Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#293
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#316
Pace59.6#346
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#268
First Shot-2.9#266
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#240
Layup/Dunks-3.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#128
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+3.4#31

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#287
First Shot-2.5#268
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#286
Layups/Dunks-2.4#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#246
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement-3.3#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 410 - 1210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 66   @ Georgetown L 68-81 5%     0 - 1 -2.0 -3.1 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2019 56   @ Washington L 46-56 5%     0 - 2 +1.8 -14.1 +14.9
  Nov 15, 2019 248   @ Lamar L 61-76 30%     0 - 3 -17.2 -7.8 -10.0
  Nov 20, 2019 176   @ UAB L 51-58 17%     0 - 4 -4.5 -11.5 +5.8
  Nov 22, 2019 23   @ Kentucky L 62-82 2%     0 - 5 -3.6 -3.2 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2019 255   Utah Valley W 64-61 53%     1 - 5 -5.4 -10.1 +4.8
  Nov 30, 2019 349   @ Howard W 73-56 77%     2 - 5 +1.8 -9.1 +11.2
  Dec 03, 2019 250   @ Grand Canyon L 67-75 OT 30%     2 - 6 -10.3 -12.5 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2019 266   Loyola Maryland L 48-64 56%     2 - 7 -25.0 -24.0 -3.4
  Dec 17, 2019 198   American L 76-82 40%     2 - 8 -10.9 +0.4 -11.3
  Dec 20, 2019 253   @ Navy L 48-59 31%     2 - 9 -13.4 -14.4 -1.6
  Dec 27, 2019 331   Coppin St. W 79-55 75%     3 - 9 +9.3 +1.6 +7.5
  Jan 02, 2020 336   Wagner L 47-66 77%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -34.2 -28.6 -8.2
  Jan 04, 2020 274   LIU Brooklyn W 82-73 2OT 57%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -0.3 -8.8 +7.0
  Jan 09, 2020 233   @ Merrimack L 61-64 26%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -4.0 -0.4 -3.9
  Jan 11, 2020 254   @ Bryant W 67-65 31%     5 - 11 2 - 2 -0.4 +6.1 -6.1
  Jan 18, 2020 346   Central Connecticut St. W 79-52 86%     6 - 11 3 - 2 +7.9 +7.2 +4.3
  Jan 20, 2020 309   St. Francis Brooklyn W 59-39 64%     7 - 11 4 - 2 +8.7 -10.9 +22.1
  Jan 25, 2020 254   Bryant W 79-76 53%     8 - 11 5 - 2 -5.4 +8.6 -13.8
  Jan 30, 2020 206   @ Sacred Heart L 53-58 22%     8 - 12 5 - 3 -4.3 -9.5 +4.2
  Feb 01, 2020 282   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 75-85 36%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -13.7 -3.6 -10.0
  Feb 06, 2020 274   @ LIU Brooklyn W 67-63 34%     9 - 13 6 - 4 +0.8 -3.8 +4.8
  Feb 08, 2020 309   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 67-70 41%     9 - 14 6 - 5 -8.3 +0.4 -9.0
  Feb 13, 2020 208   Robert Morris L 60-77 42%     9 - 15 6 - 6 -22.5 -6.4 -18.6
  Feb 15, 2020 181   St. Francis (PA) L 55-70 36%     9 - 16 6 - 7 -18.8 -17.8 -2.5
  Feb 18, 2020 336   @ Wagner L 61-67 56%     9 - 17 6 - 8 -15.1 -10.8 -5.0
  Feb 21, 2020 208   @ Robert Morris L 60-68 22%     9 - 18 6 - 9 -7.5 -3.0 -5.7
  Feb 23, 2020 233   Merrimack W 65-57 48%     10 - 18 7 - 9 +1.0 +0.9 +1.1
  Feb 27, 2020 181   @ St. Francis (PA) L 62-75 18%     10 - 19 7 - 10 -10.7 -7.5 -4.5
  Feb 29, 2020 282   Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-83 59%     10 - 20 7 - 11 -15.8 -6.7 -8.8
  Mar 04, 2020 206   @ Sacred Heart L 59-61 22%     10 - 21 -1.3 +2.1 -4.0
Projected Record 10 - 21 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%