Western Carolina
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#129
Pace75.2#47
Improvement-3.3#307

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#56
First Shot+3.9#65
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks+0.1#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#12
Freethrows+1.8#58
Improvement+0.2#164

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#310
First Shot-6.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#57
Layups/Dunks-5.8#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#82
Freethrows-2.5#312
Improvement-3.6#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.4% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 88.1% 96.1% 79.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.8% 83.8% 54.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.9% 3.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 52.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 33 - 34 - 11
Quad 412 - 116 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 74   @ Georgia L 72-91 17%     0 - 1 -8.9 -6.8 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2019 232   Gardner-Webb W 71-59 74%     1 - 1 +4.9 -9.4 +13.8
  Nov 12, 2019 287   N.C. A&T W 90-64 83%     2 - 1 +15.8 +7.6 +6.2
  Nov 15, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 74-79 6%     2 - 2 +12.2 +9.3 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2019 250   @ Jacksonville W 96-94 2OT 56%     3 - 2 +0.1 +5.4 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2019 314   @ Stetson W 70-64 72%     4 - 2 -0.3 +3.6 -3.1
  Dec 03, 2019 157   Chattanooga W 87-77 59%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +7.5 +11.1 -3.7
  Dec 07, 2019 253   UNC Asheville W 78-77 77%     6 - 2 -7.1 -6.3 -0.9
  Dec 18, 2019 53   @ Xavier L 61-74 12%     6 - 3 -0.3 -4.8 +4.8
  Dec 21, 2019 339   @ Tennessee Tech W 89-76 81%     7 - 3 +3.6 +8.9 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2020 300   @ The Citadel W 86-82 69%     8 - 3 2 - 0 -1.2 +2.2 -3.7
  Jan 08, 2020 289   @ VMI W 97-85 67%     9 - 3 3 - 0 +7.4 +9.3 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2020 228   Mercer W 79-71 73%     10 - 3 4 - 0 +1.3 -1.0 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2020 85   @ Furman L 79-83 18%     10 - 4 4 - 1 +5.3 +9.2 -3.9
  Jan 18, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 66-85 31%     10 - 5 4 - 2 -14.1 -2.6 -11.9
  Jan 22, 2020 228   @ Mercer L 79-85 52%     10 - 6 4 - 3 -6.8 +5.1 -12.0
  Jan 25, 2020 130   Wofford W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 29, 2020 82   UNC Greensboro L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 01, 2020 157   @ Chattanooga L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 05, 2020 285   @ Samford W 85-81 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 85   Furman L 76-80 38%    
  Feb 12, 2020 82   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-79 18%    
  Feb 15, 2020 130   @ Wofford L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 19, 2020 289   VMI W 84-74 83%    
  Feb 22, 2020 300   The Citadel W 92-81 84%    
  Feb 26, 2020 285   Samford W 88-78 81%    
  Feb 29, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-80 16%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 1.5 0.2 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.3 0.6 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 5.4 7.8 1.7 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 10.7 12.4 3.3 0.1 29.7 5th
6th 0.8 5.3 11.7 11.0 3.2 0.1 32.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.3 9.1 17.2 23.1 21.3 14.7 7.7 2.4 0.6 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 56.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.6% 13.8% 13.8% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 2.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
12-6 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.1
11-7 14.7% 3.7% 3.7% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 14.1
10-8 21.3% 2.7% 2.7% 13.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 20.7
9-9 23.1% 1.9% 1.9% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 22.7
8-10 17.2% 1.6% 1.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 16.9
7-11 9.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 9.0
6-12 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 13.7 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 97.1 0.0%