Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#350
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#320
Pace71.0#143
Improvement-1.5#286

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#326
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#142
Layup/Dunks-6.0#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#359
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement-0.6#225

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#349
First Shot-6.9#358
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#181
Layups/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#361
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement-1.0#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 2.2% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 54.7% 43.3%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.0% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.0% 10.3% 16.0%
First Four3.7% 5.0% 3.4%
First Round1.5% 2.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 17.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 48 - 128 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 114 @DePaul L 62-92 5%     0 - 1 -23.7 -8.5 -14.1
  Thu, Nov 6 42 @Saint Louis L 86-108 1%     0 - 2 -7.4 +4.6 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 54 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -19.1 -5.5 -12.2
  Sat, Nov 15 190 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 23%     0 - 4 -8.9 -6.5 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 103 @Minnesota L 54-66 4%     0 - 5 -4.6 -8.7 +2.8
  Thu, Nov 20 23 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -20.9 -2.4 -24.2
  Tue, Nov 25 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 13%     0 - 7 -13.4 +4.6 -18.4
  Fri, Nov 28 166 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 9%     0 - 8 -20.6 -6.0 -14.5
  Sat, Dec 6 90 @Illinois St. L 53-95 3%     0 - 9 -33.3 -14.2 -20.9
  Sun, Dec 14 263 @Loyola Chicago L 69-79 18%    
  Tue, Dec 16 125 @Bowling Green L 66-84 5%    
  Sat, Dec 20 27 @Indiana L 60-90 0.2%   
  Fri, Jan 2 301 Wagner L 72-74 43%    
  Sun, Jan 4 213 LIU Brooklyn L 74-80 28%    
  Thu, Jan 8 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 @Stonehill L 69-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 307 Le Moyne L 79-80 45%    
  Mon, Jan 19 337 New Haven W 70-69 55%    
  Fri, Jan 23 363 @St. Francis (PA) L 74-75 49%    
  Sun, Jan 25 328 @Mercyhurst L 68-73 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 363 St. Francis (PA) W 78-72 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 328 Mercyhurst W 71-70 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 65-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 337 @New Haven L 67-72 33%    
  Thu, Feb 12 340 Stonehill W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 307 @Le Moyne L 76-83 26%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-75 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 241 Central Connecticut St. L 68-73 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 213 @LIU Brooklyn L 71-83 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 301 @Wagner L 69-77 25%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.3 4.2 0.6 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.6 5.0 0.8 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 5.4 5.9 1.2 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.4 1.4 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 8.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.8 7.8 10.9 13.7 14.5 13.2 11.6 8.7 5.5 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 95.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 80.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 56.3% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-4 29.3% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 6.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 34.8% 34.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.3% 25.0% 25.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 0.8% 21.8% 21.8% 16.0 0.2 0.6
13-3 1.7% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 0.4 1.4
12-4 3.4% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.4 3.0
11-5 5.5% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.6 4.9
10-6 8.7% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.6 8.2
9-7 11.6% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 11.0
8-8 13.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 12.9
7-9 14.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.2
6-10 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.5
5-11 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.8
4-12 7.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.7
3-13 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-14 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-15 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.7 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%