Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.7 326
Expected Predictive Rating -11.2 332
Pace 64.9 277
Improvement -1.9 262

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 300 C- F+ C+ C- D-
Defense D- 329 D C- D- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 330 D+ 53% 291 -5.0 340
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 109 B 44% 46 +4.0 30
Three Pointers 40% 201 C- 33% 237 -1.2 224
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 328 C- -0.8 198
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 245
Second Chance F 20.8% 358 D 0.94 305 F+ 0.19 360
Turnovers C+ 16.5% 155
Freethrows D+ 0.27 285 B 75% 76 C- 0.21 233
Total Offense D -4.9 300

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 35% 343 D- 14.1% 330
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 322 B- 3.9% 100
Three Pointers C+ 87% 143 D 1.6% 320
Total D- 45% 346 C- 6.3% 257

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 67 D- 64% 330 +5.3 339
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 209 F+ 44% 346 +0.7 252
Three Pointers 37% 278 C 34% 197 -1.6 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 257 D +3.8 321
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 321
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 126 D- 1.16 337 C- 0.34 248
Turnovers D- 13.6% 341
Freethrows B- 0.27 71 C 72% 199 B- 0.20 80
Total Defense D- -5.8 329

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 149 D- 5.8% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 20 F -0.1% 365
Three Pointers D+ 87% 277 F+ -0.4% 365
Total B- 52% 108 F+ 2.3% 361

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 285 17.3 188
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 317 0.16 140
Improvement +0.7 #146 -2.6 #305

