Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#307
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#284
Pace68.8#205
Improvement-1.5#297

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#297
First Shot-3.3#265
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#246
Layup/Dunks-8.1#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#20
Freethrows+0.8#140
Improvement+0.5#133

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#285
First Shot-3.3#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks+1.8#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#339
Freethrows-1.0#243
Improvement-2.0#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.9% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.3% 28.6% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 62.6% 45.1%
Conference Champion 4.3% 7.8% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 5.8% 12.1%
First Four3.6% 3.3% 3.6%
First Round3.1% 3.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 1012 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 282 Delaware W 78-70 57%     1 - 0 -1.7 -1.3 -0.5
  Fri, Nov 7 301 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 38%     2 - 0 +6.3 +3.3 +3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 235 @Princeton L 63-73 27%     2 - 1 -11.4 -7.8 -3.8
  Fri, Nov 14 134 Hofstra L 77-83 26%     2 - 2 -7.3 +1.2 -8.1
  Mon, Nov 17 94 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 7%     2 - 3 -25.8 -15.1 -13.4
  Thu, Nov 20 15 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.3 -19.4 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 24 117 Bowling Green L 66-71 15%     2 - 5 -1.8 -2.5 +0.7
  Wed, Nov 26 210 Buffalo L 71-73 32%     2 - 6 -5.1 +5.4 -10.8
  Sun, Nov 30 143 Cornell L 72-101 29%     2 - 7 -31.1 -8.8 -20.8
  Wed, Dec 3 54 @Akron L 70-91 3%    
  Sat, Dec 6 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-71 57%    
  Tue, Dec 9 342 @Rider W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Dec 20 26 Iowa L 59-81 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 330 @Holy Cross L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 3 297 Lehigh W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 192 @Navy L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 309 Loyola Maryland W 74-71 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 334 Lafayette W 72-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 172 @Colgate L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 341 Army W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 309 @Loyola Maryland L 71-74 40%    
  Mon, Jan 26 334 @Lafayette L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 234 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 248 @American L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 172 Colgate L 70-74 37%    
  Mon, Feb 9 192 Navy L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 234 @Boston University L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 248 American L 73-74 50%    
  Sun, Feb 22 330 Holy Cross W 73-68 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 341 @Army W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 297 @Lehigh L 69-72 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.6 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 5.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.4 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 3.4 0.4 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.1 0.4 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.0 7.9 10.7 13.2 13.8 13.0 11.2 9.0 5.9 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.6% 0.7    0.6 0.2
14-4 68.6% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 36.1% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 11.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 25.3% 25.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 23.3% 23.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.8% 18.9% 18.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5
13-5 3.5% 14.2% 14.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 3.0
12-6 5.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.9 0.1 0.7 5.2
11-7 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.2
10-8 11.2% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.7 10.5
9-9 13.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 12.3
8-10 13.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.4
7-11 13.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.0
6-12 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.6
5-13 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-14 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.5 95.1 0.0%