Sacred Heart
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#205
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Pace73.8#68
Improvement+0.0#177

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#182
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#88
Layup/Dunks-1.7#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
Freethrows+1.9#51
Improvement-2.4#299

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#244
First Shot-1.3#205
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#280
Layups/Dunks-3.3#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#45
Freethrows+2.2#48
Improvement+2.4#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 20.9% 14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 87.5% 91.9% 76.2%
.500 or above in Conference 93.0% 96.3% 84.4%
Conference Champion 18.5% 22.8% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.7% 7.5% 8.1%
First Round16.1% 18.0% 11.3%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 72.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 417 - 818 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 62   @ Providence L 60-106 10%     0 - 1 -34.9 -9.8 -22.2
  Nov 08, 2019 77   @ Connecticut L 67-89 12%     0 - 2 -12.2 -8.3 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2019 337   @ Binghamton L 72-76 72%     0 - 3 -12.7 -12.6 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2019 202   Brown W 84-63 61%     1 - 3 +15.5 +5.7 +8.9
  Nov 22, 2019 326   Presbyterian W 83-57 76%     2 - 3 +15.9 -1.7 +15.7
  Nov 23, 2019 229   Albany L 65-72 54%     2 - 4 -10.9 -9.5 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2019 239   @ Quinnipiac W 97-80 46%     3 - 4 +15.4 +18.7 -3.8
  Dec 04, 2019 289   @ Umass Lowell W 89-86 56%     4 - 4 -1.3 +6.0 -7.4
  Dec 08, 2019 277   @ Hartford W 79-62 53%     5 - 4 +13.4 +2.8 +9.6
  Dec 15, 2019 112   @ Central Florida L 65-76 18%     5 - 5 -4.0 -3.4 -0.5
  Dec 22, 2019 340   @ Holy Cross W 89-68 75%     6 - 5 +11.1 +7.1 +3.7
  Dec 29, 2019 199   Lafayette L 66-67 60%     6 - 6 -6.4 -14.7 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2020 254   Merrimack L 57-65 70%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -16.2 -11.0 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2020 333   @ Wagner W 81-74 70%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -1.2 +8.7 -9.4
  Jan 09, 2020 312   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-75 62%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -4.0 -0.1 -3.9
  Jan 15, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 66-55 95%     9 - 7 3 - 1 -10.6 -12.7 +2.9
  Jan 18, 2020 213   @ St. Francis (PA) L 65-72 40%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -7.2 -8.5 +1.0
  Jan 20, 2020 222   @ Robert Morris L 55-67 42%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -12.8 -12.2 -1.6
  Jan 23, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 82-54 88%     10 - 9 4 - 3 +12.2 -0.6 +12.2
  Jan 25, 2020 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-60 81%     11 - 9 5 - 3 +5.1 +1.3 +5.1
  Jan 30, 2020 271   Mount St. Mary's W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 01, 2020 295   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 06, 2020 213   St. Francis (PA) W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 08, 2020 222   Robert Morris W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 13, 2020 241   Bryant W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 15, 2020 240   @ LIU Brooklyn L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 21, 2020 254   @ Merrimack L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 23, 2020 241   @ Bryant L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 27, 2020 295   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 29, 2020 240   LIU Brooklyn W 80-75 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.8 8.1 5.3 1.1 18.5 1st
2nd 0.1 3.0 9.6 4.7 0.6 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.9 10.1 6.4 0.6 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.3 6.2 7.6 0.8 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 8.5 1.6 12.3 5th
6th 0.8 5.5 2.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 3.2 0.2 5.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.2 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 5.0 11.3 18.2 22.4 20.7 13.3 6.0 1.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
14-4 88.8% 5.3    3.7 1.4 0.1
13-5 60.8% 8.1    3.0 3.7 1.3 0.1
12-6 18.6% 3.8    0.3 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.5% 18.5 8.2 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.1% 32.7% 32.7% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-4 6.0% 33.5% 33.5% 15.2 0.2 1.2 0.6 4.0
13-5 13.3% 26.9% 26.9% 15.6 0.1 1.4 2.1 9.8
12-6 20.7% 21.9% 21.9% 15.8 0.0 0.9 3.6 16.2
11-7 22.4% 19.4% 19.4% 15.9 0.6 3.8 18.1
10-8 18.2% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.1 2.6 15.5
9-9 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4 9.9
8-10 5.0% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.3 4.7
7-11 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
6-12 0.4% 0.4
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.2% 19.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.5 4.3 14.3 80.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.2 20.2 44.4 35.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.0%