LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.6 #203
Expected Predictive Rating +0.6 #148
Pace 70.4 #132
Improvement +1.1 #137

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #245 C C+ F+ D+ C
Defense #161 C D+ C+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #40 1.14 #203 +2.7 #90
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #84 0.82 #85 +2.6 #60
Three Pointers 31% #351 1.02 #184 -5.4 #333
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #177 +0.0 #177
Freethrows 0.30 #219 65% #358 0.19 #289
Second Chance 35.2% #58 0.98 #237 0.35 #100
Turnovers 20.6% #344
Total Offense -2.6 #245

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #9 1.12 #120 -3.8 #307
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #222 0.76 #185 +0.6 #143
Three Pointers 34% #343 1.03 #208 +3.2 #57
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #180 +0.0 #183
Freethrows 0.33 #260 68% #25 0.23 #209
Second Chance 33.3% #294 1.06 #238 0.35 #287
Turnovers 18.0% #119
Total Defense +0.0 #161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #222 1.6% #311
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.4% #169 -1.5% #153
Possession Length 17.2 #162 16.9 #130
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #17 0.21 #290
Improvement -2.7 #321 +3.8 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.3% 60.9% 54.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 18.2 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.9% 83.5% 100.0%
Conference Champion 99.4% 99.7% 97.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.6% 5.5% 12.7%
First Round56.6% 58.0% 48.4%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Home) - 85.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 422 - 323 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 81 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 13% -15  0 - 1 -12 -2 D+ B- F -10 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 338 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 71% -1  1 - 1 -4 -3 B- C+ F -2 B- F+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 350 @Air Force W 76 - 72 74% +0  2 - 1 -5 +3 C B- F -8 C F D
 Sat, Nov 15 220 James Madison W 88 - 79 64% +10  3 - 1 +3 +3 A+ F F -1 D+ C B
 Thu, Nov 20 165 @Fordham L 53 - 69 31% -11  3 - 2 -13 -13 F F D -2 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 22 5 @Illinois L 58 - 98 1% -26  3 - 3 -15 -6 B D F -8 F+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 185 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 35% -1  4 - 3 +15 +12 A+ C+ D- +5 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 124 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 43% -4  4 - 4 -3 +10 B+ A- C- -12 B F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 304 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 61% +7  5 - 4 -0 +9 C A+ D -10 C- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 225 La Salle W 70 - 60 65% +5  6 - 4 +3 -1 D A+ F +5 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 76 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 11% -3  6 - 5 +7 +14 A- B A+ -8 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 182 @Florida International L 79 - 86 34% -2  6 - 6 -5 +1 C C- F -6 F C+ B
 Mon, Dec 29 35 @Georgia L 74 - 89 4% -1  6 - 7 +2 +3 C+ C+ C- -0 B- D B
 Fri, Jan 2 299 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 79% +1  7 - 7 1 - 0 -5 +21 B A+ A- -25 F F+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 357 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 80% +11  8 - 7 2 - 0 +8 +1 B- C F +8 B+ A D
 Thu, Jan 8 300 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 79% +4  9 - 7 3 - 0 -9 -7 D D- C -2 C D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 358 St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 63 91% +1  10 - 7 4 - 0 -14 -16 F A+ F +3 D+ A B-
 Sat, Jan 17 332 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 66 - 59 70% +2  11 - 7 5 - 0 -1 -5 C C F +5 B B C
 Mon, Jan 19 296 @Le Moyne L 77 - 83 58% -4  11 - 8 5 - 1 -11 +1 D- A+ D+ -11 F A- C
 Fri, Jan 23 333 @Stonehill W 66 - 63 70% -3  12 - 8 6 - 1 -5 +0 D D B -5 D F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 296 Le Moyne W 83 - 61 78% +11  13 - 8 7 - 1 +11 -1 B- D+ F +11 A+ A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 299 @Central Connecticut St. W 80 - 59 60% +2  14 - 8 8 - 1 +16 +8 B- B C- +9 A+ B- C-
 Thu, Feb 5 329 New Haven W 60 - 55 85% +7  15 - 8 9 - 1 -9 -10 F C+ F+ +2 C A- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 333 Stonehill W 72 - 61 86%
 Thu, Feb 12 327 @Wagner W 74 - 69 67%
 Sat, Feb 14 329 @New Haven W 69 - 64 67%
 Mon, Feb 16 327 Wagner W 77 - 66 84%
 Thu, Feb 19 358 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 72 80%
 Sat, Feb 21 300 @Mercyhurst W 70 - 67 59%
 Thu, Feb 26 357 Chicago St. W 81 - 66 92%
 Sat, Feb 28 332 Fairleigh Dickinson W 77 - 66 86%
Totals 21 - 10 15 - 3 -3 -3 C C+ F+ +0 C D+ C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.6 7.1 16.5 30.4 29.5 85.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.9 7.1 16.5 30.4 29.5 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 29.5    29.5
15-1 100.0% 30.4    30.4
14-2 100.0% 16.5    16.5
13-3 100.0% 7.1    6.1 1.0 0.0
12-4 83.9% 1.6    0.6 0.9 0.1
11-5 36.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total 85.3% 85.3 83.2 1.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 29.5% 63.6% 63.6% 15.1 0.1 2.3 12.2 4.2 10.7
15-1 30.4% 59.2% 59.2% 15.5 0.6 8.2 9.3 12.4
14-2 16.5% 54.5% 54.5% 15.7 0.0 2.3 6.6 7.5
13-3 7.1% 50.2% 50.2% 15.8 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5
12-4 1.9% 40.9% 40.9% 15.9 0.1 0.7 1.1
11-5 0.4% 36.8% 36.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
10-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 50.3% 50.3% 0.0% 15.4 49.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.7% 100.0% 14.2 0.7 11.4 54.9 32.6 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%