Washington St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#126
Pace74.7#58
Improvement+2.5#80

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#156
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#109
Layup/Dunks+1.7#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
Freethrows+0.6#122
Improvement+1.9#80

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#109
First Shot-0.2#163
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#25
Layups/Dunks-2.9#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#76
Freethrows+1.4#92
Improvement+0.5#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.4 11.8
.500 or above 51.3% 77.9% 47.9%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 32.3% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 4.7% 14.2%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 23 - 65 - 12
Quad 34 - 38 - 15
Quad 48 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 197   Seattle W 85-54 78%     1 - 0 +25.7 +8.4 +16.6
  Nov 12, 2019 142   @ Santa Clara L 62-70 45%     1 - 1 -3.7 -13.7 +10.6
  Nov 17, 2019 308   Idaho St. W 72-61 91%     2 - 1 -0.8 -3.4 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2019 211   Nebraska Omaha L 77-85 80%     2 - 2 -13.9 -5.9 -7.5
  Nov 25, 2019 120   Nebraska L 71-82 50%     2 - 3 -8.0 -8.0 +1.1
  Nov 26, 2019 168   Old Dominion W 66-50 61%     3 - 3 +16.0 +4.8 +12.8
  Nov 27, 2019 106   Colorado St. L 69-79 45%     3 - 4 -5.7 -4.0 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2019 309   @ Idaho W 78-65 81%     4 - 4 +6.7 -7.3 +12.0
  Dec 07, 2019 95   New Mexico St. W 63-54 40%     5 - 4 +14.4 -5.1 +19.8
  Dec 15, 2019 256   UC Riverside W 70-56 85%     6 - 4 +5.8 -2.4 +8.7
  Dec 19, 2019 318   Florida A&M W 87-73 92%     7 - 4 +1.7 +3.0 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 87-59 97%     8 - 4 +8.8 -0.1 +7.3
  Dec 29, 2019 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 65-50 96%     9 - 4 -3.1 -5.6 +4.1
  Jan 02, 2020 59   USC L 56-65 40%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -3.3 -13.1 +9.8
  Jan 04, 2020 128   UCLA W 79-71 OT 62%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +7.7 -4.6 +11.5
  Jan 09, 2020 177   @ California L 66-73 53%     10 - 6 1 - 2 -4.7 -4.6 -0.2
  Jan 11, 2020 44   @ Stanford L 62-88 16%     10 - 7 1 - 3 -12.5 -0.5 -12.3
  Jan 16, 2020 21   Oregon W 72-61 23%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +21.9 +6.1 +16.2
  Jan 18, 2020 75   Oregon St. W 89-76 44%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +17.4 +14.9 +2.5
  Jan 23, 2020 25   @ Colorado L 64-77 11%    
  Jan 25, 2020 114   @ Utah L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 29, 2020 70   Arizona St. L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 01, 2020 10   Arizona L 69-78 19%    
  Feb 09, 2020 47   Washington L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 13, 2020 128   @ UCLA L 71-73 40%    
  Feb 15, 2020 59   @ USC L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 19, 2020 177   California W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 23, 2020 44   Stanford L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 28, 2020 47   @ Washington L 64-74 17%    
  Mar 05, 2020 10   @ Arizona L 66-81 8%    
  Mar 07, 2020 70   @ Arizona St. L 70-77 24%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 6.6 2.0 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 2.3 9.0 4.7 0.3 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 9.4 8.0 0.9 0.0 19.9 9th
10th 1.1 8.0 9.3 1.7 0.0 20.0 10th
11th 0.3 4.2 6.6 1.8 0.0 12.9 11th
12th 1.4 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.2 12th
Total 1.7 8.0 17.1 22.9 21.7 15.0 8.5 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 63.6% 0.0    0.0
13-5 36.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 30.2% 7.9% 22.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.1%
12-6 0.3% 18.3% 5.0% 13.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 14.1%
11-7 1.1% 6.4% 3.1% 3.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.4%
10-8 3.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.2%
9-9 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
8-10 15.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 14.9
7-11 21.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 21.7
6-12 22.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.9
5-13 17.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 17.1
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%