High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#201
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#85
Pace74.6#62
Improvement-0.1#276

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#194
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#112
Layup/Dunks+3.2#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#306
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#314
Freethrows+2.5#53
Improvement-0.1#298

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#209
First Shot+3.1#79
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#346
Layups/Dunks-4.6#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#104
Freethrows+2.4#62
Improvement+0.0#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 15.1% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 82.7% 88.4% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 75.6% 79.3% 66.7%
Conference Champion 16.2% 18.4% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.0% 2.3%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round12.6% 14.7% 7.8%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 413 - 417 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 162   Wofford W 91-80 54%     1 - 0 +8.3 +10.2 -2.1
  Nov 18, 2022 77   @ UNLV L 68-78 14%     1 - 1 +0.0 -1.7 +2.6
  Nov 21, 2022 243   Central Michigan W 68-67 59%     2 - 1 -3.1 -9.5 +6.4
  Nov 23, 2022 272   Tennessee St. W 77-72 64%     3 - 1 -0.5 -1.5 +0.8
  Nov 30, 2022 344   Elon W 84-70 90%     4 - 1 -1.9 -2.6 -0.1
  Dec 03, 2022 250   North Florida W 78-72 71%    
  Dec 06, 2022 87   @ Furman L 70-81 15%    
  Dec 09, 2022 245   Queens W 78-72 70%    
  Dec 18, 2022 138   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 21, 2022 206   @ East Carolina L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 29, 2022 181   @ Longwood L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 31, 2022 172   Gardner-Webb W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 04, 2023 200   UNC Asheville W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 07, 2023 348   @ South Carolina Upstate W 80-72 78%    
  Jan 11, 2023 304   @ Charleston Southern W 79-76 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 323   Presbyterian W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 18, 2023 208   Winthrop W 80-76 62%    
  Jan 21, 2023 211   @ Radford L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 25, 2023 196   Campbell W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 28, 2023 172   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-70 34%    
  Feb 01, 2023 200   @ UNC Asheville L 74-77 38%    
  Feb 04, 2023 304   Charleston Southern W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 08, 2023 196   @ Campbell L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 181   Longwood W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 15, 2023 323   @ Presbyterian W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 18, 2023 348   South Carolina Upstate W 83-69 90%    
  Feb 22, 2023 211   Radford W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 25, 2023 208   @ Winthrop L 77-79 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.8 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 16.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.3 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.7 5.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.1 5.3 1.1 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 5.2 1.2 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 4.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.4 0.9 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.2 6.4 9.6 11.7 13.0 13.9 12.5 9.7 7.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 98.4% 2.2    2.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 90.4% 3.9    3.2 0.7 0.0
14-4 66.6% 4.8    2.7 1.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.0% 3.2    0.9 1.6 0.6 0.1
12-6 8.1% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.2% 16.2 9.8 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 69.0% 69.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.8% 57.7% 56.4% 1.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.9%
16-2 2.2% 44.4% 44.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.2
15-3 4.3% 35.0% 35.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8
14-4 7.2% 27.5% 27.5% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 5.3
13-5 9.7% 22.7% 22.7% 14.3 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 7.5
12-6 12.5% 15.6% 15.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 10.6
11-7 13.9% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 12.3
10-8 13.0% 8.2% 8.2% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 12.0
9-9 11.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.1
8-10 9.6% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
7-11 6.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.3
6-12 4.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.2
5-13 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 4.4 4.1 2.0 87.0 0.0%