Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#176
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#203
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 1.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 11.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 6.9% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.8 10.1 12.2
.500 or above 38.2% 78.9% 36.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.5% 59.6% 27.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 4.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 17.0% 3.8% 17.6%
First Four0.8% 3.0% 0.7%
First Round2.3% 10.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.6% 3.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 48 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 16   @ Villanova L 56-74 4%    
  Nov 12, 2022 252   Wagner W 72-65 73%    
  Nov 15, 2022 321   Queens W 78-66 87%    
  Nov 18, 2022 67   Wake Forest L 71-80 23%    
  Nov 26, 2022 323   Binghamton W 77-64 86%    
  Nov 30, 2022 93   Temple L 67-71 38%    
  Dec 03, 2022 150   @ Penn L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 06, 2022 274   Bucknell W 79-70 76%    
  Dec 10, 2022 201   Drexel W 71-67 62%    
  Dec 17, 2022 53   @ Cincinnati L 65-78 14%    
  Dec 21, 2022 271   Lafayette W 73-65 75%    
  Dec 29, 2022 332   @ Howard W 80-72 73%    
  Dec 31, 2022 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-75 18%    
  Jan 07, 2023 112   Rhode Island L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 11, 2023 124   @ Massachusetts L 73-80 29%    
  Jan 14, 2023 202   Fordham W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 16, 2023 149   Saint Joseph's W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 21, 2023 45   @ Saint Louis L 65-79 13%    
  Jan 24, 2023 81   Davidson L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 28, 2023 112   @ Rhode Island L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 01, 2023 196   George Washington W 74-70 61%    
  Feb 05, 2023 149   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-73 36%    
  Feb 08, 2023 103   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-72 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 124   Massachusetts L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 15, 2023 88   Richmond L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 18, 2023 123   @ George Mason L 65-72 30%    
  Feb 22, 2023 178   Duquesne W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 25, 2023 196   @ George Washington L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 28, 2023 28   @ Dayton L 57-73 11%    
  Mar 04, 2023 54   Loyola Chicago L 63-70 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.3 2.4 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 4.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.0 1.1 0.1 10.8 13th
14th 0.3 1.9 4.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 11.2 14th
15th 1.1 2.8 3.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 10.8 15th
Total 1.1 3.1 5.6 8.0 10.1 11.4 11.6 10.7 9.8 8.6 6.9 5.1 3.5 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 77.6% 0.2    0.2 0.1
15-3 53.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 23.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 90.1% 29.8% 60.3% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.8%
16-2 0.3% 70.4% 22.6% 47.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 61.8%
15-3 0.6% 54.7% 9.5% 45.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 50.0%
14-4 1.3% 28.4% 8.7% 19.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 21.6%
13-5 2.2% 14.0% 6.7% 7.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 7.8%
12-6 3.5% 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 2.6%
11-7 5.1% 4.6% 4.3% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.3%
10-8 6.9% 2.6% 2.5% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.1%
9-9 8.6% 2.1% 2.0% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.1%
8-10 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.7
7-11 10.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.4
4-14 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-15 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-16 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-17 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.7% 1.7% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 97.3 1.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%