Indiana
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#30
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#50
Pace67.8#233
Improvement-3.0#317

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#57
First Shot+4.7#59
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#123
Layup/Dunks+6.5#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#264
Freethrows+2.2#55
Improvement+0.6#122

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#24
First Shot+6.2#27
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#135
Layups/Dunks+2.5#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#123
Freethrows+0.8#137
Improvement-3.6#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 5.6% 13.2% 4.1%
Top 6 Seed 14.5% 31.1% 11.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.8% 70.5% 38.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.4% 69.4% 37.0%
Average Seed 8.2 7.4 8.5
.500 or above 53.8% 79.4% 48.7%
.500 or above in Conference 24.2% 48.5% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.0% 1.4%
First Four9.3% 11.0% 9.0%
First Round39.7% 65.5% 34.6%
Second Round23.9% 40.6% 20.5%
Sweet Sixteen10.4% 18.1% 8.9%
Elite Eight4.4% 6.9% 3.9%
Final Four1.7% 2.0% 1.6%
Championship Game0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
National Champion0.2% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 11
Quad 24 - 29 - 13
Quad 33 - 112 - 14
Quad 42 - 014 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 308   Tennessee Tech W 89-59 98%     1 - 0 +18.8 +6.8 +10.4
  Nov 30, 2020 59   Providence W 79-58 61%     2 - 0 +30.6 +13.2 +18.4
  Dec 01, 2020 10   Texas L 44-66 33%     2 - 1 -5.2 -18.9 +12.8
  Dec 02, 2020 52   Stanford W 79-63 57%     3 - 1 +26.4 +12.1 +14.0
  Dec 09, 2020 16   @ Florida St. L 67-69 OT 32%     3 - 2 +15.1 +0.4 +14.7
  Dec 13, 2020 274   North Alabama W 87-52 96%     4 - 2 +26.4 -0.1 +21.3
  Dec 19, 2020 92   Butler W 68-60 74%     5 - 2 +13.8 +2.3 +11.8
  Dec 23, 2020 73   Northwestern L 67-74 73%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -0.9 -0.5 -0.8
  Dec 26, 2020 9   @ Illinois L 60-69 28%     5 - 4 0 - 2 +9.5 -2.2 +11.2
  Dec 30, 2020 53   Penn St. W 87-85 OT 65%     6 - 4 1 - 2 +10.4 +10.6 -0.3
  Jan 04, 2021 50   Maryland W 63-55 63%     7 - 4 2 - 2 +17.1 -1.4 +19.1
  Jan 07, 2021 12   @ Wisconsin L 73-80 2OT 29%     7 - 5 2 - 3 +11.0 +4.5 +6.9
  Jan 10, 2021 124   @ Nebraska W 84-76 76%     8 - 5 3 - 3 +13.0 +11.1 +1.6
  Jan 14, 2021 27   Purdue L 69-81 54%     8 - 6 3 - 4 -0.8 +2.0 -2.7
  Jan 21, 2021 3   @ Iowa L 73-82 17%    
  Jan 24, 2021 41   Rutgers W 70-67 63%    
  Jan 30, 2021 7   @ Michigan L 66-73 23%    
  Feb 02, 2021 9   Illinois L 72-75 43%    
  Feb 07, 2021 3   Iowa L 75-81 34%    
  Feb 10, 2021 73   @ Northwestern W 72-69 55%    
  Feb 13, 2021 19   @ Ohio St. L 68-72 30%    
  Feb 17, 2021 23   Minnesota W 72-71 57%    
  Feb 20, 2021 38   Michigan St. W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 24, 2021 41   @ Rutgers L 68-69 43%    
  Feb 27, 2021 7   Michigan L 68-71 43%    
  Mar 06, 2021 27   @ Purdue L 66-68 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 8 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.3 1.6 1.4 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.6 0.5 4.6 5th
6th 0.9 3.7 1.9 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.4 4.1 5.1 0.4 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 3.4 7.3 1.6 0.1 12.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 8.3 4.1 0.2 14.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 6.6 6.3 0.6 15.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.0 1.3 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 3.1 5.4 2.0 0.2 11.2 12th
13th 0.5 1.5 2.3 1.4 0.1 5.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 14th
Total 0.6 2.1 6.4 12.9 16.9 19.9 17.0 12.5 6.8 3.5 1.1 0.3 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 40.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 14.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.3% 100.0% 100.0% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.1% 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 100.0%
12-8 3.5% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 4.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 100.0%
11-9 6.8% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 5.4 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
10-10 12.5% 98.9% 4.1% 94.8% 7.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.6 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 98.8%
9-11 17.0% 81.6% 1.9% 79.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.2 2.4 3.9 0.9 0.0 3.1 81.3%
8-12 19.9% 25.5% 1.7% 23.8% 11.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 14.8 24.2%
7-13 16.9% 3.7% 0.8% 2.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 16.2 2.9%
6-14 12.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 12.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8 0.3%
5-15 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 6.4
4-16 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 43.8% 2.5% 41.3% 8.2 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.8 3.8 5.1 5.0 4.7 3.7 3.6 3.3 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 56.2 42.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%