St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#43
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#33
Pace82.5#3
Improvement-0.1#237

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#61
First Shot+3.2#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#99
Layup/Dunks+5.9#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#311
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-0.1#274

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#46
First Shot+3.7#67
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#66
Layups/Dunks+0.5#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+1.4#111
Improvement+0.0#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.6% 5.1% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 9.4% 16.7% 5.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.4% 60.4% 37.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.3% 57.8% 33.8%
Average Seed 8.5 8.0 9.0
.500 or above 95.4% 98.6% 93.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 68.6% 57.0%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.1% 2.0%
First Four7.8% 7.8% 7.7%
First Round41.6% 56.6% 33.3%
Second Round21.5% 30.1% 16.6%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 10.2% 4.7%
Elite Eight2.4% 3.7% 1.7%
Final Four0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 7
Quad 24 - 27 - 9
Quad 36 - 113 - 10
Quad 47 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 340   Merrimack W 97-72 98%     1 - 0 +9.8 +1.9 +3.2
  Nov 12, 2022 273   Lafayette W 83-68 95%     2 - 0 +6.5 +11.1 -3.9
  Nov 15, 2022 341   Central Connecticut St. W 91-74 98%     3 - 0 +1.6 +11.8 -10.0
  Nov 17, 2022 91   Nebraska W 70-50 77%     4 - 0 +22.6 -4.1 +26.4
  Nov 21, 2022 95   Temple W 78-72 69%     5 - 0 +11.1 +0.7 +9.9
  Nov 23, 2022 96   Syracuse W 76-69 OT 69%     6 - 0 +12.1 -1.9 +13.4
  Nov 26, 2022 210   Niagara W 78-70 92%     7 - 0 +2.4 -2.4 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2022 351   LIU Brooklyn W 95-68 98%     8 - 0 +10.5 +4.8 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2022 33   @ Iowa St. L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 07, 2022 116   DePaul W 84-74 81%    
  Dec 10, 2022 330   New Hampshire W 83-58 99%    
  Dec 17, 2022 187   Florida St. W 84-73 86%    
  Dec 21, 2022 79   @ Villanova W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 28, 2022 28   Xavier W 83-82 51%    
  Dec 31, 2022 68   @ Seton Hall L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 03, 2023 22   Marquette L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 07, 2023 92   @ Providence W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 10, 2023 54   Butler W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 15, 2023 2   @ Connecticut L 70-83 12%    
  Jan 20, 2023 79   Villanova W 75-69 72%    
  Jan 25, 2023 10   @ Creighton L 73-83 19%    
  Jan 29, 2023 178   Georgetown W 87-73 90%    
  Feb 01, 2023 68   Seton Hall W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 04, 2023 28   @ Xavier L 80-86 30%    
  Feb 07, 2023 54   @ Butler L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 11, 2023 92   Providence W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 14, 2023 116   @ DePaul W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 18, 2023 10   Creighton L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 22, 2023 178   @ Georgetown W 84-76 75%    
  Feb 25, 2023 2   Connecticut L 73-80 26%    
  Mar 04, 2023 22   @ Marquette L 77-84 26%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.6 3.4 1.0 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.1 5.8 3.3 0.7 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.5 6.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 17.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.7 5.8 2.2 0.2 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.6 1.4 0.2 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.4 2.8 0.8 0.1 8.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.5 7.2 10.1 12.9 14.0 13.2 11.7 9.5 6.1 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 94.5% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 71.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 41.6% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.8% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.9% 99.7% 13.0% 86.8% 4.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 3.6% 98.9% 7.5% 91.4% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.8%
14-6 6.1% 97.1% 9.1% 88.0% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.9%
13-7 9.5% 90.8% 7.8% 83.1% 8.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.9 90.1%
12-8 11.7% 78.6% 6.9% 71.7% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.5 77.0%
11-9 13.2% 57.0% 5.4% 51.6% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.3 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.7 54.5%
10-10 14.0% 36.2% 4.8% 31.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 8.9 33.0%
9-11 12.9% 12.9% 3.4% 9.4% 11.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.3 9.7%
8-12 10.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 1.6%
7-13 7.2% 3.1% 2.9% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 0.1%
6-14 4.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.4
5-15 2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.4
4-16 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 45.4% 5.3% 40.1% 8.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.8 4.0 5.5 6.5 6.4 7.2 7.3 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 54.6 42.3%