Lafayette
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.3 324
Results Rating -10.4 325
Consistency 0.15 168
Pace 66.3 245
Improvement +0.8 157

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 328 D+ D- C+ D B-
Defense D+ 295 D+ D+ D C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 D+ 55% 260 +0.6 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 243 F+ 31% 353 -3.0 319
Three Pointers 42% 155 D 31% 302 -1.3 226
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 75 D -4.3 316
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 296
Second Chance D 25.3% 319 D- 0.90 337 D- 0.23 345
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 102
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 237
Turnovers C+ 16.4% 154
Freethrows D+ 0.28 264 D 68% 314 D 0.19 298
Total Offense D -6.2 328

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 132 C 11.2% 195
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 20% 240 F+ 8.7% 342
Three Pointers C 83% 216 F 2.3% 359
Total C+ 57% 135 D 7.0% 322

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 D+ 62% 278 +2.3 263
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 76 C 38% 175 +1.2 285
Three Pointers 36% 309 D 37% 306 -0.8 151
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 119 D +2.9 301
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 265
Second Chance C- 31.3% 224 D 1.12 299 D+ 0.35 278
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.9% 339
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 189
Turnovers D 14.1% 331
Freethrows C+ 0.28 126 C- 73% 248 C+ 0.21 129
Total Defense D+ -4.1 295

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 329 D 6.8% 331
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 304 D 2.7% 309
Three Pointers C- 85% 221 F+ -0.2% 363
Total D+ 60% 279 D- 3.3% 339

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 259 17.0 126
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 349 0.19 241
Consistency 0.12 196 0.14 299
Improvement -1.4 259 +2.2 71

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 334 324 312
Results Rating Rank 337 324 304
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 7 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 3% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Army (Home) - 67.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 126 @Saint Joseph's L 76 - 85 8% -6  5% 0 - 1 C- -3 B +6 C+ B+ B+ F+ -9 B- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 28 @Texas L 60 - 97 1% -18  0% 0 - 2 F -19 F -11 F+ B F F+ -9 B- F D+
 Thu, Nov 13 168 Cornell L 78 - 97 26% -7  31% 0 - 3 F -23 F -11 F D B F -10 C- F D-
 Mon, Nov 17 57 @West Virginia L 59 - 81 3% -11  0% 0 - 4 D -9 D+ -4 B D+ F D -6 D- D C-
 Fri, Nov 21 336 @Stonehill L 70 - 74 43% -4  20% 0 - 5 D- -13 D -5 D- D- F D- -7 F B- C+
 Fri, Nov 28 294 Le Moyne L 63 - 76 52% -1  32% 0 - 6 F -24 F -16 F F+ F F+ -8 B- F D
 Sat, Nov 29 313 Ball St. W 55 - 37 57% +4  62% 1 - 6 B- +6 F -16 F C- A+ A+ +24 A+ A- B-
 Sun, Nov 30 187 Monmouth L 74 - 88 30% -13  6% 1 - 7 F -19 D+ -3 C- D- B F -16 F A+ D
 Fri, Dec 5 289 Mercyhurst W 79 - 71 51% +2  71% 2 - 7 C- -3 B +7 A+ B F F+ -9 B+ F F
 Mon, Dec 8 167 @Penn L 72 - 74 12% -6  2% 2 - 8 C +1 D+ -3 B F D+ B- +3 B- B+ F+
 Thu, Dec 18 171 @Charlotte L 67 - 81 13% -11  4% 2 - 9 D- -12 C+ +2 C C+ C- F -17 F C- F
 Sat, Dec 20 143 @Georgia Tech L 81 - 95 10% -7  2% 2 - 10 D -10 B+ +8 A- F A F -18 D F F
