LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#350
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#332
Pace79.6#13
Improvement-0.6#347

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#354
First Shot-5.9#330
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#331
Layup/Dunks-1.6#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows+1.2#103
Improvement-0.5#356

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#307
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#322
Layups/Dunks-7.0#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#127
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement+0.0#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.4% 9.9% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 28.8% 44.0% 27.4%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.9% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.2% 17.5% 31.4%
First Four0.9% 2.4% 0.7%
First Round0.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 46 - 127 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 70   @ Utah L 48-89 2%     0 - 1 -30.1 -21.9 -5.4
  Nov 17, 2022 21   @ Marquette L 58-95 1%     0 - 2 -19.7 -13.9 -1.0
  Nov 22, 2022 230   South Dakota L 58-68 17%     0 - 3 -13.6 -21.0 +7.6
  Nov 23, 2022 266   Northern Illinois L 61-86 21%     0 - 4 -30.4 -16.8 -12.7
  Nov 29, 2022 42   @ St. John's L 68-95 1%     0 - 5 -13.7 -5.4 -5.2
  Dec 02, 2022 118   Towson L 63-77 9%    
  Dec 05, 2022 142   Umass Lowell L 68-81 12%    
  Dec 10, 2022 2   @ Connecticut L 55-93 0.0%   
  Dec 14, 2022 326   @ Albany L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 18, 2022 60   @ James Madison L 65-90 1%    
  Dec 29, 2022 213   Wagner L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 31, 2022 302   Sacred Heart L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 05, 2023 342   @ Central Connecticut St. L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 07, 2023 321   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-85 26%    
  Jan 14, 2023 324   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 16, 2023 338   St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 20, 2023 345   Stonehill W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 22, 2023 342   Central Connecticut St. W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 26, 2023 302   @ Sacred Heart L 75-84 21%    
  Jan 28, 2023 338   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 02, 2023 341   @ Merrimack L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 09, 2023 321   Fairleigh Dickinson L 81-82 47%    
  Feb 11, 2023 213   @ Wagner L 65-79 11%    
  Feb 16, 2023 345   @ Stonehill L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 18, 2023 324   St. Francis (PA) L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 25, 2023 341   Merrimack W 70-69 55%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.3 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.5 5.2 0.7 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.9 5.8 1.2 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.4 6.1 1.5 0.1 16.7 8th
9th 0.7 2.3 4.9 6.4 4.6 1.2 0.1 20.1 9th
Total 0.7 2.3 5.2 8.8 12.4 14.4 14.1 13.2 10.8 7.7 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 94.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 78.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 49.8% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
11-5 24.2% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 27.9% 27.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 0.5% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-4 1.4% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.1 1.2
11-5 3.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.2 2.9
10-6 5.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 5.0
9-7 7.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.6
8-8 10.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.7
7-9 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-10 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-11 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-12 12.4% 12.4
3-13 8.8% 8.8
2-14 5.2% 5.2
1-15 2.3% 2.3
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%