Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.4 323
Expected Predictive Rating -10.4 326
Pace 64.4 293
Improvement -1.5 242

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 307 D+ F+ C+ D+ D-
Defense D 318 D C- D- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 333 D 53% 303 -5.7 346
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 103 B 43% 46 +4.2 27
Three Pointers 40% 196 C- 32% 249 -1.2 231
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 332 C- -1.2 216
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 260
Second Chance F 21.1% 358 D 0.94 307 F+ 0.20 359
Turnovers C+ 16.5% 155
Freethrows D 0.27 301 B 75% 69 D+ 0.20 252
Total Offense D -5.2 307

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 65 D 64% 328 +5.2 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 220 D- 44% 338 +0.5 230
Three Pointers 38% 267 C 34% 162 -1.7 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 D +3.3 304
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 306
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 114 D 1.12 307 C- 0.33 221
Turnovers D- 13.4% 343
Freethrows B- 0.27 62 C 72% 199 B- 0.19 76
Total Defense D -5.3 318

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 295 17.3 196
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 321 0.16 131
Improvement +0.2 #176 -1.7 #271

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 44% 29% 68%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 149 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 60 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  5% 0 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F D B+ +6 B+ B+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 21 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0% 0 - 2 F -25 F -17 F D F+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 105 @Utah L 69 - 87 6% -9  3% 0 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 C- F+ A- D- -8 D B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 248 Hampton W 67 - 61 29% +0  51% 1 - 3 C +1 B- +4 C+ B- F+ C -1 D+ C- C
 Tue, Nov 18 272 @Brown L 49 - 68 25% -12  3% 1 - 4 F -22 F -16 D- F F+ F+ -9 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 281 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 27% -9  5% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C F F D- -6 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 188 Siena L 69 - 73 29% -1  19% 1 - 6 D -9 D+ -4 A- F D D -5 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 283 Northeastern W 76 - 59 48% +13  91% 2 - 6 B- +7 D+ -3 B F B A +11 A C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 151 @Fordham W 70 - 69 11% -7  2% 3 - 6 C+ +4 B- +5 B- A D- C -1 D C+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 253 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 41% -11  17% 3 - 7 F -33 F -13 F F C+ F -22 F D B
 Sat, Dec 20 160 @Harvard L 53 - 81 11% -16  1% 3 - 8 F -25 F -13 F D A F -17 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 326 Bucknell W 65 - 58 62% +4  85% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 D- -8 D F C B- +2 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 3 163 Navy L 58 - 65 25% -6  7% 4 - 9 1 - 1 D -10 F+ -9 F A+ D C- -3 C- A D
 Wed, Jan 7 302 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 30% -5  9% 4 - 10 1 - 2 D- -13 F -13 F+ F B C -1 D C C+
 Sat, Jan 10 260 @American W 84 - 73 23% +3  55% 5 - 10 2 - 2 B +8 B +7 B+ D- A C+ +2 A D- D-
 Wed, Jan 14 340 Army W 82 - 75 68% +7  95% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D -8 C +1 A- F B+ F+ -9 D C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 322 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 38% -12  0% 6 - 11 3 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F D- F -10 D+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 163 @Navy L 68 - 85 11% -6  14% 6 - 12 3 - 4 D- -14 C +1 B C D F -17 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 260 American L 67 - 76 43% -8  3% 6 - 13 3 - 5 F+ -18 D- -7 B- F D- F -12 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 232 @Colgate L 74 - 79 19% +0  57% 6 - 14 3 - 6 D+ -6 C +1 A- F A D- -8 C F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 340 @Army L 68 - 69 45% -1  19% 6 - 15 3 - 7 D -10 F -10 F D- B- C+ +0 B F A-
 Mon, Feb 2 258 Boston University L 64 - 72 42% -3  11% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F+ -16 D- -7 F C- A+ F -11 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 302 Lehigh W 76 - 67 53% -0  31% 7 - 16 4 - 8 C- -2 C+ +2 B- F A+ C- -3 C- A- F
 Wed, Feb 11 232 Colgate L 70 - 74 37% -5  20% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D -11 F+ -8 F D+ D C- -3 A- F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 310 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 83 33% +0  45% 7 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -16 C- -0 D F A+ F -16 F+ F+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 322 Lafayette W 71 - 68 61%
 Sun, Feb 22 326 @Bucknell L 68 - 71 40%
 Wed, Feb 25 258 @Boston University L 67 - 75 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 310 Loyola Maryland W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 9 - 20 6 - 12 -10 D -5 B+ C- D- D -5 C- B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D B C- C- 32% 44% 40% D- D+ F D F+ C+ D B D+ D D D- C D 43% 19% 38% D+ D C+ D C- D- B- C B-
1.01 53% 43% 32% -1 -1 0.97 21% 0.9 .20 16% .27 75% .20 1.16 64% 44% 34% +3 +1 1.10 29% 1.1 .33 13% .27 72% .19
Nov
3		 Providence D+ A- B+ C B 24% 27% 49% D- B- D- F F D B+ D- B- B+ F B+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% C+ B+ A+ F B+ D+ D- B D+
1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22 1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
8		 BYU F D- B+ F D 4% 58% 38% F F D+ D- D F+ D B D+ D- F F A- F 47% 13% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ F A F+ B+
