Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#149
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#113
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 2.6% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 16.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 11.3% 1.4%
Average Seed 11.3 9.4 11.8
.500 or above 45.2% 81.9% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.2% 66.6% 35.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 7.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 2.4% 13.0%
First Four1.1% 3.2% 1.0%
First Round3.8% 14.9% 3.1%
Second Round1.1% 5.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Neutral) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 46 - 13
Quad 47 - 213 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 5   Houston L 58-75 6%    
  Nov 14, 2022 271   Lafayette W 74-64 81%    
  Nov 17, 2022 300   Albany W 73-61 86%    
  Nov 21, 2022 106   Georgia L 73-77 38%    
  Nov 30, 2022 150   @ Penn L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 03, 2022 319   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 87%    
  Dec 06, 2022 93   @ Temple L 65-73 26%    
  Dec 17, 2022 16   Villanova L 60-71 19%    
  Dec 19, 2022 283   Sacred Heart W 79-68 82%    
  Dec 22, 2022 349   Central Connecticut St. W 78-60 93%    
  Dec 31, 2022 45   Saint Louis L 69-76 29%    
  Jan 04, 2023 28   @ Dayton L 59-73 13%    
  Jan 07, 2023 202   @ Fordham L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 11, 2023 178   Duquesne W 73-68 64%    
  Jan 14, 2023 54   Loyola Chicago L 64-70 33%    
  Jan 16, 2023 182   @ La Salle L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 21, 2023 124   Massachusetts W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 25, 2023 196   @ George Washington L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 29, 2023 123   @ George Mason L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 01, 2023 112   Rhode Island W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 05, 2023 182   La Salle W 73-68 64%    
  Feb 08, 2023 54   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-73 18%    
  Feb 11, 2023 196   George Washington W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 15, 2023 178   @ Duquesne L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 18, 2023 81   @ Davidson L 66-75 24%    
  Feb 21, 2023 75   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 26, 2023 103   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-73 30%    
  Mar 01, 2023 88   Richmond L 69-72 42%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 0.9 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.6 4.1 1.1 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 4.1 2.0 0.1 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.4 0.9 0.1 9.0 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 3.2 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 14th
15th 0.7 1.8 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.5 15th
Total 0.7 2.0 3.8 6.3 8.1 9.5 10.7 10.9 10.8 10.0 8.4 6.5 5.0 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 83.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 54.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 25.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 36.8% 63.2% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 93.3% 27.5% 65.9% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.8%
16-2 0.5% 73.5% 19.2% 54.3% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 67.2%
15-3 1.2% 52.8% 11.9% 40.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 46.4%
14-4 2.1% 31.7% 11.1% 20.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 23.2%
13-5 3.3% 17.9% 7.6% 10.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 11.2%
12-6 5.0% 7.4% 4.9% 2.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 2.7%
11-7 6.5% 5.3% 4.5% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.8%
10-8 8.4% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.1 0.0%
9-9 10.0% 2.8% 2.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.7
8-10 10.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.6
7-11 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 10.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
5-13 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.4
4-14 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.1
3-15 6.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-16 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
1-17 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.3% 2.4% 1.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 95.7 1.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%