Georgetown
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#178
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#243
Pace73.9#70
Improvement-0.1#239

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#148
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#50
Layup/Dunks-4.4#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#255
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-0.2#325

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#218
First Shot+2.6#101
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#341
Layups/Dunks+1.9#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows+3.9#17
Improvement+0.1#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 1.6% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.2% 62.7% 71.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 11
Quad 21 - 62 - 16
Quad 32 - 44 - 20
Quad 45 - 19 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 312   Coppin St. W 99-89 OT 85%     1 - 0 -1.8 -1.0 -2.8
  Nov 12, 2022 362   Green Bay W 92-58 96%     2 - 0 +13.4 +14.6 +1.1
  Nov 15, 2022 90   Northwestern L 63-75 38%     2 - 1 -9.4 -1.7 -8.1
  Nov 18, 2022 135   Loyola Marymount L 66-84 39%     2 - 2 -15.5 -8.5 -6.9
  Nov 20, 2022 221   La Salle W 69-62 61%     3 - 2 +3.8 -5.6 +9.0
  Nov 23, 2022 235   American L 70-74 73%     3 - 3 -10.8 -7.1 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2022 281   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-70 79%     4 - 3 +0.0 -4.1 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2022 27   @ Texas Tech L 65-79 7%     4 - 4 +2.2 +1.0 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2022 231   South Carolina W 74-68 72%    
  Dec 07, 2022 194   Siena W 74-70 64%    
  Dec 10, 2022 96   @ Syracuse L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 16, 2022 28   Xavier L 75-86 16%    
  Dec 20, 2022 2   @ Connecticut L 63-87 1%    
  Dec 29, 2022 116   @ DePaul L 73-80 25%    
  Jan 01, 2023 54   Butler L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 04, 2023 79   Villanova L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 07, 2023 22   @ Marquette L 69-87 5%    
  Jan 10, 2023 68   Seton Hall L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 16, 2023 79   @ Villanova L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 21, 2023 28   @ Xavier L 72-89 7%    
  Jan 24, 2023 116   DePaul L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 29, 2023 43   @ St. John's L 73-87 10%    
  Feb 01, 2023 10   Creighton L 68-83 9%    
  Feb 04, 2023 2   Connecticut L 66-84 5%    
  Feb 08, 2023 92   @ Providence L 68-77 21%    
  Feb 11, 2023 22   Marquette L 72-84 14%    
  Feb 14, 2023 68   @ Seton Hall L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 19, 2023 54   @ Butler L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 22, 2023 43   St. John's L 76-84 25%    
  Feb 26, 2023 92   Providence L 71-74 40%    
  Mar 01, 2023 10   @ Creighton L 65-86 3%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.5 8.6 6.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 24.3 10th
11th 4.1 11.3 15.3 13.4 6.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 52.4 11th
Total 4.1 11.4 16.8 19.0 16.7 13.4 8.7 5.0 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.3% 0.3
10-10 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 14.0 0.0 0.6
9-11 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 1.4
8-12 2.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.6
7-13 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-14 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-15 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-16 16.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-17 19.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.0
2-18 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.8
1-19 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.4
0-20 4.1% 4.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%