Lafayette
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#292
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#323
Pace65.9#264
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 16.1% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.3 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 32.0% 70.4% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.0% 77.9% 50.5%
Conference Champion 7.0% 19.1% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 2.2% 11.3%
First Four3.2% 3.4% 3.1%
First Round6.0% 16.3% 5.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 412 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 116   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-85 12%     0 - 1 -2.9 +5.8 -8.7
  Nov 08, 2025 41   @ Texas L 58-80 2%    
  Nov 13, 2025 160   Cornell L 74-77 38%    
  Nov 17, 2025 65   @ West Virginia L 56-74 5%    
  Nov 21, 2025 334   @ Stonehill W 67-66 51%    
  Nov 28, 2025 351   Le Moyne W 76-68 76%    
  Nov 29, 2025 222   Ball St. L 69-70 49%    
  Nov 30, 2025 203   Monmouth L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 05, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 71-60 83%    
  Dec 08, 2025 276   @ Penn L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 18, 2025 172   @ Charlotte L 64-73 22%    
  Dec 20, 2025 102   @ Georgia Tech L 61-75 11%    
  Dec 31, 2025 198   Colgate L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 03, 2026 310   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 07, 2026 253   Boston University W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 10, 2026 167   @ Navy L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 14, 2026 270   @ Bucknell L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 17, 2026 328   Holy Cross W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 21, 2026 253   @ Boston University L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 24, 2026 295   @ Lehigh L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 26, 2026 270   Bucknell W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 31, 2026 293   @ American L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 04, 2026 167   Navy L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 07, 2026 344   @ Army W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 11, 2026 310   Loyola Maryland W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 14, 2026 295   Lehigh W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 18, 2026 328   @ Holy Cross L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 21, 2026 293   American W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 25, 2026 198   @ Colgate L 66-74 26%    
  Feb 28, 2026 344   Army W 73-66 72%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.1 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.9 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.2 7.2 9.4 10.5 11.2 11.6 10.8 9.2 7.3 5.5 3.4 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 95.8% 0.8    0.8 0.1
15-3 81.5% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 58.0% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
13-5 28.5% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 38.0% 38.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 38.0% 38.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.9% 30.6% 30.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.3
14-4 3.4% 23.7% 23.7% 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.6
13-5 5.5% 19.7% 19.7% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 4.4
12-6 7.3% 15.3% 15.3% 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.2
11-7 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 18.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 8.4
10-8 10.8% 6.7% 6.7% 18.2 0.1 0.7 10.1
9-9 11.6% 5.4% 5.4% 17.1 0.0 0.6 11.0
8-10 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.2 0.0 0.3 10.9
7-11 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-12 9.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.4
5-13 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.8 93.2 0.0%