0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14 1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20
Nov
10		 Utah D+ F A+ C C 32% 23% 45% D C- F A+ F+ A- A F D+ D- F F B- D 44% 11% 44% D- D A F B- F C+ D- C-
1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16 1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24
Nov
16		 Hampton B- A D+ D+ B- 39% 22% 39% C- C+ F A+ B- F+ F+ A+ A- C C C- B C 44% 18% 38% F D+ F B+ C- C C F F
1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32 1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33
Nov
18		 Brown F F F+ C D- 35% 20% 46% C D- D- F F F+ F F F F+ F D- C- F 32% 11% 57% C- F C F F C- B- F C-
0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10 1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18
Nov
21		 Sacred Heart F C- A+ B- C 33% 13% 53% C- C D- F F F B- C B- D- C- F F F 23% 8% 70% D F C- A+ B+ F+ A- B- A-
0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22 1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16
Nov
24		 Siena D+ A+ A+ D+ A 38% 24% 38% C A- F F F D F C F D F F A+ F 55% 25% 20% F F A+ C- A+ D- A+ D A+
1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13 1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Northeastern D+ C+ A+ C+ A- 38% 34% 28% F B F F F B F A+ D- A B- A+ A- A+ 43% 8% 49% F+ A C C+ C+ B A+ A+ A+
1.14 63% 65% 36% +12 -2 1.22 22% 0.7 .15 15% .23 85% .19 0.89 55% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 20% .15 38% .06
Dec
6		 Fordham B- B+ F A B- 24% 20% 56% C+ B- C- A+ A D- A+ C+ A+ C C+ F C- D- 38% 19% 44% C- D A+ F C+ D F B- F
1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33 1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Dartmouth F F F+ B+ F+ 36% 26% 38% D- F F D- F C+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 35% 19% 46% C F F A+ D B F+ A C-
0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29 1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25
Dec
20		 Harvard F D- D F F 23% 23% 54% F F D+ D D A F B+ F F D- F F F 62% 13% 26% F F F F F C- D C+ D
0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13 1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24
Dec
31		 Bucknell D- C- A+ F D+ 48% 35% 18% D D D F F C A+ B A+ B- C- D+ D+ F+ 27% 27% 45% A+ D D- A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39 0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04
Jan
3		 Navy F+ F D+ D+ F 28% 30% 43% D F B- A+ A+ D B- B B C- D A A+ C+ 64% 16% 20% F C- C+ A+ A D C- F D-
0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22 1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
7		 Lehigh F B F F F+ 42% 33% 25% D F+ F F F B F D F C D+ C- F D- 38% 32% 30% B- D C C- C C+ A F B+
0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13 1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16
Jan
10		 American B A A+ F A 32% 34% 34% F B+ F A D- A A+ C+ A+ C+ F F A+ A 37% 20% 43% B A D+ F D- D- F F F
1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39 1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38
Jan
14		 Army C F C+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% F+ A- F F F B+ F+ A+ C F+ C- F B D+ 48% 5% 47% F D F+ A C+ F A- D+ B
1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25 1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14
Jan
17		 Lafayette F D D+ F F 23% 35% 42% F F F D F D- A D A- F B C- F+ D+ 54% 21% 25% C- D+ F D+ F F F A- F+
0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26 1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25
Jan
21		 Navy C A+ B+ C- A- 25% 42% 33% F B D+ B+ C D D+ A C F F F B- F 40% 26% 34% C F+ A+ F F F F D F
1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19 1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35
Jan
24		 American D- F+ B- A+ B 35% 26% 39% D B- F+ F F D- F A+ D F D- D B+ D+ 49% 13% 38% D- D C D D+ F B+ F B-
1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24 1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17
Jan
28		 Colgate C A- A+ C- A 35% 27% 38% D- A- F A+ F A F F F D- A- F F C- 38% 32% 30% B C C- F F+ F A- D+ B+
1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08 1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Army F F C A F 41% 25% 33% D+ F D- D+ D- B- D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F C+ B+ 33% 4% 63% D+ B F F F A- D- A+ A-
1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27 1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11
Feb
2		 Boston University D- F B A- F 38% 29% 33% D F D B+ C- A+ F B- F F F B+ F F 29% 36% 36% A+ F A C A- F F A+ D
1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11 1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23
Feb
7		 Lehigh C+ C B A B- 48% 27% 25% C B- F F F A+ B+ A A C- F A A+ C 46% 19% 35% F C- A+ C- A- F A+ A+ A+
1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32 1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Colgate F+ B- C F F+ 22% 33% 45% F F A F D+ D A+ A+ A+ C- B- C A A 39% 28% 33% C A- A- F F+ F C- F D-
1.02 64% 38% 23% -6 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41 1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23
Feb
15		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F D+ 35% 30% 35% D- D F C- F A+ C- B- C F B+ F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F+ B- F F+ F C- F+ D+
1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22 1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 1.4 5th
6th 2.2 1.5 3.6 6th
7th 4.9 14.1 0.5 19.5 7th
8th 0.9 19.2 3.1 23.3 8th
9th 1.8 19.7 12.6 0.2 34.2 9th
10th 7.5 10.1 0.3 17.9 10th
Total 9.2 30.8 37.0 19.6 3.4 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 3.4% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.2 3.2
7-11 19.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 19.4
6-12 37.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.4 36.6
5-13 30.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 30.5
4-14 9.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 5.7%