Lafayette
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#272
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#208
Pace70.2#152
Improvement+4.6#5

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#262
First Shot+0.4#170
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#339
Layup/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#65
Freethrows-1.0#240
Improvement-0.5#239

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-4.1#298
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#121
Layups/Dunks+1.5#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#337
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement+5.1#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 25.8% 31.8% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 47.8% 33.7%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 6.0% 10.7%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round1.9% 2.2% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 31 - 63 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 71   @ Syracuse L 63-97 7%     0 - 1 -23.9 -11.4 -11.6
  Nov 12, 2021 185   Cornell L 85-90 43%     0 - 2 -9.2 +0.4 -9.1
  Nov 16, 2021 189   @ Penn L 57-85 23%     0 - 3 -26.3 -14.3 -12.7
  Nov 19, 2021 5   @ Duke L 55-88 2%     0 - 4 -12.4 -9.5 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2021 87   @ Rutgers W 53-51 8%     1 - 4 +11.3 -10.8 +22.2
  Nov 29, 2021 333   @ Columbia W 73-50 60%     2 - 4 +14.3 -1.7 +17.1
  Dec 02, 2021 309   Sacred Heart W 75-70 69%    
  Dec 05, 2021 254   NJIT W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 08, 2021 161   @ Delaware L 69-79 19%    
  Dec 11, 2021 151   Princeton L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 01, 2022 111   Colgate L 72-79 26%    
  Jan 04, 2022 320   @ American L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 07, 2022 343   @ Holy Cross W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 10, 2022 101   Navy L 63-71 26%    
  Jan 13, 2022 287   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 16, 2022 249   Army W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 19, 2022 343   Holy Cross W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 22, 2022 111   @ Colgate L 69-82 13%    
  Jan 26, 2022 144   Boston University L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 249   @ Army L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 320   American W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 05, 2022 291   Bucknell W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 07, 2022 101   @ Navy L 60-74 11%    
  Feb 12, 2022 313   @ Lehigh L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 16, 2022 287   Loyola Maryland W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 19, 2022 291   @ Bucknell L 74-76 41%    
  Feb 23, 2022 144   @ Boston University L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 26, 2022 313   Lehigh W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.2 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.1 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.0 4.4 1.2 0.1 15.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.9 7.2 3.3 0.5 0.1 16.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.8 3.0 0.3 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 5.8 2.1 0.2 14.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.3 3.9 1.6 0.2 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.5 0.8 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 5.5 8.3 11.2 13.7 13.7 13.6 11.1 8.2 5.4 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 70.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1
13-5 7.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 43.2% 43.2% 14.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 9.0% 9.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 1.4% 13.6% 13.6% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-5 2.8% 6.2% 6.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 5.4% 7.7% 7.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.0
11-7 8.2% 5.9% 5.9% 15.6 0.2 0.3 7.7
10-8 11.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.8
9-9 13.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.4
8-10 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.1
5-13 8.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 97.7 0.0%