43% D+ D+ B- D C C- B- F C+
0.96 59% 34% 29% -3 0 0.94 21% 0.9 .20 18% .26 72% .19 1.11 60% 40% 35% +2 +1 1.07 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 77% .20
Nov
3		 Connecticut D B A+ F A- 39% 33% 29% D B+ F F F B+ F F F B- B+ F D+ B+ 47% 6% 47% F+ B A- F C B F+ F F
0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11 1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31
Nov
7		 Columbia F F F F F 41% 22% 37% C- F D- D D- F C- A C+ C- F B- F F 52% 14% 34% D- F B+ A+ A+ A- C- A- C
0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24 1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
8		 Penn St. F F+ B F F 36% 18% 46% C F F+ F+ F F D F F+ F A F F C- 49% 10% 41% F D+ F F F F B+ C B
0.69 50% 43% 22% -10 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 31% .19 63% .12 1.40 48% 80% 43% +5 +2 1.16 40% 1.6 .63 10% .28 75% .21
Nov
10		 Umass Lowell D C C+ A- B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ C- D+ D+ F C D- C- B A+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% C- A+ C- F F D+ F F F
1.07 59% 42% 40% +4 0 1.10 30% 1.1 .33 20% .28 67% .18 0.98 29% 43% 25% -16 +1 0.71 33% 1.5 .51 18% .48 78% .37
Nov
15		 Delaware St. F A+ C F C 35% 20% 45% D C- D F F F A- B A B F+ A+ A+ B+ 30% 36% 34% B- B+ A+ F C+ F+ A D+ A-
0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31 0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13
Nov
18		 Seton Hall F D- F D D 28% 28% 43% F D- F A+ D- C+ F F F C+ D- A+ F F+ 41% 18% 41% C- D- A+ D A C+ A+ F A+
0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10 1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15
Dec
6		 Boston College C+ D A+ F B- 23% 34% 43% F C C+ F D+ C- A+ A+ A+ C- C D- F F 18% 28% 55% A F D+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.01 50% 53% 26% -2 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38 1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36
Dec
10		 NJIT F+ D+ F+ F F 47% 25% 27% C- F C F D A D+ F F+ D F F A- F 30% 19% 51% D F A A A- D+ F C F
0.96 54% 29% 20% -10 0 0.82 34% 0.9 .30 11% .32 58% .19 1.05 69% 63% 27% +3 0 1.07 19% 0.7 .13 17% .56 71% .40
Dec
22		 Fordham F A+ F F D 26% 30% 44% D D F F F F F F F B- F D A D- 40% 27% 33% B- D C F F+ A+ A D A-
0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02 1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12
Dec
29		 Vanderbilt F C+ D- F D- 48% 24% 28% B D F D- F C F D+ F F+ F A+ F F 56% 7% 37% F F F+ B- D+ C A+ F A+
0.77 58% 31% 13% -11 0 0.81 14% 0.8 .11 19% .13 71% .09 1.40 75% 25% 43% +13 +3 1.35 39% 1.1 .43 13% .20 92% .18
Jan
2		 Stonehill C C+ F A+ B+ 36% 23% 42% D+ B F A+ D C F D F B+ A- A+ A+ A 55% 10% 35% F B+ C F D D+ C+ F+ C-
1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10 0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17
Jan
4		 Central Connecticut St. D- C- D- F F+ 37% 12% 51% C- F+ A- B+ A F F F F F C+ D- F F 29% 23% 48% F+ F C+ F D- D+ A+ A- A+
1.04 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 19% .06 67% .04 1.23 57% 45% 48% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .32 15% .14 71% .10
Jan
8		 Le Moyne F D- F F F 33% 19% 49% C- F F F F F A F F+ F F B A- F 37% 14% 49% C- F D D- F+ F F A D-
0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19 1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28
Jan
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson F A+ F C C+ 46% 18% 36% B- B- F A+ F+ D A+ F B- B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 58% F A B+ A+ A F+ F+ D+ F+
1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27 0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24
