Washington St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#143
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#177
Pace74.7#72
Improvement-0.7#265

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#134
First Shot-2.5#254
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#29
Layup/Dunks+4.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-5.8#349
Improvement-0.4#244

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#162
First Shot+0.2#162
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#188
Layups/Dunks-5.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#49
Freethrows+3.6#26
Improvement-0.3#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 10.4
.500 or above 32.1% 38.2% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 9.6% 11.0% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.0% 35.9% 47.6%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 22 - 63 - 13
Quad 33 - 36 - 16
Quad 47 - 113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 240   Seattle W 85-54 80%     1 - 0 +23.7 +8.1 +14.9
  Nov 12, 2019 140   @ Santa Clara L 62-70 38%     1 - 1 -3.4 -11.9 +9.1
  Nov 17, 2019 308   Idaho St. W 72-61 90%     2 - 1 -1.4 -4.9 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2019 208   Nebraska Omaha W 80-73 73%    
  Nov 25, 2019 139   Nebraska L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 05, 2019 334   @ Idaho W 76-66 83%    
  Dec 07, 2019 93   New Mexico St. L 71-75 37%    
  Dec 15, 2019 275   UC Riverside W 71-61 83%    
  Dec 19, 2019 339   Florida A&M W 81-63 95%    
  Dec 21, 2019 346   Incarnate Word W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 29, 2019 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-61 95%    
  Jan 02, 2020 59   USC L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 04, 2020 78   UCLA L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 09, 2020 137   @ California L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 11, 2020 83   @ Stanford L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 16, 2020 12   Oregon L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 18, 2020 66   Oregon St. L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 23, 2020 27   @ Colorado L 65-79 10%    
  Jan 25, 2020 79   @ Utah L 75-83 25%    
  Jan 29, 2020 52   Arizona St. L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 13   Arizona L 69-81 16%    
  Feb 09, 2020 60   Washington L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 13, 2020 78   @ UCLA L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 59   @ USC L 72-83 18%    
  Feb 19, 2020 137   California W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 23, 2020 83   Stanford L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 28, 2020 60   @ Washington L 63-74 18%    
  Mar 05, 2020 13   @ Arizona L 66-84 7%    
  Mar 07, 2020 52   @ Arizona St. L 75-86 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.9 4.3 0.7 14.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 5.9 8.4 4.5 1.0 0.0 21.6 11th
12th 1.8 6.0 8.5 7.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 28.1 12th
Total 1.8 6.1 10.1 14.2 15.4 13.4 12.9 10.0 6.4 4.2 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 0.0%
15-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 96.9% 34.4% 62.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
14-4 0.2% 87.0% 6.1% 80.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.1%
13-5 0.2% 59.9% 7.5% 52.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 56.6%
12-6 0.6% 34.0% 6.3% 27.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 29.6%
11-7 1.4% 14.6% 1.3% 13.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 13.5%
10-8 2.8% 10.9% 5.3% 5.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.5 5.9%
9-9 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 1.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 1.1%
8-10 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 6.4
7-11 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 13.4% 13.4
4-14 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4
3-15 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 14.2
2-16 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
1-17 6.1% 6.1
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7 0.9%