Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#287
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#278
Pace60.4#361
Improvement-3.2#342

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#139
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#21
Freethrows-1.7#286
Improvement-1.6#302

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#353
First Shot-7.6#361
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#188
Layups/Dunks-3.2#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#311
Freethrows-0.9#250
Improvement-1.6#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 12.7% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 32.1% 50.4% 25.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 81.1% 58.7%
Conference Champion 9.0% 18.8% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 2.5% 7.2%
First Four5.9% 7.0% 5.5%
First Round6.2% 9.4% 5.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 413 - 1114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 205 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 26%     1 - 0 +0.9 -0.2 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 60 @Northwestern L 52-76 5%     1 - 1 -12.1 -7.4 -8.6
  Wed, Nov 12 222 Brown W 90-77 51%     2 - 1 +6.2 +26.2 -18.8
  Sat, Nov 15 266 Merrimack L 79-91 58%     2 - 2 -20.7 +10.1 -31.9
  Tue, Nov 18 141 @Columbia L 49-54 15%     2 - 3 -0.7 -12.6 +11.0
  Sat, Nov 22 187 Harvard W 75-74 32%     3 - 3 -0.8 +8.7 -9.4
  Tue, Nov 25 123 @Penn St. L 87-96 13%     3 - 4 -3.7 +23.6 -28.2
  Sat, Nov 29 206 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 27%     3 - 5 -9.2 +0.6 -10.9
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 53%     3 - 6 -13.5 +1.2 -14.1
  Wed, Dec 10 342 Maine L 59-69 77%     3 - 7 -24.4 -9.6 -16.0
  Sat, Dec 13 245 @Dartmouth L 64-77 32%     3 - 8 -14.8 -4.7 -11.0
  Sun, Dec 21 304 Umass Lowell W 88-76 66%     4 - 8 +1.1 +15.3 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 31 202 @Navy L 67-74 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 253 American W 75-73 56%    
  Wed, Jan 7 321 @Lafayette L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 332 Army W 75-68 74%    
  Wed, Jan 14 317 Lehigh W 74-69 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 329 @Loyola Maryland W 75-74 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 321 Lafayette W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 183 @Colgate L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 202 Navy L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 @Bucknell L 70-71 46%    
  Mon, Feb 2 323 @Holy Cross W 72-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 Loyola Maryland W 78-72 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 332 @Army W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 308 Bucknell W 73-68 67%    
  Mon, Feb 16 183 Colgate L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 @Lehigh L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 323 Holy Cross W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 253 @American L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.1 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 6.5 2.6 0.2 12.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.5 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 4.0 6.5 9.7 12.5 14.1 14.1 13.0 10.0 6.7 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 96.1% 0.7    0.7 0.0
15-3 87.3% 1.6    1.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 66.6% 2.5    1.6 0.8 0.1
13-5 37.5% 2.5    1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 12.2% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.0 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 30.9% 30.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 38.9% 38.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.8% 25.8% 25.8% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.3
14-4 3.7% 22.9% 22.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.9
13-5 6.7% 19.0% 19.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.4
12-6 10.0% 15.1% 15.1% 15.9 0.1 1.4 8.5
11-7 13.0% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5 11.4
10-8 14.1% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.9
9-9 14.1% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.9 13.2
8-10 12.5% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.9
7-11 9.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.4
6-12 6.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.9 91.0 0.0%