New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#302
Pace63.1#332
Improvement-0.1#197

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#349
First Shot-4.0#288
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#352
Layup/Dunks-0.6#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#286
Freethrows-2.5#312
Improvement+2.1#43

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#277
First Shot-4.4#319
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#96
Layups/Dunks+0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#307
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-2.2#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 15.6% 32.9% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 62.2% 72.2% 60.5%
Conference Champion 7.6% 12.2% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 4.5% 8.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 6 @Connecticut L 55-79 0.5%    0 - 1 -0.4 -3.1 +1.5
  Fri, Nov 7 138 Columbia L 53-71 19%     0 - 2 -19.5 -17.1 -3.6
  Sat, Nov 8 104 Penn St. L 43-87 13%     0 - 3 -42.8 -26.7 -21.6
  Mon, Nov 10 304 @Umass Lowell W 73-67 28%     1 - 3 +1.1 -0.4 +1.6
  Sat, Nov 15 348 Delaware St. W 65-52 66%     2 - 3 -2.1 -8.4 +7.1
  Tue, Nov 18 56 @Seton Hall L 45-68 3%     2 - 4 -10.4 -13.3 -0.3
  Sat, Dec 6 150 @Boston College L 63-67 9%     2 - 5 -0.3 +2.8 -3.6
  Wed, Dec 10 352 @NJIT L 64-70 47%     2 - 6 -15.9 -6.8 -9.5
  Mon, Dec 22 198 @Fordham L 58-69 14%    
  Mon, Dec 29 11 @Vanderbilt L 57-89 0.1%   
  Fri, Jan 2 340 @Stonehill L 63-66 41%    
  Sun, Jan 4 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 60-69 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 307 @Le Moyne L 69-75 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 301 Wagner L 66-67 50%    
  Mon, Jan 19 350 @Chicago St. L 69-70 45%    
  Fri, Jan 23 328 Mercyhurst W 65-63 58%    
  Sun, Jan 25 363 St. Francis (PA) W 71-64 75%    
  Thu, Jan 29 328 @Mercyhurst L 62-66 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 68-67 55%    
  Thu, Feb 5 213 @LIU Brooklyn L 64-75 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 350 Chicago St. W 72-67 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 241 Central Connecticut St. L 63-66 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 213 LIU Brooklyn L 67-72 34%    
  Thu, Feb 19 340 Stonehill W 66-63 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-70 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 301 @Wagner L 64-70 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 307 Le Moyne W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 6.0 4.3 0.9 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.8 4.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.7 1.0 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.6 7.1 10.0 12.6 13.8 13.8 11.6 9.2 6.5 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 96.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-1 94.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1
14-2 81.1% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0
13-3 55.2% 2.2    1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-4 26.7% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
11-5 6.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.0 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 0.3
15-1 0.9% 0.9
14-2 2.1% 2.1
13-3 4.0% 4.0
12-4 6.5% 6.5
11-5 9.2% 9.2
10-6 11.6% 11.6
9-7 13.8% 13.8
8-8 13.8% 13.8
7-9 12.6% 12.6
6-10 10.0% 10.0
5-11 7.1% 7.1
4-12 4.6% 4.6
3-13 2.2% 2.2
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%