Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.0 328
Results Rating -10.8 331
Consistency 0.16 223
Pace 64.8 277
Improvement -1.8 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 306 D+ F+ C C- D-
Defense D- 326 D D+ F+ B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 338 D 52% 318 -6.2 352
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 89 B+ 44% 38 +4.8 16
Three Pointers 40% 203 C- 32% 250 -1.4 231
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 338 C- -1.2 220
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 266
Second Chance F 20.9% 357 D 0.94 308 F+ 0.20 359
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 273
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 50
Turnovers C 16.4% 158
Freethrows D+ 0.27 277 B 77% 38 C- 0.21 217
Total Offense D -5.1 306

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 34% 346 F+ 14.8% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 255 B- 3.7% 88
Three Pointers C+ 87% 120 D 1.4% 313
Total D- 46% 335 C- 6.2% 258


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 D 64% 323 +4.6 330
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 183 D- 44% 340 +1.1 273
Three Pointers 37% 287 C 34% 196 -1.7 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 224 D +3.5 314
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 313
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 122 F+ 1.18 352 D+ 0.34 262
Turnovers from Steals D- 7.3% 328
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 339
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 347
Freethrows B 0.27 72 D+ 74% 271 B- 0.20 82
Total Defense D- -5.8 326

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 141 D- 6.4% 340
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 12 F -0.3% 365
Three Pointers D+ 87% 271 F -0.4% 365
Total B- 51% 94 F+ 2.5% 358

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 275 17.3 186
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 327 0.16 154
Consistency 0.10 46 0.10 47
Improvement +0.5 159 -2.3 299

