IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.6	#351
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#96
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#348

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	17.1%	7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.3	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	11.0%	34.7%	10.6%
.500 or above in Conference	62.7%	84.0%	62.3%
Conference Champion	13.7%	29.3%	13.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.8%	0.8%	6.9%

First Four	6.7%	12.6%	6.6%
First Round	3.7%	14.3%	3.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 11	11 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	83	@ DePaul	L	61-83	2%
Nov 06, 2025	70	@ Saint Louis	L	61-85	1%
Nov 11, 2025	66	@ Butler	L	61-86	1%
Nov 15, 2025	153	Illinois-Chicago	L	69-79	19%
Nov 18, 2025	87	@ Minnesota	L	56-78	3%
Nov 20, 2025	34	@ Iowa	L	63-92	1%
Nov 25, 2025	193	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-82	12%
Nov 28, 2025	184	@ Youngstown St.	L	66-80	11%
Dec 01, 2025	312	South Carolina St.	L	72-73	46%
Dec 06, 2025	105	@ Illinois St.	L	62-82	4%
Dec 14, 2025	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-81	3%
Dec 16, 2025	212	@ Bowling Green	L	66-79	14%
Dec 20, 2025	33	@ Indiana	L	58-87	1%
Jan 02, 2026	335	Wagner	W	61-60	53%
Jan 04, 2026	297	LIU Brooklyn	L	66-68	43%
Jan 08, 2026	350	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-75	39%
Jan 10, 2026	339	@ Stonehill	L	66-70	36%
Jan 17, 2026	344	Le Moyne	W	77-75	57%
Jan 19, 2026	363	New Haven	W	76-67	77%
Jan 23, 2026	345	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	69-73	38%
Jan 25, 2026	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	69-67	55%
Jan 29, 2026	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	72-70	57%
Jan 31, 2026	362	Mercyhurst	W	72-64	74%
Feb 05, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	63-71	27%
Feb 07, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	73-70	59%
Feb 12, 2026	339	Stonehill	W	69-67	56%
Feb 14, 2026	344	@ Le Moyne	L	74-78	36%
Feb 19, 2026	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	75-72	59%
Feb 21, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	66-68	45%
Feb 26, 2026	297	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	63-71	25%
Feb 28, 2026	335	@ Wagner	L	58-63	35%
Projected Record						10 - 21	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.2	2.3	3.4	2.9	2.1	1.1		13.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	2.9	4.6	3.6	2.1	0.8	0.2	0.0		14.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	3.5	4.9	3.1	1.1	0.3	0.0				13.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.8	3.6	5.4	2.4	0.4	0.0						12.8	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	3.7	4.9	1.8	0.2	0.0							11.4	5th
6th					0.0	0.5	2.8	4.2	1.6	0.1									9.2	6th
7th				0.0	0.6	2.1	3.7	1.5	0.1										7.9	7th
8th				0.3	1.8	3.0	1.7	0.1											7.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.5	2.3	1.1	0.2												5.4	9th
10th	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.2	0.6	0.1													3.9	10th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.0	5.3	6.8	9.1	10.3	11.1	11.5	10.8	9.3	7.0	5.8	3.7	2.3	1.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	97.5%	1.1		1.1	0.0
15-1	89.9%	2.1		1.8	0.3	0.0
14-2	77.2%	2.9		2.1	0.8	0.0
13-3	59.2%	3.4		2.3	1.0	0.1	0.0
12-4	33.3%	2.3		1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0
11-5	12.9%	1.2		0.2	0.6	0.3	0.1
10-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	13.3%	13.3		8.6	3.7	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.1%		37.6%	37.6%		19.1															0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7
15-1	2.3%		31.6%	31.6%		18.4														0.0		0.1	0.7	1.6
14-2	3.7%		23.0%	23.0%		17.7																0.1	0.9	2.9
13-3	5.8%		18.7%	18.7%		17.0																0.0	1.1	4.7
12-4	7.0%		14.1%	14.1%		16.2																	1.0	6.0
11-5	9.3%		9.8%	9.8%		16.0																	0.9	8.4
10-6	10.8%		7.1%	7.1%		16.0																	0.8	10.0
9-7	11.5%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																	0.6	10.9
8-8	11.1%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	10.7
7-9	10.3%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.3	10.0
6-10	9.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	9.0
5-11	6.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
4-12	5.3%																							5.3
3-13	3.0%																							3.0
2-14	1.6%																							1.6
1-15	0.6%																							0.6
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	16.8														0.0	0.0	0.3	7.3	92.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%