Central Florida
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#120
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#222
Pace64.3#310
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.9% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.0
.500 or above 48.2% 61.6% 35.1%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 48.4% 33.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 6.2% 11.6%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
First Round2.2% 3.2% 1.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 53 - 10
Quad 35 - 48 - 14
Quad 47 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 288   Prairie View W 73-69 87%     1 - 0 -6.0 -6.8 +0.7
  Nov 12, 2019 55   Miami (FL) L 70-79 37%     1 - 1 -3.1 -0.8 -2.3
  Nov 17, 2019 163   @ Illinois St. L 66-67 49%    
  Nov 23, 2019 114   College of Charleston W 68-65 60%    
  Nov 28, 2019 107   Penn L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 07, 2019 188   NJIT W 69-62 74%    
  Dec 10, 2019 166   Green Bay W 78-72 71%    
  Dec 15, 2019 282   Sacred Heart W 79-67 86%    
  Dec 18, 2019 337   Bethune-Cookman W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 21, 2019 31   @ Oklahoma L 62-75 13%    
  Dec 31, 2019 93   Temple L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 03, 2020 32   @ Houston L 59-72 14%    
  Jan 08, 2020 97   @ SMU L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 11, 2020 25   Cincinnati L 59-66 26%    
  Jan 14, 2020 221   @ Tulane W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 135   South Florida W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 25, 2020 68   @ Wichita St. L 61-69 23%    
  Jan 29, 2020 19   Memphis L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 01, 2020 135   @ South Florida L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 06, 2020 217   @ East Carolina W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 09, 2020 122   Tulsa W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 13, 2020 68   Wichita St. L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 19, 2020 25   @ Cincinnati L 56-69 13%    
  Feb 22, 2020 221   Tulane W 75-66 77%    
  Feb 26, 2020 95   @ Connecticut L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 29, 2020 122   @ Tulsa L 65-68 40%    
  Mar 04, 2020 97   SMU W 66-65 51%    
  Mar 08, 2020 217   East Carolina W 71-62 76%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 5.4 2.7 0.3 11.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 5.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.3 2.4 5.3 3.4 0.4 11.7 8th
9th 0.4 2.3 5.6 3.4 0.7 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.0 4.0 6.5 9.0 11.4 12.3 13.0 11.9 10.1 7.6 5.3 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 57.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 30.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 7.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 88.0% 40.0% 48.0% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
15-3 0.6% 45.3% 20.3% 25.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 31.4%
14-4 1.7% 32.2% 11.7% 20.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 23.2%
13-5 3.3% 17.9% 9.1% 8.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.7 9.7%
12-6 5.3% 8.1% 4.7% 3.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.9 3.5%
11-7 7.6% 3.0% 2.4% 0.7% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.4 0.7%
10-8 10.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.1%
9-9 11.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.1%
8-10 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.7% 1.5% 1.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.3 1.2%