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 78% 51% 97%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 159 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 64 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  5% 0 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F D B+ +6 B+ B+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 21 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0% 0 - 2 F -25 F -17 F D F+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 102 @Utah L 69 - 87 5% -9  3% 0 - 3 D -10 D+ -3 C F+ A- D- -8 D B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 257 Hampton W 67 - 61 31% +0  51% 1 - 3 C +1 B- +4 C+ B- F+ C- -2 D+ D+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 268 @Brown L 49 - 68 23% -12  3% 1 - 4 F -22 F -17 D- F D- F+ -8 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 290 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 27% -9  5% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C F F D- -7 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 192 Siena L 69 - 73 29% -1  19% 1 - 6 D -9 D -4 A- F D D -5 F A D-
 Wed, Dec 3 289 Northeastern W 76 - 59 49% +13  91% 2 - 6 B- +7 D+ -3 B- F B A +10 A- C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 158 @Fordham W 70 - 69 11% -7  2% 3 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 B- A D- C- -2 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 255 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 41% -11  17% 3 - 7 F -33 F -13 F F C+ F -22 F D B
 Sat, Dec 20 164 @Harvard L 53 - 81 11% -16  1% 3 - 8 F -25 F -13 F D A F -17 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 330 Bucknell W 65 - 58 63% +4  85% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 D- -8 D+ F C- C+ +1 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 3 155 Navy L 58 - 65 23% -6  7% 4 - 9 1 - 1 D -10 D- -8 F A+ D C- -3 C- A- D
 Wed, Jan 7 305 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 31% -5  9% 4 - 10 1 - 2 D- -14 F -13 F+ F B C -1 D- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 251 @American W 84 - 73 20% +3  55% 5 - 10 2 - 2 B +9 B +7 B+ D- A C+ +2 A D- D-
 Wed, Jan 14 336 Army W 82 - 75 65% +7  95% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -8 C +1 A- F B+ F+ -9 D C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 322 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 37% -12  0% 6 - 11 3 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F D F+ -9 C- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 155 @Navy L 68 - 85 11% -6  14% 6 - 12 3 - 4 D- -14 C +2 B C+ D F -17 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 251 American L 67 - 76 40% -8  3% 6 - 13 3 - 5 F+ -17 D- -6 B- F D- F -12 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 237 @Colgate L 74 - 79 19% +0  57% 6 - 14 3 - 6 D+ -6 C +1 A- F A D- -8 C F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 336 @Army L 68 - 69 42% -1  19% 6 - 15 3 - 7 D -10 F -10 F D- B- C+ +1 B F A-
 Mon, Feb 2 256 Boston University L 64 - 72 41% -3  11% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F+ -16 D- -7 F C- A+ F -11 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 305 Lehigh W 76 - 67 53% -0  31% 7 - 16 4 - 8 C- -3 C+ +2 B- F A+ D+ -4 D+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 237 Colgate L 70 - 74 37% -5  20% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D -11 F+ -8 F D+ D D+ -3 A- F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 317 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 83 35% +0  45% 7 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -17 C- -1 D F A+ F -16 F F+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 322 Lafayette L 83 - 86 60% +8  90% 7 - 19 4 - 11 F+ -16 C +1 A F C F -17 F F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 330 @Bucknell L 69 - 72 41%
 Wed, Feb 25 256 @Boston University L 68 - 76 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 Loyola Maryland W 75 - 73 57%
Totals 8 - 21 5 - 13 -11 D -5 C- C- D- D- -6 C- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ B C- C- 33% 44% 40% D- C- F D F+ C+ D+ B C- D- D- F+ C D 43% 19% 37% D+ D C+ D- C- D- B- C B-
1.02 53% 44% 33% -1 -1 0.98 21% 0.9 .19 16% .27 75% .21 1.17 64% 44% 34% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.2 .34 14% .27 72% .20
Nov
3		 Providence D+ A- B+ C B+ 24% 27% 49% D- B- F+ F F D B+ D- B- B+ F B+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% C+ B+ A+ F B+ D+ D- B D+
1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22 1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
8		 BYU F D- B+ F D 4% 58% 38% F F D+ D D F+ D B D+ D- F F A- F 47% 13% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ F A F+ B+
0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14 1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20
Nov
10		 Utah D+ F A+ C C 32% 23% 45% D C F A+ F+ A- A F D+ D- F F B- D 44% 11% 44% D- D A F B- F C+ D- C-
1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16 1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24
Nov
16		 Hampton B- A D+ D+ B- 39% 22% 39% C- C+ F A+ B- F+ D- A+ A C- C C- B C- 44% 18% 38% F D+ F B D+ C C- F F
1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32 1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33
Nov
18		 Brown F F F+ C D- 35% 20% 46% C D- D- F F D- F F F F+ F D C- F 32% 11% 57% C- F C F F C- B- F C
0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10 1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18
Nov
21		 Sacred Heart F C- A+ B- C 33% 13% 53% C- C D F F F B- C+ B- D- C- F F F 23% 8% 70% D F C- A+ B+ F+ A- B- A-
0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22 1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16
Nov
24		 Siena D A+ A+ D A 38% 24% 38% C A- F F F D F C- F D F F A+ F 55% 25% 20% F F A+ C- A D- A+ D A+
1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13 1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Northeastern D+ C+ A+ C+ A- 38% 34% 28% F B- F F F B F A+ F+ A B- A+ A- A+ 43% 8% 49% F+ A- C B- C+ B A+ A+ A+
1.14 63% 65% 36% +12 -2 1.22 22% 0.7 .15 15% .23 85% .19 0.89 55% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 20% .15 38% .06
Dec
6		 Fordham B B F A B- 24% 20% 56% C+ B- C- A+ A D- A+ C+ A+ C- C+ F C- D- 38% 19% 44% C- D- A+ F C+ D F C+ F
1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33 1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Dartmouth F F F+ B+ F+ 36% 26% 38% D- F F D- F C+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 35% 19% 46% C F F A+ D B F+ A C-
0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29 1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25
Dec
20		 Harvard F D- D F F 23% 23% 54% F F D+ D D A F B+ F F D- F F F 62% 13% 26% F F F F F C- D- C+ D
0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13 1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24
Dec
31		 Bucknell D- C- A+ F D+ 48% 35% 18% D D+ D+ F F C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- C- D+ F+ 27% 27% 45% A+ D D- A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39 0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04
Jan
3		 Navy D- F D+ D+ F 28% 30% 43% D F B- A+ A+ D B- B B C- D A A+ C+ 64% 16% 20% F C- C+ A+ A- D D+ F F+
0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22 1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
7		 Lehigh F B F F F+ 42% 33% 25% D- F+ F F+ F B F D F C D+ C- F F+ 38% 32% 30% B- D- C D+ C- C+ A F B
0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13 1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16
Jan
10		 American B A+ A+ F A 32% 34% 34% F B+ F A D- A A+ C+ A+ C+ F F A+ A 37% 20% 43% B A D+ F D- D- F F F
1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39 1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38
Jan
14		 Army C F C+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% F+ A- F F F B+ F+ A+ C- F+ C- F B D+ 48% 5% 47% F D F+ A+ C+ F A- D+ B+
1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25 1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14
Jan
17		 Lafayette F D D+ F F 23% 35% 42% F F F D F D A D B+ F+ B C- F+ C- 54% 21% 25% C- C- F C- F F F A- F+
0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26 1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25
Jan
21		 Navy C A+ B+ C- A- 25% 42% 33% F B D+ A- C+ D D+ A C F F F B- F 40% 26% 34% C F+ A+ F F F F D F
1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19 1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35
Jan
24		 American D- F+ C+ A+ B+ 35% 26% 39% D B- F+ F F D- F A+ D F D- D B+ D 49% 13% 38% D- D C- D D+ F B+ F B-
1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24 1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17
Jan
28		 Colgate C A- A+ C- A 35% 27% 38% D- A- F A+ F A F F F D- A- F F C- 38% 32% 30% B C C- F F+ F A- D+ B+
1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08 1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Army F F C A F 41% 25% 33% D+ F D- D+ D- B- D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F C+ B+ 33% 4% 63% D+ B F F F A- D- A+ A
1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27 1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11
Feb
2		 Boston University D- F B A- F 38% 29% 33% D F D B+ C- A+ F B- F F F B+ F F 29% 36% 36% A+ F A C A- F F A+ D
1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11 1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23
Feb
7		 Lehigh C+ C B A B- 48% 27% 25% C B- F F F A+ A- A A+ D+ F A- A+ C- 46% 19% 35% F D+ A+ D+ B+ F A A+ A+
1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32 1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Colgate F+ B- C F F+ 22% 33% 45% F F A F D+ D A+ A+ A+ D+ B C A A 39% 28% 33% C A- A- F F+ F C- F D-
1.02 64% 38% 23% -6 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41 1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23
Feb
15		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F D+ 35% 30% 35% D- D F C- F A+ C- B- C F B+ F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F B- F F+ F C- F+ D+
1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22 1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21
Feb
18		 Lafayette C A- A+ A- A 56% 15% 29% A A F D F C A- B A F D F F F 47% 24% 29% B- F C F F B- D- C- D-
1.16 69% 50% 40% +11 +2 1.27 13% 1.0 .13 14% .36 77% .28 1.20 63% 50% 47% +11 0 1.24 26% 2.0 .52 18% .34 70% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 2.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.8 2.8 3.5 7th
8th 17.1 1.0 18.1 8th
9th 15.5 10.9 26.4 9th
10th 20.7 28.8 0.5 50.1 10th
Total 20.7 44.3 29.3 5.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 5.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 5.6
6-12 29.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.3 29.0
5-13 44.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.4 43.9
4-14 20.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 20.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 11.4%