Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#341
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#315
Pace69.0#200
Improvement+0.3#148

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#314
First Shot-2.6#249
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#316
Layup/Dunks-4.6#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#31
Freethrows-1.0#230
Improvement-1.2#287

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#346
First Shot-4.8#325
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#268
Layups/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-3.4#334
Improvement+1.5#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.9% 8.9% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 17.9% 23.3% 16.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 33.7% 26.4% 36.1%
First Four1.3% 1.8% 1.1%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 163 @St. Thomas L 76-83 10%     0 - 1 -4.4 +5.9 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 11 3 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -36.0 -10.0 -21.0
  Sat, Nov 15 187 Harvard L 52-75 27%     0 - 3 -27.8 -17.7 -12.4
  Tue, Nov 18 143 @Cornell L 73-86 9%     0 - 4 -9.1 -8.9 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 21 151 @Marist L 65-76 10%     0 - 5 -7.8 +2.2 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 25 308 East Texas A&M L 67-84 38%     0 - 6 -24.9 -6.5 -18.7
  Wed, Nov 26 361 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 53%     1 - 6 -3.9 +4.8 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 29 312 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 51%     2 - 6 -8.4 -6.5 -2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 61 George Washington L 70-84 6%     2 - 7 -8.0 -1.3 -7.2
  Fri, Dec 12 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-77 25%    
  Tue, Dec 23 347 Binghamton W 73-70 63%    
  Wed, Dec 31 297 @Lehigh L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 172 Colgate L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 309 Loyola Maryland L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 234 @Boston University L 67-77 18%    
  Wed, Jan 14 330 @Holy Cross L 70-74 34%    
  Sun, Jan 18 248 American L 73-76 38%    
  Wed, Jan 21 307 @Bucknell L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 192 @Navy L 66-78 14%    
  Wed, Jan 28 297 Lehigh L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 330 Holy Cross W 73-71 56%    
  Wed, Feb 4 172 @Colgate L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 334 Lafayette W 72-70 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 234 Boston University L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 248 @American L 70-79 20%    
  Wed, Feb 18 309 @Loyola Maryland L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 192 Navy L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 307 Bucknell L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 334 @Lafayette L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.8 1.8 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 2.6 0.2 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.1 6.9 3.5 0.4 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.7 7.4 3.7 0.5 0.0 19.5 9th
10th 0.5 2.1 4.9 6.9 5.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 23.1 10th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.2 8.9 12.4 14.4 14.7 13.4 10.5 7.5 4.8 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 85.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 67.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 37.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 14.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 15.1% 15.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 1.6% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
11-7 3.1% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.8
10-8 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.5
9-9 7.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.2 7.3
8-10 10.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.3
7-11 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.3
6-12 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.7
5-13 14.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.3
4-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-16 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%