Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.4 306
Expected Predictive Rating -8.8 305
Pace 67.5 215
Improvement +1.7 118

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #304 C F+ D+ D+ D+
Defense D+ #285 C- D+ C- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 308 55% 240 -3.6 303
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 105 40% 119 +1.7 86
Three Pointers 42% 156 35% 123 +1.3 135
1st FG Attempt 1.01 193 -0.6 196
Second Chance 21.0% 358 1.00 207 0.21 351
Turnovers 18.5% 282
Freethrows 0.27 281 72% 203 0.20 268
Total Offense -4.9 304

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 56% 116 -2.1 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 67 44% 334 -2.7 347
Three Pointers 32% 360 37% 300 +3.2 56
1st FG Attempt 1.05 230 -1.5 230
Second Chance 34.8% 324 1.02 162 0.35 283
Turnovers 15.9% 237
Freethrows 0.32 238 73% 248 0.24 251
Total Defense -3.5 285

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.8 290 +0.0 157
Shot Type Accuracy +0.2 166 +1.5 236
Possession Length 17.8 233 16.7 85
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 100 0.20 281
Improvement +1.2 #119 +0.4 #160

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 71% 91% 54%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 5% 4%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Houston L 57 - 75 0% -15  0% 0 - 1 B- +8 D -5 C- D B- A +12 A C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 56 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3% -18  0% 0 - 2 D -9 F -15 D+ F F B +4 C+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 122 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  19% 0 - 3 D+ -6 C- -1 C- F+ A D+ -5 D- D C-
 Tue, Nov 18 355 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 80% +9  93% 1 - 3 C -0 F+ -9 D+ D+ D A- +8 B+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 200 Columbia L 67 - 82 39% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -21 F -10 C- D- C F+ -10 D- F C
 Tue, Nov 25 163 @Marist L 55 - 78 15% -13  14% 1 - 5 F -20 F -12 F C- A+ D- -9 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 133 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 17% +1  48% 1 - 6 C -0 C- -1 D+ C D+ C+ +1 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 234 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 34% -1  32% 2 - 6 C -0 C+ +2 A+ F C C- -2 C D C+
 Tue, Dec 2 361 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 69% -1  30% 2 - 7 F -23 F -12 F D- F+ F+ -10 F A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 207 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 40% -7  1% 2 - 8 D -11 C+ +2 C A+ F F -12 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 208 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 21% -7  1% 2 - 9 D- -14 F+ -9 B+ F F D -6 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 341 Army L 78 - 85 OT 74% -3  8% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -22 F -13 D F B+ D- -8 D+ F B
 Sat, Jan 3 324 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 45% +3  62% 2 - 11 0 - 2 D- -14 F -15 F C F C+ +1 A F D-
 Wed, Jan 7 321 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 67% +5  86% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D+ -5 F+ -9 C F+ F B +5 B- B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 209 @Colgate W 78 - 77 21% +2  64% 4 - 11 2 - 2 C +1 B+ +8 B+ D A D -7 D+ C- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 275 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 31% +6  88% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C -1 C+ +3 C- F+ A D+ -5 D A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 166 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 32% +0  45% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ F A+ C- -3 C+ F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 312 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 64% -2  30% 6 - 12 4 - 3 D+ -5 B+ +9 A- D- B- F -14 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 319 Lafayette W 64 - 59 67% +7  81% 7 - 12 5 - 3 D+ -8 F -12 D- D+ F B- +4 B+ C- D-
