IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.3	#317
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#196
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.4	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#331

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	4.3%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	23.1%	38.5%	12.9%
.500 or above in Conference	30.2%	42.6%	22.1%
Conference Champion	2.4%	4.3%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	24.1%	14.6%	30.5%

First Four	0.9%	1.3%	0.7%
First Round	2.1%	3.6%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	244	Siena	L	68-71	40%
Nov 14, 2022	14	@ Creighton	L	57-85	1%
Nov 19, 2022	359	Stonehill	W	75-65	82%
Nov 21, 2022	202	@ Fordham	L	63-74	18%
Nov 22, 2022	247	Illinois-Chicago	L	71-77	32%
Nov 30, 2022	167	Harvard	L	67-73	30%
Dec 03, 2022	349	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-66	74%
Dec 07, 2022	221	Quinnipiac	L	73-77	37%
Dec 10, 2022	199	@ Northeastern	L	62-73	18%
Dec 19, 2022	329	@ New Hampshire	L	65-66	45%
Dec 22, 2022	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	72-77	34%
Dec 30, 2022	274	Bucknell	L	75-76	49%
Jan 02, 2023	246	@ Navy	L	61-70	24%
Jan 05, 2023	312	American	W	70-67	59%
Jan 08, 2023	297	Loyola Maryland	W	69-67	56%
Jan 11, 2023	282	@ Lehigh	L	71-76	34%
Jan 14, 2023	271	@ Lafayette	L	67-74	30%
Jan 18, 2023	113	Colgate	L	68-78	21%
Jan 21, 2023	274	@ Bucknell	L	72-78	31%
Jan 25, 2023	282	Lehigh	W	74-73	52%
Jan 28, 2023	266	@ Army	L	70-77	30%
Feb 01, 2023	233	@ Boston University	L	66-75	24%
Feb 04, 2023	246	Navy	L	64-67	42%
Feb 06, 2023	271	Lafayette	L	70-71	48%
Feb 11, 2023	312	@ American	L	67-70	40%
Feb 15, 2023	233	Boston University	L	69-72	40%
Feb 18, 2023	113	@ Colgate	L	65-81	11%
Feb 22, 2023	297	@ Loyola Maryland	L	66-70	37%
Feb 25, 2023	266	Army	L	73-74	48%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1		2.4	1st
2nd											0.1	0.6	1.5	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.0				4.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.3	2.4	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	3.2	1.8	0.5	0.0							7.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.6	4.1	1.9	0.3	0.0								9.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.3	4.6	2.0	0.3	0.0									10.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.0	3.7	5.0	2.1	0.2	0.0										12.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.8	4.8	4.8	1.9	0.2	0.0											13.7	8th
9th		0.1	0.8	3.2	5.5	4.1	1.4	0.1	0.0												15.4	9th
10th	1.3	3.2	4.7	4.4	2.6	0.8	0.1	0.0													17.0	10th

Total	1.3	3.3	5.6	7.9	9.9	10.7	10.6	10.7	9.8	8.6	6.8	5.2	4.0	2.6	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.3%	0.4		0.3	0.0
15-3	69.9%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	39.3%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	16.7%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		59.8%	59.8%		12.4								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		43.1%	39.5%	3.6%	13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		6.0%
16-2	0.4%		31.9%	31.9%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
15-3	0.9%		24.1%	24.1%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7
14-4	1.6%		15.5%	15.5%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4
13-5	2.6%		13.2%	13.2%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.3
12-6	4.0%		8.3%	8.3%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	3.6
11-7	5.2%		6.5%	6.5%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	4.9
10-8	6.8%		3.6%	3.6%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	6.5
9-9	8.6%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	8.4
8-10	9.8%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.7
7-11	10.7%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.6
6-12	10.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
5-13	10.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
4-14	9.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
3-15	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
2-16	5.6%																							5.6
1-17	3.3%																							3.3
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	15.2								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.4	97.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%