Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#346
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#263
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 9.6% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.5 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 8.1% 38.4% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 26.0% 56.9% 25.7%
Conference Champion 2.4% 11.6% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 27.8% 13.7% 27.9%
First Four1.8% 4.8% 1.8%
First Round1.8% 7.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 48 - 139 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 61   @ Providence L 58-82 1%    
  Nov 08, 2025 9   @ BYU L 57-90 0.0%   
  Nov 10, 2025 89   @ Utah L 61-82 3%    
  Nov 16, 2025 235   Hampton L 63-71 24%    
  Nov 18, 2025 169   @ Brown L 60-74 10%    
  Nov 21, 2025 251   @ Sacred Heart L 70-80 18%    
  Nov 24, 2025 213   Siena L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 03, 2025 218   Northeastern L 67-73 31%    
  Dec 06, 2025 163   @ Fordham L 67-81 10%    
  Dec 16, 2025 229   Dartmouth L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 20, 2025 178   @ Harvard L 61-75 12%    
  Dec 31, 2025 286   Bucknell L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 03, 2026 230   Navy L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 07, 2026 302   @ Lehigh L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 10, 2026 303   @ American L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 14, 2026 353   Army W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 17, 2026 308   @ Lafayette L 64-71 29%    
  Jan 21, 2026 230   @ Navy L 64-75 17%    
  Jan 24, 2026 303   American L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 28, 2026 227   @ Colgate L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 31, 2026 353   @ Army L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 02, 2026 280   Boston University L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 07, 2026 302   Lehigh L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 11, 2026 227   Colgate L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 15, 2026 316   @ Loyola Maryland L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 18, 2026 308   Lafayette L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 21, 2026 286   @ Bucknell L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 25, 2026 280   @ Boston University L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 28, 2026 316   Loyola Maryland L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 3.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.1 5.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.0 5.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 18.1 9th
10th 0.9 3.1 5.1 5.3 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 19.5 10th
Total 0.9 3.2 5.8 8.2 11.2 11.3 12.0 11.5 9.9 8.5 5.9 4.7 3.0 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 90.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 60.8% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
13-5 31.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 35.2% 35.2% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 14.4% 14.4% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.1% 20.2% 20.2% 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9
13-5 2.0% 16.4% 16.4% 18.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7
12-6 3.0% 12.9% 12.9% 17.3 0.0 0.4 2.7
11-7 4.7% 7.5% 7.5% 18.5 0.0 0.4 4.3
10-8 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 17.3 0.0 0.4 5.6
9-9 8.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.3 0.0 0.3 8.2
8-10 9.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.5 0.2 9.7
7-11 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.9
5-13 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.4 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%