Lehigh
Patriot League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#258
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#216
Pace72.4#76
Improvement+2.1#8

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#296
First Shot+0.1#177
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#362
Layup/Dunks-1.2#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#212
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement+1.1#35

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#217
First Shot-3.7#298
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#10
Layups/Dunks-1.4#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement+1.0#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.8% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 72.4% 89.1% 61.2%
.500 or above in Conference 98.9% 100.0% 98.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.3%
First Round2.6% 3.3% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 413 - 514 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 75   @ Syracuse L 72-90 9%     0 - 1 -8.3 -0.5 -7.1
  Nov 10, 2022 49   @ Virginia Tech L 52-78 6%     0 - 2 -13.3 -12.4 -2.3
  Nov 16, 2022 316   Marist W 64-54 72%     1 - 2 -1.0 -18.1 +16.2
  Nov 21, 2022 325   @ St. Francis (PA) W 82-76 56%     2 - 2 -0.5 -6.8 +5.4
  Nov 27, 2022 351   Monmouth W 80-76 83%     3 - 2 -11.4 +1.9 -13.4
  Nov 30, 2022 292   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 60-64 47%     3 - 3 -8.2 -14.9 +6.9
  Dec 03, 2022 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-88 50%     3 - 4 -31.0 -20.4 -9.4
  Dec 15, 2022 57   @ Wisconsin L 56-78 7%     3 - 5 -10.2 -2.0 -10.8
  Dec 20, 2022 105   @ Cornell L 64-96 14%     3 - 6 -25.3 -11.2 -13.7
  Dec 30, 2022 237   @ Army L 78-80 35%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -3.1 +6.9 -10.1
  Jan 02, 2023 118   Colgate L 60-76 31%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -16.0 -14.2 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2023 295   @ Bucknell W 72-64 48%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +3.5 -2.9 +6.5
  Jan 08, 2023 212   @ Navy W 78-73 29%     5 - 8 2 - 2 +5.6 +7.1 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2023 326   Holy Cross W 76-58 75%     6 - 8 3 - 2 +5.9 -2.0 +7.7
  Jan 14, 2023 236   American W 78-62 56%     7 - 8 4 - 2 +9.5 +4.0 +6.0
  Jan 16, 2023 333   @ Loyola Maryland W 74-70 59%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -3.5 -2.9 -0.7
  Jan 21, 2023 261   Lafayette W 61-49 62%     9 - 8 6 - 2 +3.9 -8.9 +13.5
  Jan 25, 2023 326   @ Holy Cross W 74-68 56%     10 - 8 7 - 2 -0.6 -2.3 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2023 276   Boston University W 66-55 64%     11 - 8 8 - 2 +2.4 -1.8 +5.6
  Feb 01, 2023 237   Army L 69-71 56%     11 - 9 8 - 3 -8.6 -7.0 -1.6
  Feb 04, 2023 261   @ Lafayette L 61-63 40%    
  Feb 08, 2023 118   @ Colgate L 69-80 15%    
  Feb 11, 2023 333   Loyola Maryland W 71-63 78%    
  Feb 15, 2023 212   Navy L 68-69 51%    
  Feb 18, 2023 236   @ American L 65-69 34%    
  Feb 22, 2023 295   Bucknell W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 25, 2023 276   @ Boston University L 67-69 42%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 2.9 16.5 23.4 12.9 3.1 0.2 59.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 8.7 10.8 2.5 0.1 22.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 6.8 1.6 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.8 1.0 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.5 0.8 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.1 7.0 19.5 28.8 26.1 13.4 3.7 0.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 57.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1
14-4 16.7% 0.6    0.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.5% 11.4% 11.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 3.7% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.4
13-5 13.4% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 12.7
12-6 26.1% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 25.1
11-7 28.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.7 28.1
10-8 19.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 19.2
9-9 7.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.9
8-10 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 11.4% 14.7 3.9 7.0 0.4
Lose Out 1.1% 0.4% 16.0 0.4