South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#343
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#331
Pace70.4#164
Improvement-0.4#241

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#332
First Shot-7.2#334
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks-4.5#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#281
Freethrows-2.9#313
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#339
First Shot-5.9#326
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#231
Layups/Dunks-5.6#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows-1.7#257
Improvement-0.5#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 n/a 15.8
.500 or above 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.0% 0.0% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 49.1% 0.0% 49.1%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 46 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 140   @ College of Charleston L 55-74 5%     0 - 1 -14.6 -15.3 +0.1
  Nov 11, 2019 322   @ NC Central L 64-73 27%     0 - 2 -16.5 -15.4 -0.2
  Nov 13, 2019 62   @ Virginia Tech L 57-80 2%     0 - 3 -11.2 -3.2 -10.2
  Nov 18, 2019 131   @ Akron L 45-76 5%     0 - 4 -26.0 -19.3 -8.3
  Nov 20, 2019 4   @ Louisville L 54-90 0.0%   
  Nov 23, 2019 241   Youngstown St. L 69-76 26%    
  Nov 30, 2019 214   @ Charlotte L 59-73 10%    
  Dec 03, 2019 264   Eastern Kentucky L 78-83 30%    
  Dec 08, 2019 60   @ Furman L 57-83 1%    
  Dec 18, 2019 326   @ South Carolina St. L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 29, 2019 321   VMI L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 02, 2020 304   @ Charleston Southern L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 04, 2020 254   @ Longwood L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 08, 2020 260   Hampton L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 16, 2020 129   Radford L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 18, 2020 188   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-77 9%    
  Jan 20, 2020 333   High Point W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 23, 2020 145   @ Winthrop L 63-81 5%    
  Jan 25, 2020 281   UNC Asheville L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 30, 2020 316   @ Presbyterian L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 01, 2020 265   Campbell L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 06, 2020 281   @ UNC Asheville L 67-78 18%    
  Feb 08, 2020 188   Gardner-Webb L 65-74 20%    
  Feb 10, 2020 304   Charleston Southern L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 15, 2020 333   @ High Point L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 20, 2020 254   Longwood L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 22, 2020 129   @ Radford L 59-78 5%    
  Feb 27, 2020 145   Winthrop L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 29, 2020 260   @ Hampton L 71-83 16%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.3 2.4 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.9 6.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 15.4 9th
10th 0.4 2.6 6.7 8.5 4.3 1.0 0.1 23.6 10th
11th 3.6 8.8 11.3 8.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 36.5 11th
Total 3.6 9.2 14.0 16.2 16.1 13.6 10.7 7.2 4.5 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 47.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 11.9% 11.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
8-10 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
7-11 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.2
6-12 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 16.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.1
3-15 16.2% 16.2
2-16 14.0% 14.0
1-17 9.2% 9.2
0-18 3.6% 3.6
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%