Utah
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
59  Grayson Murphy JR 19:51
164  Hannah McInturff JR 20:13
183  Amanda Gehrich FR 20:16
217  Giselle Slotboom SR 20:21
218  Poppy Tank FR 20:21
702  Ashley Licata FR 21:12
724  Becky Sarmiento JR 21:14
835  Dana Snell SR 21:21
900  Sadie Wassum JR 21:26
1,053  Shaylen Crook JR 21:35
1,114  Kate Stringfellow SR 21:39
1,738  Anna Busatto FR 22:17
National Rank #19 of 344
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 85.2%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 8.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 45.3%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 85.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Grayson Murphy Hannah McInturff Amanda Gehrich Giselle Slotboom Poppy Tank Ashley Licata Becky Sarmiento Dana Snell Sadie Wassum Shaylen Crook Kate Stringfellow
MSU Invite 09/17 772 20:24 20:23 20:27 20:23 21:06 21:35 21:40 21:15 21:46 21:37
Nevada Chase - Nevada vs Utah 09/23 1198 20:41
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 468 19:53 20:20 20:08 19:54 20:18 21:10 21:03 21:36 20:52
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1177 20:53 21:21 21:34 21:43
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 494 19:46 19:57 20:09 20:13 20:37 21:18 21:14
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 567 19:36 20:43 20:18 20:13 20:18 21:17 21:29 21:12 21:59 22:25
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 513 19:49 19:48 20:24 20:39 20:10 21:12 21:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 85.2% 19.4 485 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.2 2.6 3.2 2.8 2.9 4.2 4.3 3.8 3.5 4.3 3.9 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.0 4.5 4.5 3.2 2.5 3.0 2.3 2.1
Region Championship 100% 4.0 133 0.2 14.5 24.1 26.9 19.7 10.6 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grayson Murphy 88.8% 58.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0
Hannah McInturff 85.2% 126.1 0.1 0.1
Amanda Gehrich 85.2% 137.3 0.1
Giselle Slotboom 85.2% 153.5
Poppy Tank 85.2% 150.3
Ashley Licata 85.2% 239.9
Becky Sarmiento 85.2% 240.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grayson Murphy 11.7 0.7 0.9 1.8 2.4 3.4 5.1 5.3 6.1 5.8 6.9 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.0 4.4 5.0 3.6 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.8 2.5 1.5 1.3 0.7
Hannah McInturff 25.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.0 2.2 3.2 2.4 3.3 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.1
Amanda Gehrich 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.5 2.3 1.2 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.2 2.7 3.6 3.8 3.3 4.1
Giselle Slotboom 31.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 1.6 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.2 3.4
Poppy Tank 31.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8
Ashley Licata 73.1
Becky Sarmiento 74.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 14.5% 100.0% 14.5 14.5 2
3 24.1% 100.0% 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.1 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 24.1 3
4 26.9% 100.0% 4.5 3.7 3.4 4.0 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 26.9 4
5 19.7% 93.4% 1.7 1.8 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 18.4 5
6 10.6% 12.3% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.3 1.3 6
7 3.0% 3.0 7
8 0.9% 0.9 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 85.2% 0.2 14.5 5.4 9.6 10.0 9.2 8.9 7.6 6.0 5.0 3.3 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.7 14.8 14.7 70.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 92.0% 2.0 1.8
Yale 92.0% 1.0 0.9
BYU 86.9% 1.0 0.9
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 2.0 1.1
Minnesota 31.9% 2.0 0.6
California 28.9% 2.0 0.6
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.4
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 19.0