Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#78
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#80
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#75
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#92
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 20.8% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.6% 19.5% 5.7%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 8.7
.500 or above 58.8% 61.2% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 25.4% 10.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 9.7% 18.6%
First Four4.0% 4.2% 1.5%
First Round17.7% 18.6% 5.4%
Second Round8.9% 9.4% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.6% 2.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.9 - 5.60.9 - 5.6
Quad 1b1.2 - 2.82.1 - 8.4
Quad 22.8 - 3.64.9 - 12.0
Quad 33.7 - 1.98.6 - 13.8
Quad 46.9 - 0.715.5 - 14.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 261   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-64 93%    
  Nov 11, 2018 318   St. Francis Brooklyn W 83-67 96%    
  Nov 14, 2018 275   IUPUI W 77-64 92%    
  Nov 19, 2018 173   Wyoming W 83-76 75%    
  Nov 21, 2018 67   Loyola Chicago L 70-71 46%    
  Nov 26, 2018 68   Minnesota L 77-78 55%    
  Nov 29, 2018 324   Sacred Heart W 82-65 96%    
  Dec 04, 2018 47   Providence L 71-74 50%    
  Dec 12, 2018 229   Columbia W 85-74 88%    
  Dec 16, 2018 220   Fairfield W 81-71 87%    
  Dec 22, 2018 89   @ DePaul W 76-75 44%    
  Dec 31, 2018 193   Hartford W 78-70 84%    
  Jan 05, 2019 20   @ Virginia Tech L 74-81 20%    
  Jan 09, 2019 2   Virginia L 57-69 22%    
  Jan 12, 2019 49   @ Notre Dame L 71-74 31%    
  Jan 16, 2019 54   @ Louisville L 76-78 33%    
  Jan 20, 2019 15   Florida St. L 77-84 36%    
  Jan 26, 2019 115   @ Wake Forest W 78-75 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 12   Syracuse L 64-72 33%    
  Feb 02, 2019 49   Notre Dame L 71-74 50%    
  Feb 05, 2019 4   @ Duke L 74-86 11%    
  Feb 09, 2019 12   @ Syracuse L 64-72 17%    
  Feb 12, 2019 167   Pittsburgh W 74-67 79%    
  Feb 17, 2019 23   Miami (FL) L 71-77 39%    
  Feb 20, 2019 38   @ North Carolina St. L 79-83 28%    
  Feb 23, 2019 18   @ Clemson L 68-75 22%    
  Feb 27, 2019 54   Louisville L 76-78 51%    
  Mar 03, 2019 113   @ Georgia Tech W 71-68 50%    
  Mar 05, 2019 6   North Carolina L 75-86 25%    
  Mar 09, 2019 38   North Carolina St. L 79-83 46%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 14.5 6.4 - 11.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.1 1.6 0.1 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.7 3.6 0.9 0.0 13.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.1 3.2 0.8 0.0 13.2 13th
14th 0.7 3.1 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.5 14th
15th 0.7 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.3 15th
Total 0.7 2.5 5.5 8.6 11.0 12.2 12.4 12.6 10.3 8.1 6.4 4.1 2.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 96.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 72.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 46.8% 53.2% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 14.4% 85.6% 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 99.9% 3.4% 96.5% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 2.8% 97.6% 5.7% 91.9% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.5%
11-7 4.1% 87.4% 4.7% 82.7% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 86.7%
10-8 6.4% 69.5% 1.4% 68.1% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.9 69.1%
9-9 8.1% 44.5% 2.6% 41.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 43.0%
8-10 10.3% 15.2% 1.7% 13.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 13.7%
7-11 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 3.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.0 3.4%
6-12 12.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.2%
5-13 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
3-15 8.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
2-16 5.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-17 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 19.7% 1.4% 18.3% 8.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 80.3 18.6%