Oregon St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#67
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#53
Pace65.1#298
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#33
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 2.1% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.9% 5.4% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 29.3% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.0% 25.9% 11.4%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 9.6
.500 or above 80.8% 83.9% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.6% 52.8% 36.1%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 6.0% 11.8%
First Four6.9% 7.2% 4.3%
First Round23.6% 25.5% 10.8%
Second Round11.4% 12.5% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.5% 3.9% 1.1%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 86.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 37 - 11
Quad 35 - 211 - 12
Quad 48 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 264   Cal St. Northridge W 87-67 92%     1 - 0 +11.7 +5.0 +6.4
  Nov 09, 2019 41   Iowa St. W 80-74 49%     2 - 0 +13.9 +9.7 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2019 30   Oklahoma L 69-77 32%     2 - 1 +4.4 +5.8 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2019 290   @ Wyoming W 66-54 87%    
  Nov 20, 2019 157   UC Santa Barbara W 74-63 84%    
  Nov 23, 2019 253   Grambling St. W 80-65 92%    
  Nov 27, 2019 325   San Jose St. W 80-62 96%    
  Dec 01, 2019 273   Portland St. W 83-67 93%    
  Dec 14, 2019 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-55 99%    
  Dec 18, 2019 203   Texas San Antonio W 81-71 82%    
  Dec 21, 2019 74   @ Texas A&M L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 29, 2019 274   North Dakota W 81-65 92%    
  Jan 02, 2020 83   @ Utah L 74-76 45%    
  Jan 05, 2020 35   @ Colorado L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 09, 2020 69   Arizona St. W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 12, 2020 14   Arizona L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 16, 2020 47   @ Washington L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 18, 2020 132   @ Washington St. W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 23, 2020 88   UCLA W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 25, 2020 59   USC W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 30, 2020 94   @ Stanford L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 135   @ California W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 12   Oregon L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 83   Utah W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 15, 2020 35   Colorado L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 20, 2020 14   @ Arizona L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 22, 2020 69   @ Arizona St. L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 27, 2020 12   @ Oregon L 64-75 16%    
  Mar 05, 2020 94   Stanford W 74-69 67%    
  Mar 07, 2020 135   California W 75-66 78%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.4 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.4 3.1 5.6 2.5 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 5.5 2.8 0.4 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 5.0 3.1 0.5 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 4.6 6.7 9.6 11.5 12.5 12.7 11.7 9.4 7.3 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 92.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 75.3% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 42.4% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 29.4% 70.6% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.5% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.7% 97.4% 23.3% 74.1% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.7%
13-5 4.5% 90.8% 13.0% 77.9% 8.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 89.4%
12-6 7.3% 78.1% 10.3% 67.7% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.6 75.5%
11-7 9.4% 56.9% 7.7% 49.2% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.1 53.3%
10-8 11.7% 35.9% 3.4% 32.4% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.1 0.7 0.0 7.5 33.6%
9-9 12.7% 17.1% 1.9% 15.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 10.5 15.5%
8-10 12.5% 4.2% 1.3% 2.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.0 2.9%
7-11 11.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.3 0.5%
6-12 9.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.1%
5-13 6.7% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 27.2% 4.2% 23.0% 8.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.2 3.1 3.6 4.4 6.9 2.1 0.1 72.8 24.0%