 Wed, Jan 28 341 @Army L 64 - 67 52% -3  10% 7 - 13 5 - 4 D- -12 F -14 F+ F F+ C+ +2 C- C+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 209 Colgate W 77 - 76 OT 40% +1  53% 8 - 13 6 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -3 A+ D+ F C- -2 B F B+
 Wed, Feb 4 312 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 89 2OT 41% -4  25% 8 - 14 6 - 5 D -11 D -5 C- F D+ D+ -5 D- B- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 321 @Holy Cross L 67 - 76 45% +0  52% 8 - 15 6 - 6 F+ -16 D- -6 C- F B+ F+ -10 F+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 258 American W 90 - 82 51% +11  92% 9 - 15 7 - 6 C -1 B +6 A+ D- D D -7 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 14 319 @Lafayette L 69 - 70 44%
 Wed, Feb 18 166 @Navy L 63 - 74 16%
 Sat, Feb 21 275 Boston University W 72 - 71 54%
 Wed, Feb 25 258 @American L 69 - 75 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 324 Bucknell W 73 - 68 67%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 D -5 C F+ D+ D+ -3 C- D+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C+ C+ C 34% 24% 42% D+ C F C- F+ D+ D+ C D+ D+ C+ D- D C- 44% 24% 32% C C- D C D+ C- C- C- C-
1.02 55% 40% 35% 0 -1 1.01 21% 1.0 .21 18% .27 72% .20 1.14 56% 44% 37% +2 0 1.05 35% 1.0 .35 16% .32 73% .20
Nov
3		 Houston D F B- C- C+ 27% 43% 30% F C- D+ D D B- A+ D A- A A+ F A- A 22% 43% 35% A A D+ B C+ A+ F C- F
0.84 42% 37% 31% -6 -4 0.82 24% 0.8 .19 22% .43 65% .28 1.10 36% 52% 29% -1 -4 0.92 42% 0.9 .39 19% .36 80% .29
Nov
9		 West Virginia F A F C C 20% 33% 47% F D+ F F F F C- C C- B A+ F F+ C 36% 21% 43% B+ C+ B- F+ C- A- F B F
0.73 67% 20% 33% -5 -3 0.87 9% 0.0 .00 25% .23 73% .16 1.07 40% 56% 39% +1 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 20% .48 64% .31
Nov
14		 Rutgers C- C B C- C 29% 27% 44% D C- F A- F+ A C+ F+ C- D+ D+ F A+ D- 45% 31% 24% D D- F B- D C- F B- F
1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18 1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32
Nov
18		 St. Francis (PA) F+ C A+ C- D+ 43% 16% 41% C D+ C- D+ D+ D A F+ B A- A+ F C A- 43% 27% 31% D+ B+ C- F F A+ C+ C C+
1.08 62% 50% 35% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 20% .45 65% .29 0.85 33% 46% 33% -9 0 0.84 28% 1.3 .36 25% .24 69% .16
Nov
21		 Columbia F C+ A- D C+ 23% 33% 44% F C- F C+ D- C B F D- F+ F A+ D- D- 49% 14% 37% D+ D- F F F C F A+ D+
0.98 58% 47% 30% +1 -3 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 13% .35 52% .18 1.20 71% 14% 39% +6 +2 1.16 50% 1.2 .60 22% .36 63% .22
Nov
25		 Marist F D- C+ F F 38% 30% 32% C- F F A+ C- A+ D F F+ D- C- F D- F 33% 25% 42% C F D A C+ F D B D+
0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19 1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22
Nov
28		 UC Santa Barbara C- C+ F A- C- 20% 20% 61% D- D+ D- A+ C D+ A A+ A+ C+ A C- A+ A+ 54% 22% 24% D A+ F A- C F+ F F F
1.09 63% 13% 40% +2 -1 1.02 21% 1.3 .29 19% .44 91% .40 1.12 48% 40% 18% -11 +1 0.83 41% 0.8 .32 14% .58 88% .51
Nov
29		 Texas St. C+ D A- A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% C- A+ D- F F C F F F C- B F+ C- D- 33% 54% 13% A+ C F B+ D C+ F C- F
1.11 52% 44% 57% +14 +1 1.30 23% 0.3 .06 18% .21 58% .12 1.05 50% 46% 33% +2 -5 0.96 44% 0.8 .33 20% .41 78% .32
Dec
2		 Binghamton F F+ B F F 36% 16% 48% C- F D F+ D- F+ F D F F+ F D F F 47% 33% 21% B F B+ A+ A- C- F A F
0.99 50% 44% 30% -5 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .26 15% .20 67% .13 1.12 80% 43% 44% +15 -1 1.30 15% 0.5 .07 20% .57 67% .38
Dec
6		 LIU Brooklyn C+ B C+ F+ C 45% 11% 45% B C B+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F B- D+ F C- 50% 27% 23% C- C- F D F D+ D D- D-
1.12 62% 40% 29% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.3 .53 26% .50 74% .37 1.19 54% 43% 42% +2 0 1.06 53% 1.1 .55 19% .34 70% .24
Dec
21		 Monmouth F+ C+ A+ B A- 32% 17% 51% C- B+ C- F F F F F F D C F+ F F 40% 35% 25% B F D A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 60% 63% 38% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04 1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11
