Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#332
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#282
Pace69.0#197
Improvement+1.6#74

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#328
First Shot-4.0#288
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#290
Layup/Dunks-5.5#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#36
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-1.2#276

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#327
First Shot-3.9#306
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks-1.5#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows-2.4#319
Improvement+2.8#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.5% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 9.1% 11.1% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 27.1% 18.1%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.4% 25.0% 34.4%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.4%
First Round1.3% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 74.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 135 @St. Thomas L 76-83 9%     0 - 1 -2.3 +6.5 -9.0
  Tue, Nov 11 2 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -35.4 -9.0 -21.3
  Sat, Nov 15 199 Harvard L 52-75 32%     0 - 3 -28.6 -17.9 -13.0
  Tue, Nov 18 163 @Cornell L 73-86 11%     0 - 4 -10.1 -10.5 +1.7
  Fri, Nov 21 156 @Marist L 65-76 11%     0 - 5 -7.8 +2.3 -10.7
  Tue, Nov 25 295 East Texas A&M L 67-84 38%     0 - 6 -24.3 -6.7 -17.9
  Wed, Nov 26 361 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 55%     1 - 6 -3.8 +5.3 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 29 320 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 58%     2 - 6 -9.4 -5.4 -4.2
  Tue, Dec 2 81 George Washington L 70-84 9%     2 - 7 -9.7 -1.1 -9.1
  Fri, Dec 12 286 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-60 26%     3 - 7 -0.8 -8.9 +8.3
  Tue, Dec 23 356 Binghamton W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Dec 31 309 @Lehigh L 69-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 181 Colgate L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 339 Loyola Maryland W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 289 @Boston University L 68-75 28%    
  Wed, Jan 14 290 @Holy Cross L 68-74 27%    
  Sun, Jan 18 249 American L 72-75 41%    
  Wed, Jan 21 304 @Bucknell L 68-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 @Navy L 65-75 17%    
  Wed, Jan 28 309 Lehigh W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 290 Holy Cross L 71-72 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 181 @Colgate L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 319 Lafayette W 72-70 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 289 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 249 @American L 69-78 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 339 @Loyola Maryland L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 204 Navy L 68-72 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 304 Bucknell W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 319 @Lafayette L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 4.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 2.1 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.7 3.2 0.2 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 15.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 6.9 4.2 0.6 17.0 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 3.3 5.0 5.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 18.2 10th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.2 9.8 13.0 14.5 14.3 12.5 9.5 6.7 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 94.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 72.3% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 46.7% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 15.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 12.1% 12.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 14.6% 14.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1
12-6 2.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.3
11-7 4.1% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.8
10-8 6.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.3
9-9 9.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 9.1
8-10 12.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.2
7-11 14.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 14.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-13 13.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-14 9.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-15 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 2.1 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%