Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#321
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#315
Pace73.6#73
Improvement-0.7#357

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#168
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#101
Layup/Dunks-2.1#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-2.3#314
Improvement-0.3#295

Defense
Total Defense-10.0#362
First Shot-10.2#363
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#177
Layups/Dunks-5.2#327
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#277
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement-0.4#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 8.2% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 21.4% 41.6% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.9% 75.2% 62.0%
Conference Champion 9.3% 13.4% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 3.8% 7.7%
First Four4.6% 6.9% 4.2%
First Round2.2% 4.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 6
Quad 412 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 171   @ Loyola Chicago L 82-88 OT 12%     0 - 1 -3.1 +2.1 -4.4
  Nov 13, 2022 265   Manhattan W 77-74 44%     1 - 1 -5.4 -1.8 -3.7
  Nov 18, 2022 227   SIU Edwardsville L 78-79 27%     1 - 2 -4.6 -0.6 -3.8
  Nov 19, 2022 184   @ Longwood L 83-99 13%     1 - 3 -13.7 +13.4 -27.5
  Nov 20, 2022 332   VMI W 93-89 58%     2 - 3 -7.8 +7.8 -15.8
  Nov 22, 2022 106   @ Pittsburgh L 61-83 6%     2 - 4 -14.6 -8.5 -6.3
  Nov 27, 2022 206   @ St. Peter's L 63-77 15%     2 - 5 -12.9 -2.3 -11.6
  Nov 30, 2022 361   @ Hartford L 66-74 66%     2 - 6 -22.1 -13.1 -8.9
  Dec 03, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-85 14%    
  Dec 09, 2022 348   @ Columbia W 81-80 51%    
  Dec 11, 2022 317   NJIT W 75-72 59%    
  Dec 13, 2022 100   @ Richmond L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 22, 2022 243   Queens L 78-81 40%    
  Dec 29, 2022 341   Merrimack W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 05, 2023 338   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 07, 2023 350   LIU Brooklyn W 85-78 74%    
  Jan 14, 2023 342   @ Central Connecticut St. L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 16, 2023 345   @ Stonehill L 82-83 50%    
  Jan 20, 2023 302   Sacred Heart W 85-84 54%    
  Jan 22, 2023 345   Stonehill W 85-79 71%    
  Jan 26, 2023 324   St. Francis (PA) W 80-77 62%    
  Jan 28, 2023 341   @ Merrimack L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 04, 2023 213   Wagner L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 09, 2023 350   @ LIU Brooklyn W 82-81 53%    
  Feb 11, 2023 342   Central Connecticut St. W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 16, 2023 302   @ Sacred Heart L 82-87 33%    
  Feb 18, 2023 213   @ Wagner L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 23, 2023 324   @ St. Francis (PA) L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 25, 2023 338   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-74 68%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.9 6.0 3.2 0.9 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 7.0 6.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.8 5.8 1.1 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.6 5.2 1.0 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.2 0.9 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.1 1.1 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.7 9.9 13.3 15.0 15.5 12.5 9.6 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 93.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2
13-3 73.8% 2.4    1.7 0.7 0.0
12-4 47.1% 3.0    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.5% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.0 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 63.3% 63.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 30.1% 30.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.3% 34.2% 34.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8
13-3 3.3% 23.2% 23.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 2.5
12-4 6.4% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 5.4
11-5 9.6% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.9 8.7
10-6 12.5% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.8 11.7
9-7 15.5% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 14.9
8-8 15.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.7
7-9 13.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.2
6-10 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.9
5-11 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.7
4-12 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-13 1.7% 1.7
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.0 94.9 0.0%