 Wed, Dec 31 247 Colgate L 77 - 85 40% -1  26% 2 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -16 D- -7 D C+ D+ F+ -9 F+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 319 @Loyola Maryland W 79 - 64 38% +15  99% 3 - 11 1 - 1 B- +8 B- +5 C- A+ B B +4 B- B+ D-
 Wed, Jan 7 256 Boston University L 67 - 83 42% -10  0% 3 - 12 1 - 2 F -24 F -13 F+ F A F -13 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 145 @Navy L 50 - 76 10% -20  0% 3 - 13 1 - 3 F -22 F -19 F+ F F+ D+ -5 F C D-
 Wed, Jan 14 334 @Bucknell L 69 - 76 43% -1  30% 3 - 14 1 - 4 F+ -16 D+ -4 D+ D- C+ F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 17 327 Holy Cross W 74 - 55 62% +12  96% 4 - 14 2 - 4 B- +5 D+ -3 D- C A+ A +9 A C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 21 256 @Boston University L 73 - 77 OT 22% +2  66% 4 - 15 2 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 F+ F B- B- +3 C- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 296 @Lehigh L 59 - 64 30% -7  14% 4 - 16 2 - 6 D -10 F -14 F F+ B B +4 B F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 334 Bucknell W 81 - 79 66% -4  8% 5 - 16 3 - 6 D- -13 B +6 C C+ A F -19 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 251 @American W 67 - 65 21% -1  34% 6 - 16 4 - 6 C +0 D+ -2 C+ F C+ B- +3 B F+ C+
 Wed, Feb 4 145 Navy L 50 - 65 22% -4  11% 6 - 17 4 - 7 F+ -17 F -19 C- F D- C +0 B B F+
 Sat, Feb 7 340 @Army W 63 - 60 45% +4  78% 7 - 17 5 - 7 D+ -6 F -15 F F F A +9 B+ C+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 319 Loyola Maryland L 54 - 68 61% -9  1% 7 - 18 5 - 8 F -27 F -25 F F A+ C- -3 D- A D
 Sat, Feb 14 296 Lehigh L 69 - 78 53% -0  60% 7 - 19 5 - 9 F -20 D -5 B- F F F -15 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 327 @Holy Cross W 86 - 83 39% -8  6% 8 - 19 6 - 9 C- -5 B- +5 A- A+ F F+ -10 F B D
 Sun, Feb 22 251 American L 61 - 75 41% -5  13% 8 - 20 6 - 10 F -22 D- -7 D+ F+ A+ F -18 F F F
 Wed, Feb 25 247 @Colgate W 70 - 69 21% +3  80% 9 - 20 7 - 10 C -1 C +1 C- D A+ C- -2 C- A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 340 Army W 75 - 70 68%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -10 D -6 B- D B- D+ -4 D D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ F+ D D 42% 32% 42% B- D+ D D- D- C+ D+ D D D+ D+ C D D 40% 24% 36% C+ D+ C- D D+ D C+ C- C+
1.00 55% 31% 31% -4 +1 0.95 25% 0.9 .23 16% .28 68% .19 1.14 62% 38% 37% +3 0 1.07 31% 1.1 .35 14% .28 73% .20
Nov
3		 Saint Joseph's B C- B- D C- 44% 19% 37% A- C+ C A+ B+ B+ A+ F B+ F+ C+ F+ A+ B 45% 16% 39% C- B- F F F F F F F
1.08 54% 40% 30% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 13% .37 52% .19 1.20 56% 44% 23% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.4 .54 10% .35 86% .30
Nov
8		 Texas F F D+ F+ F 38% 26% 36% C+ F+ B- B+ B F C- F D F+ C- D C+ B- 38% 21% 40% B- B- F F F D+ F C F+
0.87 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 22% .32 65% .20 1.41 65% 45% 33% +4 0 1.10 52% 1.7 .87 13% .48 76% .37
Nov
13		 Cornell F F+ F D+ F 51% 23% 26% C F F A D B B+ F+ B- F F A+ C- C- 37% 3% 60% D+ C- C+ F F D- B- B B-
1.04 52% 31% 33% -5 +1 0.93 21% 1.3 .29 12% .39 65% .26 1.29 73% 0% 36% +6 +2 1.18 31% 1.5 .47 15% .26 71% .19
Nov
17		 West Virginia D+ F A+ A+ C+ 51% 4% 44% A+ B D- C+ D+ F C B- C+ D B D F D- 45% 19% 36% C D- F+ B- D C- D- C+ D
0.88 35% 50% 45% -4 +3 1.00 20% 1.0 .20 28% .25 75% .19 1.21 52% 44% 47% +6 +1 1.15 39% 1.1 .42 15% .37 67% .25
