Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
172 Colgate 29.1%   16   4 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 12 13 - 5 -1.2      -0.1 162 -1.1 200 67.4 242 +0.7 162 0.0 1
192 Navy 23.3%   3 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 11 12 - 6 -2.2      -1.2 197 -1.0 196 67.4 245 -4.3 231 0.0 1
234 Boston University 13.8%   3 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 14 11 - 7 -4.4      +1.7 123 -6.1 348 60.4 359 -2.6 208 0.0 1
248 American 12.8%   3 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 8 -4.7      -4.0 275 -0.8 193 73.9 79 -3.7 227 0.0 1
297 Lehigh 5.2%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -7.6      -4.7 301 -2.9 270 67.5 239 -9.2 296 0.0 1
307 Bucknell 4.9%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 20 8 - 10 -7.9      -4.5 297 -3.4 285 68.8 205 -8.1 284 0.0 1
309 Loyola Maryland 4.5%   2 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -8.1      -3.4 260 -4.7 329 67.3 247 -13.3 344 0.0 1
330 Holy Cross 2.7%   1 - 6 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 11 -9.8      -4.3 289 -5.5 340 65.1 293 -9.6 305 0.0 1
334 Lafayette 2.2%   1 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 21 7 - 11 -10.2      -7.2 347 -3.0 271 68.1 223 -15.9 353 0.0 1
341 Army 1.4%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 12 -11.2      -5.2 314 -6.0 346 69.0 200 -10.4 315 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Nov 29 234 Boston University 65 191 Northern Kentucky 74   
Sat, Nov 29 192 Navy 65 243 SE Louisiana 69   
Sat, Nov 29 248 American 55 171 Siena 59   
Sat, Nov 29 297 Lehigh 78 223 Texas St. 74   
Sat, Nov 29 305 Ball St. 37 334 Lafayette 55   
Sat, Nov 29 341 Army 81 312 Manhattan 78   
Sun, Nov 30 172 Colgate 72 208 Fordham 62   
Sun, Nov 30 248 American 92 287 Longwood 66   
Sun, Nov 30 307 Bucknell 72 143 Cornell 101   
Sun, Nov 30 334 Lafayette 74 203 Monmouth 88   
Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. 84 309 Loyola Maryland 95   
Tue, Dec 2 347 Binghamton 80 297 Lehigh 71   
Tue, Dec 2 341 Army 70 61 George Washington 84   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 3 248 American 72 260 Drexel 68 64%   
Wed, Dec 3 230 Hampton 74 309 Loyola Maryland 67 74%   
Wed, Dec 3 330 Holy Cross 69 195 Northeastern 74 67%   
Wed, Dec 3 54 Akron 91 307 Bucknell 70 96%   
Wed, Dec 3 356 Delaware St. 65 192 Navy 73 79%   
Fri, Dec 5 334 Lafayette 66 319 Mercyhurst 64 57%   
Sat, Dec 6 307 Bucknell 73 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. 71 58%   
Sat, Dec 6 225 LIU Brooklyn 73 297 Lehigh 72 53%   
Sat, Dec 6 208 Fordham 73 330 Holy Cross 63 82%   
Sat, Dec 6 248 American 70 340 Maryland Eastern Shore 61 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 234 Boston University 72 352 New Hampshire 67 68%   
Sun, Dec 7 327 Air Force 62 192 Navy 72 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 2.4 41.7 22.9 13.8 8.6 5.4 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3
Navy 2.8 32.4 23.1 15.7 10.5 7.4 4.8 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.4
Boston University 3.9 16.5 17.8 16.9 13.9 11.5 8.7 6.1 4.4 2.9 1.3
American 4.0 14.9 16.4 16.1 14.7 11.8 9.3 6.9 4.8 3.3 1.9
Lehigh 5.6 4.9 7.6 10.6 12.4 13.4 13.4 12.1 10.9 8.8 6.0
Bucknell 5.8 4.3 7.0 10.0 11.4 13.0 13.1 13.2 11.4 9.9 6.7
Loyola Maryland 5.9 4.2 6.9 9.5 10.9 12.8 12.8 13.2 11.6 10.4 7.9
Holy Cross 6.8 2.1 4.0 6.0 7.9 10.0 11.6 13.7 14.8 15.2 14.7
Lafayette 7.0 1.5 2.9 5.1 7.3 9.3 11.5 13.5 15.6 16.7 16.6
Army 7.6 0.7 2.0 3.7 4.9 7.5 9.9 12.8 15.8 19.5 23.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 13 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.3 5.5 8.6 11.5 13.6 15.3 14.6 12.2 7.8 3.4 0.9
Navy 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.9 7.6 10.0 13.1 14.6 14.2 12.5 9.3 5.5 2.3 0.6
Boston University 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.0 6.4 9.0 11.7 13.4 13.9 12.8 10.6 7.3 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.1
American 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.5 7.0 9.8 11.9 13.3 13.9 12.1 10.0 6.6 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
Lehigh 8 - 10 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.4 6.8 10.2 12.5 13.6 13.7 12.0 9.5 6.4 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Bucknell 8 - 10 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.0 7.9 10.7 13.2 13.8 13.0 11.2 9.0 5.9 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.4 8.3 10.9 13.0 13.5 12.7 11.1 8.2 5.7 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Holy Cross 7 - 11 0.2 1.1 3.2 5.7 9.0 11.9 13.3 13.9 12.4 10.3 7.6 5.3 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.5 9.7 13.0 14.2 13.7 12.4 9.7 7.1 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Army 6 - 12 0.5 2.1 5.2 8.9 12.4 14.4 14.7 13.4 10.5 7.5 4.8 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 41.7% 30.3 9.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Navy 32.4% 22.3 8.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Boston University 16.5% 10.1 4.9 1.2 0.2 0.0
American 14.9% 9.0 4.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Lehigh 4.9% 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bucknell 4.3% 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Loyola Maryland 4.2% 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Holy Cross 2.1% 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Lafayette 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Army 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 29.1% 29.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.5 2.5 7.4 11.3 7.3 70.9 0.0%
Navy 23.3% 23.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 7.9 10.6 76.7 0.0%
Boston University 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.1 8.1 86.2 0.0%
American 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.7 7.9 87.2 0.0%
Lehigh 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.7 94.8 0.0%
Bucknell 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.5 95.1 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.2 95.5 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0%
Lafayette 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%
Army 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 29.1% 2.6% 27.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 23.3% 4.9% 21.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 13.8% 4.3% 11.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 12.8% 4.3% 10.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 5.2% 3.7% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 4.9% 3.6% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 4.5% 3.4% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.7% 2.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.9% 0.8 16.1 83.9
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0