Kansas St.
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#50
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#35
Pace60.9#342
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+9.6#5
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 8.1% 8.2% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 18.3% 18.4% 5.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.3% 43.5% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.4% 41.6% 14.4%
Average Seed 7.0 7.0 7.0
.500 or above 66.9% 67.1% 33.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 33.0% 15.1%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 21.2% 21.0% 40.5%
First Four2.9% 2.9% 0.0%
First Round41.8% 42.0% 15.1%
Second Round24.7% 24.8% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen9.8% 9.8% 1.6%
Elite Eight3.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Final Four1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 11
Quad 24 - 39 - 14
Quad 33 - 112 - 14
Quad 45 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 161   North Dakota St. W 67-54 88%     1 - 0 +9.8 -4.6 +15.4
  Nov 09, 2019 138   @ UNLV W 60-56 OT 69%     2 - 0 +8.5 -11.4 +19.9
  Nov 13, 2019 255   Monmouth W 73-54 94%     3 - 0 +11.2 -2.3 +13.3
  Nov 19, 2019 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-45 99%    
  Nov 25, 2019 85   Pittsburgh W 63-59 63%    
  Dec 02, 2019 344   Florida A&M W 73-47 99%    
  Dec 07, 2019 16   Marquette L 63-64 44%    
  Dec 11, 2019 321   Alabama St. W 72-49 98%    
  Dec 14, 2019 57   Mississippi St. W 60-59 54%    
  Dec 21, 2019 108   Saint Louis W 64-55 79%    
  Dec 29, 2019 124   Tulsa W 66-56 82%    
  Jan 04, 2020 30   @ Oklahoma L 60-66 31%    
  Jan 07, 2020 53   TCU W 64-61 62%    
  Jan 11, 2020 21   @ Texas L 55-62 27%    
  Jan 14, 2020 11   Texas Tech L 60-63 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 48   West Virginia W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 21, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 58-70 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 29, 2020 30   Oklahoma W 63-62 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 48   @ West Virginia L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 03, 2020 15   Baylor L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 41   @ Iowa St. L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 11, 2020 46   Oklahoma St. W 62-59 58%    
  Feb 15, 2020 53   @ TCU L 61-64 42%    
  Feb 19, 2020 11   @ Texas Tech L 57-66 21%    
  Feb 22, 2020 21   Texas L 58-59 48%    
  Feb 25, 2020 15   @ Baylor L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 29, 2020 4   Kansas L 61-67 30%    
  Mar 04, 2020 46   @ Oklahoma St. L 59-62 39%    
  Mar 07, 2020 41   Iowa St. W 65-63 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.2 2.7 0.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.5 3.1 0.4 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.4 5.1 2.8 0.4 14.7 9th
10th 0.4 1.4 3.1 4.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 14.0 10th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.0 8.7 10.7 12.0 13.3 11.3 10.4 8.4 5.6 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 80.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-4 65.9% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1
13-5 32.4% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 28.9% 71.1% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.2% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 2.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.4% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-6 3.9% 99.9% 9.4% 90.5% 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 5.6% 98.9% 8.7% 90.3% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.8%
10-8 8.4% 95.3% 5.6% 89.7% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 95.0%
9-9 10.4% 87.5% 3.6% 83.9% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.3 87.0%
8-10 11.3% 62.1% 2.4% 59.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.2 4.3 61.1%
7-11 13.3% 29.5% 1.1% 28.4% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.4 28.7%
6-12 12.0% 8.2% 0.5% 7.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 11.0 7.7%
5-13 10.7% 2.1% 0.6% 1.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.5%
4-14 8.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.1%
3-15 6.0% 6.0
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 43.3% 3.1% 40.2% 7.0 0.6 1.4 2.8 3.4 4.9 5.3 5.8 5.9 5.1 4.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 56.7 41.4%