Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#251
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#123
Pace64.9#298
Improvement+1.8#55

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#299
First Shot-2.2#235
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#309
Layup/Dunks-4.4#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#288
Freethrows+1.0#129
Improvement+3.1#7

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#178
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#123
Layups/Dunks-4.6#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement-1.3#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.2% 41.5% 31.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.7 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 87.4% 96.4% 86.7%
.500 or above in Conference 90.8% 90.3% 90.8%
Conference Champion 49.3% 62.4% 48.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four12.7% 7.2% 13.2%
First Round26.1% 38.1% 25.1%
Second Round0.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 7.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 31 - 33 - 4
Quad 416 - 718 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 188 @Quinnipiac L 49-71 28%     0 - 1 -20.8 -21.6 +0.4
  Tue, Nov 11 133 @Boston College W 60-59 18%     1 - 1 +5.9 -3.3 +9.3
  Sun, Nov 16 183 @Massachusetts L 77-84 27%     1 - 2 -5.6 -1.2 -3.7
  Fri, Nov 21 119 @Rutgers W 67-54 15%     2 - 2 +19.1 +6.3 +14.4
  Mon, Nov 24 278 Sacred Heart W 108-106 OT 67%     3 - 2 -7.4 +13.2 -20.9
  Wed, Dec 3 76 @Seton Hall L 56-71 7%    
  Sun, Dec 7 195 @Northeastern L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Dec 13 347 @Binghamton W 69-65 64%    
  Thu, Dec 18 293 Fairfield W 72-67 69%    
  Fri, Jan 2 225 @LIU Brooklyn L 67-71 36%    
  Sun, Jan 4 345 New Haven W 69-59 81%    
  Thu, Jan 8 339 Stonehill W 70-61 80%    
  Sat, Jan 10 320 @Le Moyne W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @St. Francis (PA) W 73-67 70%    
  Mon, Jan 19 319 @Mercyhurst W 64-63 54%    
  Fri, Jan 23 361 Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-65 88%    
  Sun, Jan 25 339 @Stonehill W 67-64 61%    
  Thu, Jan 29 302 @Wagner L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 225 LIU Brooklyn W 70-68 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 346 Chicago St. W 75-65 81%    
  Sat, Feb 7 302 Wagner W 71-65 70%    
  Thu, Feb 12 345 @New Haven W 66-62 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 361 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-68 73%    
  Thu, Feb 19 320 Le Moyne W 77-70 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 346 @Chicago St. W 72-68 63%    
  Thu, Feb 26 319 Mercyhurst W 67-60 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 357 St. Francis (PA) W 76-64 85%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 5.6 10.2 11.6 10.0 6.6 45.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 5.8 6.8 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 19.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.4 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.5 6.9 9.5 12.2 13.9 14.1 12.8 10.2 6.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.7% 6.6    6.5 0.1
15-1 98.0% 10.0    9.6 0.5
14-2 90.3% 11.6    9.5 2.0 0.1
13-3 72.4% 10.2    6.5 3.3 0.4 0.0
12-4 40.4% 5.6    2.1 2.6 0.8 0.1
11-5 12.0% 1.5    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 45.6% 45.6 34.4 9.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 6.6% 56.6% 56.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.7 2.9
15-1 10.2% 50.7% 50.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.2 5.1
14-2 12.8% 43.6% 43.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.7 7.2
13-3 14.1% 37.7% 37.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.3 8.8
12-4 13.9% 30.5% 30.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.9 9.6
11-5 12.2% 23.1% 23.1% 16.0 0.1 2.7 9.4
10-6 9.5% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7 7.8
9-7 6.9% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.8 6.1
8-8 4.5% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.0
7-9 2.7% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.2 2.5
6-10 1.6% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.1 1.4
5-11 0.8% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-12 0.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-13 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 30.2% 30.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.8 7.3 20.9 69.8 0.0%