Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#268
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#215
Pace68.2#222
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 14.6% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 44.5% 58.3% 34.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 74.7% 60.9%
Conference Champion 12.7% 16.2% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.8% 4.6%
First Four4.9% 5.2% 4.6%
First Round8.7% 12.0% 6.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 414 - 915 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 72   @ Georgetown L 68-81 8%     0 - 1 -3.0 -2.9 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2019 47   @ Washington L 46-56 5%     0 - 2 +3.2 -12.2 +14.4
  Nov 15, 2019 282   @ Lamar L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 20, 2019 152   @ UAB L 63-72 20%    
  Nov 22, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 53-80 1%    
  Nov 26, 2019 274   Utah Valley W 71-68 62%    
  Nov 30, 2019 340   @ Howard W 76-72 65%    
  Dec 03, 2019 164   @ Grand Canyon L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 07, 2019 232   Loyola Maryland W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 17, 2019 227   American W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 20, 2019 270   @ Navy L 63-66 38%    
  Dec 27, 2019 337   Coppin St. W 80-71 79%    
  Jan 02, 2020 333   Wagner W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 04, 2020 246   LIU Brooklyn W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 09, 2020 292   @ Merrimack L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 258   @ Bryant L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 348   Central Connecticut St. W 78-65 88%    
  Jan 20, 2020 299   St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 258   Bryant W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 30, 2020 285   @ Sacred Heart L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 06, 2020 246   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 299   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 13, 2020 291   Robert Morris W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 15, 2020 217   St. Francis (PA) W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 18, 2020 333   @ Wagner W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 21, 2020 291   @ Robert Morris L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 23, 2020 292   Merrimack W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 27, 2020 217   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-66 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.8 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.3 12.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.1 1.1 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.8 1.2 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.7 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 1.7 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 1.9 0.2 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.7 1.6 0.2 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.9 11th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.7 4.1 5.9 8.6 9.8 11.3 13.1 12.1 9.8 8.2 6.0 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 98.6% 1.9    1.8 0.2
15-3 88.2% 3.0    2.1 0.8 0.1
14-4 64.5% 3.8    1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 29.1% 2.4    0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
12-6 6.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.6 3.9 1.0 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 47.4% 47.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 50.0% 50.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.0% 42.3% 42.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.1
15-3 3.4% 34.8% 34.8% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 2.2
14-4 6.0% 26.9% 26.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 4.4
13-5 8.2% 20.3% 20.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 6.6
12-6 9.8% 14.2% 14.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 8.4
11-7 12.1% 12.5% 12.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 10.6
10-8 13.1% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 11.7
9-9 11.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.5
8-10 9.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 9.5
7-11 8.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.4
6-12 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 7.1 88.7 0.0%