LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#342
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#311
Pace71.0#127
Improvement-3.0#335

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#349
First Shot-5.6#324
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#253
Layup/Dunks-0.4#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#304
Freethrows-2.6#311
Improvement-2.8#354

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#315
First Shot-3.5#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#254
Layups/Dunks-2.6#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#49
Freethrows-6.2#362
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.8% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.7% 22.5% 8.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.3% 59.9% 47.2%
Conference Champion 5.7% 8.8% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 7.5% 14.3%
First Four6.2% 8.1% 6.0%
First Round2.5% 3.6% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 1311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 60-90 1%     0 - 1 -13.5 -10.0 -1.9
  Nov 11, 2024 286   @ Air Force W 63-54 22%     1 - 1 +5.5 -0.7 +7.8
  Nov 15, 2024 185   @ California Baptist L 77-90 11%     1 - 2 -11.2 +7.2 -18.9
  Nov 20, 2024 192   Columbia L 72-80 25%     1 - 3 -12.4 -5.9 -6.5
  Nov 23, 2024 205   @ Charlotte W 79-76 13%     2 - 3 +4.0 +9.2 -5.1
  Nov 25, 2024 179   @ Winthrop L 65-87 11%     2 - 4 -20.0 -7.8 -11.6
  Nov 29, 2024 231   @ Lafayette L 56-75 16%     2 - 5 -19.8 -13.1 -7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 322   Binghamton L 70-75 OT 40%     2 - 6 -14.0 -11.1 -2.6
  Dec 01, 2024 308   Niagara L 52-60 35%     2 - 7 -15.6 -17.4 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2024 154   @ Umass Lowell L 69-84 8%    
  Dec 14, 2024 63   @ Missouri L 63-87 1%    
  Dec 18, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's L 68-71 37%    
  Dec 21, 2024 251   Lehigh L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 03, 2025 334   Le Moyne W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 05, 2025 359   Chicago St. W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 10, 2025 336   @ Stonehill L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 12, 2025 240   @ Central Connecticut St. L 63-73 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 339   St. Francis (PA) W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 20, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 24, 2025 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 26, 2025 361   @ Mercyhurst W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 30, 2025 240   Central Connecticut St. L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 359   @ Chicago St. L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 300   @ Wagner L 57-64 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 336   Stonehill W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 334   @ Le Moyne L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 27, 2025 300   Wagner L 60-61 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-81 39%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.5 4.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.9 5.1 1.1 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.7 1.1 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.1 6.4 1.1 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.4 5.6 1.5 0.1 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.4 1.4 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.6 2.4 0.7 0.0 8.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.8 6.9 10.4 13.1 15.2 14.2 12.9 9.7 6.1 3.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 95.8% 0.5    0.5 0.1
13-3 82.8% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
12-4 55.6% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1
11-5 24.8% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
10-6 5.8% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 24.5% 24.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 21.7% 21.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.4% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.3 1.1
12-4 3.3% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.7 2.6
11-5 6.1% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.9 5.2
10-6 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.2 8.5
9-7 12.9% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.1 11.8
8-8 14.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 13.3
7-9 15.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.7 14.6
6-10 13.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.7
5-11 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.2
4-12 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-13 3.8% 3.8
2-14 1.7% 1.7
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%