Lehigh
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#313
Expected Predictive Rating-15.1#339
Pace72.1#98
Improvement-1.5#283

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#325
First Shot-2.6#255
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#338
Layup/Dunks+2.8#84
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#329
Freethrows-0.5#219
Improvement-1.0#285

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#266
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#300
Layups/Dunks-3.2#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#84
Freethrows-1.3#259
Improvement-0.4#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.4% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.1% 10.5% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 34.2% 22.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 12.3% 15.6%
First Four0.9% 1.8% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 49 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 87   @ Rutgers L 70-73 OT 6%     0 - 1 +6.3 -6.4 +13.1
  Nov 13, 2021 254   NJIT L 56-73 48%     0 - 2 -25.1 -18.9 -5.7
  Nov 16, 2021 135   @ Monmouth L 75-85 10%     0 - 3 -4.8 -0.9 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2021 232   @ Merrimack L 45-55 22%     0 - 4 -10.4 -18.3 +6.6
  Nov 23, 2021 333   Columbia W 79-72 72%     1 - 4 -7.7 -7.9 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2021 40   @ Virginia L 43-61 3%     1 - 5 -4.3 -14.7 +7.7
  Nov 28, 2021 267   St. Francis (PA) L 68-79 52%     1 - 6 -20.0 -10.3 -9.9
  Dec 01, 2021 121   @ Yale L 64-78 8%    
  Dec 04, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-63 77%    
  Dec 18, 2021 71   @ Syracuse L 66-85 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 298   Albany W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 01, 2022 320   @ American L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 04, 2022 111   Colgate L 71-80 20%    
  Jan 07, 2022 249   @ Army L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 10, 2022 343   Holy Cross W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 13, 2022 291   @ Bucknell L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 16, 2022 287   Loyola Maryland W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 19, 2022 101   @ Navy L 58-74 8%    
  Jan 22, 2022 144   @ Boston University L 62-75 11%    
  Jan 26, 2022 249   Army L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 343   @ Holy Cross W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 02, 2022 101   Navy L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 144   Boston University L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 09, 2022 111   @ Colgate L 68-83 9%    
  Feb 12, 2022 272   Lafayette W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 14, 2022 291   Bucknell W 75-74 56%    
  Feb 20, 2022 287   @ Loyola Maryland L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 23, 2022 320   American W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 272   @ Lafayette L 68-73 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.1 2.0 0.4 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.8 5.5 1.9 0.3 15.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.3 6.2 1.9 0.3 16.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 6.3 5.8 1.8 0.1 16.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.3 4.5 1.1 0.1 15.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.3 2.0 0.4 9.5 10th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.7 10.7 13.1 14.7 14.8 12.4 9.9 6.2 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 82.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1
13-5 13.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 0.8% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 2.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.1 2.0
11-7 3.8% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.5
10-8 6.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.2 6.0
9-9 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.8
8-10 12.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-11 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.7
6-12 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
5-13 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 6.7% 6.7
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1 98.8 0.0%