Butler
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#55
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#67
Pace67.8#212
Improvement+0.0#107

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#87
First Shot+6.6#31
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#343
Layup/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#81
Freethrows-1.5#274
Improvement+0.1#99

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#43
First Shot+5.4#49
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#141
Layups/Dunks-4.9#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#24
Freethrows+5.1#9
Improvement+0.0#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 4.2% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.9% 30.3% 11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.1% 27.5% 9.5%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.8
.500 or above 68.7% 69.4% 40.0%
.500 or above in Conference 50.4% 50.8% 33.9%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.7% 5.3%
First Four5.7% 5.7% 3.0%
First Round27.2% 27.6% 9.8%
Second Round13.1% 13.3% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 4.0% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 97.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 25 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 45 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 337   New Orleans W 89-53 98%     1 - 0 +21.0 -2.8 +19.5
  Nov 14, 2022 43   @ Penn St. L 62-68 36%     1 - 1 +7.1 -4.1 +11.1
  Nov 17, 2022 324   St. Francis (PA) W 95-67 97%     2 - 1 +14.7 +13.4 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2022 270   The Citadel W 89-42 94%     3 - 1 +38.5 +14.0 +25.8
  Nov 23, 2022 5   Tennessee L 45-71 19%     3 - 2 -7.5 -13.3 +5.2
  Nov 24, 2022 87   BYU W 75-70 62%     4 - 2 +11.2 +3.9 +7.2
  Nov 25, 2022 31   North Carolina St. L 61-76 38%     4 - 3 -2.5 -5.5 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2022 47   Kansas St. W 76-64 59%     5 - 3 +19.0 +10.4 +9.1
  Dec 03, 2022 314   Tennessee Tech W 81-60 98%    
  Dec 06, 2022 65   Yale W 65-61 65%    
  Dec 10, 2022 231   @ California W 66-56 82%    
  Dec 17, 2022 2   Connecticut L 65-73 21%    
  Dec 22, 2022 8   @ Creighton L 64-75 15%    
  Dec 29, 2022 93   Providence W 71-64 74%    
  Jan 01, 2023 178   @ Georgetown W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 04, 2023 117   DePaul W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 07, 2023 52   @ Seton Hall L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 10, 2023 42   @ St. John's L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 13, 2023 80   Villanova W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 17, 2023 8   Creighton L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 22, 2023 2   @ Connecticut L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 25, 2023 93   @ Providence W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 28, 2023 52   Seton Hall W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 04, 2023 21   @ Marquette L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 07, 2023 42   St. John's W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 10, 2023 27   Xavier L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 14, 2023 80   @ Villanova L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 19, 2023 178   Georgetown W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 22, 2023 117   @ DePaul W 72-69 58%    
  Feb 28, 2023 21   Marquette L 71-73 43%    
  Mar 04, 2023 27   @ Xavier L 70-77 27%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.6 5.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 5.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 6.0 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.0 4.8 1.7 0.1 15.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.7 3.6 1.0 0.1 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.8 7.0 9.7 12.4 13.5 13.6 12.1 10.0 6.9 4.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 75.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 38.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 14.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 5.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.1% 99.0% 8.0% 91.0% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.9%
14-6 4.2% 96.9% 7.8% 89.1% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.7%
13-7 6.9% 88.2% 5.3% 82.9% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.8 87.6%
12-8 10.0% 70.4% 5.4% 65.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.9 68.7%
11-9 12.1% 42.8% 4.8% 38.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.9 39.9%
10-10 13.6% 17.7% 3.5% 14.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 14.7%
9-11 13.5% 5.2% 3.1% 2.0% 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8 2.1%
8-12 12.4% 2.6% 2.5% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.1 0.1%
7-13 9.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 9.5
6-14 7.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-15 3.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.8
4-16 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-17 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-18 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 29.9% 3.8% 26.0% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 70.1 27.1%