Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#256
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Pace64.3#292
Improvement-0.5#336

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#292
First Shot-3.9#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks-1.1#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#297
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-0.6#359

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#209
First Shot-2.1#241
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#108
Layups/Dunks+3.9#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
Freethrows-3.6#338
Improvement+0.1#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.1% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 49.8% 58.7% 32.2%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 64.7% 51.9%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.4% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.9% 5.6%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
First Round3.5% 4.1% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Away) - 66.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 413 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 257   Northeastern W 72-63 62%     1 - 0 +1.3 -2.3 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2022 2   @ Connecticut L 57-86 1%     1 - 1 -5.2 -4.2 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2022 361   Hartford W 102-66 92%     2 - 1 +15.9 +18.0 -2.9
  Nov 20, 2022 331   @ New Hampshire W 64-57 63%     3 - 1 -1.2 -6.8 +6.3
  Nov 26, 2022 234   Southeast Missouri St. L 52-63 46%     3 - 2 -14.7 -16.2 +0.4
  Nov 27, 2022 229   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 46-67 35%     3 - 3 -21.6 -22.3 -0.8
  Nov 28, 2022 161   UC Davis L 70-81 OT 31%     3 - 4 -10.6 -12.6 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2022 341   @ Merrimack W 65-60 66%    
  Dec 07, 2022 77   @ Notre Dame L 59-74 8%    
  Dec 10, 2022 310   @ Marist W 60-59 54%    
  Dec 13, 2022 318   Dartmouth W 70-62 77%    
  Dec 21, 2022 142   @ Umass Lowell L 62-71 19%    
  Dec 30, 2022 170   Navy L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 02, 2023 216   @ Bucknell L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 05, 2023 268   Lafayette W 62-58 64%    
  Jan 08, 2023 235   @ American L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 11, 2023 121   @ Colgate L 64-75 15%    
  Jan 14, 2023 305   Army W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 18, 2023 170   @ Navy L 60-68 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 295   Loyola Maryland W 67-61 69%    
  Jan 23, 2023 121   Colgate L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 29, 2023 296   @ Lehigh L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 01, 2023 353   Holy Cross W 74-61 87%    
  Feb 04, 2023 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 08, 2023 235   American W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 11, 2023 268   @ Lafayette L 59-61 42%    
  Feb 15, 2023 353   @ Holy Cross W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 18, 2023 216   Bucknell W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 22, 2023 305   @ Army W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 25, 2023 296   Lehigh W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 3.6 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 5.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.4 4.1 1.0 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.0 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 4.8 7.6 10.5 12.5 14.2 13.7 11.7 9.1 6.0 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.3% 0.6    0.6 0.1
15-3 79.0% 1.3    0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 47.9% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.0% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 28.9% 28.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 25.1% 25.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.6% 16.8% 16.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.3
14-4 3.2% 15.0% 15.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.7
13-5 6.0% 11.8% 11.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 5.3
12-6 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.3
11-7 11.7% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.1
10-8 13.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.5 13.2
9-9 14.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.9
8-10 12.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.2
7-11 10.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-12 7.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
5-13 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 95.6 0.0%