Army
Patriot League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#328
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#337
Pace60.2#352
Improvement+2.3#83

Offense
Total Offense-9.4#351
First Shot-7.2#346
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#313
Layup/Dunks-2.1#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#82
Freethrows-4.0#358
Improvement+0.8#132

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#198
First Shot-3.1#283
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#28
Layups/Dunks-3.0#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement+1.4#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 24.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 0.6% 16.7%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 30 - 30 - 4
Quad 49 - 159 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 222   Marist L 55-71 34%     0 - 1 -21.9 -13.1 -9.6
  Nov 09, 2023 356   @ Stonehill L 44-57 60%     0 - 2 -25.8 -29.6 +2.9
  Nov 12, 2023 99   @ Indiana L 64-72 5%     0 - 3 +0.3 -0.8 +0.7
  Nov 17, 2023 198   Quinnipiac L 58-67 31%     0 - 4 -14.2 -12.3 -2.6
  Nov 21, 2023 279   @ Albany L 59-62 25%     0 - 5 -6.3 -11.4 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2023 293   @ Binghamton L 68-75 28%     0 - 6 -11.3 -8.4 -2.7
  Nov 29, 2023 275   Central Connecticut St. L 51-79 42%     0 - 7 -36.2 -18.3 -21.3
  Dec 05, 2023 325   Le Moyne W 68-51 59%     1 - 7 +4.3 -9.1 +14.0
  Dec 08, 2023 212   @ Harvard L 64-70 17%     1 - 8 -6.2 -3.1 -3.5
  Dec 17, 2023 211   Stony Brook L 74-78 OT 33%     1 - 9 -9.6 -5.3 -4.0
  Dec 21, 2023 269   @ Texas San Antonio W 63-53 23%     2 - 9 +7.4 -9.6 +17.8
  Jan 03, 2024 306   @ Lafayette L 47-52 31%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -10.2 -13.4 +1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 346   Holy Cross W 70-57 70%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -2.8 -4.0 +2.7
  Jan 10, 2024 341   Loyola Maryland L 65-71 68%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -21.0 +2.3 -24.8
  Jan 13, 2024 284   @ American L 60-79 26%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -22.5 -9.8 -14.4
  Jan 17, 2024 138   Colgate L 56-64 19%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -8.9 -11.3 +1.7
  Jan 20, 2024 324   @ Navy L 53-57 38%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -11.2 -14.6 +2.9
  Jan 24, 2024 295   @ Boston University W 69-59 30%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +5.3 +6.6 +0.3
  Jan 27, 2024 307   Bucknell L 56-66 52%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -20.9 -14.9 -7.2
  Jan 31, 2024 138   @ Colgate L 55-74 9%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -14.4 -8.5 -8.0
  Feb 03, 2024 306   Lafayette L 56-64 OT 52%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -18.7 -13.5 -6.0
  Feb 07, 2024 266   @ Lehigh W 68-57 23%     5 - 17 3 - 8 +8.5 +1.7 +7.9
  Feb 10, 2024 324   Navy W 69-67 OT 59%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -10.6 -11.5 +0.8
  Feb 14, 2024 295   Boston University W 65-50 50%     7 - 17 5 - 8 +4.8 -5.4 +11.5
  Feb 17, 2024 346   @ Holy Cross W 59-53 50%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -4.3 -13.5 +9.9
  Feb 21, 2024 266   Lehigh L 54-85 41%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -38.9 -16.8 -24.8
  Feb 25, 2024 307   @ Bucknell L 59-64 32%    
  Feb 28, 2024 284   American L 59-60 46%    
  Mar 02, 2024 341   @ Loyola Maryland L 60-61 46%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.5 0.5 3rd
4th 0.5 6.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 5.5 1.1 6.7 5th
6th 2.1 14.1 0.1 16.3 6th
7th 3.1 31.2 9.6 43.9 7th
8th 12.6 8.0 0.0 20.6 8th
9th 5.1 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.5 0.5 10th
Total 21.2 41.4 29.8 7.6 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 7.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.5
8-10 29.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.3 29.5
7-11 41.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 41.2
6-12 21.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 21.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.6% 1.2% 16.0 1.2
Lose Out 21.2% 0.5% 16.0 0.5