Nov
21		 Stonehill D F F C+ F+ 54% 17% 29% B+ D- A F D- F A+ D A+ D- F F+ D F 45% 22% 33% C- F F A+ B- C+ F+ A+ D+
0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32 1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18
Nov
28		 Le Moyne F D+ F C F 29% 20% 51% D+ F F+ D+ F+ F C- B- C F+ D- B A C+ 41% 29% 29% A B- F F F D C D+ C-
0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23 1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25
Nov
29		 Ball St. F F F F F 43% 28% 30% D+ F F+ A- C- A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 31% 18% 51% C+ A+ D+ A+ A- B- B B B+
0.89 45% 15% 14% -21 -1 0.60 26% 1.2 .32 13% .37 85% .32 0.60 29% 38% 13% -25 0 0.51 28% 0.4 .12 18% .24 67% .16
Nov
30		 Monmouth D+ C+ D- B C 29% 31% 40% F C- F C D- B A B+ A+ F F D- F F 38% 33% 29% B F A A A+ D F B- F
1.05 60% 31% 38% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 17% .38 77% .29 1.25 72% 44% 57% +17 -2 1.33 23% 0.8 .18 16% .52 71% .37
Dec
5		 Mercyhurst B F F A+ A+ 43% 9% 48% B A+ B- B- B F D A+ B F+ C+ B A B 29% 43% 28% A- B+ F F F F A- D+ B+
1.24 47% 25% 57% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .40 24% .33 94% .31 1.11 53% 36% 25% -6 -4 0.83 37% 1.6 .61 9% .14 75% .10
Dec
8		 Penn D+ C+ F A+ C+ 55% 13% 32% A- B F F F D+ D+ A+ C B- D- B+ A B- 46% 29% 25% D+ B- C A B+ F+ B- A- B
1.01 62% 14% 41% +2 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17 1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19
Dec
18		 Charlotte C+ B+ F B+ C 29% 20% 51% C- C B D- C+ C- F F F F B+ B- F F 27% 13% 60% B- F A F C- F A+ F A+
1.13 67% 10% 38% 0 -1 1.02 35% 1.0 .35 15% .08 50% .04 1.37 54% 33% 55% +17 0 1.38 26% 1.3 .33 12% .17 89% .15
Dec
20		 Georgia Tech B+ B- A+ C B+ 30% 13% 57% B A- D- F F A B+ B B+ F C+ A- F F+ 39% 31% 30% B+ D F+ F F F F F F
1.14 59% 57% 34% +3 0 1.09 23% 0.5 .11 11% .33 76% .25 1.34 57% 29% 56% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 13% .48 87% .42
Dec
31		 Colgate D- D+ A+ F D- 45% 16% 39% B- D F A+ C+ D+ A+ D A+ F+ F+ F D+ F+ 40% 23% 37% D+ F+ B A+ A+ F+ F C F
1.05 55% 50% 26% -4 +1 0.96 18% 1.8 .32 16% .46 68% .31 1.16 67% 50% 37% +8 0 1.17 23% 0.4 .09 12% .51 73% .37
Jan
3		 Loyola Maryland B- C A+ F+ D+ 49% 14% 37% B+ C- D+ A+ A+ B D+ F F B A- C- C+ B- 39% 15% 46% C B- B- A B+ D- A- D+ B+
1.21 63% 57% 28% +1 +2 1.08 28% 2.0 .56 12% .26 53% .14 0.98 48% 38% 32% -6 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .18 14% .20 73% .14
Jan
7		 Boston University F B- A+ F F 52% 16% 32% B+ F+ F F F A C- F F F B- F F F 38% 29% 33% A- F+ D C+ D+ F C+ C- C+
1.02 62% 56% 17% -3 +2 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 8% .26 50% .13 1.26 55% 53% 53% +13 -1 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 14% .26 73% .19
Jan
10		 Navy F C+ F D F 27% 23% 50% C F+ F F F F+ A- F B- D+ F+ F D F 33% 26% 41% B- F A+ F C D- F A+ B-
0.75 62% 9% 29% -9 -1 0.81 19% 0.3 .05 21% .32 65% .21 1.14 67% 50% 37% +8 -1 1.15 21% 1.6 .32 15% .47 48% .23
Jan
14		 Bucknell D+ D+ F A D 33% 17% 50% C+ D+ F A D- C+ F B- F+ F C B+ F F 45% 16% 39% D F C- F F B C F D+
1.05 56% 13% 42% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .26 17% .24 77% .18 1.15 55% 29% 47% +5 +1 1.14 27% 2.0 .54 23% .27 86% .24
Jan
17		 Holy Cross D+ F D A- F+ 54% 21% 25% B- D- A- F C A+ A+ F A- A C B+ A+ A 23% 35% 42% A A B D+ C+ C+ F A- F+