Dec
31		 Army F A+ F F D 43% 23% 33% C D F A+ F B+ C- F D- D- F A+ A- D+ 49% 11% 40% D D+ F F F B F C F
1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21 1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42
Jan
3		 Bucknell F F+ A+ F F+ 33% 33% 33% F+ F F A+ C F A A A+ C+ A+ A- C- A 39% 22% 39% B- A D- F F D- C- F F+
0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33 0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28
Jan
7		 Holy Cross F+ C C A+ B- 38% 32% 30% F C F+ D F+ F F A+ D B D- A A+ B 42% 33% 25% C B- B+ B+ B+ D A B+ A
1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16 0.91 64% 29% 23% -4 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13
Jan
10		 Colgate B+ F+ F A+ B+ 45% 20% 35% C+ B+ B+ F D A A+ B A+ D A F F D+ 45% 27% 29% D+ D+ F A C- C- F D F
1.20 50% 20% 59% +6 0 1.14 37% 0.6 .24 11% .45 77% .34 1.18 45% 62% 43% +4 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .27 15% .38 76% .29
Jan
14		 Boston University C+ F A- A C 35% 27% 38% D C- F A+ F+ A B- A+ A D+ C F D- D+ 58% 16% 26% F D A A+ A F+ F F F
1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28 1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32
Jan
17		 Navy D+ A A- F C- 22% 35% 43% F D+ F C+ F A+ C- A- C C- A+ F F B 49% 19% 32% F+ C+ F B- F B- C B C+
1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19 1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23
Jan
19		 Loyola Maryland B+ A A+ B A 38% 25% 37% D+ A- F A+ D- B- B A+ A+ F F+ A+ F F 35% 10% 56% C- F C- B- C F C A C+
1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32 1.19 67% 20% 41% +8 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17
Jan
24		 Lafayette F F F A+ F+ 48% 20% 33% B D- D+ C D+ F D+ A+ B B- B- D+ A+ A- 43% 16% 41% C B+ D B- C- D- D- B+ D+
0.98 45% 11% 47% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.1 .32 24% .26 92% .24 0.90 52% 38% 20% -11 +1 0.82 29% 0.8 .24 14% .34 63% .21
Jan
28		 Army F F D- A F+ 40% 26% 34% D+ F+ F+ F F F+ D F F+ C+ C- A+ D- D 35% 20% 44% A- C- C+ C C+ C A+ A A+
0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20 0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colgate D+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 15% 48% B- A+ F A+ D+ F F B D- C- C+ F A+ B 46% 30% 24% C- B F F F B+ F F F
1.08 50% 43% 52% +11 +1 1.25 18% 1.4 .25 25% .24 77% .19 1.07 57% 67% 8% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.4 .48 20% .35 85% .30
Feb
4		 Loyola Maryland D A- C- C- C 30% 25% 46% D C- F+ F F D+ C+ F D- D+ C- C+ F F 33% 28% 39% A+ D- D- A+ B- F+ C F D
1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16 1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22
Feb
7		 Holy Cross D- A+ F F D+ 46% 19% 35% C+ C- F D F B+ F F F F+ C- D- F F+ 48% 27% 25% F+ F+ B- A+ B+ F F F F
1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10 1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32
Feb
11		 American B C+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% D A+ F A+ D- D B+ D+ B- D B A+ D+ B- 42% 10% 47% D C+ D+ F F F F+ C F+
1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30 1.11 52% 17% 36% -3 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 9.6 22.1 8.0 0.9 40.6 3rd
4th 3.3 20.0 3.6 26.9 4th
5th 0.2 10.6 5.0 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 1.3 7.7 0.3 9.4 6th
7th 2.9 1.4 4.4 7th
8th 1.8 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
Total 6.3 23.2 34.8 26.0 8.5 1.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.2% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.1
11-7 8.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.7 7.9
10-8 26.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 1.6 24.4
9-9 34.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.7 33.1
8-10 23.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.5 22.7
7-11 6.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.2
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 2.7%