Washington
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
14  Amy-Eloise Neale SR 19:19
119  Isobel Batt-Doyle SR 20:01
135  Kaitlyn Neal SO 20:05
205  Anna Maxwell SR 20:17
210  Emily Hamlin JR 20:17
279  Kiera Marshall FR 20:28
290  Allie Schadler FR 20:30
409  Nicole Zielinski SO 20:42
612  Camila David-Smith FR 21:00
781  Erica Schroeder FR 21:14
National Rank #12 of 348
West Region Rank #5 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.6%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 25.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 78.3%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 71.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amy-Eloise Neale Isobel Batt-Doyle Kaitlyn Neal Anna Maxwell Emily Hamlin Kiera Marshall Allie Schadler Nicole Zielinski Camila David-Smith Erica Schroeder
Sundodger Invitational 09/16 511 19:55 20:03 20:18 20:17 20:19
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 326 19:19 19:46 19:54 20:10 20:11 20:25 21:12
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 412 19:17 19:57 19:53 20:24 20:23 20:27 20:33 20:26 21:00 21:13
West Region Championships 11/10 585 19:05 20:22 21:42 20:29 20:17 20:41 20:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.6% 14.9 420 0.5 0.7 2.4 2.8 3.7 4.8 5.4 5.2 6.3 6.9 5.1 5.3 6.2 5.3 4.5 5.1 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.7 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3
Region Championship 100% 5.0 158 0.3 1.4 5.4 16.7 48.0 23.9 4.1 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amy-Eloise Neale 99.9% 16.8 0.6 1.0 1.9 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.7 3.0 3.7 4.0 3.5 3.4 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.9
Isobel Batt-Doyle 97.6% 107.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kaitlyn Neal 97.6% 121.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Anna Maxwell 97.6% 155.4
Emily Hamlin 97.6% 153.8 0.1 0.1
Kiera Marshall 97.6% 181.1
Allie Schadler 97.6% 183.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amy-Eloise Neale 6.4 3.0 6.3 8.8 9.4 9.2 9.5 9.4 7.7 7.1 5.4 5.2 4.5 2.3 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
Isobel Batt-Doyle 30.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 3.0 2.5 3.0 2.6 3.0 2.8 3.5
Kaitlyn Neal 33.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.8 1.2 2.9 1.7 2.8 2.5 2.2
Anna Maxwell 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.6
Emily Hamlin 44.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9
Kiera Marshall 54.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Allie Schadler 54.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 5.4% 100.0% 0.7 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.4 3
4 16.7% 100.0% 3.6 5.8 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 16.7 4
5 48.0% 99.9% 9.6 16.1 12.7 6.1 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 47.9 5
6 23.9% 98.3% 1.6 3.5 4.2 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.5 1.8 1.1 1.2 0.4 23.5 6
7 4.1% 63.0% 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.5 2.6 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 97.6% 0.3 1.4 0.7 5.4 17.0 22.1 18.7 11.6 5.8 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.4 1.6 1.6 2.5 1.6 96.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 96.1% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 1.0 0.9
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.5
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 14.0