Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#340
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#354
Pace69.4#186
Improvement-4.3#356

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#274
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks+1.0#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows-2.9#322
Improvement-0.7#241

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#351
First Shot-6.7#354
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#227
Layups/Dunks-5.8#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#189
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-3.5#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.4% 9.7% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 21.7% 37.0% 21.4%
Conference Champion 1.3% 5.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 31.8% 19.0% 32.1%
First Four1.9% 2.3% 1.9%
First Round0.9% 1.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 49 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 137 Towson L 56-67 13%     0 - 1 -9.6 -12.0 +1.6
  Tue, Nov 11 352 NJIT L 64-66 69%     0 - 2 -18.1 -11.3 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 15 339 Stonehill W 74-63 49%     1 - 2 +0.1 +3.6 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 301 @Fairfield L 82-85 26%     1 - 3 -7.4 +5.5 -12.8
  Wed, Nov 19 140 @Duquesne L 78-92 8%     1 - 4 -9.7 +1.8 -10.7
  Fri, Nov 21 21 @Kentucky L 46-88 1%     1 - 5 -23.4 -18.6 -3.6
  Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95-84 84%     2 - 5 -10.6 +11.9 -22.6
  Wed, Dec 3 227 @Hampton L 71-93 17%     2 - 6 -23.0 -4.5 -17.5
  Tue, Dec 9 331 @VMI L 70-86 36%     2 - 7 -23.4 +0.4 -25.6
  Sat, Dec 13 302 Mount St. Mary's L 73-81 48%     2 - 8 -18.4 -8.8 -9.1
  Sun, Dec 21 75 @George Mason L 61-83 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 248 @American L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 320 Lafayette W 74-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 332 @Army L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 305 @Bucknell L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 14 178 Colgate L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 288 Boston University L 73-74 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 308 @Lehigh L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 Bucknell L 73-74 49%    
  Wed, Jan 28 248 American L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 207 @Navy L 67-78 15%    
  Wed, Feb 4 308 Lehigh W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 288 @Boston University L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 320 @Lafayette L 71-76 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 311 Holy Cross W 74-73 52%    
  Wed, Feb 18 332 Army W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 178 @Colgate L 69-82 13%    
  Wed, Feb 25 207 Navy L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 311 @Holy Cross L 71-76 32%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.2 1.1 0.1 8.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 5.1 1.7 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.0 2.7 0.2 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.8 4.0 0.4 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 4.4 7.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 17.8 9th
10th 0.3 1.4 3.9 6.1 6.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 21.5 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.1 7.6 11.1 14.0 14.7 13.6 11.5 8.9 5.7 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 96.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 77.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 44.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 18.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-5 0.9% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 2.0% 14.0% 14.0% 16.0 0.3 1.7
11-7 3.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.5
10-8 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.3 5.4
9-9 8.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 8.5
8-10 11.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.2
7-11 13.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.6
5-13 14.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.0
4-14 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
3-15 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-16 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%