Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#178
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#175
Pace67.4#237
Improvement-0.6#232

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#160
First Shot+2.9#96
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#329
Layup/Dunks+3.4#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
Freethrows-3.2#331
Improvement-0.5#225

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#219
First Shot-2.3#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#138
Layups/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement-0.2#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.1% 36.3% 31.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 13.8 14.9
.500 or above 87.6% 95.9% 87.5%
.500 or above in Conference 93.8% 96.8% 93.7%
Conference Champion 46.0% 57.0% 45.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.5%
First Four3.0% 0.3% 3.0%
First Round29.7% 36.2% 29.6%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 22 - 7
Quad 417 - 619 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 13 @Michigan St. L 69-80 3%     0 - 1 +10.5 +9.6 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 7 212 Northeastern L 65-68 69%     0 - 2 -9.3 -6.2 -3.2
  Tue, Nov 11 270 Drexel W 90-83 76%     1 - 2 -1.7 +14.3 -15.9
  Fri, Nov 14 11 @Illinois L 65-84 3%     1 - 3 +2.8 +4.2 -2.4
  Mon, Nov 17 156 @Siena W 72-69 34%     2 - 3 +6.0 +8.3 -2.0
  Thu, Nov 20 159 @Cornell L 94-95 2OT 34%     2 - 4 +1.9 -3.9 +6.0
  Fri, Nov 28 327 Albany W 69-67 79%     3 - 4 -7.7 -3.2 -4.4
  Sun, Nov 30 218 Fordham W 72-62 58%     4 - 4 +6.5 +4.5 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 10 105 @St. Bonaventure L 77-85 21%     4 - 5 -1.0 +8.3 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 21 15 @Florida L 65-87 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 200 Harvard W 73-69 66%    
  Wed, Dec 31 323 @Lafayette W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 340 @Army W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Jan 7 242 American W 77-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 308 Lehigh W 77-67 82%    
  Wed, Jan 14 330 @Loyola Maryland W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 300 Bucknell W 76-67 81%    
  Wed, Jan 21 242 @American W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 280 Boston University W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Jan 28 288 Holy Cross W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 @Lehigh W 74-70 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 340 Army W 80-67 87%    
  Sat, Feb 7 300 @Bucknell W 73-70 62%    
  Wed, Feb 11 288 @Holy Cross W 73-70 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 204 Navy W 73-68 66%    
  Mon, Feb 16 280 @Boston University W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 Loyola Maryland W 80-68 86%    
  Wed, Feb 25 323 Lafayette W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 204 @Navy L 70-71 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.4 11.2 11.8 7.9 3.8 0.9 46.0 1st
2nd 0.4 3.2 7.2 6.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 22.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.7 1.0 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 0.2 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.3 5.3 7.8 11.4 13.9 15.2 14.8 12.7 8.0 3.8 0.9 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 3.8    3.8 0.0
16-2 98.9% 7.9    7.5 0.4
15-3 92.5% 11.8    10.1 1.6 0.0
14-4 75.8% 11.2    7.7 3.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 48.9% 7.4    3.4 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0
12-6 19.1% 2.7    0.6 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 46.0% 46.0 34.0 9.6 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 60.6% 60.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 3.8% 54.0% 54.0% 13.6 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.2 1.7
16-2 8.0% 50.2% 50.2% 14.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.0
15-3 12.7% 42.6% 42.6% 14.5 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 0.3 7.3
14-4 14.8% 37.0% 37.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 0.9 9.3
13-5 15.2% 31.5% 31.5% 15.2 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.6 10.4
12-6 13.9% 26.9% 26.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.8 10.1
11-7 11.4% 22.0% 22.0% 15.7 0.0 0.7 1.7 8.9
10-8 7.8% 17.2% 17.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.5
9-9 5.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.9 0.0 0.7 4.6
8-10 3.3% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.0
7-11 1.6% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.1 1.5
6-12 0.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-13 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-14 0.1% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 31.1% 31.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 2.4 7.2 12.3 8.7 68.9 0.0%