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 333 329 321
Results Rating Rank 339 336 314
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 5 - 13
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 6% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four2% 6% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 1510 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 61 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  5% 0 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F D B+ +6 B+ B+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 23 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0% 0 - 2 F -26 F -18 F D F D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 104 @Utah L 69 - 87 5% -9  3% 0 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 C- D- A- D- -7 D B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 263 Hampton W 67 - 61 31% +0  51% 1 - 3 C +0 C+ +3 C+ C+ F C -1 D+ D C+
 Tue, Nov 18 282 @Brown L 49 - 68 24% -12  3% 1 - 4 F -23 F -17 D- F F+ D- -8 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 287 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 26% -9  5% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C F F D- -7 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 208 Siena L 69 - 73 30% -1  19% 1 - 6 D -9 D+ -4 A F D D -6 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 296 Northeastern W 76 - 59 50% +13  91% 2 - 6 B- +6 D+ -3 B- F B- A +10 A- C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 159 @Fordham W 70 - 69 10% -7  2% 3 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 B- A D C- -2 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 267 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 42% -11  17% 3 - 7 F -34 F -13 F F C+ F -22 F D B+
 Sat, Dec 20 153 @Harvard L 53 - 81 10% -16  1% 3 - 8 F -25 F -11 F D A F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 330 Bucknell W 65 - 58 63% +4  85% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 D- -8 D F C C+ +1 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 3 140 Navy L 58 - 65 19% -6  7% 4 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D- -8 F A+ D C- -2 C- A D
 Wed, Jan 7 294 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 28% -5  9% 4 - 10 1 - 2 D- -13 F -14 F+ F B- C +0 D C- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 255 @American W 84 - 73 20% +3  55% 5 - 10 2 - 2 B +9 B +7 B D A C+ +2 A- D- D
 Wed, Jan 14 340 Army W 82 - 75 67% +7  95% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D -8 C +2 A- F B+ F+ -10 D C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 324 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 37% -12  0% 6 - 11 3 - 3 F -27 F -19 F F D- F+ -9 C- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 140 @Navy L 68 - 85 9% -6  14% 6 - 12 3 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 B C+ D F -16 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 255 American L 67 - 76 40% -8  3% 6 - 13 3 - 5 F+ -17 D- -6 B- F F+ F -12 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 252 @Colgate L 74 - 79 20% +0  57% 6 - 14 3 - 6 D+ -7 C +1 A- F A D- -8 C F F
 Sat, Jan 31 340 @Army L 68 - 69 44% -1  19% 6 - 15 3 - 7 D -10 F -10 F D- B- C -0 B F A-
 Mon, Feb 2 256 Boston University L 64 - 72 40% -3  11% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F+ -16 D- -6 F C A+ F -12 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 294 Lehigh W 76 - 67 49% -0  31% 7 - 16 4 - 8 C- -2 C +1 B- F A+ C- -2 C- B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 252 Colgate L 70 - 74 39% -5  20% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D- -12 F+ -9 F D+ D- D+ -3 A- F F
 Sun, Feb 15 314 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 83 34% +0  45% 7 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -17 C- -1 D F A+ F -16 F F+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 324 Lafayette L 83 - 86 60% +8  90% 7 - 19 4 - 11 F+ -17 C -0 A F C F -16 F F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 330 @Bucknell W 72 - 63 40% +1  52% 8 - 19 5 - 11 C +1 C- -1 C D C+ B- +2 A F F
 Wed, Feb 25 256 @Boston University L 63 - 78 20% -8  0% 8 - 20 5 - 12 F+ -17 F -11 D- F C D- -8 D F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 314 Loyola Maryland L 62 - 76 56% -14  0% 8 - 21 5 - 13 F -27 F -14 F F D- F -14 C+ F F
 Tue, Mar 3 324 @Lafayette W 82 - 77 37% +1  56% 9 - 21 C- -3 B +6 D B+ A- F+ -9 F A F
 Thu, Mar 5 294 @Lehigh L 69 - 75 28%
Totals 9 - 22 5 - 13 -11 D -5 C- C- D- D- -6 C- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D B+ C- C- 31% 46% 40% D- D+ F D F+ C D+ B C- D- D D- C D 42% 20% 37% C- D C+ F+ D+ F+ B D+ B-
1.01 52% 44% 32% -1 -2 0.97 21% 0.9 .20 16% .27 77% .21 1.17 64% 44% 34% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.2 .34 13% .27 74% .20
Nov
3		 Providence D+ A- B+ C B+ 24% 27% 49% D- B- F+ F F D B+ D- B- B+ F B+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% C+ B+ A+ F B+ D+ D- B- D
1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22 1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
8		 BYU F D- A- F D- 4% 58% 38% F F D+ D- D F D B- D+ D- F F A- F 47% 13% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ F A F+ B+
0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14 1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20
Nov
10		 Utah D+ F A+ C C 32% 23% 45% D C- F A+ D- A- A F C- D- F F B- D 44% 11% 44% D- D A F B- F C D- C-
1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16 1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24
Nov
16		 Hampton C+ A D+ D+ C+ 39% 22% 39% C- C+ F A+ C+ F F+ A+ A- C C+ C- B C 44% 18% 38% F D+ F B+ D C+ C- F F
1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32 1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33
Nov
18		 Brown F F F+ C F+ 35% 20% 46% C D- F+ F F F+ F F F D- F D C- F 32% 11% 57% C F C F F D+ B F C
0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10 1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18
