Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#288
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Pace65.1#295
Improvement+2.5#35

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#252
First Shot+2.2#114
After Offensive Rebound-5.3#362
Layup/Dunks-4.0#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#114
Freethrows-1.3#261
Improvement+2.1#36

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#307
First Shot-8.3#363
After Offensive Rebounds+4.3#3
Layups/Dunks-8.2#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#252
Freethrows+1.8#75
Improvement+0.4#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.1% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 30.5% 39.9% 18.7%
.500 or above in Conference 54.8% 59.8% 48.6%
Conference Champion 7.1% 8.7% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 7.6% 12.0%
First Four3.6% 3.7% 3.4%
First Round5.1% 6.2% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 412 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 76 @Providence L 79-89 6%     0 - 1 +0.7 +0.8 +0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 10 @BYU L 53-98 1%     0 - 2 -23.0 -11.9 -10.0
  Mon, Nov 10 113 @Utah L 69-87 11%     0 - 3 -11.5 -1.5 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 16 210 Hampton W 67-61 36%     1 - 3 +2.7 +5.0 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 18 209 @Brown L 49-68 26%     1 - 4 -19.3 -13.2 -8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 280 @Sacred Heart L 66-79 36%     1 - 5 -16.3 -8.1 -8.8
  Mon, Nov 24 156 Siena L 69-73 35%     1 - 6 -7.0 +1.2 -8.5
  Wed, Dec 3 212 Northeastern W 76-59 47%     2 - 6 +10.7 +6.1 +5.5
  Sat, Dec 6 218 @Fordham W 70-69 26%     3 - 6 +0.5 +3.9 -3.3
  Tue, Dec 16 264 Dartmouth W 75-74 56%    
  Sat, Dec 20 200 @Harvard L 65-72 25%    
  Wed, Dec 31 300 Bucknell W 72-68 63%    
  Sat, Jan 3 205 Navy L 69-70 45%    
  Wed, Jan 7 308 @Lehigh L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 242 @American L 70-75 31%    
  Wed, Jan 14 334 Army W 74-68 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 323 @Lafayette L 69-70 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 205 @Navy L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 242 American W 73-72 52%    
  Wed, Jan 28 178 @Colgate L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 334 @Army W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 278 Boston University W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 308 Lehigh W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 178 Colgate L 70-73 40%    
  Sun, Feb 15 330 @Loyola Maryland W 73-72 51%    
  Wed, Feb 18 323 Lafayette W 72-67 68%    
  Sun, Feb 22 300 @Bucknell L 69-71 42%    
  Wed, Feb 25 278 @Boston University L 68-72 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 330 Loyola Maryland W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.4 3.7 5.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.3 6.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.2 0.3 10.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.4 6.0 8.8 11.1 13.3 13.9 12.7 10.4 7.8 5.2 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.6% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 86.9% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 68.1% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 41.6% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 13.9% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.9 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 30.3% 30.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 33.3% 33.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 29.6% 29.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
14-4 2.8% 20.6% 20.6% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.2
13-5 5.2% 17.9% 17.9% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 4.3
12-6 7.8% 13.8% 13.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.7
11-7 10.4% 10.7% 10.7% 15.9 0.1 1.0 9.3
10-8 12.7% 8.0% 8.0% 15.9 0.1 0.9 11.7
9-9 13.9% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 13.1
8-10 13.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 12.9
7-11 11.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.9
6-12 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-13 6.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.9
4-14 3.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 5.5 93.0 0.0%