Army
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#249
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#239
Pace73.3#85
Improvement-4.5#356

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#273
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#311
Layup/Dunks-0.8#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#207
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-2.2#337

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#213
First Shot+0.3#159
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#283
Layups/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-2.3#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.8% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 43.8% 57.5% 33.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 64.3% 54.3%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.7% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.5% 5.1%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round3.1% 4.4% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 412 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 5   @ Duke L 56-82 2%     0 - 1 -5.4 -12.7 +10.0
  Nov 13, 2021 265   Hartford W 86-79 54%     1 - 1 +1.3 +6.0 -5.0
  Nov 17, 2021 232   Merrimack W 74-51 57%     2 - 1 +16.6 +0.4 +15.7
  Nov 20, 2021 244   @ La Salle L 58-61 37%     2 - 2 -4.3 -11.3 +6.8
  Nov 27, 2021 255   Marist W 65-61 63%     3 - 2 -4.1 -5.3 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2021 275   Siena L 67-83 67%     3 - 3 -25.2 -12.3 -12.3
  Dec 04, 2021 256   @ Air Force L 63-65 42%    
  Dec 10, 2021 254   @ NJIT L 66-69 42%    
  Dec 19, 2021 276   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-76 45%    
  Dec 22, 2021 98   @ South Carolina L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 01, 2022 287   Loyola Maryland W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 04, 2022 291   @ Bucknell L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 07, 2022 313   Lehigh W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 10, 2022 111   @ Colgate L 71-82 15%    
  Jan 13, 2022 144   Boston University L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 16, 2022 272   @ Lafayette L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 19, 2022 320   American W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 22, 2022 101   @ Navy L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 26, 2022 313   @ Lehigh W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 29, 2022 272   Lafayette W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 02, 2022 287   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 343   Holy Cross W 78-66 85%    
  Feb 09, 2022 144   @ Boston University L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 101   Navy L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 16, 2022 111   Colgate L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 320   @ American W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 23, 2022 291   Bucknell W 78-73 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 343   @ Holy Cross W 75-69 69%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 4.3 4.1 2.6 0.4 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.9 7.8 6.2 2.2 0.3 21.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.6 7.1 4.3 0.9 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.7 2.4 0.3 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.6 1.3 0.3 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.0 1.1 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 2.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 2.7 5.5 7.8 11.0 12.5 13.9 13.9 12.0 8.2 5.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 83.9% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 64.5% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 34.7% 1.0    0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 44.0% 44.0% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.4% 18.6% 18.6% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 2.8% 14.2% 14.2% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.4
13-5 5.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 5.4
12-6 8.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.6
11-7 12.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.2 0.3 11.5
10-8 13.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.2
9-9 13.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.6
8-10 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 7.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.9 96.4 0.0%