Western Carolina
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#182
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#131
Pace76.4#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#213
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 6.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 12.6 13.8
.500 or above 49.0% 75.7% 47.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.4% 62.9% 48.8%
Conference Champion 2.1% 5.5% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.9% 4.0%
First Four0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round2.7% 5.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 8
Quad 33 - 44 - 11
Quad 411 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 67   @ Georgia L 72-91 13%     0 - 1 -8.1 -5.8 +0.2
  Nov 09, 2019 194   Gardner-Webb W 71-59 64%     1 - 1 +7.1 -6.8 +13.4
  Nov 12, 2019 323   N.C. A&T W 90-64 87%     2 - 1 +12.4 +5.9 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2019 17   @ Florida St. L 65-84 4%    
  Nov 21, 2019 303   @ Jacksonville W 81-77 63%    
  Nov 24, 2019 329   @ Stetson W 83-76 73%    
  Dec 03, 2019 244   Chattanooga W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 07, 2019 278   UNC Asheville W 80-72 75%    
  Dec 18, 2019 27   @ Xavier L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 21, 2019 299   @ Tennessee Tech W 76-73 63%    
  Jan 04, 2020 307   @ The Citadel W 89-85 66%    
  Jan 08, 2020 319   @ VMI W 81-75 69%    
  Jan 11, 2020 234   Mercer W 85-79 69%    
  Jan 15, 2020 56   @ Furman L 68-81 13%    
  Jan 18, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 22, 2020 234   @ Mercer L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 25, 2020 108   Wofford L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 29, 2020 89   UNC Greensboro L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 01, 2020 244   @ Chattanooga W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 05, 2020 192   @ Samford L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 56   Furman L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 12, 2020 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 15, 2020 108   @ Wofford L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 19, 2020 319   VMI W 84-72 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 307   The Citadel W 92-82 81%    
  Feb 26, 2020 192   Samford W 80-77 61%    
  Feb 29, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.3 3.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.4 2.0 4.5 5.3 1.7 0.3 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.2 7.5 5.7 1.8 0.1 20.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.4 7.1 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.0 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.8 3.3 0.9 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.3 0.3 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.1 6.7 10.1 12.4 14.2 13.5 11.9 9.7 6.3 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 62.6% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 29.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
13-5 6.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 34.4% 31.3% 3.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4.5%
15-3 1.0% 15.2% 14.1% 1.0% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.2%
14-4 2.3% 13.1% 12.7% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 0.5%
13-5 4.3% 10.9% 10.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8
12-6 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.9
11-7 9.7% 4.1% 4.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3
10-8 11.9% 2.0% 2.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
9-9 13.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 13.2
8-10 14.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0
7-11 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.7
4-14 4.1% 4.1
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.7% 2.6% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 97.3 0.1%