Nov
21		 Sacred Heart F C- A+ B- C 33% 13% 53% C- C D F F F B B- B D- C- F F F 23% 8% 70% D F C- A+ B+ F+ A- B- A-
0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22 1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16
Nov
24		 Siena D+ A+ A+ D A 38% 24% 38% C A F F F D F C- F D F F A+ F 55% 25% 20% F F A+ C A+ D A+ D+ A+
1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13 1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Northeastern D+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 38% 34% 28% F B- F+ F F B- F A+ F+ A B- A+ A- A+ 43% 8% 49% F A- C B C+ B A+ A+ A+
1.14 63% 65% 36% +12 -2 1.22 22% 0.7 .15 15% .23 85% .19 0.89 55% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 20% .15 38% .06
Dec
6		 Fordham B B+ F A B- 24% 20% 56% C B- C- A+ A D A+ B A+ C- C+ F C- D- 38% 19% 44% C- D- A+ F C+ D F B- F
1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33 1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Dartmouth F F D- B F 36% 26% 38% D- F F D- F C+ A- A+ A+ F B- F F F 35% 19% 46% C F F A+ D B+ D- A+ C
0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29 1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25
Dec
20		 Harvard F D- D F F 23% 23% 54% F F D+ D D A F B+ F+ F D- F F F 62% 13% 26% F F F F F C- D- C+ D-
0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13 1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24
Dec
31		 Bucknell D- C- A+ F D+ 48% 35% 18% D D D F F C A+ B- A+ C+ C- C- D+ F+ 27% 27% 45% A+ D D A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39 0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04
Jan
3		 Navy D- F C- D F 28% 30% 43% D F B- A+ A+ D B- B B C- D A A+ B- 64% 16% 20% F C- B- A+ A D C- F D-
0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22 1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
7		 Lehigh F B+ F F F+ 42% 33% 25% D- F+ F F F B- F D+ F C D+ C- F D- 38% 32% 30% B D C D C- C+ A+ F B+
0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13 1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16
Jan
10		 American B A A+ F A 32% 34% 34% F B F A D A A+ C+ A+ C+ F F A+ A 37% 20% 43% B A- D+ F D- D F F F
1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39 1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38
Jan
14		 Army C F C+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% F+ A- F F F B+ F+ A+ C- F+ C F B D+ 48% 5% 47% F D F+ A+ C+ F B+ C- B+
1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25 1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14
Jan
17		 Lafayette F D D+ F F 23% 35% 42% F F F D- F D- A D- A- F+ B+ C- F+ C- 54% 21% 25% C- C- F C- F F F A- F+
0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26 1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25
Jan
21		 Navy C+ A+ A- C- A 25% 42% 33% F B D+ A- C+ D D+ A+ C F F F B F 40% 26% 34% C F+ A+ F F F F D- F
1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19 1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35
Jan
24		 American D- F+ C+ A+ B 35% 26% 39% D- B- F+ F F F+ F A+ D F F+ D- B+ D 49% 13% 38% D D C D D+ F B+ F B-
1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24 1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17
Jan
28		 Colgate C A- A+ C- A 35% 27% 38% D- A- F A+ F A F F F D- A- F F C- 38% 32% 30% B C C- F F F A- C- B+
1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08 1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Army F F C A F 41% 25% 33% D+ F D- D+ D- B- D A+ C+ C A+ F C+ B+ 33% 4% 63% D B F F F A- D- A+ A
1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27 1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11
Feb
2		 Boston University D- F B- A- F 38% 29% 33% D- F D A C A+ F C+ F F F B+ F F 29% 36% 36% A+ F A C A- F F A+ D
1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11 1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23
Feb
7		 Lehigh C C B A B- 48% 27% 25% C- B- F F F A+ A A+ A+ C- F A- A+ C 46% 19% 35% F C- A+ D B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32 1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Colgate F+ B C+ F F 22% 33% 45% F F A- F D+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B- C A A 39% 28% 33% C A- B+ F F F C- F D
1.02 64% 38% 23% -7 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41 1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23
Feb
15		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F D+ 35% 30% 35% D- D F C- F A+ C- C+ C F B+ F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F B- F F+ F C- D- D+
1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22 1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21
Feb
18		 Lafayette C A- A+ A- A 56% 15% 29% A A F D- F C A B- A F D F F F 47% 24% 29% B- F C- F F B- D- C- D-
1.16 69% 50% 40% +10 +2 1.27 13% 1.0 .13 14% .36 77% .28 1.20 63% 50% 47% +10 0 1.24 26% 2.0 .52 18% .34 70% .24
Feb
22		 Bucknell C- F C+ A+ B 20% 41% 39% F C F A+ D C+ C+ A+ B B- B- A A+ A 35% 24% 41% B+ A F C F F C F D
1.09 44% 42% 50% +8 -4 1.11 19% 1.6 .30 17% .33 83% .27 0.96 53% 25% 20% -14 -1 0.73 35% 1.1 .38 15% .27 87% .23
Feb
25		 Boston University F F A+ C- D 25% 31% 44% F D- F F F C F+ C+ D- D- F F A- D- 42% 17% 42% D+ D B F F F+ C- F D
0.99 15% 75% 35% +1 -2 1.00 20% 0.3 .06 13% .22 75% .16 1.23 75% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.21 22% 1.8 .39 14% .29 81% .24
Feb
28		 Loyola Maryland F C- D- F F 33% 37% 30% F F C- F F D- A+ B- A+ F B- C+ C C 35% 22% 44% A- C+ D- F F F A F B-
0.98 60% 35% 21% -6 -3 0.85 31% 0.7 .22 17% .42 77% .32 1.20 53% 33% 33% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .42 5% .18 91% .17
Mar
3		 Lafayette B C- A+ F C- 23% 36% 42% F D D- A+ B+ A- C+ A+ A+ F+ C+ D F F 42% 19% 40% C+ F A+ F A F C- F F+
1.21 58% 53% 27% +1 -3 0.98 25% 1.8 .44 10% .30 100% .30 1.14 55% 40% 48% +7 0 1.17 7% 1.5 .11 12% .30 83% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 2.3 97.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.9%
Lose Out 62.6%