Iowa St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#33
Expected Predictive Rating+18.5#12
Pace66.4#244
Improvement-0.1#293

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#102
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#33
Layup/Dunks+2.9#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#275
Freethrows-1.1#243
Improvement-0.1#239

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#14
First Shot+9.5#11
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#216
Layups/Dunks+9.4#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement-0.1#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 3.4% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 12.4% 16.3% 5.3%
Top 6 Seed 30.1% 36.5% 18.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.2% 67.9% 46.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.8% 65.6% 44.0%
Average Seed 6.8 6.6 7.5
.500 or above 78.6% 85.9% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 39.3% 44.1% 30.7%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 13.8% 21.5%
First Four6.2% 6.0% 6.5%
First Round57.2% 65.1% 43.2%
Second Round34.4% 40.3% 23.8%
Sweet Sixteen13.7% 16.7% 8.3%
Elite Eight5.0% 6.2% 2.9%
Final Four1.9% 2.3% 1.0%
Championship Game0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 11
Quad 24 - 210 - 13
Quad 31 - 011 - 13
Quad 47 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 359   IUPUI W 88-39 99%     1 - 0 +29.1 +1.9 +25.9
  Nov 13, 2022 274   N.C. A&T W 80-43 96%     2 - 0 +28.5 +5.8 +24.0
  Nov 20, 2022 226   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-53 94%     3 - 0 +8.6 -7.6 +16.0
  Nov 24, 2022 79   Villanova W 81-79 OT 67%     4 - 0 +8.8 +1.2 +7.4
  Nov 25, 2022 23   North Carolina W 70-65 39%     5 - 0 +19.2 +8.2 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2022 2   Connecticut L 53-71 20%     5 - 1 +2.3 -4.7 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2022 297   North Dakota W 63-44 97%     6 - 1 +8.6 -8.1 +19.3
  Dec 04, 2022 43   St. John's W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 08, 2022 24   @ Iowa L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 11, 2022 354   McNeese St. W 82-53 99.5%   
  Dec 18, 2022 315   Western Michigan W 78-55 99%    
  Dec 21, 2022 289   Nebraska Omaha W 79-58 97%    
  Dec 31, 2022 20   Baylor L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 04, 2023 40   @ Oklahoma L 60-62 42%    
  Jan 07, 2023 52   @ TCU L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 10, 2023 27   Texas Tech W 63-62 54%    
  Jan 14, 2023 17   @ Kansas L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 17, 2023 4   Texas L 62-67 32%    
  Jan 21, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-65 41%    
  Jan 24, 2023 45   Kansas St. W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 28, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 30, 2023 27   @ Texas Tech L 60-65 33%    
  Feb 04, 2023 17   Kansas L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 08, 2023 14   @ West Virginia L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 11, 2023 38   Oklahoma St. W 66-62 62%    
  Feb 15, 2023 52   TCU W 66-61 66%    
  Feb 18, 2023 45   @ Kansas St. L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 21, 2023 4   @ Texas L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 25, 2023 40   Oklahoma W 63-59 63%    
  Feb 27, 2023 14   West Virginia L 65-67 42%    
  Mar 04, 2023 20   @ Baylor L 69-75 29%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.1 4.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.4 2.2 0.3 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.2 2.8 0.3 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 6.6 9.6 11.7 13.5 13.5 12.0 10.2 7.6 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1
15-3 86.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-4 66.7% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 33.8% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1
12-6 11.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
11-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.7% 100.0% 14.1% 85.9% 3.2 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.8% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 4.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 100.0%
11-7 7.6% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 4.8 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8 10.2% 99.7% 7.3% 92.4% 5.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.8 3.2 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
9-9 12.0% 97.0% 6.8% 90.1% 6.9 0.1 0.2 1.5 3.0 3.1 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 96.7%
8-10 13.5% 84.1% 5.3% 78.8% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.6 2.5 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 83.2%
7-11 13.5% 51.1% 4.4% 46.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.6 48.8%
6-12 11.7% 19.6% 3.1% 16.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.4 17.0%
5-13 9.6% 5.4% 3.0% 2.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.1 2.4%
4-14 6.6% 2.6% 2.5% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.4 0.2%
3-15 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.5
2-16 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 60.2% 5.7% 54.5% 6.8 0.6 1.8 4.2 5.9 8.5 9.2 7.5 6.1 4.9 4.3 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 39.8 57.8%