Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#75
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#35
Pace71.5#131
Improvement+1.0#57

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#95
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#152
Layup/Dunks-0.4#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
Freethrows+0.9#130
Improvement+1.0#39

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+4.1#75
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#168
Layups/Dunks+0.0#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows+1.6#111
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.4% 28.6% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.9% 17.9% 8.0%
Average Seed 9.8 9.7 10.7
.500 or above 85.1% 87.0% 67.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.0% 84.1% 72.8%
Conference Champion 15.3% 15.9% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.6%
First Four6.6% 6.8% 3.9%
First Round24.0% 25.1% 13.9%
Second Round10.0% 10.6% 4.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.8% 2.9% 1.0%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 90.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 24 - 35 - 8
Quad 39 - 314 - 11
Quad 47 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 248   LIU Brooklyn W 76-65 91%     1 - 0 +3.3 -7.4 +10.1
  Nov 09, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 55-73 11%     1 - 1 +2.5 -10.0 +13.3
  Nov 15, 2019 67   Alabama W 93-79 58%     2 - 1 +19.1 +7.0 +9.6
  Nov 19, 2019 229   Nicholls St. W 78-64 90%    
  Nov 22, 2019 156   North Texas W 65-58 74%    
  Nov 24, 2019 34   LSU L 75-80 34%    
  Nov 27, 2019 253   Manhattan W 74-59 91%    
  Dec 01, 2019 46   @ West Virginia L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 06, 2019 36   Providence L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 21, 2019 78   Western Kentucky W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 29, 2019 200   @ Middle Tennessee W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 02, 2020 183   @ Brown W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 05, 2020 105   Richmond W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 08, 2020 70   Davidson W 69-67 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 39   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 15, 2020 189   @ Saint Joseph's W 84-78 69%    
  Jan 18, 2020 206   La Salle W 76-64 86%    
  Jan 22, 2020 97   Duquesne W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 25, 2020 143   @ St. Bonaventure W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 28, 2020 142   @ George Mason W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 31, 2020 39   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 04, 2020 168   Massachusetts W 76-65 82%    
  Feb 08, 2020 258   @ George Washington W 73-64 77%    
  Feb 11, 2020 64   @ Dayton L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 189   Saint Joseph's W 87-75 84%    
  Feb 22, 2020 70   @ Davidson L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 26, 2020 232   @ Fordham W 67-59 74%    
  Mar 01, 2020 116   Saint Louis W 73-66 73%    
  Mar 04, 2020 64   Dayton W 71-70 55%    
  Mar 07, 2020 168   @ Massachusetts W 73-68 65%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 3.5 4.9 3.5 1.6 0.4 15.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 5.2 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.7 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.9 0.9 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.6 1.3 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.3 1.5 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.8 0.2 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.5 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.3 11th
12th 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.5 7.1 9.1 11.7 13.0 14.1 12.1 10.3 7.0 3.8 1.6 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.5% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 93.3% 3.5    2.9 0.7 0.0
15-3 70.8% 4.9    2.8 1.9 0.2
14-4 34.5% 3.5    1.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.0% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 9.1 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 93.0% 41.9% 51.1% 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.0%
17-1 1.6% 96.3% 45.0% 51.3% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.3%
16-2 3.8% 86.8% 35.2% 51.6% 7.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 79.7%
15-3 7.0% 73.0% 28.4% 44.7% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.3 1.9 62.4%
14-4 10.3% 58.6% 23.4% 35.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.4 0.9 0.0 4.3 45.9%
13-5 12.1% 39.2% 17.1% 22.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.2 1.2 0.0 7.4 26.6%
12-6 14.1% 24.0% 13.0% 11.1% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.1 10.7 12.7%
11-7 13.0% 11.5% 7.5% 4.0% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 11.5 4.3%
10-8 11.7% 7.1% 4.8% 2.3% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.8 2.4%
9-9 9.1% 3.4% 3.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.8 0.2%
8-10 7.1% 2.3% 2.3% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.9
7-11 4.5% 1.5% 1.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.8% 0.6% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 2.8
5-13 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 27.4% 12.6% 14.8% 9.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.9 4.1 8.5 5.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 72.6 16.9%