Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#220
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#219
Pace77.8#28
Improvement+0.5#139

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#169
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#9
Layup/Dunks-4.6#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#80
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#263
First Shot-4.0#294
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#92
Layups/Dunks-3.2#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#250
Freethrows+1.4#101
Improvement+0.7#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.0
.500 or above 15.4% 17.8% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 13.8% 15.2% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 14.9% 24.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 81.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 33 - 54 - 15
Quad 48 - 413 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-67 89%     1 - 0 -14.0 -12.2 -2.0
  Nov 13, 2021 299   Mount St. Mary's W 80-60 78%     2 - 0 +9.6 +5.6 +4.3
  Nov 17, 2021 169   Drexel L 75-78 53%     2 - 1 -6.2 -1.3 -4.9
  Nov 20, 2021 135   Monmouth L 75-87 43%     2 - 2 -12.8 -2.1 -10.1
  Nov 25, 2021 16   USC L 55-70 6%     2 - 3 +0.0 -7.6 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2021 128   Georgetown W 77-74 32%     3 - 3 +5.5 +2.3 +3.1
  Dec 01, 2021 323   Binghamton W 80-70 81%    
  Dec 04, 2021 6   @ Villanova L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 08, 2021 189   Penn W 78-76 57%    
  Dec 11, 2021 150   Temple L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 18, 2021 213   @ Bradley L 71-74 37%    
  Dec 22, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 84-70 89%    
  Dec 30, 2021 83   @ Richmond L 73-85 13%    
  Jan 02, 2022 262   George Washington W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 05, 2022 73   Davidson L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 115   @ George Mason L 72-81 22%    
  Jan 12, 2022 78   @ Rhode Island L 69-81 14%    
  Jan 17, 2022 244   La Salle W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 26, 2022 194   Duquesne W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 39   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-80 8%    
  Feb 05, 2022 246   Fordham W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 09, 2022 73   @ Davidson L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 116   @ Massachusetts L 81-90 23%    
  Feb 16, 2022 115   George Mason L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 113   Dayton L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 56   @ Saint Louis L 72-86 12%    
  Feb 26, 2022 39   St. Bonaventure L 67-77 18%    
  Mar 02, 2022 244   @ La Salle L 74-75 46%    
  Mar 05, 2022 78   Rhode Island L 72-78 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.2 2.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 4.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.8 3.4 0.4 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 5.6 5.8 1.2 14.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 6.0 6.2 2.0 0.1 15.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 6.0 6.8 2.3 0.1 0.0 16.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.9 5.0 5.2 1.9 0.1 14.2 13th
14th 0.4 1.8 3.0 2.8 0.8 0.0 9.0 14th
Total 0.4 1.9 5.0 9.4 13.6 16.3 15.6 14.3 9.6 6.6 3.8 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2
15-3 91.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 48.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 19.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 25.3% 25.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 9.0% 9.0% 12.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.1% 8.1% 8.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-7 1.7% 6.1% 6.1% 12.4 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-8 3.8% 2.3% 2.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 6.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 6.6
8-10 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 14.3% 14.3
6-12 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-13 16.3% 16.3
4-14 13.6% 13.6
3-15 9.4% 9.4
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%