Preseason Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#54
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.4#313
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#29
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.8% 5.9% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 10.5% 10.7% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.8% 35.3% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.2% 25.6% 3.1%
Average Seed 8.2 8.2 11.2
.500 or above 90.7% 91.3% 57.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.4% 81.9% 50.5%
Conference Champion 17.8% 18.1% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 5.7%
First Four4.6% 4.6% 1.7%
First Round32.7% 33.2% 6.1%
Second Round18.2% 18.4% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen7.6% 7.7% 0.8%
Elite Eight3.2% 3.3% 0.3%
Final Four1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 98.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 35 - 6
Quad 37 - 211 - 8
Quad 48 - 019 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 319   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-60 98%    
  Nov 11, 2022 247   @ Illinois-Chicago W 74-64 83%    
  Nov 17, 2022 136   Tulsa W 69-61 75%    
  Nov 25, 2022 167   @ Harvard W 69-62 71%    
  Nov 30, 2022 334   Central Arkansas W 85-61 98%    
  Dec 03, 2022 91   DePaul W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 06, 2022 347   Green Bay W 76-50 98%    
  Dec 10, 2022 65   Clemson W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 18, 2022 300   Albany W 73-52 95%    
  Dec 22, 2022 57   Stanford W 66-65 51%    
  Dec 31, 2022 196   George Washington W 75-61 87%    
  Jan 04, 2023 81   @ Davidson L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 07, 2023 123   @ George Mason W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 10, 2023 75   Virginia Commonwealth W 68-63 64%    
  Jan 14, 2023 149   @ Saint Joseph's W 70-64 67%    
  Jan 18, 2023 45   Saint Louis W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 21, 2023 103   St. Bonaventure W 69-61 74%    
  Jan 25, 2023 178   @ Duquesne W 69-62 71%    
  Jan 31, 2023 28   @ Dayton L 59-65 32%    
  Feb 04, 2023 123   George Mason W 69-60 77%    
  Feb 08, 2023 149   Saint Joseph's W 73-61 82%    
  Feb 11, 2023 88   @ Richmond W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 14, 2023 124   @ Massachusetts W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 17, 2023 28   Dayton W 62-61 50%    
  Feb 22, 2023 202   Fordham W 70-56 87%    
  Feb 25, 2023 45   @ Saint Louis L 66-70 37%    
  Mar 01, 2023 112   Rhode Island W 70-61 76%    
  Mar 04, 2023 182   @ La Salle W 70-63 71%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.6 5.0 5.2 3.3 1.1 17.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 14.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.9 5.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.5 1.9 0.2 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.1 0.1 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.2 4.8 6.6 8.0 9.7 10.9 11.5 11.7 10.5 8.7 6.0 3.3 1.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 99.3% 3.3    3.1 0.2
16-2 86.8% 5.2    3.9 1.2 0.1
15-3 57.5% 5.0    2.5 2.0 0.4 0.0
14-4 24.3% 2.6    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.8% 17.8 11.4 4.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 100.0% 41.5% 58.5% 2.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 3.3% 98.9% 37.1% 61.8% 3.7 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.3%
16-2 6.0% 94.6% 29.6% 65.1% 5.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 92.3%
15-3 8.7% 82.9% 22.8% 60.1% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5 77.8%
14-4 10.5% 64.9% 18.8% 46.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.7 56.8%
13-5 11.7% 41.7% 13.7% 27.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 32.4%
12-6 11.5% 23.8% 11.2% 12.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.8 14.2%
11-7 10.9% 13.5% 8.9% 4.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.5 5.0%
10-8 9.7% 7.7% 7.0% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.8%
9-9 8.0% 5.7% 5.4% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.3%
8-10 6.6% 3.6% 3.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.4
7-11 4.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.7
6-12 3.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.8% 12.9% 21.9% 8.2 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.7 4.8 5.9 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 65.2 25.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 1.7 50.0 33.3 12.4 4.4