Northwestern
Big Ten
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#90
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#101
Pace65.0#274
Improvement-0.3#356

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-1.3#206
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#223
Layup/Dunks-3.6#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#109
Freethrows+1.5#99
Improvement-0.1#254

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#32
First Shot+5.8#44
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#78
Layups/Dunks+8.0#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#279
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement-0.2#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 16.1% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.3% 14.9% 3.8%
Average Seed 9.7 9.1 10.4
.500 or above 29.6% 50.3% 23.7%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 18.7% 5.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 7.5% 22.3%
First Four1.8% 3.0% 1.5%
First Round6.6% 14.7% 4.3%
Second Round2.6% 6.4% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 22 - 35 - 15
Quad 33 - 18 - 17
Quad 46 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 357   Chicago St. W 85-54 98%     1 - 0 +11.8 -1.8 +13.2
  Nov 11, 2022 275   Northern Illinois W 63-46 90%     2 - 0 +8.5 -8.0 +18.1
  Nov 15, 2022 178   @ Georgetown W 75-63 62%     3 - 0 +14.5 +4.9 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2022 216   Purdue Fort Wayne W 60-52 86%     4 - 0 +2.2 -14.2 +16.1
  Nov 22, 2022 128   Liberty W 66-52 61%     5 - 0 +16.8 -0.8 +18.7
  Nov 23, 2022 29   Auburn L 42-43 24%     5 - 1 +11.9 -13.8 +25.6
  Nov 28, 2022 105   Pittsburgh L 58-87 66%     5 - 2 -27.6 -10.0 -20.1
  Dec 04, 2022 36   @ Michigan St. L 58-66 22%    
  Dec 11, 2022 266   Prairie View W 71-57 90%    
  Dec 17, 2022 116   DePaul W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 20, 2022 254   Illinois-Chicago W 71-58 89%    
  Dec 29, 2022 277   Brown W 69-55 90%    
  Jan 01, 2023 21   Ohio St. L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 04, 2023 8   Illinois L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 08, 2023 6   @ Indiana L 56-72 8%    
  Jan 11, 2023 39   Rutgers L 59-61 43%    
  Jan 15, 2023 57   @ Michigan L 62-68 28%    
  Jan 18, 2023 24   @ Iowa L 65-76 16%    
  Jan 21, 2023 34   Wisconsin L 57-59 41%    
  Jan 24, 2023 91   @ Nebraska L 61-64 40%    
  Jan 28, 2023 165   Minnesota W 62-54 77%    
  Feb 02, 2023 57   Michigan L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 05, 2023 34   @ Wisconsin L 54-62 23%    
  Feb 09, 2023 21   @ Ohio St. L 60-72 14%    
  Feb 12, 2023 3   Purdue L 58-69 16%    
  Feb 15, 2023 6   Indiana L 59-69 20%    
  Feb 19, 2023 24   Iowa L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 23, 2023 8   @ Illinois L 59-74 10%    
  Feb 26, 2023 11   @ Maryland L 57-72 10%    
  Mar 01, 2023 44   Penn St. L 62-63 45%    
  Mar 05, 2023 39   @ Rutgers L 56-64 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.6 0.2 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 14.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 4.3 7.7 5.4 1.2 0.1 19.8 12th
13th 0.4 2.8 6.4 7.6 4.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 22.9 13th
14th 0.5 2.3 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.3 14th
Total 0.5 2.7 6.6 10.6 13.8 15.7 14.9 12.0 9.1 6.0 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.2% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.6% 98.3% 5.0% 93.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.3%
12-8 1.1% 88.9% 4.0% 84.9% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 88.4%
11-9 2.2% 78.4% 2.6% 75.8% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 77.8%
10-10 4.0% 48.6% 1.9% 46.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 47.6%
9-11 6.0% 14.8% 1.9% 12.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.1 13.1%
8-12 9.1% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.8 1.2%
7-13 12.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.8
6-14 14.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 14.8
5-15 15.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 15.5
4-16 13.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.7
3-17 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.6
2-18 6.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.6
1-19 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
0-20 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
Total 100% 7.4% 1.2% 6.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 92.6 6.3%