Presbyterian
Big South
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#328
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#351
Pace61.9#328
Improvement+0.6#107

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#319
First Shot-7.0#345
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks-3.1#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#298
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+0.5#86

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#314
First Shot-4.4#312
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#226
Layups/Dunks-3.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#260
Freethrows-0.2#202
Improvement+0.1#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 83.5% 71.6% 87.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 45 - 135 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 296   @ The Citadel L 58-70 31%     0 - 1 -16.8 -11.4 -6.7
  Nov 12, 2022 201   @ East Carolina L 57-77 15%     0 - 2 -19.0 -15.3 -3.7
  Nov 16, 2022 71   @ UAB L 61-92 4%     0 - 3 -20.5 -12.1 -5.9
  Nov 21, 2022 303   Bucknell L 65-66 42%     0 - 4 -8.8 -3.0 -5.9
  Nov 22, 2022 336   Albany L 65-68 53%     0 - 5 -13.6 -11.1 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2022 111   @ Charlotte L 42-69 7%     0 - 6 -20.8 -18.7 -8.2
  Nov 29, 2022 335   VMI W 72-57 62%     1 - 6 +1.9 -8.1 +10.2
  Dec 01, 2022 195   @ Wofford L 63-76 15%     1 - 7 -11.6 -9.1 -3.1
  Dec 06, 2022 79   College of Charleston L 62-67 10%     1 - 8 -1.0 -5.6 +4.3
  Dec 11, 2022 225   @ South Carolina L 57-68 19%     1 - 9 -11.4 -1.6 -12.6
  Dec 15, 2022 334   Elon W 69-63 62%     2 - 9 -7.1 -2.5 -3.9
  Dec 29, 2022 257   Campbell W 82-72 42%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +2.3 +9.3 -6.5
  Dec 31, 2022 178   @ Radford L 51-69 13%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -15.6 -11.6 -6.8
  Jan 04, 2023 247   @ Winthrop L 72-82 22%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -11.8 +5.2 -18.4
  Jan 07, 2023 278   Charleston Southern L 61-67 45%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -14.7 -15.2 -0.2
  Jan 11, 2023 196   Gardner-Webb L 78-79 OT 29%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -5.0 +4.5 -9.5
  Jan 14, 2023 302   @ High Point L 56-64 32%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -13.1 -14.1 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2023 298   @ South Carolina Upstate L 60-61 32%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -6.0 -13.5 +7.5
  Jan 21, 2023 181   Longwood L 56-58 25%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -5.0 -7.2 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2023 189   @ UNC Asheville L 80-88 OT 14%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -6.4 +9.1 -15.6
  Jan 28, 2023 247   Winthrop L 58-76 39%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -25.2 -17.2 -9.3
  Feb 01, 2023 178   Radford L 60-67 26%    
  Feb 04, 2023 196   @ Gardner-Webb L 57-68 14%    
  Feb 08, 2023 181   @ Longwood L 58-70 12%    
  Feb 11, 2023 189   UNC Asheville L 63-69 29%    
  Feb 15, 2023 302   High Point W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 18, 2023 257   @ Campbell L 59-67 24%    
  Feb 22, 2023 298   South Carolina Upstate W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 25, 2023 278   @ Charleston Southern L 67-74 26%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 2.5 0.2 5.7 8th
9th 0.3 3.9 10.9 7.9 1.2 0.0 24.3 9th
10th 6.5 20.2 25.2 13.6 2.3 0.1 68.0 10th
Total 6.5 20.5 29.1 24.9 13.1 4.8 1.1 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
7-11 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
6-12 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-14 24.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 24.8
3-15 29.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 29.1
2-16 20.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.5
1-17 6.5% 6.5
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.5%