UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#199
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#214
Pace70.0#145
Improvement-0.4#304

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#132
First Shot+2.1#108
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#233
Layup/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#34
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement-0.3#328

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#268
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#208
Layups/Dunks-6.6#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#62
Freethrows-0.4#203
Improvement-0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 13.3% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 66.7% 70.1% 41.1%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 78.0% 65.4%
Conference Champion 16.1% 17.0% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 2.6%
First Four2.0% 1.9% 2.3%
First Round11.7% 12.5% 5.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Home) - 88.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 616 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 75   @ Central Florida W 98-95 2OT 13%     1 - 0 +13.3 +16.2 -3.4
  Nov 18, 2022 261   Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 63%     2 - 0 +3.0 -1.6 +4.4
  Nov 19, 2022 247   Eastern Kentucky L 75-77 60%     2 - 1 -6.3 -1.9 -4.3
  Nov 20, 2022 205   @ Georgia St. L 68-74 39%     2 - 2 -4.8 -1.3 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2022 284   Western Carolina W 73-61 77%     3 - 2 +2.6 -11.2 +13.2
  Nov 29, 2022 269   @ NC Central L 66-79 53%     3 - 3 -15.5 -4.2 -12.0
  Dec 03, 2022 328   Tennessee Martin W 84-72 88%    
  Dec 10, 2022 74   @ Dayton L 58-70 13%    
  Dec 13, 2022 347   @ South Carolina St. W 82-73 78%    
  Dec 17, 2022 238   @ East Tennessee St. L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 21, 2022 15   @ Arkansas L 64-85 3%    
  Dec 29, 2022 208   Radford W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 31, 2022 209   @ Winthrop L 76-78 41%    
  Jan 04, 2023 201   @ High Point L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 07, 2023 195   Campbell W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 11, 2023 184   Longwood W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 14, 2023 172   @ Gardner-Webb L 67-71 34%    
  Jan 18, 2023 306   @ Charleston Southern W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 349   South Carolina Upstate W 83-68 90%    
  Jan 25, 2023 322   Presbyterian W 74-62 85%    
  Jan 28, 2023 195   @ Campbell L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 01, 2023 201   High Point W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 04, 2023 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 80-71 77%    
  Feb 08, 2023 209   Winthrop W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 11, 2023 322   @ Presbyterian W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 15, 2023 208   @ Radford L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 18, 2023 172   Gardner-Webb W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 22, 2023 306   Charleston Southern W 82-72 80%    
  Feb 25, 2023 184   @ Longwood L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.9 3.7 2.1 0.7 0.2 16.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.3 5.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.8 5.5 1.4 0.1 14.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.3 1.2 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 5.0 5.0 1.2 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.3 1.1 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.3 1.0 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.1 6.4 9.3 11.8 13.0 13.9 13.0 10.4 7.3 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 98.5% 2.1    1.9 0.1
15-3 90.6% 3.7    3.0 0.7 0.0
14-4 67.1% 4.9    2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 32.4% 3.4    1.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.2% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 9.7 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 70.0% 66.3% 3.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1%
17-1 0.7% 55.4% 55.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.1% 44.7% 44.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-3 4.1% 32.9% 32.9% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.8
14-4 7.3% 26.3% 26.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 5.4
13-5 10.4% 18.7% 18.7% 14.7 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 8.5
12-6 13.0% 15.8% 15.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 11.0
11-7 13.9% 11.0% 11.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 12.4
10-8 13.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 12.0
9-9 11.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 11.2
8-10 9.3% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.0
7-11 6.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.2
6-12 4.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.0
5-13 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 4.3 3.6 87.5 0.0%