Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#333
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#324
Pace64.1#291
Improvement-0.5#249

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#340
First Shot-5.5#332
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#262
Layup/Dunks-1.4#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#217
Freethrows-3.0#354
Improvement-0.4#255

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#283
First Shot-2.5#255
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#289
Layups/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 22.9% 53.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 124   @ DePaul L 66-72 8%     0 - 1 -0.7 -3.4 +2.5
  Nov 10, 2022 45   @ Penn St. L 65-90 3%     0 - 2 -11.8 +2.2 -15.9
  Nov 13, 2022 207   Brown W 75-70 29%     1 - 2 +0.5 -3.7 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2022 60   @ Clemson L 41-72 3%     1 - 3 -19.4 -23.6 +2.9
  Nov 25, 2022 233   Southern L 58-76 26%     1 - 4 -21.7 -18.9 -1.3
  Nov 26, 2022 265   Louisiana Monroe W 65-64 32%     2 - 4 -4.5 -0.8 -3.6
  Nov 30, 2022 324   @ Binghamton W 84-70 36%     3 - 4 +7.5 +10.7 -2.7
  Dec 03, 2022 345   Coppin St. L 71-74 67%     3 - 5 -17.7 -12.6 -5.0
  Dec 07, 2022 342   @ Hampton L 61-66 45%     3 - 6 -14.0 -14.9 +0.7
  Dec 10, 2022 290   @ Mount St. Mary's L 34-51 28%     3 - 7 -21.1 -30.3 +5.4
  Dec 13, 2022 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-72 31%     3 - 8 -8.0 -5.3 -3.0
  Dec 30, 2022 118   Colgate L 67-101 17%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -34.0 -7.2 -27.9
  Jan 02, 2023 236   @ American L 55-71 19%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -17.1 -11.2 -8.2
  Jan 05, 2023 237   Army L 55-78 36%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -29.6 -20.2 -10.4
  Jan 08, 2023 326   @ Holy Cross L 55-63 36%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -14.6 -8.8 -7.4
  Jan 11, 2023 295   @ Bucknell W 67-57 29%     4 - 12 1 - 4 +5.5 -3.0 +9.3
  Jan 14, 2023 212   Navy W 69-67 30%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -2.8 +7.7 -10.1
  Jan 16, 2023 258   Lehigh L 70-74 41%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -11.8 -7.1 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2023 276   @ Boston University L 53-66 25%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -16.2 -15.5 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2023 261   @ Lafayette L 46-62 23%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -18.6 -20.7 +0.7
  Jan 28, 2023 295   Bucknell W 80-66 49%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +4.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 30, 2023 118   @ Colgate L 63-76 8%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -7.6 -4.0 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2023 276   Boston University L 63-65 45%    
  Feb 08, 2023 237   @ Army L 65-74 19%    
  Feb 11, 2023 258   @ Lehigh L 63-71 22%    
  Feb 15, 2023 261   Lafayette L 58-60 43%    
  Feb 18, 2023 212   @ Navy L 59-70 15%    
  Feb 22, 2023 326   Holy Cross W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 25, 2023 236   American L 61-65 38%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 0.3 1.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 2.0 0.1 4.7 6th
7th 0.1 3.9 7.2 0.9 12.2 7th
8th 0.3 5.8 13.9 3.7 0.0 23.7 8th
9th 1.2 9.8 19.2 7.4 0.2 37.7 9th
10th 4.4 9.5 5.1 0.4 19.4 10th
Total 5.6 19.5 30.2 25.7 13.7 4.3 0.9 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3
7-11 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 25.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.6
5-13 30.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 30.2
4-14 19.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.5
3-15 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 5.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0