Bucknell
Patriot League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#238
Pace65.7#259
Improvement+0.0#124

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#130
First Shot+1.7#120
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#202
Layup/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#136
Freethrows-0.4#198
Improvement+0.0#174

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#297
First Shot-0.8#204
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#343
Layups/Dunks+5.4#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#327
Freethrows+1.3#108
Improvement+0.0#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.7% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 73.6% 81.9% 59.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 79.1% 68.2%
Conference Champion 10.5% 12.3% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.2% 2.6%
First Four2.4% 2.4% 2.5%
First Round7.1% 8.5% 4.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 62.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 415 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 212   Niagara W 68-50 60%     1 - 0 +12.4 +6.3 +9.3
  Nov 15, 2022 206   @ St. Peter's L 71-82 35%     1 - 1 -9.9 +10.3 -21.6
  Nov 18, 2022 123   @ Georgia L 61-65 19%     1 - 2 +2.3 -3.0 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2022 322   Presbyterian W 66-65 76%     2 - 2 -9.3 -1.5 -7.7
  Nov 22, 2022 277   Austin Peay W 79-65 61%     3 - 2 +8.2 +8.9 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2022 310   Marist L 54-60 OT 79%     3 - 3 -17.7 -19.6 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2022 324   St. Francis (PA) W 89-65 83%     4 - 3 +10.7 +7.5 +2.9
  Dec 03, 2022 317   @ NJIT W 69-66 63%    
  Dec 06, 2022 220   @ La Salle L 67-70 40%    
  Dec 18, 2022 341   Merrimack W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 21, 2022 100   @ Richmond L 62-73 16%    
  Dec 23, 2022 39   @ Rutgers L 59-76 6%    
  Dec 30, 2022 353   @ Holy Cross W 76-68 78%    
  Jan 02, 2023 256   Boston University W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 05, 2023 296   Lehigh W 79-71 76%    
  Jan 08, 2023 268   @ Lafayette L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 11, 2023 295   Loyola Maryland W 73-66 75%    
  Jan 14, 2023 121   @ Colgate L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 18, 2023 305   @ Army W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 21, 2023 353   Holy Cross W 79-65 90%    
  Jan 25, 2023 170   Navy W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 28, 2023 295   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 01, 2023 235   @ American L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 04, 2023 305   Army W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 08, 2023 170   @ Navy L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 11, 2023 121   Colgate L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 13, 2023 235   American W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 18, 2023 256   @ Boston University L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 22, 2023 296   @ Lehigh W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 268   Lafayette W 67-62 68%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.1 3.0 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 10.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.1 5.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.8 5.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 17.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 6.9 4.9 1.1 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 5.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.3 7.0 9.8 12.4 14.0 14.3 12.5 9.9 6.4 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.5% 1.4    1.2 0.2
15-3 79.1% 2.8    1.9 0.8 0.1
14-4 47.4% 3.0    1.6 1.2 0.2
13-5 21.0% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1
12-6 5.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 5.9 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 27.8% 27.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 43.8% 43.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.5% 35.3% 35.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.6% 26.1% 26.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.6
14-4 6.4% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 5.2
13-5 9.9% 14.2% 14.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 8.5
12-6 12.5% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 11.2
11-7 14.3% 7.6% 7.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 13.3
10-8 14.0% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 13.3
9-9 12.4% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.9
8-10 9.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
7-11 7.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.9
6-12 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-13 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 4.1 91.7 0.0%