1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25 0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26
Jan
21		 Boston University F+ C- F D+ F 44% 13% 44% B+ F+ D F F B- F B F B- C- F C C+ 44% 8% 48% F C- B+ D- C+ B- C A B-
1.02 56% 25% 33% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .12 11% .14 78% .11 1.08 61% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 20% .28 63% .17
Jan
24		 Lehigh F D D+ F F 43% 16% 41% B- F D F+ F+ B B- F C- B A A+ F A- 48% 20% 33% F B F F F A+ C+ F D-
0.90 52% 38% 20% -11 +1 0.82 29% 0.8 .24 14% .34 63% .21 0.98 45% 11% 47% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.1 .32 24% .26 92% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Bucknell B A+ D+ D C 32% 18% 50% C+ C C+ C C+ A A+ C A+ F F F+ D F 20% 42% 38% A+ F+ F+ F F F F C+ F
1.24 79% 38% 32% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .38 12% .54 74% .40 1.21 67% 42% 35% +4 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 15% .58 75% .43
Jan
31		 American D+ C+ A C C 38% 13% 49% B- C+ B- F F C+ C- F F B- F A A+ B- 33% 23% 44% A- B F C F+ C+ D+ C+ C-
1.05 61% 50% 35% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.4 .15 17% .36 58% .21 1.02 75% 27% 24% -4 -1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 17% .29 73% .21
Feb
4		 Navy F B- A+ F D 36% 6% 57% A+ C- F F F D- F A+ F C D D- A+ C+ 41% 39% 20% A B B C+ B F+ A D A
0.79 65% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 18% 0.0 .00 20% .12 100% .12 1.02 62% 45% 10% -3 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 14% .24 77% .18
Feb
7		 Army F F+ D F+ F 45% 19% 36% C+ F C+ F F F A+ F B A C B+ A+ A- 43% 7% 50% D B+ F A C+ B- A F B+
0.94 52% 33% 29% -6 +1 0.91 33% 0.8 .25 19% .48 62% .29 0.89 57% 25% 22% -10 +2 0.85 36% 0.7 .26 19% .17 78% .13
Feb
11		 Loyola Maryland F C A- F F 35% 11% 54% B F D F F A+ D- F F C- C- D C- D- 37% 9% 54% D+ D- A+ A- A D A+ D A
0.82 63% 50% 14% -13 +1 0.78 27% 0.5 .14 6% .24 40% .10 1.04 60% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.07 18% 0.8 .15 15% .14 75% .11
Feb
14		 Lehigh D A+ C+ F C+ 46% 15% 39% B B- F F F F B+ C B+ F F D- F F 35% 38% 27% A F D A+ B F B B B
1.07 71% 43% 28% +3 +1 1.11 24% 0.6 .14 20% .37 74% .27 1.21 72% 45% 50% +14 -3 1.25 25% 0.6 .14 12% .23 69% .16
Feb
18		 Holy Cross B- C+ A A+ A- 47% 24% 29% C A- D+ A+ A+ F A- D B+ F+ F F F F 56% 15% 29% F F A D+ B D F C- F
1.20 63% 50% 47% +10 0 1.24 26% 2.0 .52 18% .34 70% .24 1.16 69% 50% 40% +11 +2 1.27 13% 1.0 .13 14% .36 77% .28
Feb
22		 American D- B- A F D- 60% 13% 27% A D+ F A- F+ A+ F+ D+ F+ F C- A+ F F 35% 21% 44% B+ F C- F F F B+ B- B+
1.04 63% 50% 17% -2 +2 1.02 17% 1.2 .21 12% .31 69% .21 1.27 59% 20% 52% +9 0 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 12% .21 73% .15
Feb
25		 Colgate C C- F D D- 58% 6% 37% A+ C- C F+ D A+ D- F F C- D+ B F+ C- 44% 27% 29% C- C- A A- A- F B- F+ C
1.12 57% 0% 32% -4 +3 1.00 30% 0.8 .25 8% .26 60% .16 1.11 61% 36% 40% +3 0 1.08 19% 0.8 .16 8% .24 79% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 19.3 67.8 87.1 6th
7th 12.9 12.9 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 32.2 67.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 67.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 1.8 66.0
7-11 32.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 31.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 97.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 14.5%
Lose Out 19.1%