Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#280
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#282
Pace60.4#361
Improvement-4.2#358

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#145
First Shot+1.8#128
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks-4.4#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#19
Freethrows-1.4#270
Improvement-2.2#339

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#351
First Shot-6.7#356
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#299
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-2.0#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 10.6% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 32.9% 46.4% 25.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 69.0% 59.0%
Conference Champion 9.1% 12.0% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 4.5% 7.5%
First Four5.5% 5.4% 5.5%
First Round6.3% 7.9% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Away) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 212 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 28%     1 - 0 +0.7 +0.6 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 7 61 @Northwestern L 52-76 6%     1 - 1 -12.2 -8.6 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 210 Brown W 90-77 50%     2 - 1 +6.7 +26.3 -18.3
  Sat, Nov 15 268 Merrimack L 79-91 59%     2 - 2 -20.7 +9.8 -31.5
  Tue, Nov 18 136 @Columbia L 49-54 15%     2 - 3 -0.4 -13.0 +11.7
  Sat, Nov 22 200 Harvard W 75-74 36%     3 - 3 -1.7 +8.0 -9.7
  Tue, Nov 25 111 @Penn St. L 87-96 12%     3 - 4 -2.3 +23.4 -26.6
  Sat, Nov 29 193 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 24%     3 - 5 -8.1 +0.8 -10.0
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 55%     3 - 6 -13.7 +0.2 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 10 316 Maine L 59-69 70%     3 - 7 -21.7 -8.2 -14.7
  Sat, Dec 13 265 @Dartmouth L 72-76 36%    
  Sun, Dec 21 315 Umass Lowell W 77-72 69%    
  Wed, Dec 31 204 @Navy L 67-73 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 242 American W 73-72 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 323 @Lafayette L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 Army W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Jan 14 308 Lehigh W 73-68 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 330 @Loyola Maryland W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 323 Lafayette W 73-67 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 178 @Colgate L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 204 Navy L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 300 @Bucknell L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Feb 2 288 @Holy Cross L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 330 Loyola Maryland W 76-69 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 340 @Army W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 300 Bucknell W 72-68 66%    
  Mon, Feb 16 178 Colgate L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 308 @Lehigh L 70-71 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 288 Holy Cross W 72-68 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 242 @American L 70-75 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.4 3.5 6.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 6.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.7 0.4 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.5 6.9 10.0 12.4 14.0 13.5 12.3 9.8 6.4 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.7% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 88.2% 1.7    1.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 68.5% 2.7    1.8 0.8 0.1
13-5 38.5% 2.5    0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 12.5% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.1 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 36.2% 36.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 30.3% 30.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 27.1% 27.1% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.4
14-4 3.9% 23.8% 23.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 3.0
13-5 6.4% 19.6% 19.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.1
12-6 9.8% 16.0% 16.0% 15.9 0.1 1.4 8.3
11-7 12.3% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.1 1.4 10.8
10-8 13.5% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.3
9-9 14.0% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.8 13.2
8-10 12.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 11.9
7-11 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.8
6-12 6.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-13 4.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.4
4-14 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-16 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 7.6 91.1 0.0%