Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#27
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#71
Pace66.3#248
Improvement-0.1#238

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#59
First Shot+3.0#90
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#88
Layup/Dunks+2.1#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#256
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement+0.1#75

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#18
First Shot+5.9#41
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#43
Layups/Dunks+8.3#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
Freethrows+0.4#160
Improvement-0.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.5% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 11.5% 11.7% 2.2%
Top 6 Seed 27.9% 28.3% 10.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.2% 64.8% 39.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.9% 61.6% 36.1%
Average Seed 6.9 6.9 8.0
.500 or above 90.8% 91.4% 67.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 57.6% 36.3%
Conference Champion 7.3% 7.4% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 8.1% 16.8%
First Four3.9% 3.9% 3.4%
First Round62.6% 63.2% 37.7%
Second Round40.4% 40.8% 22.9%
Sweet Sixteen17.7% 17.9% 8.1%
Elite Eight7.7% 7.8% 2.6%
Final Four3.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Championship Game1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 97.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 24 - 19 - 11
Quad 32 - 011 - 11
Quad 48 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 246   Northwestern St. W 73-49 96%     1 - 0 +16.8 -1.9 +20.0
  Nov 10, 2022 252   Texas Southern W 78-54 96%     2 - 0 +16.6 +0.0 +15.5
  Nov 14, 2022 118   Louisiana Tech W 64-55 88%     3 - 0 +9.6 -6.2 +16.2
  Nov 21, 2022 10   Creighton L 65-76 35%     3 - 1 +6.2 +6.0 -1.0
  Nov 22, 2022 213   Louisville W 70-38 92%     4 - 1 +29.2 -0.1 +30.0
  Nov 23, 2022 21   Ohio St. L 73-80 45%     4 - 2 +7.4 +12.2 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2022 178   Georgetown W 79-65 93%     5 - 2 +10.5 +1.8 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2022 255   Nicholls St. W 82-61 97%    
  Dec 13, 2022 258   Eastern Washington W 79-58 98%    
  Dec 17, 2022 309   Jackson St. W 79-57 98%    
  Dec 21, 2022 350   Houston Christian W 82-53 99.7%   
  Dec 27, 2022 347   South Carolina St. W 85-56 99.6%   
  Dec 31, 2022 52   @ TCU W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 03, 2023 17   Kansas W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 07, 2023 40   Oklahoma W 65-59 69%    
  Jan 10, 2023 33   @ Iowa St. L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 14, 2023 4   @ Texas L 61-70 20%    
  Jan 17, 2023 20   Baylor W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 21, 2023 45   @ Kansas St. W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 25, 2023 14   West Virginia L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 28, 2023 62   @ LSU W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 30, 2023 33   Iowa St. W 65-60 67%    
  Feb 04, 2023 20   @ Baylor L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 08, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 45   Kansas St. W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 13, 2023 4   Texas L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 14   @ West Virginia L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 21, 2023 40   @ Oklahoma L 62-63 48%    
  Feb 25, 2023 52   TCU W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 28, 2023 17   @ Kansas L 65-71 31%    
  Mar 04, 2023 38   Oklahoma St. W 68-62 69%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.3 2.4 3.8 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.3 5.3 2.9 0.8 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.6 6.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.4 6.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 5.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 2.1 0.4 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 4.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.6 8.1 10.8 13.2 13.8 12.8 11.0 8.0 5.9 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 86.4% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 65.0% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
13-5 35.4% 2.1    0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
15-3 1.6% 100.0% 23.3% 76.7% 2.5 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.1% 100.0% 15.6% 84.4% 3.3 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 100.0%
13-5 5.9% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 4.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 100.0%
12-6 8.0% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 5.3 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 11.0% 99.2% 11.5% 87.7% 6.2 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.1%
10-8 12.8% 96.8% 9.4% 87.4% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.9 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 96.5%
9-9 13.8% 85.5% 7.3% 78.3% 8.5 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.9 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 84.4%
8-10 13.2% 51.8% 6.5% 45.3% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.3 48.4%
7-11 10.8% 18.9% 4.7% 14.2% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 14.9%
6-12 8.1% 5.5% 3.9% 1.6% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.7 1.7%
5-13 5.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.4
4-14 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.0
3-15 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Total 100% 64.2% 8.4% 55.8% 6.9 0.8 1.6 3.6 5.5 7.9 8.6 10.2 9.6 6.2 4.7 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 35.8 60.9%