Jan
17		 Wagner A A F A+ A+ 28% 15% 57% D A+ F F F C- F A+ C- F F D- F F 36% 20% 44% D+ F F B+ F A+ A+ C A+
1.32 69% 14% 58% +20 0 1.41 21% 0.4 .08 15% .27 93% .25 1.22 69% 44% 45% +12 0 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 28% .16 71% .11
Jan
19		 Chicago St. D- C F D F+ 41% 3% 56% B+ D A F C- F C A+ A B C- D+ C D 48% 26% 26% F F+ B- A+ A+ B- A C A
1.06 63% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.05 46% 0.8 .39 29% .34 100% .34 0.95 55% 42% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
23		 Mercyhurst F A A- F C+ 44% 23% 33% D+ C F+ C- D- F C C C D+ C+ D F D- 48% 24% 28% F F+ A+ F B C A F C+
0.97 71% 44% 23% +1 0 1.05 24% 1.0 .24 24% .38 71% .27 1.04 55% 45% 38% +2 0 1.07 12% 1.7 .20 15% .14 100% .14
Jan
29		 Mercyhurst F F+ A+ F F 38% 31% 31% F F F C- F B A- F C F+ A+ C+ C- A+ 35% 35% 29% C A C- F F F D- F F
0.84 50% 54% 8% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 15% .44 61% .27 1.15 28% 39% 33% -11 -2 0.76 27% 1.9 .51 7% .26 87% .23
Jan
31		 St. Francis (PA) C+ A+ F A+ B+ 36% 20% 43% D B F C+ F B+ A+ A- A+ C- D A+ B- C+ 44% 18% 38% F+ C B+ F D+ F+ D- B- D
1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37 1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21
Feb
5		 LIU Brooklyn F C- A+ F D+ 52% 22% 26% C D+ F F F B D F F+ A- B C A+ A+ 37% 22% 41% C A+ C- D+ C- C+ B- F C-
0.87 54% 60% 17% -4 +1 0.96 13% 0.8 .10 16% .28 60% .17 0.95 53% 40% 21% -9 0 0.83 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 77% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Chicago St. F F+ F B- D- 34% 5% 61% B- D F A+ F C F F F D- B- F D F 26% 43% 30% A F A+ A+ A+ F D+ D- D
0.97 53% 0% 37% -1 +2 1.05 10% 1.7 .16 19% .25 67% .17 1.07 50% 55% 36% +6 -4 1.07 19% 0.3 .06 8% .28 80% .22
Feb
12		 Central Connecticut St. D D- B F F+ 50% 19% 31% C F+ D- A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 30% 35% 35% C+ F A A+ A+ A F B+ F
1.10 50% 44% 27% -6 +1 0.92 26% 1.6 .42 16% .38 95% .36 1.17 79% 44% 56% +20 -2 1.37 19% 0.6 .12 22% .41 73% .30
Feb
14		 LIU Brooklyn F F F F F 48% 14% 39% B- F D- A+ C+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C- A+ B- F F+ A A+ F A
0.89 38% 17% 18% -22 +2 0.61 28% 1.4 .38 15% .47 68% .32 0.84 57% 25% 8% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.3 .41 24% .17 75% .13
Feb
19		 Stonehill D- C A- F D+ 55% 18% 27% B+ C- C+ F F+ D- F+ B+ D- A- A+ F+ B- A 42% 18% 40% D+ A- A+ F B- F B- A+ A
0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16 0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09
Feb
21		 Fairleigh Dickinson A A+ D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% D+ A+ F A+ B- B B- F F F F B D- F 39% 18% 43% D F D+ D D D C- D D+
1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18 1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21
Feb
24		 St. Francis (PA) F A+ C C- C 26% 16% 58% D- C- F F F A+ F+ F F F F F A+ F 48% 19% 33% F F A F F+ B- F F F
1.07 85% 38% 34% +7 0 1.16 12% 0.5 .06 10% .28 56% .16 1.16 75% 63% 21% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.8 .35 21% .34 100% .34
Feb
26		 Wagner D- F F F F 44% 10% 46% B- F F B F+ A C A+ A C A+ F B C+ 30% 21% 49% C+ C+ A F C+ F C+ F D+
0.99 43% 20% 23% -16 +2 0.73 19% 1.1 .22 10% .37 90% .34 1.04 36% 60% 30% -5 -1 0.91 25% 1.3 .31 13% .26 86% .22
Feb
28		 Le Moyne F A- F F D- 39% 15% 46% C+ D- F F F D A+ B+ A+ A- B- D A+ A+ 35% 24% 41% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B F D+
0.97 67% 0% 29% -6 +1 0.91 9% 0.7 .06 16% .49 79% .38 0.87 56% 42% 19% -9 -1 0.82 11% 0.5 .06 15% .29 88% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%